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A "new" Consumer Price Index (CPI) for monetary policy decisions in Sweden : How does a "new" technological CPI compare to the traditional CPI in measuring inflation and influencing monetary policy decisions? / Ett "nytt" Konsumentprisindex (KPI) för penningspolitiska beslut i Sverige : Hur jämför sig ett "nytt" tekniskt KPI med det traditionella KPI när det gäller att mäta inflation och påverka penningpolitiska beslut?Landén, Josef January 2023 (has links)
This study proposes a “new" consumer price index (CPI) and investigates the influence of Sweden's monetary policy on the new index level and its variations over time. Unlike the traditional CPI that the SCB uses, the "new" CPI tries to consider technology improvements by using macro data. The research demonstrates that the "new" CPI resulted in less inflation than the traditional CPI computed from 1981 to 2020. The research predicts that the difference between the two CPIs would keep growing through 2020–2024, indicating that using the "new" CPI will lead to a more conservative approach to monetary policy. The findings suggest that policymakers should update the CPI regularly to reflect changes in consumer behavior and technological advancement, acknowledge the uncertainty associated with forecasting inflation, and be transparent with the public about the limitations of forecasting models. This study emphasizes the potential benefits of incorporating technology improvements into the CPI and its influence on monetary policy.
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Panic buying in Sweden during Covid-19 : An analysis on the effects of panic buying during Covid-19 on the CPI values of groceries in Sweden / Panik köp i Sverige under Covid-19 : En analys av effekterna från panik köp under Covid-19 på KPI värden av matvaror i SverigeHeisar Ebermark, Amanda, Ustinova, Polina January 2022 (has links)
This paper investigated the effects of panic buying induced by the Covid-19 pandemic on groceries' Consumer Price Index (CPI) within Sweden. The years of interest are mainly 2020 to 2021. However, the thesis also looks into years before the pandemic, specifically 2018-2019. The use of years before the pandemic, is to understand better how the CPI of selected groceries behaves in ordinary years and see if changes in CPI from 2020 to 2021 were out of the ordinary. The paper discusses different economic behaviours, specifically looking into how times of crisis affect consumer behaviour. To better understand how CPI for the chosen groceries behaves, graphs were created to show how the CPI values of the goods change over the years. Secondly, two regression analyses were performed in STATA to test whether there are any correlation between panic buying and changes in the CPI values for the chosen groceries. The results given from the graphs indicated that there could be some relationship between panic buying and CPI changes. However, once the regression analyses had been performed, the results showed no correlation between panic buying and changes in CPI for the chosen groceries. This result is not unexpected, as there can be a variety of reasons behind why panic buying did not induce any abnormal changes in CPI for the goods. These reasons are discussed further later on in the thesis as well.
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Index-Based Pricing Models in Strategic Freight ProcurementClausen, Uwe, Dellbrügge, Marius, Scheerer, Hannah, Gehl, Alexander, Brilka, Tim 14 June 2023 (has links)
This extended abstract addresses index-based pricing models between shippers and carriers in strategic freight procurement. The increasingly unpredictable transportation cost developments, caused by a variety of different international crises, led to the need for shippers and carriers to find an equitable form of collaboration. Index-based pricing models are one way to regulate the price adjustment between shipper and carrier during the contract period due to cost developments. However, one obstacle to agreeing on such models is to find the correct index for the respective cost component that is adequate for both shipper and carrier and reflects the actual cost development of the carrier. In semi-structured expert interviews, we investigated which strategies are used to reflect volatile cost developments, how index-based pricing models work, and where problems are seen in this context. Furthermore, a broader study can lead to confirmation or further classification of the results. The abstract describes index-based pricing models with focus on road freight, but the mechanism will work for other transportation modes as well.
