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兩岸和平協議可行性之研究 / Peace Agreement Feasible Study Of Taiwan and Mainland何維國 Unknown Date (has links)
兩岸在10餘年前就曾倡議簽訂和平協議,當時中共的態度強硬,強調台灣是中國的一部分,1995年並宣稱兩岸可在「一個中國原則」下,正式就結束敵對狀態協商、達成協議。然而李登輝總統先是以兩岸可舉行預備性磋商為回應,最後卻推出「兩國論」,終結了兩岸最初的和平協議倡議。
民進黨接續執政後,陳水扁推動台灣公投制憲,中共則祭出反分裂國家法,兩岸對抗更加激烈。然而近10餘年來兩岸的情勢與發展卻有了不同對比,中國大陸迅速崛起,台灣則因政治內耗、封閉鎖國而導致綜合實力下降。而這也迫使馬英九在2008年的總統大選中,將兩岸簽訂和平協議作為政見。也因為其獲得高票當選,就職演說中乃進一步宣布:未來將與大陸就台灣國際空間與兩岸和平協議進行協商。
由於簽訂和平協議對兩岸關係未來的開展具有重大影響,因此本文乃就兩岸和平協議的概念、性質,以及影響的環境因素、主客觀立場、戰略態度、學者的提議、化解方式、兩岸的努力等做一分析探討,以評估兩岸在時空背景改變之下,能否有所妥協、達成或接受何種性質的和平協議。
關鍵詞:和平協議、和平發展、和平統一、一個中國、結束敵對狀態 / Taiwan and Mainland had proposed to sign a peace agreement over 10 years ago. At that time, the Communist Party of China (CPC) held a tough attitude, stressing that Taiwan is a part of China. In 1995, the Mainland declared both sides could negotiate for reaching a peace agreement on officially ending the state of hostility under the “one China principle”. The then-president Lee Teng-hui firstly made such a response that both sides could launch preparatory negotiations, but finally rolled out the “two states theory”, which ended up both sides’initial proposal for a peace agreement.
After the Democratic Progressive Party successively held power, Chen Shui-bian pushed for Taiwan referendum to draw up a constitution, and immediately the CPC proclaimed the Anti-Secession Law, which brought both sides into more intense confrontation. However, in recent 10 years, the situation and development across Taiwan Strait have appeared different changes: the Chinese Mainland is rising rapidly, while Taiwan’s comprehensive strength is on the decline due to internal political friction and closed-door policy. This thus forced Ma Ying-jeou to take the signing for a peace agreement across Taiwan Strait as his political view during the 2008 presidential election. After elected as president by a majority of votes, president Ma, in his inaugural speech, further announced: Taiwan would launch negotiations with the Mainland on the issues of Taiwan’s international space and both sides’peace agreement.
As the signing of peace agreement will cause significant impact on the future development of cross-strait relationship, this paper conducts analyses on the peace agreement’s concept and nature, as well as the influencing environmental factors, subjective and objective stances, strategic attitudes, scholars’ proposals, methods to resolve conflicts and both sides’efforts, in order to evaluate what kind of peace agreenent can be compromised, reached or accepted by both sides under the background of changed times.
Keywords: peace agreement, peaceful development, peaceful reunification, one China, ending up hostility state
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