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An empirical investigation of the determinants of corporate capital structure decisionsPatterson, Cleveland S. January 1980 (has links)
No description available.
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Agency theory: a model of investor equilibrium and a test of an agency cost rationale for convertible bond financingMoore, William T. 12 September 2012 (has links)
The conflict that may arise among holders of competing claims on firms' assets is being studied under the heading of "agency theory."
The primary purposes of the research done in this study were to: (1) economically model the individual investor's consumption-investment decision as it is modified by the agency problem, and (2) to econometrically model the firm's decision to issue convertible versus nonconvertible bonds using explanatory variables which measure the extent of the agency problem.
Individual investors are assumed to maximize expected utility of consumption by choosing consumption and investment amounts over a single period. A mathematical model of the investor's consumption-investment decision was derived in an environment characterized by agency problems between stockholders and bondholders. It was demonstrated that if the capital markets exhibit conditions known as spanning and competitivity, then the only investors affected by the agency problem are those holding the affected securities prior to the act of expropriation. It was also shown that the agency problem does not vanish in general, even if investors attempt to avoid the expropriation by holding balanced portions of all outstanding claims on a firm's assets.
Implications of the theoretical development were then tested by econometrically modelling the firm's choice of convertible versus nonconvertible debt. The explanatory variables included in the model included measures of the more popular reasons for convertible financing, such as the "debt sweetener" hypothesis and the "delayed equity" rationale discussed in most basic finance textbooks. In addition, measures of agency costs were included, since one possible solution to the agency problem is the issuance of convertible bonds. The empirical results showed that the model accounted for a significant portion of the discrimination between convertible and straight debt, and that the variables designed to measure agency costs were marginally significant. / Ph. D.
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Essays on the dynamics of qualitive aspects of firms' behaviorCorres, Stelios 26 October 2005 (has links)
This dissertation contains two independent but related papers which investigate theoretically and empirically qualitative aspects of firms' behavior in dynamic settings.
CHAPTER 1.
ENDOGENOUS ATTRITION OF FIRMS: An Investigation with COMPUSTAT Data
Chapter One develops a dynamic programming model of firms' attrition and investigates econometric aspects of firms' exit decisions. Structural econometric analyses of exit decisions of firms involve rather naturally a number of qualitative dimensions. This chapter investigates the exit decision empirically by means of panel data from COMPUSTAT for U.S. manufacturing firms which are publicly traded. A number of different techniques are employed, which include Poisson models, structural form models and duration models.
Our findings show that observable characteristics of the individual firms are important in understanding the dynamics of firm's attrition. Cyclical effects and macroeconomic variables have also a strong impact on bankruptcies, liquidations and reorganizations. Unobserved firm heterogeneity, modeled by means of random effects, is not significant in explaining exit decisions by firms. Firms' attrition is more likely to result from random events at the time of exit.
CHAPTER 2
AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION ON THE DYNAMICS OF QUALITATIVE DECISIONS OF FIRMS
Chapter Two focuses on qualitative aspects of financing, investment and output decisions of firms. Such dimensions can be modeled econometrically by means of dynamic limited dependent variables models. We develop a partial equilibrium dynamic stochastic programming problem of investment, dividend and financing decisions for a typical firm and we use it to examine firms' behavior under exogenous borrowing constraints.
We use panel data from COMPUSTAT for publicly traded U.S. manufacturing firms. We apply limited dependent variable models' techniques to study the discrete decisions of whether or not firms pay dividends, or whether they use borrowing or equity issue financing for investment. We study the pattern of transitions over time across various regimes that represent alternative modes of finance while controlling for individual heterogeneity with a general stochastic structure for unobservables. Structural form models show considerable success in explaining the dynamics of such decisions, with individual characteristics of the firms which include firm fundamentals, and lagged values of the decisions, showing a strong explanatory impact. The dynamics of the estimated models reveal high persistence in manufacturing firms to repeat their last period’s decision. Firm heterogeneity modeled by means of random effects, explains also a significant part of firms' qualitative decisions. / Ph. D.
