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Option Pricing With Fractional Brownian MotionInkaya, Alper 01 October 2011 (has links) (PDF)
Traditional financial modeling is based on semimartingale processes with stationary and independent
increments. However, empirical investigations on financial data does not always
support these assumptions. This contradiction showed that there is a need for new stochastic
models. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) was proposed as one of these models by Benoit
Mandelbrot. FBm is the only continuous Gaussian process with dependent increments. Correlation
between increments of a fBm changes according to its self-similarity parameter H. This
property of fBm helps to capture the correlation dynamics of the data and consequently obtain
better forecast results. But for values of H different than 1/2, fBm is not a semimartingale and
classical Ito formula does not exist in that case. This gives rise to need for using the white noise
theory to construct integrals with respect to fBm and obtain fractional Ito formulas. In this
thesis, the representation of fBm and its fundamental properties are examined. Construction of
Wick-Ito-Skorohod (WIS) and fractional WIS integrals are investigated. An Ito type formula
and Girsanov type theorems are stated. The financial applications of fBm are mentioned and
the Black& / Scholes price of a European call option on an asset which is assumed to follow a
geometric fBm is derived. The statistical aspects of fBm are investigated. Estimators for the
self-similarity parameter H and simulation methods of fBm are summarized. Using the R/S methodology of Hurst, the estimations of the parameter H are obtained and these values are used to evaluate the fractional Black& / Scholes prices of a European call option with different
maturities. Afterwards, these values are compared to Black& / Scholes price of the same option
to demonstrate the effect of long-range dependence on the option prices. Also, estimations
of H at different time scales are obtained to investigate the multiscaling in financial data. An
outlook of the future work is given.
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Topics on fractional Brownian motion and regular variation for stochastic processesHult, Henrik January 2003 (has links)
<p>The first part of this thesis studies tail probabilities forelliptical distributions and probabilities of extreme eventsfor multivariate stochastic processes. It is assumed that thetails of the probability distributions satisfy a regularvariation condition. This means, roughly speaking, that thereis a non-negligible probability for very large or extremeoutcomes to occur. Such models are useful in applicationsincluding insurance, finance and telecommunications networks.It is shown how regular variation of the marginals, or theincrements, of a stochastic process implies regular variationof functionals of the process. Moreover, the associated tailbehavior in terms of a limit measure is derived.</p><p>The second part of the thesis studies problems related toparameter estimation in stochastic models with long memory.Emphasis is on the estimation of the drift parameter in somestochastic differential equations driven by the fractionalBrownian motion or more generally Volterra-type processes.Observing the process continuously, the maximum likelihoodestimator is derived using a Girsanov transformation. In thecase of discrete observations the study is carried out for theparticular case of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.For this model Whittles approach is applied to derive anestimator for all unknown parameters.</p>
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Stochastické diferenciální rovnice s gaussovským šumem a jejich aplikace / Stochastic Differential Equations with Gaussian Noise and Their ApplicationsCamfrlová, Monika January 2020 (has links)
In the thesis, multivariate fractional Brownian motions with possibly different Hurst indices in different coordinates are considered and a Girsanov-type theo- rem for these processes is shown. Two applications of this theorem to stochastic differential equations driven by multivariate fractional Brownian motions (SDEs) are given. Firstly, the existence of a weak solution to an SDE with a drift coeffi- cient that can be written as a sum of a regular and a singular part and a diffusion coefficient that is dependent on time and satisfies suitable conditions is shown. The results are applied for the proof of existence of a weak solution of an equation describing stochastic harmonic oscillator. Secondly, the Girsanov-type theorem is used to find the maximum likelihood scalar estimator that appears in the drift of an SDE with additive noise. 1
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Approximation of a Quasilinear Stochastic Partial Differential Equation driven by Fractional White NoiseGrecksch, Wilfried, Roth, Christian 16 May 2008 (has links) (PDF)
We approximate the solution of a quasilinear stochastic partial differential equa-
tion driven by fractional Brownian motion B_H(t); H in (0,1), which was calculated
via fractional White Noise calculus, see [5].
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A Study of Complex Systems: from Magnetic to BiologicalLovelady, Douglas Carroll 01 January 2011 (has links)
This work is a study of complex many-body systems with non-trivial interactions. Many such systems can be described with models that are much simpler than the real thing but which can still give good insight into the behavior of realistic systems. We take a look at two such systems. The first part looks at a model that elucidates the variety of magnetic phases observed in rare-earth heterostructures at low temperatures: the six-state clock model. We use an ANNNI-like model Hamiltonian that has a three-dimensional parameter space and yields two-dimensional multiphase regions in this space. A low-temperature expansion of the free energy reveals an example of Villain's `order from disorder' [81, 60] when an infinitesimal temperature breaks the ground-state degeneracy. The next part of our work describes biological systems. Using ECIS (Electric Cell-Substrate Impedance Sensing), we are able to extract complex impedance time series from a confluent layer of live cells. We use simple statistics to characterize the behavior of cells in these experiments. We compare experiment with models of fractional Brownian motion and random walks with persistence. We next detect differences in the behavior of single cell types in a toxic environment. Finally, we develop a very simple model of micromotion that helps explain the types of interactions responsible for the long-term and short-term correlations seen in the power spectra and autocorrelation curves extracted from the times series produced from the experiments.
