A key feature of best practice prudential supervision of financial institutions is the use of a risk rating system to formalise the outcome of supervisory reviews and ongoing monitoring processes. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) implemented the Probability and Impact Rating System (PAIRS) in 2002. Given the favourable economic conditions in which PAIRS was developed and has so far operated, any form of validation using backtesting methods is prevented. Consequently, this thesis seeks to develop a framework with which to evaluate and better understand the PAIRS risk rating system for authorised deposit-taking institutions. Specifically, we specify and estimate models in which the risk ratings are related to the statistical data that supervisors have access to when forming their expert judgement assessments of the PAIRS risk components. Whereas prior studies have generally focused on the overall supervisory rating, we model the primary components of the PAIRS rating (inherent risk, management and control risk, and capital support risk) as well as the aggregate risk of failure rating. Using a sample of ratings from 2002 to 2006, we find that the statistical data is able to explain much of the variability in ratings for credit unions and building societies (CUBS) and Australian and foreign subsidiary banks but not foreign bank branches. As expected, the regressions are stronger for inherent risk and capital support risk ratings than management and control risk ratings. However, supervisors?? consideration of adverse qualitative factors adds considerable explanatory power to a model based solely on statistical data, particularly for management and control risk ratings. We also model the determinants of supervisory exceptions and capital adequacy breaches over 1992 to 2006 and find that the risk indicators associated with a higher likelihood of an exception and/or breach are generally consistent with the risk indicators associated with supervisory risk ratings. The outcomes of the thesis have a number of policy implications and practical applications. For example, the estimated models have the potential to be used as a quality and consistency tool to detect rating outliers within PAIRS. We also propose some improvements to APRA??s exception reporting system for CUBS.

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A key feature of best practice prudential supervision of financial institutions is the use of a risk rating system to formalise the outcome of supervisory reviews and ongoing monitoring processes. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) implemented the Probability and Impact Rating System (PAIRS) in 2002. Given the favourable economic conditions in which PAIRS was developed and has so far operated, any form of validation using backtesting methods is prevented. Consequently, this thesis seeks to develop a framework with which to evaluate and better understand the PAIRS risk rating system for authorised deposit-taking institutions. Specifically, we specify and estimate models in which the risk ratings are related to the statistical data that supervisors have access to when forming their expert judgement assessments of the PAIRS risk components. Whereas prior studies have generally focused on the overall supervisory rating, we model the primary components of the PAIRS rating (inherent risk, management and control risk, and capital support risk) as well as the aggregate risk of failure rating. Using a sample of ratings from 2002 to 2006, we find that the statistical data is able to explain much of the variability in ratings for credit unions and building societies (CUBS) and Australian and foreign subsidiary banks but not foreign bank branches. As expected, the regressions are stronger for inherent risk and capital support risk ratings than management and control risk ratings. However, supervisors?? consideration of adverse qualitative factors adds considerable explanatory power to a model based solely on statistical data, particularly for management and control risk ratings. We also model the determinants of supervisory exceptions and capital adequacy breaches over 1992 to 2006 and find that the risk indicators associated with a higher likelihood of an exception and/or breach are generally consistent with the risk indicators associated with supervisory risk ratings. The outcomes of the thesis have a number of policy implications and practical applications. For example, the estimated models have the potential to be used as a quality and consistency tool to detect rating outliers within PAIRS. We also propose some improvements to APRA??s exception reporting system for CUBS.

The subject matter of this thesis is to approach prudential requirements for banking activities in the Czech Republic. Taking into account the importance of the banking sector in the economy of each country, this area is widely regulated by directly applicable European legislation, for example by new regulation (EU) No. 757/2013 of the European parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2013 on prudential requirements for credit institutions and investment firms. National regulation is contained mainly in Act No. 21/1992 Coll., on Banks, as amended. Particular chapters of this thesis focus first on general introduction to banking, i.e. a description of the banking systems and institutions operating in them. One part is devoted to the Czech National Bank as the institution of the financial market supervision. The main part describes specific rules of banking activities, beginning with requirements for obtaining a banking license. Finally are mentioned financial safety net and the issue of the doctrine too- big-to-fail. Diploma thesis tries to connect the theory and the legislation with the practical functioning of supervision. For this purpose are used statistical data, certain decisions of the Czech National Bank and information from the Report on the performance of financial market supervision, the...

