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Valuation of Installment OptionsMezentsev, Anton, Pomelnikov, Anton January 2009 (has links)
No description available.
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The Hawking mass for ellipsoidal 2-surfaces in Minkowski and Schwarzschild spacetimesHansevi, Daniel January 2008 (has links)
In general relativity, the nature of mass is non-local. However, an appropriate def-inition of mass at a quasi-local level could give a more detailed characterization ofthe gravitational field around massive bodies. Several attempts have been made tofind such a definition. One of the candidates is the Hawking mass. This thesispresents a method for calculating the spin coefficients used in the expression for theHawking mass, and gives a closed-form expression for the Hawking mass of ellipsoidal2-surfaces in Minkowski spacetime. Furthermore, the Hawking mass is shown to havethe correct limits, both in Minkowski and Schwarzschild, along particular foliationsof leaves approaching a metric 2-sphere. Numerical results for Schwarzschild are alsopresented.
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Forecasting the Stock Market : A Neural Network ApprochAndersson, Magnus, Palm, Johan January 2009 (has links)
Forecasting the stock market is a complex task, partly because of the random walk behavior of the stock price series. The task is further complicated by the noise, outliers and missing values that are common in financial time series. Despite of this, the subject receives a fair amount of attention, which probably can be attributed to the potential rewards that follows from being able to forecast the stock market. Since artificial neural networks are capable of exploiting non-linear relations in the data, they are suitable to use when forecasting the stock market. In addition to this, they are able to outperform the classic autoregressive linear models. The objective of this thesis is to investigate if the stock market can be forecasted, using the so called error correction neural network. This is accomplished through the development of a method aimed at finding the optimum forecast model. The results of this thesis indicates that the developed method can be applied successfully when forecasting the stock market. Of the five stocks that were forecasted in this thesis using forecast models based on the developed method, all generated positive returns. This suggests that the stock market can be forecasted using neural networks.
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Regularization of Parameter Problems for Dynamic Beam ModelsRydström, Sara January 2010 (has links)
The field of inverse problems is an area in applied mathematics that is of great importance in several scientific and industrial applications. Since an inverse problem is typically founded on non-linear and ill-posed models it is a very difficult problem to solve. To find a regularized solution it is crucial to have a priori information about the solution. Therefore, general theories are not sufficient considering new applications. In this thesis we consider the inverse problem to determine the beam bending stiffness from measurements of the transverse dynamic displacement. Of special interest is to localize parts with reduced bending stiffness. Driven by requirements in the wood-industry it is not enough considering time-efficient algorithms, the models must also be adapted to manage extremely short calculation times. For the developing of efficient methods inverse problems based on the fourth order Euler-Bernoulli beam equation and the second order string equation are studied. Important results are the transformation of a nonlinear regularization problem to a linear one and a convex procedure for finding parts with reduced bending stiffness.
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Separation of variables for ordinary differential equationsMåhl, Anna January 2006 (has links)
In case of the PDE's the concept of solving by separation of variables has a well defined meaning. One seeks a solution in a form of a product or sum and tries to build the general solution out of these particular solutions. There are also known systems of second order ODE's describing potential motions and certain rigid bodies that are considered to be separable. However, in those cases, the concept of separation of variables is more elusive; no general definition is given. In this thesis we study how these systems of equations separate and find that their separation usually can be reduced to sequential separation of single first order ODE´s. However, it appears that other mechanisms of separability are possible.