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Univariate and Multivariate Joint Models with Flexible Covariance Structures for Dynamic Prediction of Longitudinal and Time-to-event Data.Palipana, Anushka 23 August 2022 (has links)
No description available.
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Stopping Times Related to Trading StrategiesAbramov, Vilen 25 April 2008 (has links)
No description available.
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A multimodal deep learning framework using local feature representations for face recognitionAl-Waisy, Alaa S., Qahwaji, Rami S.R., Ipson, Stanley S., Al-Fahdawi, Shumoos 04 September 2017 (has links)
Yes / The most recent face recognition systems are
mainly dependent on feature representations obtained using
either local handcrafted-descriptors, such as local binary patterns
(LBP), or use a deep learning approach, such as deep
belief network (DBN). However, the former usually suffers
from the wide variations in face images, while the latter
usually discards the local facial features, which are proven
to be important for face recognition. In this paper, a novel
framework based on merging the advantages of the local
handcrafted feature descriptors with the DBN is proposed to
address the face recognition problem in unconstrained conditions.
Firstly, a novel multimodal local feature extraction
approach based on merging the advantages of the Curvelet
transform with Fractal dimension is proposed and termed
the Curvelet–Fractal approach. The main motivation of this
approach is that theCurvelet transform, a newanisotropic and
multidirectional transform, can efficiently represent themain
structure of the face (e.g., edges and curves), while the Fractal
dimension is one of the most powerful texture descriptors
for face images. Secondly, a novel framework is proposed,
termed the multimodal deep face recognition (MDFR)framework,
to add feature representations by training aDBNon top
of the local feature representations instead of the pixel intensity
representations. We demonstrate that representations acquired by the proposed MDFR framework are complementary
to those acquired by the Curvelet–Fractal approach.
Finally, the performance of the proposed approaches has
been evaluated by conducting a number of extensive experiments
on four large-scale face datasets: the SDUMLA-HMT,
FERET, CAS-PEAL-R1, and LFW databases. The results
obtained from the proposed approaches outperform other
state-of-the-art of approaches (e.g., LBP, DBN, WPCA) by
achieving new state-of-the-art results on all the employed
datasets.
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A Robust Face Recognition System Based on Curvelet and Fractal Dimension TransformsAl-Waisy, Alaa S., Qahwaji, Rami S.R., Ipson, Stanley S., Al-Fahdawi, Shumoos January 2015 (has links)
Yes / n this paper, a powerful face recognition system for authentication and identification tasks is presented and a new facial feature extraction approach is proposed. A novel feature extraction method based on combining the characteristics of the Curvelet transform and Fractal dimension transform is proposed. The proposed system consists of four stages. Firstly, a simple preprocessing algorithm based on a sigmoid function is applied to standardize the intensity dynamic range in the input image. Secondly, a face detection stage based on the Viola-Jones algorithm is used for detecting the face region in the input image. After that, the feature extraction stage using a combination of the Digital Curvelet via wrapping transform and a Fractal Dimension transform is implemented. Finally, the K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) and Correlation Coefficient (CC) Classifiers are used in the recognition task. Lastly, the performance of the proposed approach has been tested by carrying out a number of experiments on three well-known datasets with high diversity in the facial expressions: SDUMLA-HMT, Faces96 and UMIST datasets. All the experiments conducted indicate the robustness and the effectiveness of the proposed approach for both authentication and identification tasks compared to other established approaches.
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Stochastické integrály řízené isonormálními gaussovskými procesy a aplikace / Stochastic Integrals Driven by Isonormal Gaussian Processes and ApplicationsČoupek, Petr January 2013 (has links)
Stochastic Integrals Driven by Isonormal Gaussian Processes and Applications Master Thesis - Petr Čoupek Abstract In this thesis, we introduce a stochastic integral of deterministic Hilbert space valued functions driven by a Gaussian process of the Volterra form βt = t 0 K(t, s)dWs, where W is a Brownian motion and K is a square integrable kernel. Such processes generalize the fractional Brownian motion BH of Hurst parameter H ∈ (0, 1). Two sets of conditions on the kernel K are introduced, the singular case and the regular case, and, in particular, the regular case is studied. The main result is that the space H of β-integrable functions can be, in the strictly regular case, embedded in L 2 1+2α ([0, T]; V ) which corresponds to the space L 1 H ([0, T]) for the fractional Brownian mo- tion. Further, the cylindrical Gaussian Volterra process is introduced and a stochastic integral of deterministic operator-valued functions, driven by this process, is defined. These results are used in the theory of stochastic differential equations (SDE), in particular, measurability of a mild solution of a given SDE is proven.
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