Si la crise de 2008 a plongé l'économie dans une période difficile et pleine d'incertitudes, elle peut du moins se vanter d'avoir enclenché un chantier des réformes de la sphère financière. Dans un contexte où la régulation internationale relève de plus en plus du soft law, le Comité de Bâle joue un rôle important dans l’élaboration de règles permettant de construire un secteur bancaire plus sûr d’autant plus que les règles de Bâle III ont pour objectif de rétablir la confiance dans le système bancaire et financier qui fut ébranlé, mais aussi d’éviter la survenance d’une crise à l’avenir. À l’aide de règles plus strictes et d’outils innovants, la régulation est allée plus loin que par le passé. Toutefois, les dangers découlant d’un contournement des règles prudentielles par les banques sont bel et bien présents. La question de l’efficacité des stratégies de régulation prudentielle qui peut être de nouveau débordée et prise de court par une autre crise est sérieusement posée. Les réponses réglementaires arrivent généralement a posteriori, alors qu’il faudrait agir en amont. Certes, les États ont souvent porté secours à leurs banques mais ils n’auront pas forcément les mêmes moyens à chaque nouvelle crise. Dans ce contexte, les problématiques liées à l’interconnexion entre risque souverain et risque bancaire ainsi qu’aux politiques d’austérité ont été abordées, tout comme les questions concernant les agences de notations, la titrisation ou encore les partenariats public-privé qui ont entre autres été analysés. Dans un monde qui change, de nouveaux défis se présentent et un regard vers des horizons plus lointains nous a amenés à nous intéresser à la nouvelle politique de déréglementation du nouveau président des États-Unis, mais il était aussi opportun de s’intéresser aussi au Liban dont le système bancaire a réussi à échapper à la crise mondiale. De plus, le système bancaire et financier devra sans doute faire avec des phénomènes comme le « bitcoin » ou la « finance islamique », qui malgré leur fragilité, sont en développement. Finalement, la thèse vise à montrer les limites du système actuel et des mesures envisagées. / While the 2008 crisis has plunged the economy into a difficult period full of uncertainty, it can at least boast of having launched reforms of the financial sphere. In a context where international regulation is increasingly a matter of soft law, the Basel Committee plays an important role in developing rules to build a more secure banking sector, especially as the Basel III rules aim to restore confidence in the banking and financial system that was shaken, but also to prevent the occurrence of a new crisis. By means of stricter rules and innovative tools, regulation has gone further than in the past. However, the dangers arising from the circumvention of prudential rules by banks are indeed present. The question of the effectiveness of prudential regulation strategies, which may again be overwhelmed and taken aback by another crisis, is seriously raised. Regulatory responses usually come afterwards, whereas action should be taken upstream. Countries have often helped their banks, but they will not necessarily have the same resources in every new crisis. In this context, issues related to the interconnection between sovereign and banking risks and austerity policies were discussed, as were issues related to rating agencies, securitization and public-private partnerships. In a changing world, new challenges arise and a look at further horizons has led us to take an interest in the new deregulation policy of the new President of the United States, but it was also timely to take an interest in Lebanon, whose banking system has managed to escape the global crisis. Moreover, the banking and financial system will probably have to deal with phenomena such as "bitcoin" or "Islamic finance", which, despite their fragility, are developing. Finally, the thesis aims to show the limits of the current system and the measures envisaged.

Cette thèse propose une analyse détaillée des effets de la supervision prudentielle (une composante de la réglementation bancaire) sur la stabilité du secteur bancaire, la solvabilité des institutions financières et, au niveau macro-économique, étudie son impact sur le crédit domestique. La méthodologie de recherche adoptée permet l‘intégration de l‘hétérogénéité dans l'analyse, tant au niveau systémique qu'à celui de l‘agent individuel. Des méthodes d‘estimation bayésiennes sont à la base de la partie empirique, alors que les sections théoriques utilisent la modélisation multi-agent. Le premier chapitre étudie les effets de la supervision prudentielle sur le crédit domestique dans 27 pays de l‘UE. Les résultats montrent qu‘une aggravation de la dureté de la supervision produit des effets positifs sur le crédit dans les pays ayant un système de supervision unifié. Le deuxième chapitre étudie les effets de la supervision couplée avec des outils réglementaires « traditionnels » sur la résilience et les profits bancaires dans des conditions de crise de long-terme. Parmi les instruments étudiés, c’est la taxe qui assure la profitabilité bancaire à long terme et l‘adaptation à la crise. Le troisième chapitre étudie une fraude financière complexe qui a eu lieu en Moldavie en 2011-2015. Un modèle qui réplique les schémas de fraude est construit pour étudier l‘optimalité de la décision de non-intervention de la Banque Centrale. Les résultats montrent qu'une intervention précoce n‘aurait pas minimisé les pertes du système bancaire, mais que la Banque Centrale aurait pu améliorer la situation en intervenant quand l‘exposition du secteur aux fraudeurs était minimale. / This thesis aims to provide an in-depth analysis of the effects of prudential supervision (a component of banking system regulation) on the stability of the banking sector, the soundness of financial institutions and, at a macro-economic level, its impact on domestic credit. The adopted research methods facilitate the integration of heterogeneity at the systemic and individual-agent levels into the analysis. Bayesian estimation techniques are used in the empirical part, whereas the theoretical sections utilize agent-based modeling. The first chapter studies the effects of prudential supervision on domestic credit in 27 EU countries. The results show an increase in supervisory stringency to produce a positive effect on credit in countries with unified supervisory frameworks. The second chapter investigates the effects of prudential supervision coupled with “traditional” regulatory tools on bank resiliency and profits under long-lasting crisis conditions. Taxes are found to be the most efficient tool as they potentiate long-term profitable bank operations and adaptation to the crisis. The third chapter provides a case-study of a complex financial fraud that took place in Moldova in 2011-2015. An agent-based model that replicates the schemes is constructed to study the optimality of the Central Bank’s decision to not intervene. The results show that early intervention wouldn’t necessarily have minimized the financial losses of the banking sector, but that the Central Bank could have improved the outcome of the crisis by intervening when the exposure of the banking sector to the fraudsters was minimal.

