Being able to predict a merger or acquisition before it takes place could lead to an investor earning a premium, if they owned shares of the targeted firm before the merger or acquisition attempt is announced. On average acquiring firms pay a premium when acquiring or merging with a targeted firm. This study uses publicly available financial information for 7,267 attempted takeover targets and 52,343 non-targeted firms for the period January 3, 2000 through December 31, 2007 to estimate (using logit) predictive models. Financial ratios are constructed based on six hypotheses found in the literature. Although statistical evidence supports a few of the hypotheses, the low predictive power of the models does not indicate the ability to accurately predict targeted firms ahead of time, let alone with any economic significance.

Cross-border acquisitions (CBAs), as organisational entities which are formed and controlled by foreign firms, are one of the most effective methods of expansion available to international firms. Cross-border acquisition is a highly complex and multi-faceted business model which presents several challenges for management. Over the past several years, CBA has become a more frequent target for research in business, and has received significant attention from academia and practitioners alike. The aim of this research is to investigate the factors that impact interorganizational trust and as an outcome, the performance of CBAs in Iraq and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). According Fadol and Sandhu, (2013), Abosag and Lee, (2012), there are few studies that focused on alliances in Middle Eastern countries and more studies on these areas are required. The empirical study is preceded by a review of the existing literature that led to the development of a conceptual framework for this research. The target population samples for this research were collected from four target firm’s employees in Iraq and the UAE, where those firms were identified as having acquired by firms from Western Europe and Asia. The research tool used to collect the necessary data was a survey questionnaire, and the data analysis was undertaken using SPSS and Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). The findings of this study identify that relationship history, inter-firm distance, and integration approach factors have a positive impact on the level of target firm members’ trust; while factors such as collaboration history, complementarity, and autonomy preservation were not found to have a positive and significantly related to the trust. Moreover, Country risk was found to have a negative and significant relationship with the trust. Religion was not found to be positive and significantly related to the trust. Furthermore, positive relationship between trust and performance and between commitment and performance were found. The results of this study offer a framework that identifies the key factors in the development of trust within CBAs and demonstrates that this trust and it’s antecedents have a significant impact on firm performance in Middle Eastern countries such as Iraq and UAE. The findings of this study offer us implications for meaningful managerial practice in selecting cross-border competitors as target firms.

This study explores the influence of employee perception of acquisition success and the dispositional antecedents of positive affect and adaptive coping on employee- organization commitment during the 60-day period following a business acquisition. Allen & Meyer's affective, normative and continuance model of commitment was used for the dependent variables. A single sample was analyzed using a hierarchical regression approach. The survey was conducted with TRW's GIT Division, and included 51 employees who participated in three web- based surveys. The surveys were administered at (a) the change of control date, (b) 30 days, and (c) 60 days after the change of control date. Through a full- model regression, the combined dispositional and demographic variables were found to have a significant impact on the three components of employee- organization commitment. Specifically, the dispositional attribute of positive affect had a statistically significant predictive relationship to affective and normative commitment. Employee perception of acquisition success was found to have limited influence only on affective commitment, and finally, company service was determined to have a small predictive value for continuance commitment. The changing nature of the relationships between the independent variables and the dependents over time led to the conclusion that the employee sample was experiencing several symptoms of merger syndrome during the initial post- acquisition time period. As a single case, the study cannot be considered conclusive, however, the study does provide insights into the changing nature of employee- organization commitment during a specific time of organizational change. Research into additional dispositional antecedents to employee commitment is suggested, as well as further research on employee commitment after the initial 60-day post- acquisition integration period. / Ph. D.

