Aeolian dust is an important but poorly understood component of the climate system, which both responds to and drives global climate. Recently, dust produced at the high latitudes is also gaining attention as a possible contributor to the atmospheric dust load. However, little is known about its past dynamics and well­ dated records close to the former ice margins at the higher latitudes are scarce. Loess in Brittany region, France, is, therefore a valuable archive of the past dustiness, climate and landscape dynamics close to the former margins of the British–Irish and Fennoscandian ice sheets. However, knowledge of the timing of its deposition and accumulation dynamics, based on a detailed and independent chronology, is mostly lacking. Here, loess stratigraphy at the newly established site Primel Trégastel (Brittany, France) is presented. Loess deposits are dated in detail by optically stimulated luminescence of quartz. Moreover, to account for a variable past dust activity, loess sedimentation and dust mass accumulation rates are derived from a continuous Bayesian age model. Furthermore, this thesis tests the hypothesis of whether the same wind and dust accumulation patterns from the north of the Channel system can also be traced south the English Channel. Luminescence ages and Bayesian age modelling results show a phase of enhanced dust accumulation between 22.5–25.5 ka, coinciding with the Heinrich event 2 and Greenlandstadial 3. Although the proposed model with two phases of the enhanced dust accumulation between 25–19 ka does not exactly match the record at Primel Trégastel, the hypothesis of the glacial dynamics, associate glacial lake drainage and linked atmospheric circulation reorganisation controlling the loess accumulation in western France cannot be rejected with certainty. / Eoliskt damm är en viktig, men illa förstådd komponent av klimatsystemet som både reagerar på, såväl som driver, det globala klimatet. Nyligen har damm som producerats vid höga latituder också fått uppmärksamhet som ett möjligt bidrag till den atmosfäriska dammbelastningen. Kunskapen är dock liten gällande dess föregående dynamik och väl daterade uppgifter om tidigare isgränser vid höga latituder är fortfarande undermåliga. Loess i regionen Bretagne i Frankrike är därför ett värdefullt arkiv av tidigare dammhalter, klimat och landskapets dynamik nära de tidigare gränserna av de Brittiskt­-Irländska och Fennoskandiska istäckena. Men kunskap om timingen mellan dess deposition och ackumuleringsdynamik, baserad på en detaljerad och självständig kronologi, saknas till stor del. Här kan loess stratigrafi, vid den nyligen etablerade utgrävningsplatsen Primel Trégastel (Bretagne, Frankrike), presenteras. Loess avlagringar är daterade i detalj genom optiskt stimulerad luminescens av kvarts. Ytterligare, för att tamed variationen av dammets aktivitet i beräkningarna, är loess sedimentering och ackumuleringstakt av dammets massa härledda från en kontinuerlig Bayesiansk åldersmodell. Vidare så testar detta arbete hypotesen om huruvida samma vindar och ackumuleringsmönster av damm, som ses norr on kanalsystemet, även kan ses söder om den engelska kanalen. Resultat från luminescensåldrar och Bayesiansk åldersmodellering visar en fas av ökad dammackumulering mellan 22.5–25.5 ka, något som sammanfaller med Heinrich händelse 2 och Grönland stadial 3. Även om den föreslagna modellen med två faser av den ökade dammackumuleringen mellan 25–19 ka inte exakt överensstämmer med uppgifterna från Primel Trégastel, så kan inte hypotesen rörande den glaciala dynamiken med tillhörande dränering av glaciärsjöar och den sammankopplade atmosfäriska cirkulativa omorganisationen som kontrollerar loess ackumulering i västra Frankrike avvisas med säkerhet.

