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There have been several techniques developed in recent years to develop computer models of a variety of disease behaviors. Agent-based modeling is a discrete-based modeling approach used agents to represent individual cells that mechanically interact and secrete, consume or react to soluble products. It has become a powerful modeling approach, widely used by computational researchers. In this research, we utilized agent-based modeling to study and explore disease development, particularly in two applications, breast cancer and bioengineering experiments. We further proposed an error-minimization search approach and used it to estimate cellular parameters from multicellular in vitro data. In this dissertation, in the first study, we developed a 2D agent-based model that attempted to emulate the in vivo structure of breast cancer. The model was applied to describe the progression from DCIS into DCI. This model confirms that the interaction between tumor cells and the surrounding stroma in the duct plays a critical role in tumor growth and metastasis. This interaction depends on many mechanical and chemical factors that work with each other to produce tumor invasion of the surrounding tissue. In the second study, an in silico model was developed and applied to understanding the underlying mechanism of vascular-endothelial growth factor (VEGF) auto-regulation in REP and emulate the in vitro experiments as part of bioengineering research. This model may provide a system with robust predictive modeling and visualization that could enable discovery of the molecular mechanisms involved in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) progression and provide routers to the development of effective treatments. In the third and final study, a searching approach was applied to estimate cellular parameters from spatiotemporal data produced from bioengineered multicellular in vitro experiments. We applied a search method to an integrated cellular and multicellular model of retinal pigment epithelial cells to estimate the auto-regulation parameters of VEGF.

Variable mortality of Pyrenophora semeniperda--infected Bromus tectorum seeds has been referred to as a "race for survival", stating that seeds that germinate quickly are more likely to escape pathogen-caused mortality. Dormancy status is not the only variable determining outcomes within the Bromus-Pyrenophora pathosystem. Varying temperature and exposure to water may strongly influence germination outcomes of B. tectorum when in the presence of P. semeniperda. Low water potentials characteristic of semi-arid soils are often over-looked in the context of seed pathogens, and are ecologically relevant- especially for plant species that inhabit intermittently dry environments. To adequately characterize the Bromus tectorum-Pyrenophora semeniperda pathosystem, four studies were conducted to address the following questions: (1) do temperature, water potential, and dormancy status influence germination outcomes in the Bromus-Pyrenophora pathosystem, (2) do repeated wetting-drying scenarios influence germination outcomes of infected B. tectorum seeds following dehydration at low water potentials similar to those found in the field (i.e., -4 through -150 MPa), (3) can we accurately characterize the asexual life cycle of P. semeniperda on a dormant B. tectorum seed, determining when infection takes place, and what occurs during disease development in continuously hydrated conditions, and (4) how does disease development of P. semeniperda influence the B. tectorum seed embryo and endosperm. All studies were conducted using dormant and/or non-dormant B. tectorum seeds and an intermediate strain of P. semeniperda. Study one used varying temperatures (5-20°C), and five water potentials (0, -0.5, -1, -1.5, -2 MPa) (achieved using PEG 8000). Inoculated seeds were exposed to low water potentials at various temperatures for 7, 14, 21, or 28 days then re-hydrated for 28 days. In the second study, seeds were incubated at 20°C at four nominal water potentials (-4, -10, -40, or -150 MPa) following 8 or 24 hours of initial hydration. Seeds were dehydrated for 1, 7, 14, or 21 days, then re-hydrated. In study three, inoculated seeds were chemically fixed between days 0 and 21 and viewed with a scanning electron microscope. In the fourth study, infected seeds were frozen with liquid nitrogen following 3, 8, and 14 days of disease development, then cross sectioned longitudinally and laterally prior to chemical fixation. Results indicate that non-dormant seeds escape death by germinating rapidly under favorable conditions, that incubation at low water potentials greatly increases seed mortality, that -10 MPa is near the threshold for full pathogen activity, and at water potentials lower than -40 MPa, P. semeniperda may successfully survive severe dehydration if previous hydration resulting in infection has occurred. SEM images indicate that mycelia penetration occurs within 8-24 hours, and that mycelium may penetrate all opening in the seed (i.e., stomata, cracks). Development of P. semeniperda is shown to cause significant damage to the endosperm and embryo within 8 days. As starch is consumed, the endosperm collapses leaving a hollow middle. The embryo is more resilient, but gradually deforms and deteriorates.

