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Estudo da sinistralidade no mercado securitário de veículos: uma abordagem multivariadaCosta, Priscila Amorim da [UNESP] 10 November 2014 (has links) (PDF)
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000814919.pdf: 1106420 bytes, checksum: 6bbc007e3e1451a2648cbfdb3aeef795 (MD5) / The insurer that has an effective control of the risks involved by the insureds can avoid issues such as bankruptcy and loss of profitability. The purpose of the research was to identify the varieties that define the risk associated with future buyers, enabling classify them into one of two groups, the claimed and the unclaimed, based in probabilities defined by a multivariate model. Therefore, were questions considered (variables) existing on the risk evaluation of the insurers questionnaire and others nominated by the expert brokers of the insurers. To achieve the objective, was used in the analyses, the multivariate statistical technique, known as Discriminant Analysis, in order to segregate the individual into one of two groups. A discriminant function was constructed from the independent variables, associated to the risks, and from the dependent variable, which covers the two groups. Other results as estimation of the classification rule, evaluation of the quality of the discrimination rule settings, estimation of the overall probability of correct answers and tests related to the assumptions of discriminant analysis were presented. The studied sample was consisted of 2,000 insured served by the broker, divided into two groups: the first composed of individuals without claims; and the second with those who has one or more claims. The model enabled to classify individuals by the two groups, wherein in the development sample and test the classification represented 69% accuracy. The separation was carried out by variables with higher importance degrees. Where elected: car power, time of insurance, bonus, parking lot use, and professional activities defined by the insured occupation. Such variables can be considered highly discriminating, based on the contribution coefficient for the discrimination. This work has presented results that contradict the common sense in the insurance market, in which technicians say that sex and age determine whether / The insurer that has an effective control of the risks involved by the insureds can avoid issues such as bankruptcy and loss of profitability. The purpose of the research was to identify the varieties that define the risk assciated with future buyers, enabling classify them into one two groups, the claimed and the unclaimed, based in probabilities defined by a multivariate model. Therefore, were questions considered (variables) existing on the risk evaluation of the insurers questionnarie and others nominated by the expert brokers of the insurers. To achieve the objective, was used in the analysis, the multivariate statistical technique, known as Discriminant Analylsis, in order to segregate the individual into one of two groups. A discriminant function was constructed from the independent variables, associated to the risks, and the dependent variable, which covers the two groups. Other results as estimation of the classification rule, evaluation of the quality of the discrimination rule settings, estimation of the overall probability of correct answers and tests related to the assumptions of discrimination analysis were presented. The studied sample was consisted of 2,000 insured served by the broker, divided into two groups: the first composed of individuals without claims; and the second with those who has one or more claims. The model enabled to classify individuals by the two groups, wherein in the development sample and test the classification represented 69% accuracy. The separation was carried out by variables with higher importance degrees. Were elected: car power, time of insurance, bonus, parking lot use, and professional activities defined by the insured occupation. Such variables can be considered hihgly discriminating, based on the contribution coefficient for the discrimination. This work has presented results that contradict the common sense in the insurance market, in which technicians say that sex and age determine...
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O princípio da função social aplicado nos contratos de seguroBezerra Silva Júnior, Inaldo 30 June 2009 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2009-06-30 / It takes a dissertation study about influences of social function on insurance contracts. The contracts' social function depends on orientations, principles, rules and fundamental values of Constituição de 1988 and expressively foreseen on the Código Civil de 2002 as general clause. The general clauses are composed by a legislative method expressed by a great variety of rules that undertakes to its application several hypotheses. It searches for the social function concept through comparison of constitutional rules which sense are given as well as historical evolution of the insurance contract. In this way, the contracts' social function content is related to economic function of the same instrument, undertaking the parts interests to the social interest of mutuality preservation. This new order is inserted in a tendency of will autonomy limitation instead social interests. On this context, the insurance contract is gone through to surprise what reflexes of contracts' social function in the insurance juridical system. It will be done the exam of the insurance contract historical origin and its technical basis. The mutualism reveals an undefined number of people under the same risk, what shows the submission of individual interests of every insured to the group interest, revealing the solidarity of taking apart the risks besides proving a deep relation between the insurance and social function / Cuidará a dissertação do estudo sobre influências da função
social nos contratos de seguro. A função social dos contratos é
decorrência de diretrizes, princípios, normas e valores fundamentais
da Constituição de 1988 e expressamente prevista no Código Civil de
2002 como cláusula geral. As cláusulas gerais se constituem em um
método legislativo pelo qual se expressam por normas de grande
generalidade que submetem à sua aplicação variadas hipóteses.