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Forecasting Models for Economic and Environmental ApplicationsShih, Shou Hsing 03 April 2008 (has links)
The object of the present study is to introduce three analytical time series models for the purpose of developing more effective economic and environmental forecasting models, among others. Given a stochastic realization, stationary or nonstationary in nature, one can utilize exciting methodology to develop an autoregressive, moving average or a combination of both for short and long term forecasting. In the present study we analytically modify the stochastic realization utilizing (a) a k-th moving average, (b) a k-th weighted moving average and (c) a k-th exponential weighted moving average processes. Thus, we proceed in developing the appropriate forecasting models with the new (modified) time series using the more recent methodologies in the subject matter. Once the proposed statistical forecasting models have been developed, we proceed to modify the analytical process back into the original stochastic realization.
The proposed methods have been successfully applied to real stock data from a Fortune 500 company. A similar forecasting model was developed and evaluated for the daily closing price of S&P Price Index of the New York Stock Exchange. The proposed forecasting model was developed along with the statistical model using classical and most recent methods. The effectiveness of the two models was compared using various statistical criteria. The proposed models gave better results.
Atmospheric temperature and carbon dioxide, CO2, are the two variables most attributable to GLOBAL WARMING. Using the proposed methods we have developed forecasting statistical models for the continental United States, for both the atmospheric temperature and carbon dioxide. We have developed forecasting models that performed much better than the models using the classical Box-Jenkins type of methodology.
Finally, we developed an effective statistical model that relates CO2 and temperature; that is, knowing the atmospheric temperature we can at the specific location estimate the carbon dioxide and vice versa.
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住宅品質變化對房價指數之影響-新推個案 vs. 中古屋 / Housing quality change on price indexes: new housing projects vs. existing housing cases陳相甫, Chen, Hsiang Fu Unknown Date (has links)
過往研究編製房價指數時多在品質固定或控制下,觀察房價的波動趨勢,對於住宅品質的改變如何影響房價則少有說明。而住宅品質為生活品質的一部分,亦為購屋者消費或投資時所關心,然住宅價格與品質間存在何種關係並不清楚,若認為高價格的住宅即代表高品質,則可能存在做出錯誤決策的風險。
本研究利用特徵價格法,探討台北市與台北縣於2000年至2009年間,新推個案與中古屋交易市場住宅品質的改變與房價關係。實證結果發現台北市的標準住宅的品質因改變程度較新北市小,故其對房價指數的波動不如在新北市中明顯。另外,台北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件無明顯衰退之情形,產品品質亦無明顯的提升;新北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件皆呈現衰退現象,但新推個案的產品品質則有提升趨勢,而中古屋住宅則是下降的趨勢。
最後,分析住宅價格與品質間的相關性,實證結果發現,新北市的新推個案住宅與台北市的中古屋住宅存在正相關,顯示在此兩種次市場中,支出更多價格購屋亦獲得更好的住宅品質。 / Most of the existing housing price indexes empirical studies are under quality-constant or quality-control, because housing quality change is difficult to measure. In these cases, one does not concerned about that price index, if one interested in consumption or investment.
We use hedonic price model discusses the relationship of housing price and housing quality about new housing projects and transacted house during 2000 and 2009 in Taipei City and New-Taipei City. The empirical results show that due to degree of change in housing quality of representative house in Taipei City smaller than in New-Taipei City, so the volatility of the price index was significantly better in New-Taipei City.
In addition, the Taipei City housing “location condition” no recession , and no obvious improvement of “structural quality”; New housing projects and transacted house in New-Taipei City, respectively, increase and decline, but the location condition are present recession.
Furthermore, we find that there is positive correlation between housing price and quality in Taipei City’s transacted house market and New-Taipei City’s new housing projects market. In these two sub-markets, consumer spending more housing prices and get better housing quality.
