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Assessing estimators of feral goat (Capra hircus) abundanceTracey, John Paul, n/a January 2004 (has links)
(1) Reliable measures of population abundance are essential for managing wildlife
effectively. Aerial surveys provide a rapid and efficient means of surveying large mammals
and many techniques have been developed to adjust for the inability to count all animals
within transects. The probability of detection varies according to a range of factors which
are important to consider when estimating density. Standardised survey methods developed
in flat country are not readily transferable to steep terrain due to safety, access and
difficulties delineating transect widths. Other methods have logistic constraints and must
adhere to various other assumptions.
(2) Density estimators are seldom examined using actual population size, hence their
ability to correct for true bias is unknown. Studies that compare techniques are difficult to
interpret because of the uncertainty of adherence to their respective assumptions. Factors
influencing detection probability, estimators that correct for bias, the validity of their
assumptions and how these relate to true density are important considerations for selecting
suitable methods. The aim of this study was to obtain accurate and reliable methods for
estimating the density of feral goats by improving predictions of detection probability,
investigating the assumptions of aerial surveys, and examining the accuracy of 15 density
estimators by comparing with total counts of feral goats.
(3) Group size, vegetation and observer were the most important factors influencing the
probability of observing a group of goats during aerial surveys. However, different
approaches to analysing these data influenced the significance of variables and the
predicted probabilities. Goat colour, type of helicopter, site and rear observer experience in
hours were also found to be significant (P<0.05) when using likelihood equations based on
all animals in the population rather than only those in the sample. The slope of the terrain
was also shown to significantly (P=0.014) affect the probability of detection.
(4) Indices are commonly used in wildlife management for their simplicity and
practicality, but their validity has been questioned because of variable probability of
detection. Results of this study suggest aerial survey indices are useful in monitoring a
range of medium-sized mammal species across space and time if differences in detection
probability between species, group size, vegetation and observer are considered and their
effects are standardised.
(5) An assumption of most sampling regimes that is fundamental but rarely examined is
that animals are not counted more than once. In this study the behavioural responses of
feral goats to helicopters were investigated as a basis for estimating the probability that
goats were recounted. No long-term consequences were evident in feral goat behaviour of
responses to helicopters. However, helicopter surveys were found to alter the structure of
42% of groups observed, with 28% of groups merging with others and 14% splitting into
separate groups. Therefore, group size estimated from the air should not be considered as
biologically important, and when estimating density, researchers should also avoid using
group sizes determined from independent ground observations to correct group sizes
determined from aerial surveys. Goats were also more likely to flush further when
helicopters were within 150 m, which is close to or within standard helicopter strip widths.
Substantial movement occurred between transects and 21% of goats were estimated to be
available for recounting in adjacent transects.
(6) Different detection probabilities between groups of goats may be particularly
relevant when using double-counting, where multiple observers are �capturing� and
�recapturing� animals in the same instant. Many analyses test and adjust for this �unequal
catchability� assumption in different ways, with the approaches of Huggins and Alho
allowing prediction of unique probability values for a range of co-variates. The approach of
Chao attempts to correct for skewed distributions in small samples. The Horvitz-Thompson
approach provides a useful basis for estimating abundance (or density) when detection
probability can be estimated and is known to vary between observations according to a
range of independent variables, and also avoids errors associated with averaging group size.
(7) After correcting for recounting, the Alho estimator applied to helicopter surveys
was the most accurate (Bias = 0.02) and reliable of all techniques, which suggests that
estimates were improved by taking into account unconditional detection probability and
correcting individual observations according to their characteristics. The positive bias
evident in the Chao (Bias = 0.28) and Petersen (Bias = 0.15) aerial survey estimators may
have been a result of averaging detection probability across all observations. The
inconsistency and inaccuracy of the ground-based area-count technique emphasises the
importance of other assumptions in density estimation, such as representative sampling and
availability bias. The accuracy of index-manipulation-index techniques was dependent on
the indices used. Capture-recapture estimates using mustering showed slight negative bias
(Bias = -0.08), which was likely a result of increased probability of re-capture (i.e. trap
happy). Ground-based capture-resight estimates were labour intensive and positively biased
(Bias = 0.13), likely due to underestimating the area sampled, or overestimating the number
of unmarked individuals with each sample.
(8) Helicopter survey using double-counting is recommended for estimating the density
of feral goats in steep terrain. However, consideration of recounting under intensive
sampling regimes and adjustments for the factors that influence unconditional detection
probability is required.