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Yes / We outline the valuation process for a No-Negative Equity Guarantee in an Equity Release Mortgage loan and for an Equity Release Mortgage that has such a guarantee. Illustrative valuations are provided based on the Black ’76 put pricing formula and mortality projections based on the M5, M6 and M7 mortality versions of the Cairns–Blake–Dowd (CBD) family of mortality models. Results indicate that the valuations of No-Negative Equity Guarantees are high relative to loan amounts and subject to considerable model risk but that the valuations of Equity Release Mortgage loans are robust to the choice of mortality model. Results have significant ramifications for industry practice and prudential regulation.

Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2012. / Asset restrictions are prudential regulations applied by regulators around the globe. In essence, they prescribe asset restrictions as a risk-control measure to establish appropriate capital requirements for regulated institutions. The aim of prudential regulations and standards is to protect consumers who acquire the products and services offered by these institutions. Pension funds in Namibia must comply with Regulation 28 of the Pension Funds Act, 1956. Regulation 28 is the prudential regulation that governs investment limits for pension funds. The regulation prescribes maximum investment limits for all asset classes. In 2009, the government made a policy decision to amend Regulation 28 to prescribe a minimum investment in unlisted shares (private equity) that would be applicable to pension funds, long-term insurance companies and unit trusts. The objective of government is to use Regulation 28 as a macroeconomic tool to control capital flows and channel capital to domestic companies. The regulation will stimulate economic activities, local ownership, create employment and reduce poverty, which will eventually facilitate economic development. In addition, this objective has the potential to assist the development of the private equity sector in Namibia. The implication of this development is that retirement savings will be utilised to achieve macroeconomic objectives and develop an industry sector. Private equity has shown tremendous growth in developed economies and is beginning to grow in Africa as well. Private equity is a sector that has the potential to realise excellent returns for pension funds, provided the risks are adequately controlled and managed. The study proposes a regulatory framework for unlisted investments (private equity) by pension funds. The framework considers risks and proposes how to best manage and control them. The conclusion is to abolish a prescribed minimum and to increase the domestic asset requirement. Ultimately, regulators exist to protect consumers while the development of markets is a secondary priority.

Univerzita Karlova v Praze Právnická fakulta Disertační práce Právní úprava obezřetnostních pravidel v oblasti finančního trhu (Legal Regulation of Prudential Rules in Financial Market Area) JUDr. Bedřich Čížek Summary: The main objective of this thesis is to provide a comprehensive and systematic view of prudential rules in the selected area of financial market regulation with an emphasis on critical reflection of the various legal institutes and intersectional comparison of the relevant legal rules. Particular questions that this thesis attempts to answer within it's main goal are: (i) what is the essence of prudential rules in the financial market regulation (quid juris?) and (ii) whether current prudential rules in the Czech legal system meet the criteria required by legal theory on the form and the content of legislation and on the rational configuration of the legal system. The thesis also includes constructive criticism of examined issues, particularly in terms of the accuracy of the transposition of the relevant EU legislation, legal certainty of transposed provisions regarding its' recipients and the efficiency of the current legislation when designing prudential rules in question, and includes several recommendations de lege ferenda as well. The outcome of this thesis is a systematic,...