En France, deux bases de données d’exposition professionnelle, COLCHIC et SCOLA, coexistent avec des objectifs différents (prévention et réglementation). Leur représentativité par rapport à la population générale est cependant inconnue, et fait l’objet de ce travail. Après avoir effectué une analyse descriptive comparative, l’étude de l’association entre les niveaux d’exposition et les éléments contextuels a été réalisée par modélisation statistique pour chaque agent, séparément pour COLCHIC et SCOLA, puis dans un jeu de données commun. La synthèse à travers les agents s’est faite par Méta analyse. COLCHIC et SCOLA contiennent respectivement 929 700 (670 agents chimiques) et 429 104 données (105). Trois forts prédicteurs « Durée de prélèvement », « Equipement de protection individuelle » et « Année » sont systématiquement associés aux niveaux dans les deux bases et 3 autres sont spécifiques à chacune d’elles. Avec des niveaux deux fois plus élevés dans COLCHIC comparés à SCOLA en 2007, leurs concentrations deviennent comparables entre 2012 et 2015. COLCHIC et SCOLA représentent une source importante d’informations. La prise en compte des descripteurs associés aux mesures et l’utilisation de méthodes prédictives permettront d’en améliorer l’interprétation / Two occupational exposure databases of occupational exposures to chemicals, COLCHIC and SCOLA, coexist in France with different objectives (prevention and compliance). Little is known about their representativeness of exposures in the general population. We explored to what extent COLCHIC and SCOLA adequately reflect occupational exposures in France. After performing a descriptive and comparative analysis, associations between exposure levels and ancillary information were explored for each agent, separately for COLCHIC and SCOLA and in a common dataset, using statistical modelling. Modelling results were synthesized across agents using Meta analysis. COLCHIC and SCOLA contain, respectively, 929 700 (670 chemicals) and 429 104 records (105). Three predictors "Sample Time", "Personal protective equipment" and "Year" are strongly associated with exposure levels across a large majority of chemicals in both databases, and 3 others are specific to each one. Exposure levels are in average twice higher in COLCHIC compared to SCOLA in 2007, but become comparable from 2012-2015. COLCHIC and SCOLA are an important source of information. Inclusion of descriptors associated with exposure levels in our study and the use of predictive methods should help to improve their interpretation.

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Submitted by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2017-05-02T15:17:50Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Mário Fernando de Sousa - 2016.pdf: 645506 bytes, checksum: d6fd190570fce6feeb390cfeaf50032f (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2017-05-02T15:18:06Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Mário Fernando de Sousa - 2016.pdf: 645506 bytes, checksum: d6fd190570fce6feeb390cfeaf50032f (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-05-02T15:18:06Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Mário Fernando de Sousa - 2016.pdf: 645506 bytes, checksum: d6fd190570fce6feeb390cfeaf50032f (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-12-06 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / This work aims to fill a gap in the literature on modeling asymmetric and censored data. The main objective is to provide a contribution by developing two models, which will be presented in two papers, respectively. In the first paper, we develop the tobit-Birnbaum-Saunders model, a variation of the standard tobit model. We discuss estimation based on the maximum likelihood method, residuals, diagnostic techniques and an empirical application. In the second paper, we propose the use of a mixture between the Birnbaum-Saunders and Bernoulli distributions. The objective is to generalize the tobit-Birnbaum-Saunders model in order to consider the possibility of partial observations below a cutoff point. For the mixture model, we carry out a Monte Carlo simulation study and an empirical application. The results show that, in both cases, the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution provides the best results. / Este trabalho visa preencher uma lacuna existente na literatura pertinente à modelagem de dados assimétricos e censurados. O objetivo principal é oferecer uma contribuição via o desenvolvimento de dois modelos, os quais serão apresentados em dois artigos. No primeiro artigo é proposto o modelo tobit-Birnbaum-Saunders, ou seja, uma variação do modelo tobit clássico, com estimação baseada no método de máxima verossimilhança, resíduos, técnicas de diagnóstico e uma aplicação a dados reais. No segundo artigo é abordada a utilização de um modelo de mistura entre as distribuições Birnbaum-Saunders e Bernoulli, de modo a generalizar o modelo tobit-Birnbaum-Saunders e considerar a possibilidade de observações parciais abaixo do ponto de corte. Para o modelo de mistura são realizadas simulações de Monte Carlo e uma aplicação a dados reais. Os resultados mostram que, em ambos os casos, a distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders oferece os melhores resultados.