Busca-se o conceito de função social através do confronto das
normas constitucionais que lhe dão fundamento e da evolução
histórica dos contratos e do próprio contrato de seguro. Nesse
sentido, o conteúdo da função social dos contratos esta relacionado
com a função econômica do mesmo instrumento, submetendo o
interesse das partes ao interesse social de preservação da
mutualidade.
Essa nova ordem se insere em uma tendência de limitação da
autonomia da vontade em função de interesses sociais. Nesse
contexto o contrato de seguro é examinado para entender quais os
reflexos da função social dos contratos no regime jurídico do seguro.
Proceder-se-á ao exame da origem histórica do contrato de
seguro e de suas bases técnicas. O mutualismo revela a presença de
um número indeterminado de pessoas sujeitas ao mesmo risco,
característica que demonstra a submissão dos interesses individuais
de cada segurado ao interesse do grupo, o que revela a solidariedade
na repartição dos riscos e comprova uma intima relação entre o
seguro e a função social
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Fundamentação filosófica do princípio do mutualismo nos contratos de seguroRodrigues, Vera Maria de Carvalho Pinto 01 June 2010 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2010-06-01 / This essay intends to analyze the principle of mutualism in light of the eighteenth century contractual theory produced by Jean-Jacques Rousseau, as a form of free association that brings benefits for all of its members, which benefits are to be reached through the gathering of forces of those members aiming the common good. It will be explored the similarities between the contractual theory of Rousseau and the principle of mutualism, since in both cases the members of a collectivity contribute to get benefits from this association. Thus, these members assure protection against occasional misfortunes and related damages arising from its occurrence. Then, we start to view the social pact as a more specific kind of association, as in the insurance agreements, and not as a political organization. We will also study the relation between the risk inherent to the social contract and to the insurance agreement, which has the principle of mutualism as cornerstone. It will be discussed the philosophical fundaments of the principle of mutualism in the insurance agreements, since the insurance agreements are based on the concepts of the common good, presented in Rousseau's contractual theory; allowing that all the members of the insured collectivity benefit from the tranquility of having their personal or material assets protected against future or uncertain misfortunes, or against damages caused at the time of the loss, that could not be borne by them individually. At last, we will analyze the principle of mutualism and the insurance agreements in the Civil Code of 2002, and on recent decision of the Appellate Courts of the State of São Paulo / O presente trabalho tem por proposta a análise do princípio do mutualismo à luz da teoria contratualista do século XVIII elaborada por Jean-Jacques Rousseau, como forma de associação livre que traz benefícios para todos os que dela participam, alcançados pela soma de esforços para o bem comum. Serão exploradas as semelhanças a teoria contratualista de Rousseau entre o princípio do mutualismo, visto que em ambos os casos os membros de determinada coletividade contribuem para se beneficiar dessa associação, garantindo, assim, a proteção contra eventuais infortúnios e danos decorrentes de sua ocorrência. Passa-se, então a considerar o pacto social sob um prisma menor de associação, como nos contratos de seguro, e não sob o ponto de vista de organização política da sociedade; assim como será abordada a relação entre o risco inerente ao contrato social e ao contrato de seguro, cujo pilar de sustentação está no princípio do mutualismo. Serão feitas considerações sobre a fundamentação filosófica do princípio do mutualismo nos contratos de seguro, na medida em que este é fundado nas concepções de bem comum, tais como apresentadas no contratualismo de Rousseau; possibilitando que todos integrantes da massa segurada desfrutem da tranqüilidade de garantir seus bens pessoais ou materiais dos infortúnios futuros e incertos, ou dos danos efetivamente causados quando da ocorrência de sinistros, o que de forma isolada não teriam condições de assumir. Por fim, serão feitas reflexões sobre o princípio do mutualismo e os contratos de seguro no Código Civil de 2002, bem como sobre recentes decisões do E. Tribunal de Justiça do Estado de São Paulo
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