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Critical assessment of the reform in respect of the statutory minimum registered capital system of the company law of China (2005) indealing with undercapitalization with reference to Hong Kong'sexperienceDeng, Lin, 鄧琳 January 2008 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Law / Master / Master of Philosophy
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An empirical test of the impact of ownership structure on leverage and investment of East Asian firms.January 2003 (has links)
Dai Yi. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 79-82). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / ABSTRACT --- p.i / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT --- p.iii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iv / LIST OF TABLES --- p.vi / CHAPTER / Chapter ONE --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Background / Purpose / Summary of hypotheses and results / Organization / Chapter TWO --- REVIEW OF THEORIES AND LITERATURE --- p.5 / The Literature on ownership structure / Theoretical explanations for capital structure / The Literature on investment-cash flow sensitivities / Chapter summary / Chapter THREE --- DATA COLLECTION --- p.15 / Sample selection / Ownership and control definition / Patterns of the East Asian Firm Ownership / Country characteristic variables / Chapter summary / Chapter FOUR --- THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURES AND FIRM LEVERAGE --- p.23 / Rationale for the study / Hypothesis / Description of regression variables / The Heteroscedasticity problem and solution / Regression results / Accounting for country effects / Chapter summary / Chapter FIVE --- THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURES AND INVESTMENT-CASH FLOW SENSITIVITY --- p.42 / Theoretical framework / Hypothesis / Regression specification / Summary statistics / Empirical findings / Country characteristic control / Chapter summary / Chapter SIX --- CONCLUSION --- p.52 / TABLES --- p.54 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.79
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An assessment of the financial management skills of small retail business owners/managers in Dr JS Moroka municipalityPhenya, Abram 08 1900 (has links)
South Africa abandoned its apartheid system in 1994, which enabled the country to be integrated into the global economy. Due to the lack of global competitiveness, between 70 and 80% of start-ups fail within five years (Goosain, 2004:23). People lost their jobs and the unemployment rate escalated from 17% to 28% (Kingdon and Knight, 2003). Government increased its support to small businesses in order to stimulate economic growth and development as an alternative means of job creation. However, studies conducted to determine the performance of small businesses reveal that most of these businesses fail irrespective of the support they receive from government due to a lack of financial management skills. The study being reported here investigated which financial management skills owners/managers of small business have and which ones are lacking in order to recommend appropriate training interventions required to develop and improve the financial management skills of such owners/managers and ultimately the management of their businesses.
A literature review was conducted regarding the small business environment, training interventions and financial management skills. Financial management skill sets relevant to small business were identified and listed for empirical research purposes. Empirical research was conducted on the target population within the indicated geographical area.
The study confirmed that most small business owners/managers have limited financial skills. Recommendations will be put forward on the type of skills future training needs to focus on. / Finance and Risk Management and Banking / M. Com. (Business Management)
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Sustainable cash flow growth rates applicable to Homechoice HoldingsAlthaus-Blair, Diana 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA (Business Management))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Despite growth being the target of all business operations, there is a concrete limit to growth. The concept of a sustainable cash flow growth rate is an important consideration, since it alerts management to cash flow shortfalls caused by a too-high growth rate.
The company Homechoice Holdings Limited was chosen as the subject of this research report as it exhibited unusually high revenue growth, linked to a high share price and a subsequent cash shortfall. The tool of a sustainable growth rate model was employed to investigate whether the shortfall in cash could have been averted if the cash flow sustainable growth rate (CFSGR) had been adhered to.
A selection of existing sustainable growth rate models is presented and their different emphases are discussed. This is followed by the development of a sustainable growth rate formula, which is applied to five general cases. In case 1, there is a dividend, depreciation, fixed expenses as well as a change in the working capital cycle (WCC). In case 2, depreciation, fixed expenses and a change in WCC are evident, but the dividend is zero. In case 3, depreciation and a change in WCC are evident, but dividend and fixed expenses are zero. In case 4, all items are zero excepting a change in WCC. In the final case, 5, all items are zero.