Loess is a well sorted, fine grained, windblown (aeolian) sediment and deposits as a blanket over large areas, reaching from a few centimetres to several hundreds of meters in height and can drape large landscapes in form of mountains. During a more humid and warmer climate, redox conditions are changed in the loess deposits, with greater seasonal moisture creating greater soil formation (pedogenesis), i.e. palaeosol.  The Chinese Loess Plateau is dominated by the East Asian monsoon climate, and consists of an alternating Loess-palaeosol Formation, spanning back to at least the whole Quaternary period and late Pliocene (~2.8 Ma), and overlays a Red Clay Formation ranging into at least Miocene. This deposit covers therefore the onset of the latest Quaternary Ice Age. The Magnetic Susceptibility (MS) is used to investigate the magnetism of a rock which is inferred to be driven by the pedogenetic activity changes, i.e. during a stronger pedogenesis a higher amount of magnetic minerals forms. In turn the MS measurements becomes as a good indicator of the intensity and duration of the East Monsoon climate. In present study, a newly applied technique in palaeoenvironment is used to investigate the reasons for the out-of-phase response by the MS measurements. The study shows that this is due to viscous relaxation. Thus, the ultrafine superparamagnetic mineral magnetite is giving rise to the out-of-phase response and no other mechanisms. / Lössjord är ett välsorterad, finkornigt, vindblåst (eolisk) sediment som avsätts som ett täcke över stora områden, och kan variera från några centimeter till flera hundra meter i höjd och drapera stora landskap i form av berg. Under ett mer fuktigt och varmare klimat förändras de redoxa förhållandena i lössjordarna, då större säsongsfuktighet skapar en större paleosol-bildning, under en så kallad pedogenes. Den Kinesiska Lössjordsplatån domineras av det östasiatiska monsunklimatet och består av en alternerande Lössjord-paleosol Formation, som sträcker sig tillbaka till åtminstone hela kvartära perioden men även sena Pliocen (~ 2,8 Ma), och överlagrar en Rödlera Formation som sträcker sig minst tillbaka till Miocen. Dessa avlagringar täcker därför övergången till början på den kvartära istiden. Den magnetiska susceptibiliteten (MS) används för att undersöka de magnetiska egenskaperna hos avlagringarna som drivs av de pedogenetiska aktiviteterna, dvs under en starkare pedogenes bildas en högre mängd magnetiska mineraler. I sin tur blir därför MS-mätningarna en bra indikator på intensiteten och varaktigheten av östasiatiska monsunklimatet. I denna studie används en nyligen tillämpad teknik inom paleo-miljö för att undersöka orsakerna bakom ur-fas responsen som fås genom MS-mätningar på avlagringarna. Studien visar att detta beror på viskös relaxation. Således är det ultrafina superparamagnetiska mineralet magnetit som ger upphov till ur-fas responsen och inga andra mekanismer.

Loess is a silty material produced via glacial grinding and its deposition is usually associated with colder periods when there is a considerable increase in atmospheric dust transport. The magnetic susceptibility of loess-palaeosol sequences has been the subject of extensive research within palaeoclimatology as it has proven to be reliable climate proxy. Most research on magnetic susceptibility has been focused on thick deposits found in Europe and Asia, in particular the Chinese Loess Plateau where it is possible to discern more than 2.5 million years of climate variation in deposits several hundred meters thick. The climate development throughout the Quaternary has been characterized by glacials where there has been a significant ice growth, and interglacials where ice sheets have retreated. The Last Glacial Maximum was the most recent time of ice sheets reaching their maximum extent, occurring at some point between 26.5 and 18 ka BP. Aeolian reworking of material produced in conjunction with the Irish Sea Ice Stream (ISIS) occurred approximately 5000 years after the LGM. The ISIS limit were located just north of the Lizard Peninsula, and impinged on the Isles of Scilly. Loess deposits in SW England has largely been ignored in previous research in favour of the previously mentioned Chinese loess, but may be important climate archives in understanding the climate development of the North Atlantic. As such, the scope of this thesis is investigating the magnetic susceptibility of loess deposits in Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly in the far SW England. This is done by analyzing 36 samples from Lowland Point and 24 samples from Chynhalls Point, both located at the Lizard Peninsula in Cornwall, as well as 20 samples from Porthcressa and 14 samples from Gimble Porth, both located at the Isles of Scilly. The instruments used for analysis are the Bartington MS2B and the Agico MFK-1 FA Kappabridge, where all 96 samples were analyzed on the former while the 36 Lowland Points samples and the 20 Porthcressa samples were also analyzed on the latter. The Bartington MS2B operates at two frequencies, 465 Hz and 4650 Hz, while the Agico MFK-1 FA Kappabridge operates at three frequencies, 976 hz, 3904 Hz, and 15616 Hz. The results from this study suggest that the Lizard Peninsula sample sites exhibit signs of magnetic enhancement through pedogenic processes while the sample sites at the Isles of Scilly consist of mainly unaltered material, likely due to an overlying sollifluction unit inhibiting magnetic enhancement. As a consequence of the different frequencies, the results were lognormalized to permit a direct comparison between the instruments. While the variability in magnetic susceptibility was strikingly similar, the results of the Kappabridge were shifted to ~20% higher values than those of the Bartington which may be attributed to the Kappabridges higher precision when analyzing weakly magnetic material. A similar shift is not evident when measuring the calibration samples of each instrument. In determining the mean annual precipitation after deposition, the Lizard Peninsula samples sites suggest an exposure to an annual precipitation between 300-400 mm/yr, compared to modern rainfall between 900-1000 mm/yr. The data from the Isles of Scilly were insufficient for calculating the mean annual precipitation due to the lack of evidence for magnetic enhancement. / Loess är benämningen för material i siltstorlek som produceras då glacial aktivitet maler ned den underliggande berggrunden. Detta material är tillräckligt litet för att fångas upp av vindar och därefter transporteras i atmosfären, för att därefter avsättas då vindhastigheten minskar. Under kalla perioder i jordens historia ökar denna transport då vindhastigheten ofta varit högre än under varma perioder. Under de varmare perioderna och med tiden så utsätts loess för jordmånsbildande processer och bildar palaeosoler. Den magnetiska susceptibiliteten hos loess-palaeosol-sekvenser har under flera årtionden varit ämnet för utbredd forskning då detta har visat sig vara en tillförlitlig klimatproxy för att förstå klimatutvecklingen under jordens gångna historia. I synnerhet har loess-palaeosol-sekvenser i Kina varit av intresse då det går att utröna mer än 2,5 miljoner år av klimatutveckling i avlagringar som på sina platser är flera hundra meter tjocka. Under den senaste istidens maximala utbredning mellan 26500 och 18000 år sedan passerade en isström över den Irländska sjön (Irish Sea Ice Stream, sammankopplad med inlandsisen), förbi Cornwalls norra kust och stötte samman med Scillyöarna. Det tog sedan ungefär 5000 år tills vindtransport av avsatt material påbörjades. Loessavlagringar i sydvästra England har känts till under årtionden men har till stor del ignorerats till fördel för de tidigare nämnda avlagringarna i Kina, men de kan agera som viktiga klimatarkiv för tiden efter den senaste istiden och därmed klimatutvecklingen i Nordatlanten. Denna rapport undersöker således den magnetiska susceptibiliteten i loess från två platser på Lizard-halvön i Cornwall, och två platser på Scillyöarna. Totalt analyserades 96 prover, 36 av dem från Lowland Point, 24 av dem från Chynhalls Point, båda belägna på Lizard-halvön, samt 20 prover från Porthcressa och 14 prover från Gimble Porth, båda belägna på Scillyöarna. Resultaten från denna studie påvisar att provplatserna på Lizard-halvön visar tecken på magnetisk förstärkning på grund av jordmånsbildande processer, medan provplatserna på Scillyöarna huvudsakligen består av oförändrat material, troligen på grund av att dessa täckts av annat material under isens tillbakadragning, vilket förhindrat jordmånsbildning. Resultaten från Lizard-halvön möjliggör beräkning av årsmedelnederbörden sedan materialet först avsattes, vilket beräknades till mellan 300-400 mm/år jämfört med modern årsmedelnederbörd mellan 900-1000 mm/år. Dessvärre möjliggjorde inte resultaten från provplatserna på Scillyöarna en liknande beräkning.