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Vädrets påverkan på försäljningen inom svensk dagligvaruhandel : En studie om vädrets påverkan på ICA:s försäljning / Weather's Effect on Sales at Swedish General Dealers : A Study of Weather's Effect on Sales at ICABeckius, Peter, Hübel, Alexander January 2010 (has links)
ICA is the largest general dealer in the Swedish market as well as the largest supplier to the independent ICA-dealers. The principal and one of the biggest stakeholders of this thesis is the department Supply Chain Development who is responsible for the development of ICA’s Supply Chain. The purpose of this study is to examine how ICA’s sales are affected by weather and to make recommendations on how ICA should proceed with its work regarding this issue. By leveraging their forecasts by including weather, ICA hopes that their logistical metrics amount of spoilage, service levels and number of inventory days will improve. This thesis describes how ICA is working with weather currently, and furthermore it discusses the existing literature within this area. Extensive statistical surveys have been conducted in order to identify the products that are affected by weather, and to examine how they are affected by different weather variables. Finally, the thesis gives recommendations to ICA on how they can improve their forecasting by taking this study’s results into account. Presently ICA has no consistent approach when it comes to considering weather’s impact on sales. Each individual product planner uses his own experience and gut feeling and there is no central guidance or other quantitative information there to help them. This thesis is organised around two major statistical studies. First, a correlation study examines the correlation between sales and deviation from mean temperature. The weather parameter was selected following recommendations from earlier studies and from SMHI - the national weather institute in Sweden. The study was conducted on ICA’s entire assortment and identified which items that were affected by weather. These turned out to be about a hundred in number and were affected mainly during the summer; however a few items were also affected in the winter. Most of the affected items were rather logical regarding weather’s effects on sales and have also been pointed out by planners as products that are likely to be affected by weather. Following that, several regression analyses were conducted on the selected weather affected assortment. The regression analyses were conducted with various combinations of one or more weather parameters as explanatory variables. Surprisingly, in most cases the deviation from mean temperature alone was the parameter that best explained the variance in sales figures. The result or output of this thesis is a value for the expected change in sales for a selected assortment, given a change in deviation from mean temperature. The recommendations given at the end of this thesis explains how ICA in a simple and cost effective way could implement the study's results in their daily work. The proposal is to divide the work by what should be done centrally by the forecasting department, and by what should be done individually by each planner. The forecasting department should regularly collect weather forecasts over different time periods, calculate the deviation from mean temperature and distribute it to the supply planner. After that, it is up to the supply planners on how to best take advantage of this information by taking into account other unique factors affecting each category, such as campaigns, holidays and daily indexes that in many cases have more effect on sales than the weather.
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Pricing and Hedging of Defaultable ModelsAntczak, Magdalena, Leniec, Marta January 2011 (has links)
Modelling defaultable contingent claims has attracted a lot of interest in recent years, motivated in particular by the Late-2000s Financial Crisis. In several papers various approaches on the subject have been made. This thesis tries to summarize these results and derive explicit formulas for the prices of financial derivatives with credit risk. It is divided into two main parts. The first one is devoted to the well-known theory of modelling the default risk while the second one presents the results concerning pricing of the defaultable models that we obtained ourselves.
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Energy Derivatives PricingProstakova, Irina, Tazov, Alexander January 2011 (has links)
In this paper we examine energy derivatives pricing. The previous studies considered the same source of uncertainty for the spot and the futures prices. We investigate the problem of futures pricing with two independent sources of risk. In general the structure of the oil and gas futures markets is closely related to some stock indices. Therefore, we develop a model for the futures market and compound derivatives with pricing in accordance with the correspondent index. We derive a framework for energy derivatives pricing, compute the price of the European call option on futures and corresponding hedging strategy. We calculate the price of the European call option adjusted for an index level, study the American put option on futures and corresponding hedging strategies.
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Operator Splitting Techniques for American Type of Floating Strike Asian OptionTakac, Michal January 2011 (has links)
In this thesis we investigate Asian oating strike options. We particu-larly focus on options with early exercise - American options. This typeof options are very lucrative to the end-users of commodities or ener-gies who are tend to be exposed to the average prices over time. Asianoptions are also very popular with corporations, who have ongoing cur-rency exposures. The main idea of the pricing is to examine the freeboundary position on which the value of the option is depending. Wefocus on developing a ecient numerical algorithm for this boundary.In the rst Chapter we give an informative description of the nancialderivatives including Asian options. The second Chapter is devoted tothe analytical derivation of the corresponding partial dierential equa-tion coming from the original Black - Scholes equation. The problemis simplied using transformation methods and dimension reduction. Inthe third and fourth Chapter we describe important numerical methodsand discretize the problem. We use the rst order Lie splitting and thesecond order Strang splitting. Finally, in the fth Chapter we makenumerical experiments with the free boundary and compare the resultwith other known methods.
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Stable Numerical Methods for PDE Models of Asian OptionsRehurek, Adam January 2011 (has links)
Asian options are exotic financial derivative products which price must be calculated by numerical evaluation. In this thesis, we study certain ways of solving partial differential equations, which are associated with these derivatives. Since standard numerical techniques for Asian options are often incorrect and impractical, we discuss their variations, which are efficiently applicable for handling frequent numerical instabilities reflected in form of oscillatory solutions. We will show that this crucial problem can be treated and eliminated by adopting flux limiting techniques, which are total variation dimishing.
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