The published financials of the years 1996-2000 are analysed in detail and the market reaction (share price and press reaction) is portrayed.
Lastly the actual developments of the profits and the share price are compared with a hypothetical case in which the previously defined CFSGR would have been used. In conclusion the issue of the CFSGR is contextualised with other information which contributed to the decline of this company. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Hoewel groei die teiken van alle sakebedrywighede is, het groei ’n konkrete limiet. Die konsep van ’n volhoubare kontantvloei-groeikoers is ’n belangrike oorweging omdat dit bestuur waarsku wanneer daar kontantvloeitekorte is wat veroorsaak word deur ’n groeikoers wat te hoog is.
Die maatskappy Homechoice Holdings Beperk is as onderwerp van hierdie navorsingsverslag gekies as gevolg van sy buitengewoon hoë inkomstegroei wat aan ’n hoë aandeelprys en ’n gevolglike kontanttekort gekoppel is. ’n Volhoubare groeikoersmodel word as hulpmiddel gebruik om ondersoek in te stel of die kontanttekort verhoed kon word indien die maatskappy die kontantvloei volhoubare groeikoers (CFSGR) gebruik het.
’n Seleksie van bestaande volhoubare groeikoersmodelle word aangebied en die verskillende elemente wat hulle beklemtoon word bespreek. Dit word gevolg deur die ontwikkeling van ’n volhoubare groeikoersformule wat op vyf algemene gevalle toegepas word. In geval 1 is daar ’n dividend, depresiasie, vaste koste sowel as ’n verandering in die bedryfskapitaalsiklus. In geval 2 is depresiasie, vaste koste en ’n verandering in die bedryfskapitaalsiklus voor die hand liggend, maar die dividend is nul. In geval 3 is depresiasie en ’n verandering in die bedryfskapitaalsiklus voor die hand liggend, maar dividende en vaste koste is nul. In geval 4 is alle items nul buiten ’n verandering in die bedryfskapitaalsiklus. Laastens, in geval 5, is alle items nul.
Die gepubliseerde finansiële jaarstate van 1996 tot 2000 word breedvoerig ontleed en die markreaksie (aandeleprys en mediareaksie) word aangetoon.
Laastens word die werklike ontwikkeling van die winste en die aandeleprys met ’n hipotetiese geval vergelyk waarin die CFSGR, wat vroeër gedefinieer is, gebruik is. Die kwessie van die CFSGR word ook in ’n konteks geplaas saam met ander inligting wat tot die agteruitgang van hierdie maatskappy bygedra het.
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Divided payout and future earnings growth : a South African studyVermeulen, Marise 07 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MDF)--Stellenbosch University, 2011. / In the past it was believed that the payment of dividends would decrease the funds available to
finance growth, and would therefore lead to lower future earnings growth. This belief was
challenged in recent years with research that tested the relationship between dividend payout and
future earnings growth, both on the individual company and aggregate market level in different
countries. The results contradicted popular belief, and showed that companies with high payout
ratios tend to realise stronger future earnings growth. This study tested the same relationship in
South Africa and concluded that even in a developing country, dividend payout will still lead to
higher future earnings growth.
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Die gebruik van kontantvloei- en winsgegewens by die beoordeling van genoteerde industriele RSA-maatskappye se finansiele stabiliteitSteyn, Barbara Wilhelmina 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (PhD)--University of Stellenbosch, 2005. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Several mixed industry prediction models about failure have been reasonably
successful in differentiating between successful companies and those that have
failed. The challenge, however, is to venture into the grey area in between and to
identify companies, which are financially unstable, at an early stage. Early
identification enables management to intervene timeously in an attempt to prevent
failure. Failure is defined as either liquidation, delisting, suspension of listing or a
substantial change in structure.
