This study analyzes the impact of self-esteem (high vs. low), situational characterization ("negotiate" vs. "ask"), and gender (men vs. women) on the likelihood an individual initiates negotiation (n = 140). Self-esteem was primed with a prompt and the participants were told they could either "negotiate" or "ask" for more money after completing two tasks. A main effect of situational characterization was found such that negotiation was more likely in the "negotiate" condition than in the "ask" condition. Neither self-esteem nor gender produced significant results. A significant interaction showed that men were more likely to negotiate in the "ask" condition, but there were no gender differences in the "negotiate" condition. Finally, gender differences in anticipated future earnings were found. Men held considerably higher expectations for average salary 5 years after graduating from college than women. These results have important implications for training students to negotiate for the salaries they deserve and moving closer to closing the gender wage gap.

This study analyzes the impact of self-esteem (high vs. low), situational characterization ("negotiate" vs. "ask"), and gender (men vs. women) on the likelihood an individual initiates negotiation (n = 140). Self-esteem was primed with a prompt and the participants were told they could either "negotiate" or "ask" for more money after completing two tasks. A main effect of situational characterization was found such that negotiation was more likely in the "negotiate" condition than in the "ask" condition. Neither self-esteem nor gender produced significant results. A significant interaction showed that men were more likely to negotiate in the "ask" condition, but there were no gender differences in the "negotiate" condition. Finally, gender differences in anticipated future earnings were found. Men held considerably higher expectations for average salary 5 years after graduating from college than women. These results have important implications for training students to negotiate for the salaries they deserve and moving closer to closing the gender wage gap.

Ao longo da última década, tem aumentado o reconhecimento de medidas de gerenciamento de valor. Dentre essas, uma que tem recebido grande atenção tanto no meio acadêmico quanto nas empresas em geral é o valor econômico agregado (EVA®). Muito se tem discutido sobre essa medida, sendo que seus defensores afirmam que ela é uma melhor medida de desempenho do que as medidas contábeis tradicionais. Nessa perspectiva, uma série de pesquisas tem sido realizada, verificando a relação entre o EVA® e o retorno de ações, onde os resultados alternam-se entre uma relação superior dessa medida e o retorno de ações em comparação com as medidas contábeis tradicionais e uma fraca relação ou a ausência de relação entre essas variáveis. Em diferente abordagem, Machuga, Pfeiffer Jr. e Verma (2002) realizaram um estudo no mercado norte americano para verificar a capacidade do EVA® na predição de lucros futuros. Replicando a metodologia desse estudo, esta pesquisa teve como objetivo verificar empiricamente se o EVA® fornece informação incremental para predição de lucros futuros das empresas de capital aberto do Brasil. Na metodologia, foram aplicados modelos de regressão linear múltipla no período de 1998 a 2006 para testar a proposição de que o EVA® fornece informação incrementalmente útil para predizer lucros de um ano adiante das empresas de capital aberto do Brasil. Foram aplicadas regressões anuais (crosssection) e verificou-se a significância estatística dos coeficientes médios. Com os resultados obtidos, não se pode comprovar a utilidade incremental do EVA® na predição de lucros futuros. Na seqüência, realizou-se um teste do valor incremental da inclusão da informação EVA® no modelo de predição, sendo que foram aplicadas novas regressões sem as variáveis EVA® e apurados os novos coeficientes médios; em seguida, foram efetuadas duas previsões de lucros, uma utilizando os valores médios com e outra sem o EVA® . Por meio da comparação desses valores previstos com os reais dos lucros e apurando suas respectivas diferenças, obteve-se os erros médios de previsão. Foi observado que os erros médios de previsão apresentaram-se elevados em função da alta dispersão das variáveis da pesquisa, também foi encontrado que os erros médios de previsão foram menores quando houve a inclusão da informação do EVA® , indicando a utilidade incremental dessa medida na predição de lucros futuros, entretanto esses resultados devem ser interpretados como indicativos e não como conclusivos, já que os coeficientes das variáveis, em sua maioria, não se demonstraram estatisticamente significantes. / There has been increased recognition over the last decade of the measures of management of value. Among these, one that has received the great attention either on the academic field or in the companies in general is the Economic Value Added (EVA®). A lot has been argued about this measure, its defenders affirm that it is one measure of performance better than the traditional accounting measures. In these perspective, a lot of researches have been done, verifying the relation between the EVA® and the stock returns, where the results change between one relation superior of these measures and the stock returns in comparison with the usual accounting measures and a weak relationship or absence of relation between these variables. In a different approach, Machuga, Pfeiffer Jr. and Verma (2002) realize a study on the North America market to verify the ability of EVA® in the prediction of future earnings. Applying the methodology of this study, this research had as goal to verify empirically if the EVA® supplies incremental information to predict future earnings of the Brazilian public companies. After, in the methodology, some multiple linear regression models were applied on the period of 1998 to 2006 to test the proposition that EVA® supplies information incrementally useful to predict one-year-ahead earnings of the Brazilian public companies. The annual cross-section regressions were applied and verified the statistic significance of the average coefficients. With the gotten results, one cannot confirm the incremental utility of EVA® in the future earnings prediction. In the sequence, a test of the incremental value of the inclusion of the information EVA® on the model of prediction was realized, it being that news regressions were applied without the variables EVA® and gotten the new average coefficients, after that, two predictions of earnings was effected, one using the mean values with and the other without the EVA® information. By the comparison of the predicted values with the actual earnings and checking its respective differences, one got the average forecast errors. It was observed that the average forecast errors had been presented high in function of the high dispersion of the variables of the research. It was founded too that the average forecast errors were lower when was included the information of EVA®, indicating the incremental utility of this measure on the prediction of future earnings, however, these results must be interpreted as indicative and not as conclusive, since the coefficients of the variables, in its majority, did not show statistically significant.

