Zugl.: Stuttgart, Univ., Diss., 2008.

Zugl.: Diss. phil.-naturwiss. Fak. Univ. Bern, 1996. / Die Arbeit enstand im Rahmen des Nationalfondsprojektes "Simulation meteorologischer und chemischer Prozesse während Sommersmoglagen über dem Schweizer Mittelland" Bibliogr.: p. 191-194.

Universiẗat, Diss., 2002--Mainz.

Köln, Universiẗat, Diss., 1997.

No description available.

Aktivitäten und Publikationen des Instituts für Meteorologie für das Jahr 2006

Der Wasserdampfgehalt der Atmosphäre gehört zu den Hauptkontrolleuren des Treibhauseffektes und spielt eine Schlüsselrolle im globalen Energiekreislauf, wobei den Polargebieten als globale Wärmesenken eine besondere Bedeutung zukommt. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wurde aus Messungen des Global Positioning System (GPS) der integrierte Wasserdampfgehalt innerhalb der letzten Dekade bestimmt und analysiert. Die Untersuchungen stützen sich auf die Reprozessierung eines aus 195 Stationen bestehenden globalen GPS-Netzes. Die aus den geschätzten GPS-Troposphärenparameter bestimmten Wasserdampf- zeitreihen wurden hinsichtlich Genauigkeit und Homogenität untersucht. Nach Korrektion der Inhomogenit äten ist es möglich, mit GPS mehrjährige Schwankungen im potenziellen Niederschlagswasser mit einer Genauigkeit besser als 0,3 mm Höhe der Wassersäule zu erfassen. Als Ergebnis der Untersuchungen zeigen sich in Europa und großen Teilen Nordamerikas Anomalien des Wasserdampfgehaltes im Bereich eines Millimeters, welche sich vor allem auf thermodynamische Effekte zurückführen lassen. In den Tropen und im Südosten der USA können die Wasserdampfanomalien 3 bis 5 mm betragen. Sie sind durch dynamische Prozesse bedingt, die mit der Südlichen Oszillation im Zusammenhang stehen. Eine Anwendung der aus GPS-Beobachtungen bestimmten Wasserdampfzeitreihen ist die Validierung des Wasserdampfes im globalen Wettervorhersagemodell des National Center for Environmental Predicton (NCEP). Über Europa und großen Teilen Nordamerikas reproduziert NCEP die Schwankungen des Wasserdampfgehaltes sehr gut und stellt damit eine gute Datengrundlage für ?ächendeckende Untersuchungen langfristiger Veränderungen im Wasserdampfgehalt dar. In der Antarktis und den Tropen wird jedoch das saisonale und mehrjährige Signal des Wasserdampfes von NCEP um 25% bis 40% unterschätzt. Als zweite Anwendung der GPS-Wasserdampfzeitreihen erfolgt die Validierung satellitenbasierter Radiometermessungen über der Antarktis. Sie zeigt eine gute Übereinstimmung der Wasserdampfwerte aus GPSund Radiometermessungen. Die im Rahmen dieser Arbeit aus GPS-Beobachtungen bestimmten Wasserdampfzeitreihen bilden eine sehr gute Datengrundlage für weitergehende Untersuchungen der Wetter- und Klimaforschung. / The atmospheric water vapour is one of the main variables controlling the greenhouse effect and it plays a crucial role in the global energy cycle. In this context the polar regions which act as global heat sinks are especially important. This study uses observations from the Global Positioning System (GPS) to investigate changes of the integrated atmospheric water vapour. It is based on a reprocessing of a global GPS network consisting of 195 stations. A strong emphasis was placed on the investigation of the accuracy and the homogeneity of the GPS derived water vapour time series. After correcting the inhomogeneities interannual ?uctuations in the precipitable water can be determined from GPS data with an accuracy of 0.3 mm in water column height. As a result, the interannual variations in the water vapour content are in the order of one millimetre over Europe and over large areas of North America. They are mainly related to thermodynamic effects. In the tropics and in the south east of the USA water vapour anomalies can reach 3 to 5 mm caused by dynamic processes connected to the Southern Oscillation. As one application of the estimated GPS water vapour time series a validation of water vapour from the global numerical weather prediction model of the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) was carried out. Over Europe and large parts of North America the seasonal signal and the interannual variations of the water vapour are very well reproduced by NCEP. Hence, in these regions NCEP presents a good database for area-wide investigations of long-term changes in the water vapour content. However, in Antarctica and in the Tropics the seasonal and also the interannual signals of the NCEP water vapour are strongly underestimated by 25% to 40%. A second application of the estimated GPS water vapour time series is the validation of satellite-based radiometer measurements over Antarctica. A good agreement was found between the water vapour derived from GPS and radiometer data. The water vapour time series estimated in this study provide a good basis for further weather and climate related investigations.