The grey area focused on in this study is overtrading. Overtrading is triggered by the
company growing at too high a rate relative to its specific structure. Cash is
necessary to fund expansion, whether for an increase in inventories, credit sales or
new non-current assets. If the company does not generate enough cash to fund this
expansion, it has to be financed through external sources. The longer the period of
growth and the higher the growth rate, the more the cash requirements.
From the theoretical model underlying overtrading, it was found that:
• the higher the growth in sales,
• the smaller the profit margin, and
• the higher the net current assets in proportion to total assets,
the lower the cash flow from operating activities before dividends were paid (CFO).
Any company ought to generate enough cash from its daily activities in order to
maintain the existing level of business, to repay loans, to replace assets and to pay
dividends. If the internal generation of cash is insufficient to finance these activities,
existing cash resources will be consumed, unproductive non-current assets will be
sold and possibly also some of the productive non-current assets. The outcome for
such a company is a business combination or liquidation. Due to the fact that cash
plays such a big role in failure, cash flow variables constitute the majority of the
independent variables used in the development of the failure prediction models.
The overtrading ratio was developed as a measurement tool to quantify overtrading.
As long as the company generates a positive CFO, it is not so much at risk as a
company that does not succeed in generating a positive CFO. Therefore, a negative
CFO for a three-year period was decided on as the norm for identifying possible financial difficulty. A company is involved in overtrading if the sum of CFO for three
years less the sum of the adjusted profit for the three years, divided by the absolute
value of the sum of the adjusted profit for the three years equals -1 or smaller in the
case of a company with a cumulative profit for the three years; and smaller than
nought in the case of a company with a cumulative loss for the three years.
South African industrial companies listed for at least three years during the period
1974 to 2003, were identified. From a total of 6 662 cumulative three-year periods,
944 overtrading years were identified. Failure occurred in 212 out of 526 companies
involved in overtrading between January 1974 and August 1989. 120 out of 199
companies involved in overtrading between September 1989 and November 1995
failed, while 90 out of 127 companies involved in overtrading, failed between
December 1995 and June 2000. By June 2005 it was already evident that 49 out of
92 companies involved in overtrading between July 2000 and December 2003, had
already failed.
Companies involved in overtrading, may survive artificially for lengthy periods with
the support of providers of capital. It can therefore be expected that failure prediction
models will not achieve a better accuracy rate than achieved by probabilities. Six
failure prediction models utilising classification tree algorithms were developed. Using
data from two periods, two different models were developed; one for growth and
recession phases of the economy, the other without distinction between economic
phases. The first period was September 1989 to June 2000, the other December
1995 to June 2000. June 2000 was chosen as the cut-off, since a period of five years
after an overtrading year was necessary to follow-up whether the company had
failed. Each universe was split in two – the learning sample, more or less 60%, and
the test sample, more or less 40%. The models were developed from the learning
sample and the test sample was used as substantiation of the results of the
developed model.
The total classification accuracy of the three best models, one for the growth-phase,
one for the recession-phase and one mixed economy model, is respectively 72,99%,
96,67% and 80,26% and the classification accuracy for the failed companies 75,29%,
100% and 85,19% respectively. The total prediction accuracy of the three models is
respectively 69,23%, 80,95% and 72,55%, and that of the failed companies 73,68%,
86,67% and 83,33%. The accuracy of all the models was found to be higher than what the accuracy would have been if all the companies involved in overtrading were
merely classified as having failed.
From the results of the different tests, it seems that Ver3, the growth in sales from
year 1 to year 3, is probably the most important independent variable in the
classification between failed and non-failed overtrading years. This corroborates the
theory underlying overtrading that indicates that a high sales growth puts a company
at risk for cash flow problems.
Companies where the cash flow problems develop because of an increase in current
assets will be intercepted by the overtrading ratio. Companies where cash flow
problems develop due to replacement of non-current assets, will not necessarily be
intercepted by the overtrading ratio as CFO that is used in the overtrading ratio does
not allow for replacement of non-current assets. It is therefore necessary to adjust
CFO to a free cash flow CFO.