Le premier chapitre de ma thèse est une revue de la littérature générale relative aux fusions-acquisitions bancaires. Le deuxième chapitre propose une analyse empirique des activités de fusions et acquisitions dans le secteur bancaire chinois. J’analyse 14 banques commerciales chinoises entre l'année 1998 et 2007 en utilisant l’indice de Malmquist. Les résultats montrent que la productivité de ces 14 banques commerciales chinoises s’est accrue annuellement de 6,3%. Le troisième chapitre utilise un modèle théorique pour analyser l'effet complexe d'entrée des banques étrangères sur l'activité des banques domestiques. Je modélise trois modes d’entrée de banques étrangères : (1) la création d'une nouvelle filiale, (2) des fusions et acquisitions avec une banque publique et (3) des fusions et acquisitions avec des Joint Stock Banks. Nous constatons que, lorsque l'entrée de banques étrangères se fait par la création d'une nouvelle filiale, les effets positifs dominent les effets négatifs quand la banque étrangère a un assez bon accès aux marchés monétaires internationaux. Sur la base de l’utilisation de la base de données « Thomson One », le quatrième chapitre de thèse est consacré à une l'analyse empirique (une analyse de régression) pour de 6 pays asiatiques pour la période 1998-2011. Nos résultats indiquent que l'entrée des banques étrangères est associée à une augmentation de la rentabilité des banques domestiques. Nous avons constaté que les fusions-acquisitions entre des banques domestiques et étrangères ont un effet positif sur la rentabilité des banques domestiques, en particulier pour les activités nécessitant le moins d’expertise. / The first chapter of my thesis is the general literature review of mergers and acquisitions in the banking industry. The second chapter provides an empirical analysis founded on the Malmquist total factor productivity change. I analyze China's 14 commercial banks from year 1998 to year 2007 by making use of Malmquist total factor productivity index. The results show that these 14 Chinese commercial banks experienced average of 6.3% annual productivity growth rate. The third chapter of my thesis is a theoretical model about impact of the entry of foreign banks for domestic banking industry. I select three entry modes: the creation of a new subsidiary, the M&A activity with a State Owned Bank and the M\&A activity with Joint Stock Banks. The model considered the conditions under which domestic bank shareholders increase their profits after an entry mode corresponding to cases (2) and (3). The fourth chapter of my thesis is based on the theoretical model of chapter 3, I conduct an empirical analysis. This chapter is concerned mainly the foreign bank entry effect in developing Asian economies. Using a data set of 86 banks from 6 Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Philippines and Thailand) for the 1998-2011 period, this chapter examines the effect of foreign banks M&As activities in domestic banking industry. Our results indicate that foreign bank entry is associated with an increase in domestic banks' profitability and the level of foreign bank penetration is more important than whether foreign bank conducted M&A activities with domestic banks.

I denna uppsats har aktiekursutveckling undersökts med utgångspunkt hur aktiekurserna påverkas vid kungörelse av företagsförvärv. En eventstudiemetod, med en marknadsmodell-estimering, har använts för att se hur anormal aktiekursutvecklingen har varit kring kungörelsen av förvärven. Aktiekursdatat är tagit från Stockholmsbörsen, där svenska köpande företags aktiekurser använts. Utöver den övergripande aktiekursutvecklingen undersöks om utvecklingen påverkas vid val av betalningsmetod, samt om det finns någon påverkan vid gränsöverskridande kontra inhemska förvärv. För de 100 förvärven som inkluderades i urvalet, påvisar resultaten att förvärven är mervärdeförstörande i snitt. Resultaten var även att förvärv där aktier används som betalningsmetod hade en mer positiv aktieutveckling än då kontanter användes. Gällande gränsöverskridande kontra inhemska förvärv, visade gränsöverskridande förvärv generellt en högre aktieavkastning. / This paper examines the stock development when an acquisition is announced between two listed companies. The paper will rely on the event study methodology and a market model for the estimation of the abnormal returns on the stock market as a result of the announcement of the acquisitions. Source of the data is the Stockholm Stock Exchange, the bidding companies in question are all Swedish. In addition to the overall performance of the stock market, the paper will cover if method of payment and if cross-border acquisitions influences the market reactions. For the 100 acquisitions which have been included in the population, the results show that the acquisitions are in fact value reducing. Furthermore, the results show when stock is used to finance the acquisitions, the announcement has a more positive impact on the stock development in contrast to when cash is used. Regarding cross-border versus domestic acquisitions, cross-border acquisitions have a more positive impact on stock development.