<p>Lic.-avh. Stockholm : Handelshögskolan, 2013</p>

Information transparency enhances corporate governance. In an attempt to reduce the information asymmetry between business insiders and outsiders and to allow outsiders to have more information for decision making by disclosing more corporate information voluntarily, the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (TSEC) and Over-The-Counter Securities Exchange (OTCE) requested the Securities & Futures Institute (SFI) to implement an information disclosure and evaluation system for all publicly traded and OTC companies listed in TSEC. This study investigates the effects of the system on decision behavior of the investors, analysts, and auditors. Empirical results indicate that investors¡¦ ability of future earnings evaluation increases, analysts¡¦ earnings forecasts are more accurate, and the earnings forecasts dispersion among the analysts decreases after the system has been implemented. However, the implementation of the system has no effects on the types of audit opinion issued by auditors. Besides, the analysts¡¦ earnings forecasts are more accurate for the ¡§more transparent¡¨ companies. However, the differences of future earnings evaluation, earnings forecasts dispersion among the analysts and types of audit opinion between ¡§more transparent¡¨ and ¡§less transparent¡¨ companies are not significant. These results may provide implication to authorities for making related policies.

Ao longo da última década, tem aumentado o reconhecimento de medidas de gerenciamento de valor. Dentre essas, uma que tem recebido grande atenção tanto no meio acadêmico quanto nas empresas em geral é o valor econômico agregado (EVA®). Muito se tem discutido sobre essa medida, sendo que seus defensores afirmam que ela é uma melhor medida de desempenho do que as medidas contábeis tradicionais. Nessa perspectiva, uma série de pesquisas tem sido realizada, verificando a relação entre o EVA® e o retorno de ações, onde os resultados alternam-se entre uma relação superior dessa medida e o retorno de ações em comparação com as medidas contábeis tradicionais e uma fraca relação ou a ausência de relação entre essas variáveis. Em diferente abordagem, Machuga, Pfeiffer Jr. e Verma (2002) realizaram um estudo no mercado norte americano para verificar a capacidade do EVA® na predição de lucros futuros. Replicando a metodologia desse estudo, esta pesquisa teve como objetivo verificar empiricamente se o EVA® fornece informação incremental para predição de lucros futuros das empresas de capital aberto do Brasil. Na metodologia, foram aplicados modelos de regressão linear múltipla no período de 1998 a 2006 para testar a proposição de que o EVA® fornece informação incrementalmente útil para predizer lucros de um ano adiante das empresas de capital aberto do Brasil. Foram aplicadas regressões anuais (crosssection) e verificou-se a significância estatística dos coeficientes médios. Com os resultados obtidos, não se pode comprovar a utilidade incremental do EVA® na predição de lucros futuros. Na seqüência, realizou-se um teste do valor incremental da inclusão da informação EVA® no modelo de predição, sendo que foram aplicadas novas regressões sem as variáveis EVA® e apurados os novos coeficientes médios; em seguida, foram efetuadas duas previsões de lucros, uma utilizando os valores médios com e outra sem o EVA® . Por meio da comparação desses valores previstos com os reais dos lucros e apurando suas respectivas diferenças, obteve-se os erros médios de previsão. Foi observado que os erros médios de previsão apresentaram-se elevados em função da alta dispersão das variáveis da pesquisa, também foi encontrado que os erros médios de previsão foram menores quando houve a inclusão da informação do EVA® , indicando a utilidade incremental dessa medida na predição de lucros futuros, entretanto esses resultados devem ser interpretados