Aeolian dust that gets deposited builds up loess sequences that cover 10% of the Earth's continents. Such sequences can be several metres thick with material deposited over thousands of years, and therefore act like archives of past climates. The glacial and interglacial cycles during the late Quaternary affects the loess deposition and the dust in the atmosphere, which has an impact on the global climate. Loess material is deposited during colder and drier periods. Paleosols have often been developed in the loess sequences, reflecting a warmer and wetter climate with decreased dust deposition. By sampling loess from different depths of the sequence and analysing different properties of the material, a reconstruction of past environment and climate can be done. Two commonly used methods are magnetic susceptibility analysis and grain size analysis and differences in the result can show differences in the climate and environment at the time the material was deposited. The late Quaternary climate was influenced by changes in the North Atlantic, and loess in the area is important to study to get a better understanding of the climate at the time it was deposited. In this project, loess material from a 10 metres thick sequence at the Romont site, Belgium has been analysed with grain size and magnetic susceptibility measurements to reconstruct past climate. The results show differences in the magnetic enhancement and the grain size as a gradual decrease in the magnetic enhancement, indicating a colder climate as confirmed by an increase in the U-ratio. This is followed by the abrupt onset of the warm Holocene period, matching the marine isotope record at the approximate same time period. The magnetic susceptibility data identifies the Rocourt tephra layer and also shows evidence of erosion of material between the Kincamp soil and the Nagelbeek Tongue Horizon. / Fint sandmaterial som transporteras med vinden kallas för stoft, när det sedan avsätts på marken bygger det upp så kallade för löss-sekvenser. En löss-sekvens kan vara flera meter tjock och uppbyggd under tusentals år, vilket innebär att materialet på olika djup reflekterar hur klimatet var då det avsattes. Klimatet under senkvartär tid reflekterar istider och mellanistider, vilket påverkar mängden stoft i atmosfären och avsättningen av materialet. Materialet har främst avsatts under kalla och torra perioder. Avsättningen minskade under varma och blöta perioder, vilket var optimalt för så kallade  paleosoler att bildas genom vittring. Genom att ta prover från olika djup i en löss-sekvens och analysera dem är det möjligt att tolka tidigare förändringar i klimatet. Två vanliga analysmetoder är att mäta materialets magnetiska mottaglighet och kornstorleken på materialet. Klimatet under senkvartär tid (130 - 12 tusen år sedan) påverkades av norra Atlanten. Det är därför av stor vikt att analysera prover från platser i närheten, för att bättre förstå hur klimatet varierat då materialet avsattes. I det här projektet har material från en 10 meter tjock löss-sekvens i Romont, Belgien analyserats. Resultatet visar variationer i kornstorlek och magnetisk mottaglighet. Ett vulkaniskt lager som kallas Rocourt identifierades, följt av en gradvis minskning av den magnetiska mottagligheten som visar på ett gradvis kallare klimat fram till början på den varma Holocen-perioden som vi befinner oss i nu. Resultatet visar också bevis för erosion mellan två enheter i sekvensen.