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Såld spannmål av kyrkotionden : Priser i Östergötland under Sveriges stormaktstid / Corn sold from church tithes. Prices in Östergötland during Sweden´s period as a great powerHansson, Göran January 2006 (has links)
<p>The thesis presents annual price series for rye and barley in Östergötland during the period 1592-1735. Prices of wheat, oats, animal products, building materials, iron, nails, horse shoes and horse shoe nails from about the mid-17th century up to 1735 are also presented and analysed. New data has been excerpted from four hospitals and about fifty parishes in Östergötland. Prices from other provinces have also been excerpted for the study. This nes data is compared to already published prices from Sweden´s capital and from several provinces in central parts of the western national region of Sweden of that time. This area constituted Sweden´s core region. By linking the studies results to previous research, a description is made of the price developments for rye, butter and tallow up to 1775, that is, during Sweden´s period of great power and age of freedom. A principal result for the roughly 150 years primarily covered by the thesis is that it was chiefly the prices of rye and barley, the most important food at the time, that fluctuated in twelve cycles. Periodically there were large fluctuatons. The price cycles for corn (half rye, half barley) had an average amplitude of somewhat more than 100 % and a duration of 11 years on average. The prices were on average higher further north in the country. The causes of the price fluctuations are complex. During the major part of the period studied, Sweden was at war or in armistice period, which occupied a large part of the male population. Politically, increasingly great power was gradually concentrated to the king and autocracy was introduced, culminating at the end of Charles XII´s regency. The peasantry was burdened by high taxes and other onuses. After the middle of the 17th century the country was no longer self-subsistent but largely dependent on corn import. The production of foddstuffs decreased, partly through a smaller part of the country´s resources beeing used for production, and partly due to bad harvests. Recurrent epidemics reduced the population even up to the early 18th century.</p>
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Såld spannmål av kyrkotionden : Priser i Östergötland under Sveriges stormaktstid / Corn sold from church tithes. Prices in Östergötland during Sweden´s period as a great powerHansson, Göran January 2006 (has links)
The thesis presents annual price series for rye and barley in Östergötland during the period 1592-1735. Prices of wheat, oats, animal products, building materials, iron, nails, horse shoes and horse shoe nails from about the mid-17th century up to 1735 are also presented and analysed. New data has been excerpted from four hospitals and about fifty parishes in Östergötland. Prices from other provinces have also been excerpted for the study. This nes data is compared to already published prices from Sweden´s capital and from several provinces in central parts of the western national region of Sweden of that time. This area constituted Sweden´s core region. By linking the studies results to previous research, a description is made of the price developments for rye, butter and tallow up to 1775, that is, during Sweden´s period of great power and age of freedom. A principal result for the roughly 150 years primarily covered by the thesis is that it was chiefly the prices of rye and barley, the most important food at the time, that fluctuated in twelve cycles. Periodically there were large fluctuatons. The price cycles for corn (half rye, half barley) had an average amplitude of somewhat more than 100 % and a duration of 11 years on average. The prices were on average higher further north in the country. The causes of the price fluctuations are complex. During the major part of the period studied, Sweden was at war or in armistice period, which occupied a large part of the male population. Politically, increasingly great power was gradually concentrated to the king and autocracy was introduced, culminating at the end of Charles XII´s regency. The peasantry was burdened by high taxes and other onuses. After the middle of the 17th century the country was no longer self-subsistent but largely dependent on corn import. The production of foddstuffs decreased, partly through a smaller part of the country´s resources beeing used for production, and partly due to bad harvests. Recurrent epidemics reduced the population even up to the early 18th century.
