The reliability of supply in a bulk electricity system is directly related to the availability of the generation and transmission facilities. In a conventional vertically integrated system these facilities are usually owned and operated by a single company. In the new deregulated utility environment, these facilities could be owned and operated by a number of independent organizations. In this case, the overall system reliability is the responsibility of an independent system operator (ISO). The load point and system reliabilities are a function of the capacities and availabilities of the generation and transmission facilities and the system topology. This research examines the effect of equipment unavailability on the load point and system reliability of two test systems. The unavailabilities of specific generation and transmission facilities have major impacts on the load point and system reliabilities. These impacts are not uniform throughout the system and are highly dependent on the overall system topology and the operational philosophy of the system. Contingency evaluation is a basic planning and operating procedure and different contingencies can have quite different system and load point impacts. The risk levels associated with a given contingency cannot be estimated using deterministic criteria. The studies presented in this thesis estimate the risk associated with each case using probability techniques and rank the cases based on the predicted risk levels. This information should assist power system managers and planners to make objective decisions regarding reliability and cost. Composite system preventive maintenance scheduling is a challenging task. The functional separation of generation and transmission in the new market environment creates operational and scheduling problems related to maintenance. Maintenance schedules must be coordinated through an independent entity (ISO) to assure reliable and economical service. The methods adopted by an ISO to coordinate planned outages are normally based on traditional load flow and stability analysis and deterministic operating criteria. A new method designated as the maintenance coordination technique (MCT) is proposed in this thesis to coordinate maintenance scheduling. The research work illustrated in this thesis indicates that probabilistic criteria and techniques for composite power system analysis can be effectively utilized in both vertically integrated and deregulated utility systems. The conclusions and the techniques presented in this thesis should prove valuable to those responsible for system planning and maintenance coordination.

This thesis presents the results of an investigation into the evaluation of a selected test bridge using instrumentation to obtain site-specific factors contributing to the evaluation, with the ultimate objective of improving the estimate of the bridges reliability in order to assess allowable loading more accurately. The experimental portion of the research program involved instrumenting the test bridge with strain gauges, and recording field measurements using two forms of loading. The analytical portion of the research program involved the analysis of the bridge in the as-designed state, based on the design drawings and specification, followed by a re-analysis of the bridge using the site-specific factors measured on-site. The bridge was evaluated using methods outlined in the Canadian Highway Bridge Design Code CAN/CSA-S6-00 (CSA 2000). <p>The test bridge is located near the community of Hudson Bay, Saskatchewan. The bridge is constructed of steel-reinforced concrete, and there are three, three-span arch-shaped girders. There are also external steel bars added after initial construction to increase the midspan bending moment resistance. In total, 45 strain gauges were placed on the middle spans of the three girders to record strain induced by two forms of loading: controlled loading, in which a truck of known weight and dimensions was driven over the bridge in a number of pre-determined configurations, and in-situ loading, in which normal truck traffic was used. The current allowable loading on the bridge is a gross vehicle weight of 62.5 t, although increasing the allowable loading to 110 t has been proposed, along with two strengthening alternatives to make this increased loading feasible. <p>To provide a base-line analysis for comparison purposes, the bridge was first evaluated based strictly on information taken from the design drawings and specifications. The evaluation was performed using the load and resistance factor method, in which load and resistance factors were used to account for uncertainty, as well as by the mean load method, in which statistical properties of the variables parameters included in the design were used to account for uncertainty. The result of the load and resistance factor method was a live load capacity factor, indicating the overall rating of the bridge. In addition to the live load capacity factor, the mean load method was also used to determine the reliability index. The results of the as-designed analysis showed that the mean load method gave more conservative estimates of the bridge capacity. Furthermore, it was determined that, based on these assessments, the bridge would not have sufficient capacity to carry the proposed 110 t truck loads.<p>The bridge was re-evaluated using site-specific factors with the mean load method. Using the measured strains, statistical parameters were determined for live load effects, distribution factors, dynamic load allowance, and resistance. Statistical parameters that could not be obtained readily through testing were obtained from the literature. The results indicated that code-predicted estimates of a number of factors were highly conservative. Flexural and shear load effects in the girders were found to be less than 15% of the theoretical predictions, as a result of apparent arching action in the girders, generating significant axial forces. For this arching action to occur, horizontal restraint was required at the supports, either through unanticipated restraint in the bearings, or tension tie action of the tensile girder reinforcement. Furthermore, the dynamic amplification was found to be less than 1.0. The resulting reliability indices indicated that the bridge would be safe under the proposed increased allowable loading (110 t). <p>Finite element models were used to confirm the dynamic amplification observations and examine the effects of different degrees of bearing restraint. The model showed results similar to those measured for dynamic amplification. It was found that if the bearings were to become completely fixed against horizontal translation, the bridge would become overloaded as a result of increased shear effects, demonstrating the need for proper bearing maintenance. <p>An analysis of relative costs was completed to determine the most cost-effective solution for hauling logs. Assumptions were made regarding truck and maintenance and operating costs. The results indicated that the most economic solution was to use the method outlined in the research to increase the allowable loading on the bridge to 110 t, over the strengthening alternatives and simply leaving the bridge in the current state.