Racemization kinetics of amino acids, determined for the commonly occurring fossil gastropod Succinea, facilitates the ability to construct an accurate and precise paleothermometer to estimate paleotemperatures over specific time intervals during the last 150,000 years in parts of Central Europe. Racemization within the carbonate shell of Succcinea is induced at high temperatures over increasing intervals of time in the laboratory and measured for aspartic acid (asp), glutamic acid (glu), valine (val), and phenylalanine (phe), by reverse-phase liquid chromatography. The activation energy (Ea), frequency factor (A), and forward rate constant (k1) of the Arrhenius equation are determined from the racemization of specific amino acids over time. The Arrhenius parameters, combined with racemization data and independent age estimates of fossil Succinea shells, are used to solve for temperature in geologic samples. Succinea recovered from a loess sequence in western Germany, located around the town of Nussloch, has been chosen for amino acid paleothermometry calculations. Samples were collected from the Nussloch loess -- paleosol sequence in the summer of 2001. The sequence spans from greater than 130,000 years to the present, is dated by luminescence and radiocarbon methods, and has abundant published proxy paleoclimate data for comparison. Temperatures calculated for the bracketed time interval representing the last glacial maximum (25 - 20ka) averaged -5.3°C± 6.8°C using aspartic acid racemization data. Arrhenius parameters for aspartic acid racemization were the best constrained and provide temperature estimates consistent with previously published data. Paleotemperatures calculated for other bracketed intervals of time within the Succinea shells from Nussloch dated within the last 150,000 years exhibited values similar to previously published data with acceptable error.

Ce mémoire de thèse est consacré à l'étude expérimentale du comportement hydromécanique d'un lœss naturel non saturé effondrable provenant d'un site proche de la ville de Bapaume (nord de la France) dans une zone où des problèmes de tassement le long de la ligne nord du TGV ont été attribués à l'effondrement du lœss, du fait d'infiltrations d'eau. Un nouvel appareil triaxial permettant de mesurer localement l'ensemble des caractéristiques du loess non saturé (déformation, teneur en eau et succion) a été développé. La courbe de rétention d'eau, déterminée à l'aide d'un tensiomètre de haute capacité et de la méthode du papier filtre a fait l'objet d'une attention particulière : elle présente autour de la teneur naturelle une zone sans hystérésis bordée par deux boucles d'hystérésis des côtés secs et humides. L'analyse de la courbe de rétention et du phénomène d'hystérésis a été approfondie grâce à une étude microstructurale réalisée à l'aide de la porosimétrie au mercure et de la microscopie électronique à balayage. Une structure assez complexe composée d'un arrangement métastable de grains de limon secs (probablement liés par la recristallisation du calcaire) et d'une phase argileuse répartie de façon hétérogène a été mise en évidence. L'étude du comportement hydromécanique a compris une investigation de l'effondrement à partir de faibles valeurs de contraintes proches de la contrainte in-situ, à l'aide d'essais oedométriques à taux de déformation constant avec mesures de succion. Le maximum d'effondrement et une dépendance fonction de la vitesse de chargement ont été identifiés. Une campagne d'essais triaxiaux à différentes teneurs en eau constantes avec mesure de succion a permis de déterminer l'allure de la limite élastique du limon naturel dans un diagramme p/q, ainsi que ses variations avec la teneur en eau et la succion et confirmer l'écrouissage en succion

The first part of this thesis aims at defining the conditions triggering muddy floods in the Belgian loess belt. On average, each municipality is confronted with 3.6 muddy floods each year. Annual costs associated with their off-site impacts are estimated at € 16-172 millions for the entire Belgian loess belt. A topographic threshold is derived to predict the source areas of muddy floods. Furthermore, the storms required to produce a flood are, on average, smaller in May and June (25 mm) than between July and September (46 mm). This difference is explained by the variability of soil surface characteristics that determine the runoff potential of cultivated soils (soil cover by crops and residues, soil surface crusting and roughness). Steady state infiltration rates of cropland and grassed areas were characterised in the field using a 0.5 m2-portable rainfall simulator. Overall, grassed areas have a lower infiltration rate (16-23 mm h-1) than croplands (25-52 mm h-1). Muddy floods are mostly observed between May-September because of the coincidence of critical soil surface conditions for runoff generation with the most erosive storms. After an adaptation of its decision rules to the local conditions, the STREAM expert-based model provides satisfactory runoff/erosion predictions at the catchment scale. The second part of the thesis aims at evaluating the effectiveness of measures to control muddy floods. A modelling case-study showed that peak discharge was reduced by more than 40% by installing a grassed waterway and a dam at the outlet of a 300 ha-catchment. Monitoring the same catchment (2002-2007) demonstrated that the grassed waterway as well as three dams prevented any muddy flood in the downstream village despite the occurrence of several extreme storms (with a maximum return period of 150 years). Peak discharge was reduced by 69%. Specific sediment yield dropped from 3.5 t ha-1 yr-1 to a mean of 0.5 t ha-1 yr-1 after the installation of the control measures, thereby reducing drastically sediment transfer to the alluvial plain. Finally, a methodology is provided to implement grassed waterways and earthen dams in other dry valleys in the Belgian loess belt and comparable environments.