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趙爾豐經營川邊之研究(1905~1911) / Studies on Chao erh-feng administered Chuan-pein (1905∼1911)盧雪燕, Lu, Sheue Yane Unknown Date (has links)
川邊,乃四川之邊,其含義可分狹義與廣義兩種,狹義的川邊指的是寧靜山以東至四川邊界,而廣義的川邊指的則包含藏人所稱的「康」部,即丹達山以東至四川邊界皆可稱為川邊。
由於川邊的地理位置,使得川邊成為內地中央朝廷經營西藏的重要中間地帶,又由於境內山高水深、地形複雜,致使內地中央朝廷不得不以土司制度加以遙制。十八世紀以後,西方勢力不斷滲入中國,川邊土司制度變得非常不合時宜,改變川邊體制,將其納入中央政府直接管轄,成為當務之急。光緒三十一年(1905),駐藏幫辦大臣鳳全於入藏途中被殺,在此背景之下,趙爾豐被委以勘亂任務,率兵進駐川邊,自此展開其為期七年的積烈改革。
本論文除前言與結語外,計分四章十二節敘述。前言部份敘述研究動機、研究範圍、研究限制、研究方法及檔案介紹。第一章從川邊的歷史及地理說起,分為兩節,說明川邊的自然環境、社會民情,並以內地中央王朝的更迭為時代分際,說明歷代的川邊歷史並兼述與內地的關係。第二章為川邊特別行政區的設置,分為三節,第一節敘述川邊特別行政區設置的背景,第二節討論川邊特別行政區設置的近因~巴塘事件,第三節說明趙爾豐與川滇邊務大臣的設置。第三章為趙爾豐與川邊土司改土歸流,本章依趙爾豐改土歸流的順序分成四節,第一節﹕康南地區的改土歸流(1905~1907)﹔第二節﹕康北地區的改土歸流(1908~1909)﹔第三節﹕金沙江西岸的改土歸流(1909~1910)﹔第四節﹕康東地區的改土歸流(1911~)。第四章討論趙爾豐對川邊的建設,計分三節,第一節說明趙爾豐的政治改革,底下細分為地方行政的改革、對土司、寺廟的限制及其他三個單元。節二節討論趙爾豐的經濟建設,並分成財務、墾務、礦業、手工業、商務、交通等單元。第三節說明趙爾豐的社會改革,分成教育、醫藥衛生、風俗習慣等個三單元。
趙爾豐七年的川邊經營,對長期處於閉塞的川邊地區而言,產生極大的衝擊,其保護國家領土完整的初衷順利達成,而對於川邊的經濟、社會所產生的影響則直至現代。
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A Study of Liang Qi-Chao¡¦s Economic ThoughtsChow, Meei-ya 01 August 2005 (has links)
none
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Chao Y"uan and late Y"uan-early Ming paintingSensabaugh, David Ake. January 1990 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Princeton University, 1990. / Photocopy does not include plates. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 349-376).
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Oath of the golden casket: the role of Chao P'u in the imperial succession of the early SungTen Harmsel, Wayne Alan January 1980 (has links)
No description available.
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DEVELOPMENT OF BIAS CORRECTION METHOD FOR GCM RUNOFF DATA AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE UPPER CHAO PHRAYA RIVER BASIN IN THAILAND / GCM流出発生量データに対するバイアス補正手法の開発とそのタイ国チャオプラヤ川上流域への適用Teerawat, Ram-Indra 23 March 2021 (has links)
京都大学 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第23165号 / 工博第4809号 / 新制||工||1752(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院工学研究科社会基盤工学専攻 / (主査)教授 立川 康人, 准教授 市川 温, 教授 田中 茂信 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DGAM
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Development and applications of a distributed hydrological model for water resources assessment at the Chao Phraya River Basin under a changing climate / チャオプラヤ川流域を対象とした分布型水文モデルの開発と気候変動下での水資源評価への適用Supattana Wichakul 24 September 2014 (has links)
京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第18555号 / 工博第3916号 / 新制||工||1602(附属図書館) / 31455 / 京都大学大学院工学研究科社会基盤工学専攻 / (主査)教授 立川 康人, 教授 戸田 圭一, 准教授 KIM Sunmin / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DFAM
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Fortalecimiento del capital social a partir del emprendimiento agrícola basado en la tecnificación de cultivos y comercialización nacional e internacional de sus productos, en el C.P.M. Tanguche, Distrito de Chao, Provincia de Virú, Departamento de la LibertadOrdoñez Costa, Fiorella Lisseth 28 November 2019 (has links)
La experiencia de desarrollo local expresado en el fortalecimiento del capital social
a partir del emprendimiento agrícola en el C.P.M. Tanguche, Distrito de Chao,
Provincia de Virú, Región La Libertad, se torna de interés de estudio dado que es
una nueva experiencia de emprendimiento, si bien es cierto La Región La Libertad
se constituye como uno de las regiones con mayor producción agrícola, también es
una de las regiones que poseen índices de pobreza significativos, en sus tres
regiones costa, sierra y selva.