Depreciation is used as an alternative for replacement investment since disclosure of
replacement investment is not required. Depreciation is theoretically the fraction of
the value of an asset lost during the year; this value needs to be replaced. By
subtracting the depreciation for the year from CFO, this amount will be more
representative of the cash position of the company after considering all the normal
transactions in order to sustain the business.
After all the adjustments for a free cash flow, six models were developed for the
different periods and economic phases. The accuracy of these models were better
than what the accuracy would have been if overtrading years were merely classified
as failed. Implementing these models would therefore improve specificity.
From the tests performed, Ver3 and KVB3/TB (the cumulative CFO for the three
years over total assets) seem to be the most important independent variables in the
classification between failed and non-failed when considering free cash flow. This is
informative as KVB3:TB represents a fictional amount, as if the company spent an
amount equal to depreciation on replacement investment. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Heelwat gemengde industrie-mislukkingvoorspellingsmodelle was al redelik
suksesvol in die onderskeid tussen mislukte en suksesvolle maatskappye. Die
uitdaging is egter om die grys area tussen dié uiterstes te betree en ’n maatskappy
wat finansieel onstabiel is, vroegtydig te identifiseer. Vroegtydige identifikasie stel die
bestuur in staat om betyds in te gryp en mislukking te voorkom. Mislukking word as
likwidasie, òf denotering, òf opskorting van notering, òf ’n wesenlike
struktuurverandering, gedefinieer.
Die grys area waarop die fokus in hierdie studie val, is oorbedryf. Oorbedryf word
veroorsaak deurdat die maatskappy teen ’n te hoë koers relatief tot sy spesifieke
struktuur groei. Kontant is nodig om uitbreiding, hetsy ’n toename in voorraad,
kredietverkope of nuwe nie-bedryfsbates, te finansier. Indien die besigheid nie
genoeg kontant genereer om hierdie uitbreiding te finansier nie, moet dit vanuit
eksterne bronne gefinansier word. Hoe langer die tydperk van groei voortduur en hoe
hoër die groeikoers is, hoe meer is die kontantbehoeftes.
Uit die teoretiese model wat onderliggend is aan oorbedryf, is bevind dat:
• hoe hoër die groei in verkope,
• hoe kleiner die winspersentasie, en
• hoe hoër die bedryfskapitaal in verhouding tot die totale bates;
hoe laer is die kontantvloei uit bedryfsaktiwiteite voor dividende betaal (KVB).
Enige besigheid behoort genoeg kontant uit dag-tot-dag-aktiwiteite te genereer ten
einde die bestaande vlak van besigheid vol te hou, lenings terug te betaal, bates te
vervang en dividende te betaal. Indien die interne kontantgenerering onvoldoende is
om hierdie aktiwiteite te finansier, sal bestaande kontantbronne uitgewis word,
onproduktiewe nie-bedryfsbates sal verkoop word en moontlik ook van die
produktiewe nie-bedryfsbates. Die uiteinde vir so ’n maatskappy is ’n besigheidsoorname
of ’n likwidasie. Aangesien kontantvloei so ’n groot rol in mislukking speel,
is kontantvloeiveranderlikes die meerderheid van die onafhanklike veranderlikes wat
in die ontwikkeling van die mislukkingvoorspellingsmodelle gebruik is.
Die oorbedryfsratio is as ’n maatstaf ontwikkel om oorbedryf te meet. Solank as wat
’n maatskappy ’n positiewe KVB genereer, is hy nie so riskant soos ’n maatskappy wat nie daarin kan slaag om positiewe kontant te genereer nie. Daarom is ’n
negatiewe kumulatiewe KVB vir ’n drie-jaar-tydperk as die norm gestel om moontlike
finansiële nood te identifiseer. ’n Maatskappy is besig met oorbedryf indien die som
van die KVB vir drie jaar minus die som van die aangepaste wins vir die drie jaar,
gedeel deur die absolute waarde van die som van die aangepaste wins vir die drie
jaar, gelyk aan of kleiner as -1 is, in die geval van ’n maatskappy wat ’n kumulatiewe
wins vir die drie jaar het; en kleiner as nul in die geval van ’n maatskappy wat ’n
kumulatiewe verlies vir die drie jaar het.