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La didactique de la traduction - une étude scientométrique / Translation didactics – A scientometric studyNasr, Maria 15 June 2010 (has links)
Cette thèse est une analyse scientométrique d’un corpus de 542 textes sur la didactique de la traduction publiés entre 1966 et 2009. L’objectif est de voir à travers une analyse des citations quels auteurs ont influencé ce domaine et quels sont les titres, les langues, les supports et les domaines de textes les plus cités. La plupart des auteurs les plus cités sont des traductologues non didacticiens. L’approche fonctionnaliste et l’approche linguistique de la traduction sont les courants de pensée les plus présents parmi ces auteurs dont l’influence est surtout théorique et méthodologique (méthodes d’enseignement). Les textes didactiques reflètent le poids des institutions européennes puisque la plupart des auteurs cités se trouvent sur ce continent. Les auteurs français sont cités presque uniquement par des auteurs du monde francophone alors que les germanophones les plus cités ont de l’écho auprès d’auteurs d’horizons variés. La plupart des écrits les plus cités sont des monographies de recherche traductologique publiées dans les années quatre-vingt dix par des enseignants et praticiens de la traduction. Les écrits les plus citées entre 1966 et 2005 sont des textes de recherche traductologique non didactiques alors que la période 2006-2009 est marquée par les textes didactiques sur la traduction non littéraire. Les articles d’ouvrages collectifs et de revues sont moins cités que les monographies et les auteurs citent davantage de textes anciens que récents. La majorité des textes cités sont écrits en anglais. Par ailleurs, les auteurs du corpus sont très influencés par les écrits traductologiques non didactiques et peu par des textes d’autres domaines. / This thesis is a scientometric study on 542 texts about translation didactics published between 1966 and 2009. The purpose is to investigate what authors have influenced this field and what texts, languages, types of media and disciplines are the most cited. Most cited authors are translation scholars who are not specialized in translation didactics. The functionalist and linguistic approach of translation are the most cited trends among the most cited authors. These authors are mostly cited for their theories and their teaching methods. Citing texts show the influence of European institutions, since most cited authors are affiliated in European countries. French authors are practically only cited by authors affiliated in French-speaking countries and the most influential German-speaking authors are cited by authors from various countries. The majority of most cited texts are monographs on translation studies published in the nineties by teachers and translators. The most cited texts between 1966 and 2005 deal with translation studies research (non-didactic texts) and the most cited texts between 2006 and 2009 are didactic texts on non-literary translation. Papers in collective books and journals are less cited than monographs. Authors also cite more ‘old’ texts than ‘recent’ texts (released more or less than five years after the publication of the citing text). Most cited texts are written in English and texts on translation studies (non-didactic texts) are a lot more cited than texts from other disciplines.
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The Relationship Between an Industry Average Beta Coefficient and Price Elasticity of DemandJoslyn-Battaglia, Kari 12 1900 (has links)
The price elasticity of demand coefficient for a good or service is a measure of the sensitivity, or responsiveness, of the quantity demanded of a product to changes in the price of that product. The price elasticity of demand coefficients were generated for goods and services in nine different industries for the years 1972 to 1984. A simple linear demand function was employed, using the changes in the Consumer Price Index as a proxy for changes in price and Personal Consumption Expenditures, taken from the National Income and Product Accounts, as a proxy for quantity. Beta measures the sensitivity, or responsiveness, of a stock to the market. An industry average beta coefficient was generated for each of the nine industries over the time period, using the beta coefficients published by Value Line for firms which met certain criteria. In order to test the relationship between the price elasticity of demand and an industry average beta coefficient, a simple regression was performed using the beta coefficient as the dependent variable and the price elasticity of demand coefficient as the independent variable. The results broke down into 3 basic categories: those industries for which there seemed to be no relationship, those industries where there was a fairly strong probability that a relationship exists and the price elasticity of demand explains at least part of the variation in beta coefficients, and those industries where there was a very high probability that a relationship does exist and the variation in the price elasticity of demand coefficients substantially explained the variation in the industry average beta coefficients. The first category includes the food at home, tobacco, and shoe industries. The second category includes the men's clothing, the women's clothing, and the alcoholic beverages industries, and the third includes the automobile, airline, and fast-food restaurant industries.
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Vývoj cen zemědělských pozemků / Development of Agricultural Land PricesBezák, Marian January 2020 (has links)
The diploma thesis analyzes the development of agricultural land prices examines the development of agricultural land in the Hodonín district in 2015-2018. Three databases of comparative samples are created for the thesis - according to the source (realized sales, execution sales and offer sales), which are subsequently analyzed and examined. The result is our own findings and conclusions, including the price index, which are compared and confronted with public aggregated data.
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