La experiencia la conforman 130 agricultores vinculados al emprendimiento agrícola
a través de una Asociación, de las 172 familias que habitan el CP.M. Tanguche. La
investigación por un lado será de tipo descriptiva y favorecerá la comprensión del
proceso de gestación, implementación, hitos, logros y cambios que son centrales en
la experiencia. Por otro lado, el estudio será de tipo cualitativo; y se ha considerado
el estudio bajo cuatro dimensiones, la primera que es la reconstrucción histórica, la
segunda que aborda el emprendimiento agrícola, la tercera que refiere el
fortalecimiento del capital social y una última resultante del trabajo de campo
orientada a la formalización.
El interés de estudiar los procesos de este emprendimiento radica en que la
experiencia proviene de la misma población voluntariamente organizada en razón
a potenciar su actividad principal haciendo uso de sus propios recursos (naturales,
económicos, humanos, etc), a lo que se suma el involucramiento privado y en
menor proporción la participación pública.Los logros claros a la fecha es el pase de
una agricultura de subsistencia a una agricultura de desarrollo poblacional que
consolida un sistema de redes expreso directamente en la comercialización no sólo
al interior sino también al exterior del país. También la experiencia ha permitido
monitorear con mayor énfasis la salud de los agricultores, así como al cuidado del
medio ambiente principalmente el suelo y el agua, y la formación e identificación de
líderes quienes a través de la asociación no sólo perfilan ideas para la agricultura
sino también para el desarrollo de otras aspectos comunitarios, entre otros.
Así la investigación se ha orientado al estudio y la promoción del desarrollo
económico local y el desarrollo territorial, donde la unidad de actuación es el
territorio y no la empresa, y en algún caso ambos actuando bajo un sistema de
redes que favorezca el desarrollo en sus dimensiones económico, humano, socioinstitucional,
político y ambiental, es decir un desarrollo integrado, y es que los
desafíos de la gerencia social está en responder a las demandas sociales inmersas
en un mundo globalizado, para reducir las brechas de desigualdad y de pobreza. / The experience of local development expressed in the strengthening of social
capital from agricultural entrepreneurship in the C.P.M. Tanguche, Chao District,
Virú Province, La Libertad Region, becomes a study interest given that it is a new
entrepreneurial experience, although it is true La Libertad Region is one of the
regions with the highest agricultural production, It is one of the regions that have
significant poverty rates, in its three coastal regions, mountains and jungle.
The experience is made up of 130 farmers linked to agricultural entrepreneurship
through an Association, of the 172 families that inhabit the CP.M. Tanguche. The
research on the one hand will be descriptive and will promote the understanding of
the process of gestation, implementation, milestones, achievements and changes
that are central to the experience. On the other hand, the study will be qualitative;
and the study has been considered under four dimensions, the first one being the
historical reconstruction, the second one that approaches the agricultural
entrepreneurship, the third one that refers the strengthening of the social capital and
the last one resulting from the field work oriented to the formalization.
The interest of studying the processes of this venture lies in the fact that the
experience comes from the same population voluntarily organized in order to
enhance its main activity by making use of its own resources (natural, economic,
human, etc.), to which is added the private involvement and to a lesser extent public
participation. The clear achievements to date are the shift from a subsistence
agriculture to a population development agriculture that consolidates a system of
networks directly expressed in marketing not only to the interior but also to the
exterior of the country. Also the experience has allowed to monitor with greater
emphasis the health of the farmers, as well as the care of the environment mainly
the soil and the water, and the formation and identification of leaders who through
the association not only outline ideas for agriculture but also for the development of
other community aspects, among others.
Thus, research has focused on the study and promotion of local economic
development and territorial development, where the unit of action is the territory and
not the company, and in some cases both acting under a network system that favors
development in its economic, human, socio-institutional, political and environmental
dimensions, that is, an integrated development, and that is the challenges of social
management is to respond to social demands immersed in a globalized world, to
reduce the gaps of inequality and poverty . / Tesis
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Impacts of Future Climate Change in Water Resources Management at the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand / タイ国チャオプラヤ川流域の水資源管理に及ぼす気候変動の影響Luksanaree, Maneechot 23 September 2020 (has links)
京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第22760号 / 工博第4759号 / 新制||工||1744(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院工学研究科都市環境工学専攻 / (主査)教授 清水 芳久, 教授 田中 宏明, 教授 米田 稔 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DFAM
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Problém optimalizácie trás s maximalizáciou úžitku / The team orienteering problem with utility maximisationChocholáček, Ján January 2014 (has links)
The orienteering problem is one of the newer problems in the field of discrete programming. The formulation of this problem originates from a sport discipline, called orienteering. In the beginning of this thesis a formulation and mathematical model for this problem are introduced. The extension of the problem is the team orienteering problem, described in the next chapters of theoretical part. Many heuristics were published for this problem. While the heuristic of Chao et al. and a path relinking approach are described in detail in this thesis. Practical part deals with the team orienteering problem applied to a real task, specifically a visiting of 23 attractions in the New York in different number of days. The solution is found by optimization program Lingo 90 and by heuristic of Chao el al. Heuristic algorithm was implemented in programming language Visual Basic for Application. A comparison of the results is described at the end of the practical part.
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