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MARGINAL LIKELIHOOD INFERENCE FOR FRAILTY AND MIXTURE CURE FRAILTY MODELS UNDER BIRNBAUM-SAUNDERS AND GENERALIZED BIRNBAUM-SAUNDERS DISTRIBUTIONSLiu, Kai January 2018 (has links)
Survival analytic methods help to analyze lifetime data arising from medical and reliability experiments. The popular proportional hazards model, proposed by Cox (1972), is widely used in survival analysis to study the effect of risk factors on lifetimes. An important assumption in regression type analysis is that all relative risk factors should be included in the model. However, not all relative risk factors are observed due to measurement difficulty, inaccessibility, cost considerations, and so on. These unobservable risk factors can be modelled by the so-called frailty model, originally introduced by Vaupel et al. (1979). Furthermore, the frailty model is also applicable to clustered data. Cluster data possesses the feature that observations within the same cluster share similar conditions and environment, which are sometimes difficult to observe. For example, patients from the same family share similar genetics, and patients treated in the same hospital share the same group of profes- sionals and same environmental conditions. These factors are indeed hard to quantify or measure. In addition, this type of similarity introduces correlation among subjects within clusters. In this thesis, a semi-parametric frailty model is proposed to address aforementioned issues. The baseline hazards function is approximated by a piecewise constant function and the frailty distribution is assumed to be a Birnbaum-Saunders distribution.
Due to the advancement in modern medical sciences, many diseases are curable, which in turn leads to the need of incorporating cure proportion in the survival model. The frailty model discussed here is further extended to a mixture cure rate frailty model by integrating the frailty model into the mixture cure rate model proposed originally by Boag (1949) and Berkson and Gage (1952). By linking the covariates to the cure proportion through logistic/logit link function and linking observable covariates and unobservable covariates to the lifetime of the uncured population through the frailty model, we obtain a flexible model to study the effect of risk factors on lifetimes. The mixture cure frailty model can be reduced to a mixture cure model if the effect of frailty term is negligible (i.e., the variance of the frailty distribution is close to 0). On the other hand, it also reduces to the usual frailty model if the cure proportion is 0. Therefore, we can use a likelihood ratio test to test whether the reduced model is adequate to model the given data. We assume the baseline hazard to be that of Weibull distribution since Weibull distribution possesses increasing, constant or decreasing hazard rate, and the frailty distribution to be Birnbaum-Saunders distribution.
D ́ıaz-Garc ́ıa and Leiva-Sa ́nchez (2005) proposed a new family of life distributions, called generalized Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, including Birnbaum-Saunders distribution as a special case. It allows for various degrees of kurtosis and skewness, and also permits unimodality as well as bimodality. Therefore, integration of a generalized Birnbaum-Saunders distribution as the frailty distribution in the mixture cure frailty model results in a very flexible model. For this general model, parameter estimation is carried out using a marginal likelihood approach. One of the difficulties in the parameter estimation is that the likelihood function is intractable. The current technology in computation enables us to develop a numerical method through Monte Carlo simulation, and in this approach, the likelihood function is approximated by the Monte Carlo method and the maximum likelihood estimates and standard errors of the model parameters are then obtained numerically by maximizing this approximate likelihood function. An EM algorithm is also developed for the Birnbaum-Saunders mixture cure frailty model. The performance of this estimation method is then assessed by simulation studies for each proposed model. Model discriminations is also performed between the Birnbaum-Saunders frailty model and the generalized Birnbaum-Saunders mixture cure frailty model. Some illustrative real life examples are presented to illustrate the models and inferential methods developed here. / Thesis / Doctor of Science (PhD)
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Sur les familles des lois de fonction de hasard unimodale : applications en fiabilité et analyse de survieSaaidia, Noureddine 24 June 2013 (has links)
En fiabilité et en analyse de survie, les distributions qui ont une fonction de hasard unimodale ne sont pas nombreuses, qu'on peut citer: Gaussienne inverse ,log-normale, log-logistique, de Birnbaum-Saunders, de Weibull exponentielle et de Weibullgénéralisée. Dans cette thèse, nous développons les tests modifiés du Chi-deux pour ces distributions tout en comparant la distribution Gaussienne inverse avec les autres. Ensuite nousconstruisons le modèle AFT basé sur la distribution Gaussienne inverse et les systèmes redondants basés sur les distributions de fonction de hasard unimodale. / In reliability and survival analysis, distributions that have a unimodalor $\cap-$shape hazard rate function are not too many, they include: the inverse Gaussian,log-normal, log-logistic, Birnbaum-Saunders, exponential Weibull and power generalized Weibulldistributions. In this thesis, we develop the modified Chi-squared tests for these distributions,and we give a comparative study between the inverse Gaussian distribution and the otherdistributions, then we realize simulations. We also construct the AFT model based on the inverseGaussian distribution and redundant systems based on distributions having a unimodal hazard ratefunction.
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Prostor barokní architektury v pojetí české kritiky ve 20. století / Baroque Architectural Space in the Conception of Czech Criticism in the 20th CenturyKoryntová, Eliška January 2015 (has links)
(in English) This thesis is a summary of opinions coming from 20th century Czech art historians which wrote about baroque architectural space. Based on reading texts from them I have chosen three cardinal themes characterizing the research of baroque architectural space: tendencies to emancipate architectural space, emphasis on the time based experience of architectural space and interest in luminary qualities of architectural space. In the chapter about time based experience of architectural space I am dealing with the illusion of movement that creates baroque architectural space, with the parallel between baroque architecture and baroque musical compositions and with the principles of designing the so called "moving space" by using illusionary splines. I find a tendency to describe baroque architectural space in a poetical way by Czech art historians due to the process of perceiving architecture happening through the interaction of the human body arrangement. I am focused on philosophy of Martin Heidegger and Hans Georg Gadamer where the support of metaphoric description of baroque architectural space can be found. In the final part of this thesis I write about the symbolic qualities of sacral baroque architectural space. I consider the spatial relationship "above" and "down" as an interpretation...
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