Alle Suid-Afrikaanse genoteerde industriële maatskappye wat vir ten minste drie jaar
gedurende die tydperk 1974 tot 2003 genoteer was, is geïdentifiseer. Uit ’n totaal van
6 662 kumulatiewe drie-jaar-tydperke was daar 944 oorbedryfsjare. Vanaf Januarie
1974 tot Augustus 1989 was daar 526 oorbedryfsjare, waarvan 212 misluk het. Vanaf
September 1989 tot November 1995 was daar 199 oorbedryfsjare, waarvan 120
misluk het en vanaf Desember 1995 tot Junie 2000 het 90 van 127 oorbedryfsjare
misluk. Teen Junie 2005 was dit reeds bekend dat 49 van die 92 oorbedryfsjare
tussen Julie 2000 en Desember 2003 misluk het.
Oorbedryfsmaatskappye bly soms vir uitgebreide tydperke kunsmatig voortbestaan,
indien die verskaffers van kapitaal hulle dra. Die verwagting was dus dat
mislukkingvoorspellingsmodelle nie ’n beter akkuraatheid sou behaal as wat
waarskynlikhede sou bepaal nie. Ses mislukkingvoorspellingsmodelle is met behulp
van die klassifikasieboomalgoritme ontwikkel. Een model elk vir die groeifase en die
resessie-fase van die ekonomie en een model sonder onderskeid van die
ekonomiese fase is met die gebruikmaking van twee tydperke se data ontwikkel. Die
eerste tydperk was September 1989 tot Junie 2000 en die ander Desember 1995 tot
Junie 2000. Junie 2000 is as die afsnypunt gebruik aangesien ’n vyf-jaaropvolgtydperk
na ’n oorbedryfsjaar nodig is om vas te stel of die maatskappy misluk
het. Elke universum is in twee verdeel – die leersteekproef, ongeveer 60%, en die
toetssteekproef, ongeveer 40%. Die modelle is uit die leersteekproef afgelei en die
toetssteekproef is gebruik as bevestiging van die resultate van die afgeleide model.
Die totale klassifikasie-akkuraatheid van die drie beste modelle, een vir die groeifase,
een vir die resessie-fase en een gemengde ekonomiemodel, is onderskeidelik
72,99%, 96,67% en 80,26% en dié vir die mislukte maatskappye 75,29%, 100% en
85,19%. Die totale voorspellingsakkuraatheid van die drie modelle is onderskeidelik 69,23%, 80,95% en 72,55% en dié van die mislukte maatskappye 73,68%, 86,67%
en 83,33%. Al die modelle se akkuraatheid is meer as wat die akkuraatheid sou wees
indien al die oorbedryfsjare bloot as misluk geklassifiseer sou wees.
Uit die resultate van verskeie toetse blyk dit dat Ver3, die groei in verkope vanaf jaar
1 tot jaar 3, waarskynlik die belangrikste onafhanklike veranderlike in die onderskeid
tussen mislukte en nie-mislukte oorbedryfsjare is. Dit ondersteun die teorie wat
onderliggend is aan oorbedryf, wat aandui dat ’n hoë groei in verkope ’n maatskappy
op risiko plaas vir kontantvloeiprobleme.
Maatskappye waar die kontantvloeiprobleme vanweë ’n uitbreiding in bedryfskapitaal
ontstaan, word deur die oorbedryfsratio onderskep. Die maatskappye waar die
kontantvloeiprobleme eerder uit die vervanging van nie-bedryfsbates sal voortvloei,
sal nie noodwendig deur die oorbedryfsratio ondervang word nie, aangesien die KVB
wat in die oorbedryfsratio gebruik word, nie voorsiening maak vir vervangende
investering nie. Dit is daarom nodig om KVB tot ’n vrye kontantvloei-KVB aan te pas.