Variable mortality of Pyrenophora semeniperda–infected Bromus tectorum seeds has been referred to as a “race for survival.” Dormant seeds are highly susceptible to P. semeniperda infection. While much is known about primary dormancy little is known about secondary dormancy in B. tectorum seeds. Dormancy status is not the only variable determining outcomes within the Bromus - Pyrenophora pathosystem. Varying temperature and intermittent hydration may strongly influence germination outcomes of B. tectorum in the presence of P. semeniperda. While it has long been assumed that B. tectorum seeds are infected by P. semeniperda in the fall it was recently suggested that seeds may be infected in the summer; however, there is little evidence to support this. To further characterize the Pyrenophora semeniperda - Bromus tectorum pathosystem two studies were conducted to address the following: (1) characterization of secondary dormancy in B. tectorum seeds and (2) summer interactions between host and pathogen after summer inoculation. Studies were conducted using dormant and/or non-dormant B. tectorum (along with B. rubens in one study) seeds and two strains of P. semeniperda. Study one used laboratory and field experiments to characterize secondary dormancy in B. tectorum seeds in terms of temperature (0.5-20°C), and water potential (-2.0-0 MPa). Data was used in repeated probit regression analysis to determine hydrothermal parameters (ψb(50), σψb, θHT) for secondary dormancy induction and loss. In the second study seeds were inoculated with one of two strains of P. semeniperda then exposed to intermittent hydration or dry storage at warm temperatures (30-60°C). After treatment seeds were rehydrated and outcomes observed. Optimum conditions for secondary dormancy induction were incubation at -1.0 MPa at 5°C. Seeds were likely to enter secondary dormancy through the cold winter months indicated by an increase or more positive ψb(50), while a decrease or more negative ψb(50) is associated with dormancy loss which is generally observed in the hot, dry summer months. When seeds were inoculated in the summer they only escaped death when summer conditions were ideal for after-ripening which allowed them to germinate rapidly under favorable autumn conditions. However, the pathogen caused high seed mortality no matter the treatment when disease progression advanced enough to inhibit seed germination. Thus this research shows that in areas with frequent summer rain storms, it would be highly advantageous to apply P. semeniperda as a biocontrol on seeds at maturity.

Objective: Prospective study designs ideally allow patients to be followed from the first manifestations of the illness or even from an at-risk stage. It can thus provide data on the predictive value of changes in clinical symptomatology, cognition or further biological markers to broaden our understanding of the etiopathology and symptomatic trajectory of bipolar disorders. The scope of this narrative review is to summarize evidence from prospectively collected data on psychopathological and other clinical and biological changes in the early developmental course of bipolar disorders. Methods: The narrative review was based on a literature search conducted in February 2016 within the PubMed library for prospective study data of persons in antecedent and early manifest stages of manifest bipolar disorder published within the last 15 years. Results: A total of 19 prospective studies were included. Regarding psychopathological features; personality, temperament and character traits as well as changes in sleep and circadian rhythm, the evidence suggests that risk factors for the development of bipolar disorder can already be described and should be studied further to understand their interaction, mediation with other factors and timing in the developmental process of bipolar disorder. Apart from the positive family history, childhood anxiety, sleep problems, subthreshold (hypo)manic symptoms and certain character traits/emotionality should be identified and monitored already in clinical practice as their presence likely increases risk of bipolar disorder. Up to date no substantiated evidence was found from prospective studies addressing cognitive features, life events, immunological parameters and morphological central nervous system changes as potential risk factors for bipolar disorder. Conclusion: For an improved understanding of episodic disorders, longitudinal data collection is essential. Since the etiology of bipolar disorders is complex, a number of potential risk factors have been proposed. Prospective studies addressing this spectrum and resilience factors are critical and will be best conducted within multi-site research networks or initiatives.