Part of this Master’s thesis is an analysis of chosen technical indicators for selected currency pairs and following by creation business strategy. It includes theoretical basis of technical analysis. Next part describes the design of application to support technical analysis. Conclusion of thesis contains single business strategies.

The subject of my thesis is technical analysis - creation of an investment strategies. The theoretical part describes the theoretical background relating to technical analysis and indicators. The practical part map the current situation in the environment of investing in forex - comparing brokers, choice of platform, etc. The solution contains a description of the investment strategies that have been programmed in Meta Quotes Language 4 and tested and optimized using genetic algorithms in platform MetaTrader 4. In my thesis is also calculated the interdependence of investment strategies.

This thesis deals with the design of trading strategies suitable for trading the currency markets. Design is carried out by means of artificial intelligence, the proposed strategies are then optimized and evaluated using previously unknown data. The partial objective is to implant this process in an existing company with the aim to broaden its capital. The consequences arising from this trading approach to the development of the company’s capital are subsequently studied from several perspectives – a schedule is outlined for the introduction into the company that has been chosen earlier, then the expected costs and revenues are compared in the scope of medium-term and in the last part the above procedure is analyzed so its risks can be pointed out and therefore procedures for their restrictions can be proposed as well.

This thesis deals with design of Forex trading strategy. The main goal is to achieve satisfying trading results with strategy based on fundamental and technical analysis. This paper provides brief introduction into the International Interbank Foreign Exchange and describes basic principles of both technical and fundamental analysis. The most important part of this thesis contains the design of trading strategy and description of its implementation. Also the verication of suitability of designed strategy for Forex trading is involved.

This master’s thesis primary deals with a design and a development of own automated trading system which is specialized for commodity markets, especially corn, soybean, wheat and slightly for gold. You can find theoretical basics of technical analysis here, then technical indicators, risk management and trading systems themselves. System is completely designed and programmed in MetaTrader trading platform with using programming language MQL and genetic algorithms. The output of this thesis is portfolio containing six trading strategies which achieved totally 42,4 % increase in three months at the end of year 2014.

This diploma thesis deals with theoretical and practical aspects of the commodity mar-ket. The automated trading system is designed and described there, which is focused on oil trades. The theoretical background as technical analysis, technical indicators descrip-tion or money management in trading, are described. The practical part of the thesis is focused on the analysis of oil market and the proposition of several strategies. These strategies are implemented subsequently to MQL4 language and tested on historical data.

The master thesis is focused on detailed description of technical analysis and familiarization with fundamental analysis options. Theoretical part of the thesis is focused on describing the market behaviours, the most used technical indicators and tools which are used during market trading. Following part describes the most used trading platform and its weaknesses. Practical part designs and implements tools for elimination of the platform weaknesses.

This diploma thesis deals with the Triple Screen trading system in the theoretical and practical level. As part of the work semiautomatic trading system, which focuses on trading with corn is designed. Previously, there are discussed theoretical assumptions necessary for the successful implementation of the trading system. There is explained and described deal with corn and principles and possibilities nowadays. The practical part includes the creation of custom application in Matlab development environment and scripting language. Using this application is simulated trading corn with selected trend indicators and oscillators. Using historical data there is found the best combination of indicators and it is subsequently applied on the following dates.

This bachelor thesis aims to investigate household electricity supply and demand during a crisis. Both quantitative and qualitative aspects of crisis preparedness and household electricity demand are considered. In this thesis, the subject is studied by conducting simulations of electricity consumption as well as retrieving theoretical framework and concepts from literature and interviews. Emphasis will be on how the cost of a lithium-ion battery storage, that supplies households with electricity during power outages, is affected by households’ behavioural patterns regarding electricity use. To estimate household electricity demand, data are utilized from a stochastic model which simulates household members electricity usage patterns. Three different scenarios are modelled, representing varying household electricity reliance, across different lengths of power outages. The first scenario illustrates households’ normal electricity demand. The second scenario represents a changed behaviour pattern leading to a reduced electricity demand. The third and last scenario concerns a case where households with adequate crisis preparedness are taken into account, resulting in a linearly scaled down electricity demand. Gaps in the distribution of responsibility between municipalities and households concerning crisis preparedness are brought up and discussed. The thesis highlights households with unique needs that risk not getting the support needed from the municipality in case of a crisis. The result shows that meeting the electricity demand for Knivsta urban area during a power outage by utilizing a battery storage would be very costly for the municipality. Despite the cost reduction from decreased electricity consumption, large investments are still required. A battery storage system on that scale might not be the only nor most optimal solution for crisis preparedness. Instead, opportunities are found by challenging prevailing norms of constant electricity supply and increased resilience among households. Lastly, possible solutions less costly for the municipality are presented.

在這篇文章裡我們採用了White所提出的真實檢驗法(Reality Check)來解決探勘資料偏誤(Data-snooping bias)的問題，結果顯示從1980年到2008年間，技術分析法則的確可以幫助投資人在日圓兌美元及英鎊兌美元這兩個外匯市場獲利；我們也發現在外匯市場最普遍的技術分析方式─移動平均法(moving average)表現不如其他的技術分析法則，而通道突破法(channel break-out)的表現則明顯優於其他技術分析法則。 除了檢驗技術分析方法的獲利性之外，我們也嘗試著探討技術分析方法的獲利性與央行干預之間的關係，追隨Szacmary與Mathur在1997年所發表的論文，我們把技術分析法則擴充為在真實檢驗法中所使用到的所有法則，並且盡可能加長分析的期間。結果顯示技術分析法則的獲利與央行干預並不存在任何特定的關係。 / In this paper we construct a huge universe of simple trading rules and apply White’s Reality Check to mitigate data-snooping bias then detect the profitability of technical trading rules. We find that technical analysis is useful no matter in the full sample time or each subsample period. The channel break-out method outperforms the other methods in our finding while the profitability of the most commonly used moving average method is worse than the others. Furthermore, we inspect the relationships between the returns of technical trading rules and central bank intervention. The results suggest that there’s no evident relationship between the return series of trading rules and central bank intervention and are not consistent with the view of our following previous study.