Global environmental concerns associated with conventional energy generation have led to the rapid growth of wind energy applications in electric power systems. Growing demand for electrical energy and concerns associated with limited reserves of fossil fuels are also responsible for the development and increase in wind energy utilization. Many jurisdictions around the world have set high wind penetration targets in their energy generation mix.<p> The contribution of wind farms to the overall system reliability is limited by the uncertainty in power output from the highly variable energy source. High wind penetration can lead to high risk levels in power system reliability and stability. In order to maintain the system stability, wind energy dispatch is usually restricted and energy storage is considered to smooth out the fluctuations and improve supply continuity. The research work presented in this thesis is focused on developing reliability models for evaluating the benefits associated with wind power and energy storage in electric power generating systems. An interactive method using a sequential Monte Carlo simulation technique that incorporates wind farm and energy storage operating strategies is developed and employed in this research. Different operating strategies are compared and the resulting benefits are evaluated. Important system impacts on the reliability benefits from wind power and energy storage are illustrated. Hydro facilities with energy storage capability can alleviate the impact of wind power fluctuations and also contribute to system adequacy. A simulation technique for an energy limited hydro plant and wind farm coordination is developed considering the chronological variation in the wind, water and the energy demand. The IEEE four-state model is incorporated in the developed technique to recognize the intermittent operation of hydro units. Quantitative assessment of reliability benefits from effective utilization of wind and water resources are conducted through a range of sensitivity studies. The information provided and the examples illustrated in this thesis should prove useful to power system planners and wind developers to assess the reliability benefit from utilizing wind energy and energy storage and the coordination between wind and hydro power in electric power systems.

The current method of determining component failure rates for probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) in the nuclear industry is to take the total number of failures divided by the time over which the failures occurred. The method proposed in this study is the reliability growth method and involves taking into account the fact that the amount of failures per additional year of operation generally decreases yearly because the operational staff becomes familiar with the equipment. The reliability growth method will result in lower component failure rates which when used in PRA studies could result in a lower core melt frequency value. The component failure rate would be expected to be higher in the early stages and should gradually decrease as time goes on. This study will compare the final core melt frequency of the Trojan Nuclear Power Plant using both methods. The Nuclear Power Reactor Data System (NPRDS) data base from the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) was used in this study. The components which were examined for the reliability growth method are motor operated valves, service water pump/motors and emergency diesel generator air chargers. These data were screened to ensure that only true failures were reported. A comparison was made of the overall core melt frequency between the conventional failure rate method and reliability growth method for the motor operated valves. The overall core melt frequency was decreased by 1.8 % when using the reliability growth method compared to the conventional method. / Graduation date: 1993

Overheight vehicle impact to bridge decks is a major problem in the transportation networks in the United States. An important factor that causes this problem is inadequate vertical clearance of bridges. Using steel pedestals to elevate bridge decks is an efficient and cost-effective solution for this problem. So far, steel pedestals have been used in the low seismic regions of the United States and therefore, their design has been based on providing enough strength to carry vertical loads and the lateral behavior of bridges elevated with pedestals have not been a major concern. But even in low seismic zones the seismic hazard should not be completely ignored. Also there might be some bridges in medium or high seismic regions that need to be elevated because of the lack of enough vertical clearance and using steel pedestals can be considered as an option for elevating those bridges. To address the mentioned needs, this dissertation proposes a framework to determine the structural reliability of bridges elevated with steel pedestals by developing probabilistic capacity and demand models for the slab-on-girder bridges subjected to lateral loads. This study first compares the behavior of previously tested pedestals with the behavior of elastomeric bearings in low seismic regions using statistical tests. Then, to provide a general framework, which can be applied to all bridges that are elevated with steel pedestals, this dissertation develops probabilistic capacity and demand models for steel pedestals considering all the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties of the problem. Using the developed probabilistic models along with the available models for other components of bridges, seismic fragility curves for elevated bridges are obtained and used to determine the structural reliability. Finally, this study uses the developed framework in a decision analysis that helps the engineering community and decision makers to check if the installation of steel pedestals on a specific bridge has financial justification or not. Results show that for a typical two-span slab-on-girder bridge, the use of steel pedestals has financial justification only in low seismic regions and if the societal benefits of elevating the bridge can at least cover the installation cost of pedestals.

In recent years, reliability evaluation of substation automation systems has received a significant attention from the research community. With the advent of the concept of smart grid, there is a growing trend to integrate more computation and communication technology into power systems. This thesis focuses on the reliability evaluation of modern substation automation systems. Such systems include both physical devices (current carrying) such as lines, circuit breakers, and transformers, as well as cyber devices (Ethernet switches, intelligent electronic devices, and cables) and belong to a broader class of cyber-physical systems. We assume that the substation utilizes IEC 61850 standard, which is a dominant standard for substation automation. Focusing on IEC 61850 standard, we discuss the failure modes and analyze their effects on the system. We utilize reliability block diagrams for analyzing the reliability of substation components (bay units) and then use the state space approach to study the effects at the substation level. Case study is based on an actual IEC 61850 substation automation system, with different network topologies consideration concluded. Our analysis provides a starting point for evaluating the reliability of the substation and the effects of substation failures to the rest of the power system. By using the state space methods, the steady state probability of each failure effects were calculated in different bay units. These probabilities can be further used in the modeling of the composite power system to analyze the loss of load probabilities.

Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN) are used in many applications, for example industrial applications, automatic control applications, monitoring applications, to name but a few. Although WSN can employ different standards in order to achieve short range wireless communication, the mainstream of the market is toadopt the low-power, low-rate IEEE 802.15.4 standard. However, this standard does not specify any block codes on the Physical layer (PHY) and the MAC sublayer. Reliability and energy efficiency are two important metrics used to evaluate the WSN performance. In order to enhance the reliability of the WSN performance, schemes such as Forward Error Correction (FEC) and HybridAutomatic Repeat-reQuest (HARQ) can be introduced on the PHY and MACsublayer when transmitting signals. However, this will reduce the energy efficiency of the WSN. In order to investigate what does affect the reliability and energy efficiency, this thesis has been conducted with the assistance of Matlab simulations, which simulate different transmission schemes proposed by the authors. Based on the simulations, both the reliability and energy efficiency can be evaluated and the results are illustrated for both metrics. The objective of this thesis is to determine a scheme that is able to meet these metric requirements.

The reliability of supply in a bulk electricity system is directly related to the availability of the generation and transmission facilities. In a conventional vertically integrated system these facilities are usually owned and operated by a single company. In the new deregulated utility environment, these facilities could be owned and operated by a number of independent organizations. In this case, the overall system reliability is the responsibility of an independent system operator (ISO). The load point and system reliabilities are a function of the capacities and availabilities of the generation and transmission facilities and the system topology. This research examines the effect of equipment unavailability on the load point and system reliability of two test systems. The unavailabilities of specific generation and transmission facilities have major impacts on the load point and system reliabilities. These impacts are not uniform throughout the system and are highly dependent on the overall system topology and the operational philosophy of the system. Contingency evaluation is a basic planning and operating procedure and different contingencies can have quite different system and load point impacts. The risk levels associated with a given contingency cannot be estimated using deterministic criteria. The studies presented in this thesis estimate the risk associated with each case using probability techniques and rank the cases based on the predicted risk levels. This information should assist power system managers and planners to make objective decisions regarding reliability and cost. Composite system preventive maintenance scheduling is a challenging task. The functional separation of generation and transmission in the new market environment creates operational and scheduling problems related to maintenance. Maintenance schedules must be coordinated through an independent entity (ISO) to assure reliable and economical service. The methods adopted by an ISO to coordinate planned outages are normally based on traditional load flow and stability analysis and deterministic operating criteria. A new method designated as the maintenance coordination technique (MCT) is proposed in this thesis to coordinate maintenance scheduling. The research work illustrated in this thesis indicates that probabilistic criteria and techniques for composite power system analysis can be effectively utilized in both vertically integrated and deregulated utility systems. The conclusions and the techniques presented in this thesis should prove valuable to those responsible for system planning and maintenance coordination.

This paper discusses the detection of Fault Tolerance in computers. It outlines the present techniques available, namely, Anderson's and Avizienis: The writer introduces a new method based on Anderson's detection technique; this modified version turns out to be a more foolproof system. Since the shortcomings of both the 'old' techniques are discussed in detail the writer also suggests how to overcome them using the technique that he had proposed. To prove the excellence of his method, the writer applies his technique to the SIFT system to show that it is workable and superior to previous ones. Diagrams are provided for clarification.Ball State UniversityMuncie, IN 47306

This thesis contains the specific description of Group Design Project (GDP) and Individual Research Project (IRP) that are undertaken by the author and form part of the degree of Master of Science. The target of GDP is to develop a novel and unique commercial flying wing aircraft titled FW-11. FW-11 is a three-year collaborative civil aircraft project between Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC) and Cranfield University. According to the market analysis result conducted by the author, 250 seats capacity and 7500 nautical miles were chosen as the design targets. The IRP is the further study of GDP, which is to enhance the competitive capability by deploying prognostics and health management (PHM) technology to the fuel system of FW-11. As a novel and brand-new technology, PHM enables the real-time transformation of system status data into alert and maintenance information during all ground or flight operating phases to improve the aircraft reliability and operating costs. Aircraft fuel system has a great impact on flight safety. Therefore, the development of fuel system PHM concept is necessary. This thesis began with an investigation of PHM, then a safety and reliability analysis of fuel system was conducted by using FHA, FMEA and FTA. According to these analyses, fuel temperature diagnosis and prognosis were chosen as a case study to improve the reliability and safety of FW-11. The PHM architecture of fuel temperature had been established. A fuel temperature prediction model was also introduced in this thesis.