Waardevermindering word as ’n alternatief vir vervangende investering gebruik,
aangesien vervangende investering nie ’n verpligte openbaarmakingsvereiste is nie.
Waardevermindering is teoreties dié deel van die bate wat gedurende die jaar
opgebruik is en wat vervang behoort te word. Deur dus die jaarlikse
waardevermindering van KVB af te trek, is hierdie syfer meer verteenwoordigend van
die maatskappy se kontantposisie nadat alle normale transaksies om die besigheid in
stand te hou, in ag geneem is.
Na die aanpassings vir vrye kontantvloei is weer ses modelle uit die verskillende
tydperke en vir die verskillende ekonomiese fases ontwikkel. Al die modelle se
akkuraatheid is beter as wat die akkuraatheid sou wees indien al die oorbedryfsjare
bloot as misluk geklassifiseer sou wees.
Ver3 en KVB3:TB (die kumulatiewe KVB vir die drie jaar tot die totale bates) blyk uit
die toetse die belangrikste onafhanklike veranderlikes te wees in die onderskeid
tussen misluk en nie-misluk wanneer vrye kontantvloei in ag geneem word. Dit is
insiggewend aangesien KVB3:TB ’n fiktiewe syfer verteenwoordig, sou die
maatskappy ’n bedrag wat gelyk is aan waardevermindering, aan vervangende
investering bestee het.
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The performance of Malaysian initial public offerings and earnings managementAhmad Zaluki, Nurwati Ashikkin January 2005 (has links)
An initial public offering (IPO) of equity provides a significant source of finance for Malaysian companies. Due to the existence of inequalities of wealth within Malaysian society as a result of its colonial heritage, the government has used IPOs to redistribute wealth among ethnic groups with the main objective being to increase the involvement of the Bumiputera (local indigenous people) in the corporate sector. This thesis consists of three inter-related studies on Malaysian IPOs that were listed on the Bursa Malaysia (formerly known as the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange) during the period 1990 to 2000. In particular, this study investigates post-IPO performance using alternative performance approaches (market-based and accounting-based) and the earnings management explanation for observed performance. The results from the first study indicate that Malaysian IPOs significantly overperform their benchmarks when performance is measured using both equally-weighted cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) and buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHARs), except when matched companies are used as the benchmark. However, this significant overperformance disappears when returns are calculated on a value-weighted basis and also when Fama-French (1993) three-factor regressions are employed. Cross-sectional analysis reveals differential performance related to year of listing, issue proceeds and initial returns. The results from the second study using accounting-based measures provide strong evidence of declining operating performance in the IPO year and up to three years following an IPO. The year-to-year analysis reveals that the declining performance is greatest in the year immediately following the IPO. The deterioration in performance is more pronounced when accrual-based operating performance measures are used. The difference in the results using accrual-based and cash flow-based approaches suggests the existence of earnings manipulation by the IPO manager. The investigation of the possible sources of operating performance changes suggests that post-IPO declines in asset turnover parially explain the poorer operating performance. Univariate analysis of the association between family relationships, retained ownership and post-IPO operating performance produces little evidence to explain the deterioration in operating performance. However, underpricing partially explains the deterioration when the cash flow-based performance measure is used. The results from the third study reveal that Malaysian IPO companies employ income-increasing strategies around offerings, and that these strategies were more prevalent during the East Asian crisis period, especially for those companies that provided a profit guarantee. Analysis of the assöciation between the magnitude of earnings management in the IPO year and post-IPO performance provides some evidence to support the view that aggressive earnings management at the time of an IPO subsequently leads to poor stock market and operating performance. Overall, the evidence in this thesis supports the consensus that has emerged from the international debate on studies involving long horizon returns, which suggests that the magnitude of long run performance depends on the method employed to measure performance. The evidence derived from the accounting-based measure of operating performance supports the existing international evidence that operating performance declines following IPOs. The results also provide a degree of support for the earnings management explanation of post-IPO performance. These findings have implications for investors, security analysts, companies and accounting standard setters.
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