como indicativos e não como conclusivos, já que os coeficientes das variáveis, em sua maioria, não se demonstraram estatisticamente significantes. / There has been increased recognition over the last decade of the measures of management of value. Among these, one that has received the great attention either on the academic field or in the companies in general is the Economic Value Added (EVA®). A lot has been argued about this measure, its defenders affirm that it is one measure of performance better than the traditional accounting measures. In these perspective, a lot of researches have been done, verifying the relation between the EVA® and the stock returns, where the results change between one relation superior of these measures and the stock returns in comparison with the usual accounting measures and a weak relationship or absence of relation between these variables. In a different approach, Machuga, Pfeiffer Jr. and Verma (2002) realize a study on the North America market to verify the ability of EVA® in the prediction of future earnings. Applying the methodology of this study, this research had as goal to verify empirically if the EVA® supplies incremental information to predict future earnings of the Brazilian public companies. After, in the methodology, some multiple linear regression models were applied on the period of 1998 to 2006 to test the proposition that EVA® supplies information incrementally useful to predict one-year-ahead earnings of the Brazilian public companies. The annual cross-section regressions were applied and verified the statistic significance of the average coefficients. With the gotten results, one cannot confirm the incremental utility of EVA® in the future earnings prediction. In the sequence, a test of the incremental value of the inclusion of the information EVA® on the model of prediction was realized, it being that news regressions were applied without the variables EVA® and gotten the new average coefficients, after that, two predictions of earnings was effected, one using the mean values with and the other without the EVA® information. By the comparison of the predicted values with the actual earnings and checking its respective differences, one got the average forecast errors. It was observed that the average forecast errors had been presented high in function of the high dispersion of the variables of the research. It was founded too that the average forecast errors were lower when was included the information of EVA®, indicating the incremental utility of this measure on the prediction of future earnings, however, these results must be interpreted as indicative and not as conclusive, since the coefficients of the variables, in its majority, did not show statistically significant.

本研究以研究發展費用作為專利的投入變數，以專利數作為專利的產出數量變數，以平均專利範圍及平均專利發明人數作為專利的產出品質變數，使用長期間與大範圍的台灣樣本來探討專利資訊與企業財務績效之關連性，並透過專利資訊的使用者-分析師的觀點來判別哪些專利資訊是資訊使用者眼中的攸關資訊。研究結果發現大量的專利並不會對企業未來盈餘有明顯助益，擁有高品質的專利才是對企業未來盈餘有所助益的關鍵因素，研究結果亦發現分析師在進行盈餘預測時，並未適當的利用專利產出品質與專利產出數量資訊，且這些未經適當利用的專利資訊會增加盈餘預測誤差。故本研究建議資訊揭露相關準則及法規可針對專利資訊給予更完整、更透明的揭露。 / Patent’s value is hard to accurately identify under current generally accepted accounting principles. This paper uses firms in the Taiwan Stock Exchange to investigate the association of firm’s patents, future financial performance and the information used in analysts’ earnings forecasts. The patents were measured by the proxies of R&D expenditures, granted patents, patent claims and the number of patent inventors. The evidences show that possessing a large number of patents does not help future financial performance, but granting high quality patents does. The evidences also show that analysts do not appropriately use the information provided by patents, and this truly causes analysts’ forecast errors. Therefore, I suggest giving patents clearer and more complete disclosure, so that investors can obtain more value-relevant information.