For many types of learners one can compute the statistically 'optimal' way to select data. We review how these techniques have been used with feedforward neural networks. We then show how the same principles may be used to select data for two alternative, statistically-based learning architectures: mixtures of Gaussians and locally weighted regression. While the techniques for neural networks are expensive and approximate, the techniques for mixtures of Gaussians and locally weighted regression are both efficient and accurate.

The anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility (AMS) was investigated in three Chinese Loess Plateau sedimentary sections along a W–E transect. Previously published models assumed that winter monsoons were responsible for the magnetic fabric formation of loess sequences. In our new interpretation, the stronger summer monsoons from the southeast played the major role in magnetic fabric orientation in the studied west and central parts of the Chinese Loess Plateau. The AMS was generated during the rainy summer monsoon when the sedimentary particles including magnetite were rearranged, settled, and fixed. We reconstruct the summer paleomonsoon routes for the last 130 kyr. These winds prevail from SE to NW but appear to be affected by regional topographic factors. Evidence in the world’s ocean current system indicates an abrupt cooling from 34.1 to 33.6 Ma across the Eocene-Oligocene boundary (EOB) at 33.9 Ma. I describe and date with magnetostratigraphy a section from the north Junggar Basin (Burqin section). Three fossil assemblages revealed through the EOB (34.8, 33.7, and 30.4 Ma) demonstrate that perissodactyl faunas were abruptly replaced by rodent/lagomorph-dominant faunas during climate cooling, and the changes in mammalian communities were accelerated by aridification in central Asia. Paleomagnetic studies of two sections of the northern Junggar Basin, China, are presented from Burqin and Tieersihabahe. Our paleomagnetic results demonstrate counterclockwise tectonic rotations in Burqin and Tieersihabahe (–17.2 ± 9.6° and –11.8 ± 6.1°, respectively) as well as considerable northward latitudinal displacement (12.2 ± 6.5° and 9.7 ± 4.1°, respectively) with respect to Europe. These results are consistent with the motions of contiguous blocks in the same geological time intervals (India, north and south China, Tarim, Amuria, and Kazakhstan). No significant intracontinental shortening or vertical-axis rotation is observed for the Junggar block from 40 Ma to 20 Ma. Our results reveal that the major compression and rotation between Junggar and northern Europe occurred after 20 Ma due to continuous penetration of India into Asia. We interpret the uplift of the Altay Mountains and the formation of the Lake Baikal rift system to be due to such intracontinental compression and relative rotations. / Geophysics

In this study, we use a nonparametric technique, locally weighted robust least squares regression (LOESS), to forecast a 24 hour demand profile at the household level and compare it to existing aggregate demand models discussed in literature. Of these aggregate demand models, a quadratic autoregressive model was selected to be used as a basis for comparison with the LOESS forecasts. It was our goal to automate the forecasting process by using the goodness of fit metric, AICCI, for smoothing parameter selection. The statistical workflow was executed using SAS and data was provided by the Glasgow Electric Plant Board of Barren County, Kentucky. Results show that LOESS outperformed the autoregressive model in roughly 80% of all cases and than using LOESS alone or as part of an ensemble model is a feasible approach to automating future household demand profile for the purpose of generating different levels of power demand profile aggregation as needed by Glasgow Electronic Plant Board.