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廿一世紀中共海權思想演進及海軍戰略之研究 / The Evolution of China's Maritime Thinking and the Research of Navy's Strategic Development in 21 Century洪志銨, Hung, Chih An Unknown Date (has links)
回顧中共海權及海軍的發展及21世紀現行海權發展目標、作為、法令依據等。其海軍力量的發展如同其經濟成長情形一樣快速起飛,很自然成為西方矚目焦點,特別是建立遠洋艦隊的企圖,更引起外界高度關注。依中共海軍規劃,希望在2050年具備並達到遂行遠洋作戰的能力和目標。
進入21世紀, 2003年至2011年,即便是在國際金融危機的衝擊下,中國經濟仍達到了10.7%的平均增速。2011年,中共經濟總量超越日本,成為世界第二大經濟體,也意味著中共海權的發展伴隨著經濟正高速的發展,期與世界大國站立於同一水平。1982年4月聯合國通過了「聯合國海洋法公約」,於1994年11月正式生效,此法的公佈使得海洋權再分配進入了新階段,不僅確立了12海浬領海制度、200海浬專屬經濟區制度、大陸架制度及國際海底區域與資源是全人類共同繼承的財產和公海管理制度等。「聯合國海洋法公約」的生效,對中共而言不僅是提供近300萬平方公里海洋國土的法律依據,使中共站在維護國家基本利益與主權的角度上有理有據的發展海權作為。在此時空環境下,中共積極地將海軍戰略調整為更具主動性的「近海防禦」之區域性戰略,逐步擴大到太平洋「第二島鏈」的遠洋海軍。藉由經濟發展支撐海權,透過海權的維護來牽引經濟發展加快實現國防現代化,尤其海上武裝力量的建設,使其能確保海上行動自由,保障海上交通運輸和海洋安全。
在中共挾其綜合國力快速增長的同時,可預見的中共逐漸發展的海權及海軍戰略,勢必影響區域間各國的緊張及美、日等國的約制與挑戰。一場軍備競賽正開始中,中共海軍已逐漸由區域性海軍向全球性遠洋海軍發展與布局,進而發展成為海陸複合的強國。 / The purpose of this study is to retrospect the development of China's Navy and maritime right as well as its goals, operations and related laws. Its maritime power improves rapidly in coordinate with its economic growth. Obviously, Beijing attempts to establish the deep waters fleet capability which is also so-called "Blue Sea", resulting in the attention of western powers. Therefore, PRC (People's Republic of China) is going to have the deep waters military capabilities in 2050 according to China's force building schedule.
At first, China's economy growth rate reaches 10.7 percentages on average from 2003 to 2011. In 2011, its economic trade overpasses Japan to be the 2nd largest country all over the world, indicating that its economic achievement already reach the level of advanced nations. Secondly, the United Nations passed "United Nations Maritime Convention" in April, 1982 and took in effect in November, 1994. This pact not only redistribute the maritime right into new phase by clarifying 12 nautical miles of territorial waters, 200 nautical miles of economic waters and the continental shelf, but also state that all the maritime resources belong to all the human beings. Moreover, the Act facilitates China's gaining maritime territory for 3 million square meters and provides the judicial basis to maintain its national interests and sovereignty. Through this specific phenomenon, Beijing actively adjusts its naval strategy from coastal waters to deep waters reaching the field of 2nd Island Chain. The maritime right facilitates economic development and modernizes its national defense abilities, especially on setting up the armed maritime power to safeguard the maritime transportation and sea lane security.
Lastly, with the combined power development, China's maritime right and naval strategy will cause unrest in the region as well as the constraints and challenges from US and Japan. As predicted, there will have an armament race when Beijing develops its naval strategy from coastal waters to deep waters. China will gradually transform into a super power.
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冷戰後中共海權發展對東亞安全影響之研究 / Chinese Communist Party after the cold war study on influence of sea-power development on East Asian security周晨晰, Chou, Chen Hsia Unknown Date (has links)
近十年來,中共海軍力量的發展如同其經濟成長情形一樣快速起飛,很自然成為西方矚目焦點,特別是建立遠洋艦隊的企圖,更引起外界高度關注。依中共海軍規劃,希望在2050年具備並達到遂行遠洋作戰的能力和目標。
冷戰結束後,中共被視為崛起的新興區域強權。「中國威脅論」也一度甚囂塵上。雖然中共極力反駁,但是一個經濟高度發展、致力於富國強兵的中共,不可避免的為亞太地區的安全帶來極大的陰影。中共對於亞太地區的影響力,除了經濟因素外,終究還是以軍事力量最為明顯,使得對中共軍事力量備感壓力的亞太各國,對中共以國防現代化來突顯國力,更加的敏感。在經濟建設成果日盛的情況下,中共為擴大其沿海地區經濟的發展,及符合大國身份所推動國防現代化,都將影響亞太地區的安全。
隨著綜合國力的提升,中共以更具實力與自信處理有關核心利益的爭端。面對中共政治、經濟、軍事的全面崛起,身為全球霸權的美國謀求確保東亞區域秩序的穩定。但儘管美國在2009年7月宣布重返亞洲,中共和鄰國在領土主權問題上依舊衝突不斷。
中共之擴張已使東亞國家充滿不安全感,亞太國家仍陷入一場軍備競賽之中,並進一步鼓勵同盟體之出現及刺激日本加強軍備以求自保。不管亞太地區是進入軍備競賽之權力平衡體系,或是其他國家聯合對抗中共之態勢,對亞太地區建構中之多邊安全體系都是一種打擊。 / In the past decade, the development of PRC’s navy power has grown as fast as its economical trowth. Naturally, such rapid growth attracts the attention of western countries. PRC’s attempt to build a far sea fleet is especially highly concerned by international community. According to PRC’s own plan, it hopes to achieve the previous goals in 2050.
After cold war, China has been determined a newly-rising-power country, and has started trying to conquer all the power left in the Asia Pacific area after the seperation of USSR, and along with their motivation, the rumar of the “China Threaten Theory” has once spreaded out in the world. Thought China has rejected this kind of rumar, but it is still a well-known economic and army developed country and unavoidably, affects the Pan Asia area. Generaly, economics of China is the influence to the Pan Asia area, but actually, the quick army-building is the main effect; as a matter of fact, this influence (modernized China military) has become a big pressure to Pan Asia countries. In order to follow the quick progression of economics in China, it is also trying to build the coastal area and modernize its national defense. This motivation will badly affect the safty of Pan Asia countries.
As China’s comprehensive national power rises with its rapid economic growth, it becomes more capable of protecting its core interests. As a global hegemon, the U.S. strives to wecure regional stability in East Asia. Although the U.S. proposed “the U.S. Retrun to Asia” strategy in July 2009, confrontation in the South China Sea between China and other claimants still continues. This thesis discusses the impact of the U.S. return to Asia on China’s South China Sea policy.
East Asia counties are new feel not safe at all due to China’s military development,and the Pan Asia countries are still playing in a game of purchasing military equipments, and moreover, China even tell Janpan to purchase more gears for their own good. It doesn’t matter what kind of system that Pan Asia countries are in , either the military competition, or united with other countries to fight China, it all will become an impact to the vivid safty system that Pan Asia countries have built.
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