Cette thèse analyse les conséquences et les implications des annonces de dividendes sur le marché boursier français dans un contexte de crise financière. Elle comporte quatre chapitres dont un premier, théorique qui trace les orientations des trois études empiriques réalisées. À l’issue de ce chapitre, il est proposé un cadre d’analyse de l’impact de la crise sur la politique de dividendes. Le deuxième chapitre traite de l’impact de la crise sur les réactions du marché. Il a testé et validé l’hypothèse d’une réaction différenciée des investisseurs aux annonces de dividendes en fonction du contexte économique. De surcroît, il met en évidence des réactions asymétriques des investisseurs en période de crise. Le troisième chapitre fournit une nouvelle explication à ces réactions asymétriques à travers la théorie de l’ambiguïté. L’hypothèse selon laquelle la nature et le degré d’incertitude de l’environnement macroéconomique auraient un impact sur la manière dont les investisseurs réagissent suite aux annonces de dividendes a été testée et validée. Le quatrième chapitre analyse la prévision des bénéfices comptables par les dividendes en période de crise, au regard de la théorie du signal. Nos résultats valident globalement les théories du signal et de l’ambiguïté. Même si la crise a affecté les réactions du marché français, elle n’a pas eu d’impact sur la relation significative qui existe entre les changements de dividendes et les variations de bénéfices futurs. Cette thèse analyse les conséquences et les implications des annonces de dividendes sur le marché boursier français dans un contexte de crise financière. Elle comporte quatre chapitres dont un premier, théorique qui trace les orientations des trois études empiriques réalisées. À l’issue de ce chapitre, il est proposé un cadre d’analyse de l’impact de la crise sur la politique de dividendes. Le deuxième chapitre traite de l’impact de la crise sur les réactions du marché. Il a testé et validé l’hypothèse d’une réaction différenciée des investisseurs aux annonces de dividendes en fonction du contexte économique. De surcroît, il met en évidence des réactions asymétriques des investisseurs en période de crise. Le troisième chapitre fournit une nouvelle explication à ces réactions asymétriques à travers la théorie de l’ambiguïté. L’hypothèse selon laquelle la nature et le degré d’incertitude de l’environnement macroéconomique auraient un impact sur la manière dont les investisseurs réagissent suite aux annonces de dividendes a été testée et validée. Le quatrième chapitre analyse la prévision des bénéfices comptables par les dividendes en période de crise, au regard de la théorie du signal. Nos résultats valident globalement les théories du signal et de l’ambiguïté. Même si la crise a affecté les réactions du marché français, elle n’a pas eu d’impact sur la relation significative qui existe entre les changements de dividendes et les variations de bénéfices futurs. / This dissertation investigates the consequences and implications of dividend announcements on French stock market in a context of financial crisis. It consists of four chapters including a first theoretical chapter that draws directions of the three empirical studies we realised. After this chapter, we provide an analysis framework of the impact of the crisis on the dividend policy. The second chapter discusses the impact of the financial crisis on french market reactions following dividend announcements. It tested and validated the hypothesis of a differentiated reaction of investors to dividend announcements based on the economic environment. Furthermore, it highlights asymmetric reactions of investors in times of crisis. The third chapter provides a new explanation for these asymmetric reactions through the ambiguity theory. The hypothesis according to which the nature and the degree of uncertainty of the macroeconomic environment has an impact on the way in which capital market prices react to dividend announcements was tested and validated. The fourth chapter analyses earnings forecast by dividends in times of crisis, according to the signaling theory. Our findings generally support the signaling and ambiguity theories. But, although the crisis affected the French market reactions to dividend announcements, it has no impact on the significant relationship between dividends changes and future earnings variations.