Le premier chapitre montre que le risque de refinancement a un impact sur la performance du marché d’un produit. J'estime que les entreprises ayant une fraction importante de dette à court terme (à savoir, une dette arrivant à échéance dans les trois ans) affichent une croissance nettement plus faible de leurs ventes et de leur part de marché.Le deuxième chapitre étudie comment les fusions et acquisitions horizontales affectent l'évaluation des marchés boursiers. Les annonces de fusions et acquisitions horizontales induisent une revalorisation moyenne défavorable de l'industrie dans un large échantillon d'opérations de fusion et d'acquisition publiques et privées. La réévaluation moyenne des concurrents est un facteur prédictif important des rendements futurs de l’industrie. La réévaluation des concurrents dépend également du statut public de la cible (positif lorsque la cible est publique et négative lorsque la cible est privée) et varie systématiquement avec des indicateurs de la mauvaise évaluation globale du marché. Nos constatations concordent avec l’idée selon laquelle les investisseurs incorporent de nouvelles informations sur les erreurs d’évaluation à l’échelle de l’industrie dans l’évaluation des entreprises non fusionnées.Le troisième chapitre étudie comment les lois du travail affectent la politique de paiement. Ce document montre que le pouvoir de négociation de la main-d’œuvre influe à la fois sur les décisions relatives à la structure du capital et sur les paiements. J'estime que l'adoption de la loi sur les congés abusifs entraîne une augmentation des dividendes par action, du rendement des dividendes et du ratio de distribution des dividendes, alors que l'effet de levier comptable diminue. / The first chapter studies how refinancing risk impacts product market performance. I find that firms with a large fraction of short-term debt (i.e., debt maturing within three years) exhibit significantly lower growth in sales and market share.The second chapter asks how horizontal M&As affect peer stock market evaluation. Horizontal M&A announcements induce negative average industry peer revaluations in a large sample of public and private M&A transactions. The average peers’ revaluation is a strong predictor of future industry returns. The revaluation of peers also depends on the public status of the target (positive when the target is public and negative when the target is private) and varies systematically with proxies for overall market misvaluation. Our findings are consistent with the idea that investors incorporate new information about industry-wide misvaluation into the valuation of non-merging firms.The third chapter studies how labor laws affect payout policy. This paper shows that labor bargaining power affects both capital structure decisions and payout policy. I find that the adoption of the wrongful discharge law leads to an increase in dividends per share, dividend yield, and the dividend payout ratio whereas book leverage decreases.

<p>Scientific problem: In order to maintain a competitive position in the market, companies need to create an environment of sustained development. Growing companies basically have two choices: expand internally, known as organic growth, or expand externally by a merger or acquisition (M&A). It is widely known that in almost all acquisitions the price paid by the acquiring firm tends to be much higher than the market value of the target firm before the bid, this is called an acquisition premium. There are different ways of financing an acquisition, for example with cash or stock. Previous research within this topic have concluded the M&As follow the market, as well as premiums. Therefore, an assumption made by the authors is that when there is a boom in the market, the stock exchange quota-tion takes a certain movement and the number of acquisitions that are made increases, as well as the premiums paid, and further to check if the means of payment changes whether there is a bull or bear market.</p><p>Purpose: “The general aim of this thesis is to examine acquisitions on the Swedish market in order to estimate the relation between the OMXS index and the number of acquisition bids, the acquisitions pre-mium and the means of payment.”</p><p>Method: To investigate whether a relation between the OMXS and the amount of take-over bids, simple regression analyses was the preferred model, having the bids as being de-pendent upon market performance of the OMXS index. This way, any significant lag ef-fect, the time it takes for a bidder to present a bid offer, could be recognized and used as a benchmark. This model was carried on to the remaining questions as well; whether premi-ums are affected by the stock market, and which way the acquisitions was financed, cash or stock. The time period selected for data collection was 1994 to 2004, allowing the authors a wide enough time-span to interpret at least one bull, and one bear market. The model will be based upon secondary data of market quotes and a quantitative approach will be util-ized.</p><p>Results: The authors claim that a relation between the number of acquisition bids and market movement does exist. This evidence shows that an important decision as the one of deciding whether or not to merge or acquire another firm, might not be as rational as tho-ught. Instead, it is influenced on the environment around it, with the OMXS index as one of them. When it comes to the two remaining questions, if premiums and means of pay-ment are affected by the OMXS index, the obtained answers do not provide a positive rela-tion. And thus, this thesis cannot support earlier studies that state that a relation is present.</p>