Realistic simulations of clouds are of uppermost importance for climate modelling using general circulation models. Satellite data are well suited to evaluate model parametrizations. In this study we use the Laboratoire de Me´te´orologie Dynamique general circulation model (LMDZ). We evaluate the current LMDZ cloud phase parametrization, in which the repartition of condensed cloud water between liquid and ice is a function of the local temperature. Three parameters are used to derive a relation between liquid cloud water content and temperature, two of which are not physically based. We use the POLDER-1 satellite data to infer more realistic parameters by establishing statistical relationships between cloud top thermodynamical phase and cloud top temperature, consistently in both satellite data and model results. We then perform a multitude of short model integrations and derive a best estimate for the lowest local temperature where liquid water can exist in a cloud (Tice = -32°C in our parametrization). The other parameter which describes the shape of the transition between ice and liquid water is also estimated. A longer simulation has then been performed with the new parameters, resulting in an improvement in the representation of the shortwave cloud radiative forcing.

The European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) provides an aerosol re-analysis starting from year 2003 for the Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) project. The re-analysis assimilates total aerosol optical depth retrieved by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to correct for model departures from observed aerosols. The reanalysis therefore combines satellite retrievals with the full spatial coverage of a numerical model. Re-analysed products are used here to estimate the shortwave direct and first indirect radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols over the period 2003–2010, using methods previously applied to satellite retrievals of aerosols and clouds. The best estimate of globally-averaged, all-sky direct radiative forcing is −0.7±0.3Wm−2. The standard deviation is obtained by a Monte-Carlo analysis of uncertainties, which accounts for uncertainties in the aerosol anthropogenic fraction, aerosol absorption, and cloudy-sky effects. Further accounting for differences between the present-day natural and pre-industrial aerosols provides a direct radiative forcing estimate of −0.4±0.3Wm−2. The best estimate of globally-averaged, all-sky first indirect radiative forcing is −0.6±0.4Wm−2. Its standard deviation accounts for uncertainties in the aerosol anthropogenic fraction, and in cloud albedo and cloud droplet number concentration susceptibilities to aerosol changes. The distribution of first indirect radiative forcing is asymmetric and is bounded by −0.1 and −2.0Wm−2. In order to decrease uncertainty ranges, better observational constraints on aerosol absorption and sensitivity of cloud droplet number concentrations to aerosol changes are required.

Among anthropogenic perturbations of the Earth\'s atmosphere, greenhouse gases and aerosols are considered to have a major impact on the energy budget through their impact on radiative fluxes. We use three ensembles of simulations with the LMDZ general circulation model to investigate the radiative impacts of five species of greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, CFC-11 and CFC-12) and sulfate aerosols for the period 1930-1989. Since our focus is on the atmospheric changes in clouds and radiation from greenhouse gases and aerosols, we prescribed sea surface temperatures in these simulations. Besides the direct impact on radiation through the greenhouse effect and scattering of sunlight by aerosols, strong radiative impacts of both perturbations through changes in cloudiness are analysed. The increase in greenhouse gas concentration leads to a reduction of clouds at all atmospheric levels, thus decreasing the total greenhouse effect in the longwave spectrum and increasing absorption of solar radiation by reduction of cloud albedo. Increasing anthropogenic aerosol burden results in a decrease in high-level cloud cover through a cooling of the atmosphere, and an increase in the low-level cloud cover through the second aerosol indirect effect. The trend in low-level cloud lifetime due to aerosols is quantified to 0.5 min day-1 decade-1 for the simulation period. The different changes in high (decrease) and low-level (increase) cloudiness due to the response of cloud processes to aerosols impact shortwave radiation in a contrariwise manner, and the net effect is slightly positive. The total aerosol effect including also the aerosol direct and first indirect effects remains strongly negative.