企業股東基於法律與契約對於所投資之公司，通常享有股利分配權、新股優先認購權、剩餘財產分配權、股東投票權等基本權利，本文以股東權利基礎來重新詮釋Ohlson模式與Easton模式。基於股東權利基礎，Ohlson模式（價格模式）可重新表示為盈餘、帳面價值、投票權價值之線性模式；Easton模式（報酬模式）可重新表示為盈餘水準、盈餘變動、投票權價值變動之線性模式。本文依上述理論基礎發展相關之研究假說，為彌補單用當期盈餘資訊之不足本文於實證模式中將再加入未來盈餘變數，並以臺灣市場之資料來驗證各項假說。首先，本文實證價格模式與報酬模式之各項變數，對於股價及報酬是否具有解釋力。其次，本文實證當經濟環境不同時，上述實證結果是否會受到影響。 價格模式之實證結果指出：（1）各項價格變數對於股價皆具有顯著的正向解釋力。（2）當公司盈餘為負數或者盈餘持續性低時，當期盈餘對於股價的解釋力會降低。（3）當產業前景較差時，當期盈餘、帳面價值等會計資訊較不被注意，故比較不會反應在股價；管理者可由公司獲取的私有利益也會較少，故投票權價值與股價之關聯也會較低。（4）當產業生命週期較短時，當期盈餘資訊較被注意，此與其較易取得與計算有關。（5）當總體經濟情況不同時，各項變數對股價的解釋力並無顯著差異，此現象可能與研究期間內總體經濟情況好壞的差異並不明顯所致。（6）當通貨膨脹率較高時，公司所傳達之會計資訊會有高估的現象，故當期盈餘與股價之關聯會較低。 報酬模式之實證結果指出：（1）各項報酬變數對於報酬皆具有顯著的正向解釋力。（2）當公司盈餘為負數或者盈餘持續性低時，盈餘水準對於報酬的解釋力會降低，盈餘變動對於報酬的解釋力則會提高。（3）當產業前景較差時，由於盈餘水準、未來盈餘價值指標等會計資訊較不被注意，故比較不會反應在股價報酬；管理者可獲取的私有利益也會減少，故其與股價之關聯會降低。（4）當產業生命週期不同時，各項變數對報酬的解釋力並無顯著差異。（5）當總體經濟情況較差時，盈餘變動的資訊性顯著較低，此現象應與總體經濟情況較差時盈餘通常為負數所致，投票權價值指標也有相同的現象。（6）當通貨膨脹率不同時，各項變數對報酬的解釋力並無顯著差異，此現象可能與研究期間內通貨膨脹率高低的差異並不明顯所致。 綜上所述，股東權利基礎評價模式之各項變數確實能解釋股價或報酬，而且在不同的經濟情境下，上述變數對股價或報酬之解釋力確實會有不同，因此未來從事股權價值或股價報酬評估時，研究者應再進行相關的情境分析。 目 錄 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的與方法 5 第三節 論文貢獻 7 第四節 論文架構 9 第二章 文獻探討 10 第一節 股利分配權價值之相關文獻 12 第二節 剩餘財產分配權價值之相關文獻 14 第三節 新股優先認購權價值之相關文獻 19 第四節 股東投票權價值之相關文獻 26 第五節 情境式分析研究法之相關文獻 31 第三章 研究方法 33 第一節 股東權利基礎評價模式之建構 34 第二節 研究假說與實證模式 38 第三節 變數定義 47 第四節 樣本與資料選取 55 第四章 實證結果分析 59 第一節 價格模式之實證結果 60 第二節 報酬模式之實證結果 63 第三節 價格模式之情境分析結果 66 第四節 報酬模式之情境分析結果 80 第五章 結論與建議 94 第一節 研究結論 95 第二節 研究建議 101 第三節 研究限制 102 參考文獻 103 / When investors buy stock, they acquire all common and specific rights granted by the laws and contracts. Shareholders usually have the right to receive dividends, the preemptive right, the right to claim the residuals assets, and the right to vote at shareholders’ meetings. The paper uses the base of shareholders’ rights to re-explain the empirical meanings of Ohlson model and Easton model. According to the base of shareholders’ rights, Ohlson model（price model）can be rewritten as the linear model of earnings, book valve, and voting right premium. In the same way, Easton model（return model）can be rewritten as the linear model of earnings level, earnings change, and voting right premium change. According to the theory base above, this paper develops related research hypotheses. Not only current earnings but also future earnings are included in empirical models, and I use Taiwanese data to test the hypotheses. First, the paper tests whether each variable in price model or return model can explain stock price or return. Second, the paper investigates whether the results mentioned above will be affected by different contexts. The empirical evidence of the price model can be summarized as follows. First, each price variable has significantly positive explanatory power with respect to stock price. Second, when earnings is negative or earnings persistence is low, the value-relevance of current earnings will decrease. Third, when industry prospect becomes worse, market pays little attention to current earnings and book value and manager gets less private benefits, thus the association between current earnings, book value, voting right premium and stock price is low. Fourth, when industry life cycle is shorter, more attention is paid to current earnings, which is related to availability of data. Fifth, when macroeconomic circumstance is different, the explanatory power of each variable is not significantly different, this phenomenon may be due to little significant difference among macroeconomic circumstance during research periods. Sixth, when inflation rate is high, accounting information signaled by firm is overstated, which reduces the association between current earnings and stock price. The empirical evidence of the return model can be summarized as follows. First, each return variable has significantly positive explanatory power with respect to stock return. Second, when earnings is negative or earnings persistence is low, the value-relevance of earnings level will decrease, while the value-relevance of earnings change will increase. Third, when industry prospect is not good, market pays little attention to earnings level and future earnings indicator and manager gets less private benefits, thus the association between earnings level, future earnings indicator, voting right premium indicator and stock return is low. Fourth, when industry life cycle is not the same, the explanatory power of each variable is not significantly different. Fifth, when macroeconomic circumstance becomes worse, the informativeness of earnings change is significantly low, this phenomenon may be due to positive correlation between macroeconomic circumstance and earnings. Voting right premium indicator also has the same phenomenon. Sixth, when inflation rate is different, the explanatory power of each variable is not significantly different, this phenomenon is likely due to little significant difference among inflation rate during research periods. In summary, the variables in shareholders’ rights-based valuation models can explain stock price or stock return. In the different contexts, the explanatory power of variables mentioned above with respected to stock price or stock return is significantly different. The results imply the importance of contextual analysis when researchers are engaged in the valuation of stock price or stock return.