Zugl.: Dortmund, Techn. Univ., Diss., 2009

Scientific problem: In order to maintain a competitive position in the market, companies need to create an environment of sustained development. Growing companies basically have two choices: expand internally, known as organic growth, or expand externally by a merger or acquisition (M&amp;A). It is widely known that in almost all acquisitions the price paid by the acquiring firm tends to be much higher than the market value of the target firm before the bid, this is called an acquisition premium. There are different ways of financing an acquisition, for example with cash or stock. Previous research within this topic have concluded the M&amp;As follow the market, as well as premiums. Therefore, an assumption made by the authors is that when there is a boom in the market, the stock exchange quota-tion takes a certain movement and the number of acquisitions that are made increases, as well as the premiums paid, and further to check if the means of payment changes whether there is a bull or bear market. Purpose: “The general aim of this thesis is to examine acquisitions on the Swedish market in order to estimate the relation between the OMXS index and the number of acquisition bids, the acquisitions pre-mium and the means of payment.” Method: To investigate whether a relation between the OMXS and the amount of take-over bids, simple regression analyses was the preferred model, having the bids as being de-pendent upon market performance of the OMXS index. This way, any significant lag ef-fect, the time it takes for a bidder to present a bid offer, could be recognized and used as a benchmark. This model was carried on to the remaining questions as well; whether premi-ums are affected by the stock market, and which way the acquisitions was financed, cash or stock. The time period selected for data collection was 1994 to 2004, allowing the authors a wide enough time-span to interpret at least one bull, and one bear market. The model will be based upon secondary data of market quotes and a quantitative approach will be util-ized. Results: The authors claim that a relation between the number of acquisition bids and market movement does exist. This evidence shows that an important decision as the one of deciding whether or not to merge or acquire another firm, might not be as rational as tho-ught. Instead, it is influenced on the environment around it, with the OMXS index as one of them. When it comes to the two remaining questions, if premiums and means of pay-ment are affected by the OMXS index, the obtained answers do not provide a positive rela-tion. And thus, this thesis cannot support earlier studies that state that a relation is present.

The school library resource centre and the collection of trade books that classroom teachers gather in their classrooms were the focus of an exploratory, descriptive study designed around the first stages of an action research model. Little research had been done on how effective classroom teachers have been at acquiring trade books for their classroom collections, and on how teacher-librarians, working in partially or fully integrated school library resource centre programs, helped make trade books accessible to elementary teachers and students. One instrument, The Survey of Elementary Classroom Collections. was designed to examine four descriptive areas: the contents and size of classroom collections, the source of trade books for these collection, the organization and management of classroom collections, and the use classroom teachers make of these trade books. The 205 elementary English language classroom teachers in one school district were sent a Survey and 80% responded. The series of interviews that followed were conducted with a stratified random sample of 30 classroom teachers, nine principals and seven teacher-librarians. The stratification was organized by Phases 1, 2 or 3 of school library program development, which were determined by the score on a second instrument. The Profile of School Library Resource Centre Programs. and from information on staffing, resources and teacher-librarian experience. Results were analyzed under the four areas explored in the Survey, by grade level and by Phase. A detailed description of the classroom collections led to the development of the Independent, Interactive and Integrated models for classroom collections. Each reflected a different concept of the classroom collection, its role in the literacy program and its relationship with the school library resource centre program. Indications were that a collaborative approach to trade book provisioning emerged in schools where the school library resource centre program was more fully integrated into the school curriculum. Details on a school-based/district-wide strategy to build a collaborative approach were given, as well as suggestions for a plan of action for individual schools and for further research to explore questions raised by this study.