Objective: Type 1 diabetes is associated with autoantibodies to different organs that include the gut. The objective of the study was to determine the risk of developing gastric parietal cell autoimmunity in relation to other autoimmunity in individuals with a family history of type 1 diabetes. Methods: Autoantibodies to the parietal cell autoantigen, H+/K+ ATPase subunit A (ATP4A) was measured in 2218 first-degree relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes, who were prospectively followed from birth for a median of 14.5 years. All were also tested regularly for the development of islet autoantibodies, transglutaminase autoantibodies, and thyroid peroxidase autoantibodies. Results: The cumulative risk to develop ATP4A autoantibodies was 8.1% (95% CI, 6.6–9.6) by age 20 years with a maximum incidence observed at age 2 years. Risk was increased in females (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.3–2.8; p = 0.0004), relatives with the HLA DR4-DQ8/DR4-DQ8 genotype (HR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.9–5.9; p < 0.0001) and in participants who also had thyroid peroxidase autoantibodies (HR, 3.7; 95% CI, 2.5– 5.5; p < 0.0001). Risk for at least one of ATP4A-, islet-, transglutaminase-, or thyroid peroxidase-autoantibodies was 24.7% (95% CI, 22.6–26.7) by age 20 years and was 47.3% (95% CI, 41.3–53.3) in relatives who had an HLA DR3/DR4-DQ8, DR4-DQ8/ DR4-DQ8, or DR3/DR3 genotype (p < 0.0001 vs. other genotypes). Conclusions: Relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes who have risk genotypes are at very high risk for the development of autoimmunity against gastric and other organs.

Abstract Type 1 diabetes is considered to be a T cell-mediated autoimmune disease characterized by destruction of the pancreatic beta cells. Its prediction is currently based on diabetes-associated autoantibodies, giving a cumulative risk of 84% during 15 years of follow-up since seroconversion. Prediction of the timing of clinical onset has remained challenging, however. This thesis examines glucose metabolism in autoantibody-positive children with a high risk of developing type 1 diabetes. Out of a total of 14,876 children with an increased genetic risk followed up from birth in the Finnish DIPP study, 567 developed ≥2 autoantibodies during the follow-up and 255 of these (45%) were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes until the end of December 2011. The glucose parameters measured were HbA1c, OGTT and random plasma glucose with 3 to 12 months interval. Seven-day continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) was performed on an age and sex-matched cohort. We showed that rising HbA1c, impaired glucose tolerance in OGTT, random plasma glucose values of ≥7.8mmol/l and potentially CGM can predict type 1 diabetes with a median time to diagnosis of approximately one year. Our results suggest that especially HbA1c and random plasma glucose are cost-effective and improve the prediction of diabetes. These markers may be useful for monitoring the response to treatment in prevention studies. / Tiivistelmä Tyypin 1 diabetesta pidetään T-soluvälitteisenä autoimmuunitautina, joka johtaa haiman beetasolujen tuhoutumiseen. Tyypin 1 diabeteksen ennustaminen perustuu tällä hetkellä diabetekseen assosioituviin vasta-aineisiin, jotka antavat 84% kumulatiivisen riskin 15 vuoden seurannassa. Taudin puhkeamisen ajankohdan ennustaminen on kuitenkin edelleen vaikeaa. Tämä väitöskirja käsittelee glukoosiaineenvaihduntaa vasta-ainepositiivisilla lapsilla, joilla on suurentunut riski sairastua tyypin 1 diabetekseen. Suomalaisessa DIPP-tutkimuksessa vasta-aineiden kehittymistä on seurattu yhteensä 14876 lapselta. Seurannan aikana 567 lasta kehitti ≥2 autovasta-ainetta ja näistä 255 (45%) sairastui tyypin 1 diabetekseen joulukuun loppuun 2011 mennessä. Glukoosiaineenvaihduntaa seurattiin tutkimalla HbA1c, OGTT ja satunnaisia verensokeriarvoja 3-12 kuukauden välein. Ikä ja sukupuolivakioidussa kohortissa tehtiin jatkuvan sokeripitoisuuden seuranta (CGM). Tutkimuksessamme nouseva HbA1c, heikentynyt sokerin sieto OGTT-kokeessa, satunnainen verensokeri ≥7.8 mmol/l ja mahdollisesti CGM ennustavat tyypin 1 diabeteksen puhkeamista. Tulostemme perusteella erityisesti kustannustehokkaat HbA1c ja satunnainen verensokeri parantavat diabeteksen ennustamista. Nämä parametrit saattavat olla hyödyllisiä myös preventiotutkimuksissa hoitovasteen seurannassa.