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Modelando a mudança estrutural do consumo e da renda agregados no Brasil: fatos estilizados a partir de um modelo de cointegração com parâmetros variando no tempo

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Previous issue date: 2011-02-08 / This paper aims to analyze the relationship between household consumption and income in Brazil for the past 60 years. In order to do this it will be used the econometric methodology suggested by Bierens and Martins (2010) that consists in estimating an Autoregressive Vector with Error Correction Mechanism similar to the model proposed by Johansen(1988), but with the time varying cointegrated vector. This estimated model proved to be better compared to traditional analysis of Johansen (1988) and allowed better fit between consumption and income. / A pesquisa teve como objetivo analisar a relação entre consumo e renda agregados das famílias no Brasil para os últimos 60 anos. Para realizar esta análise, foi utilizado a metodologia econométrica sugerida por Bierens e Martins (2010), que consiste na estimação de Vetor Autoregressivo com Mecanismo de Correção de Erros (VECM) similar ao modelo proposto por Johansen (1988), porém permitindo que vetor de cointegração varie ao longo do tempo. Este modelo estimado mostrou-se melhor comparado à análise tradicional de Johansen (1988).

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:bibliotecadigital.fgv.br:10438/8338
Date08 February 2011
CreatorsLeite, Fernando Scarpa Rezende
ContributorsPereira, Pedro L. Valls, Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis, Escolas::EESP, Marçal, Emerson Fernandes
Source SetsIBICT Brazilian ETDs
LanguagePortuguese
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
Sourcereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas, instacron:FGV
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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