In this thesis we describe the theory of generalized linear models and demon- strate its applications in non-life insurance. We also introduce some methods com- monly used to estimation of regression parameters and hypothesis testing . Further- more, we discuss possible extensions of GLM by introducing tools for reparametriza- tion of predictors which leads to new classes of models, concretely to segmented generalized linear models and generalized additive models. Consequently, we derive models appropriate for actuarial praxis using the real insurance data. In practical part of this thesis we illustrate the use of appropriate software for calculating the parameters of GAM and find way how to use open source statistical program .

Even if 3rd and 4th generation wireless systems aim to achieve multimedia services at high speed, it is rather difficult to have full-fledged multimedia services due to insufficient capacity of the systems. There are many technical challenges placed on us in order to realize the real multimedia services. One of those challenges is how efficiently to allocate resources to traffic as the wireless systems evolve. The review of the literature shows that strategic manipulation of traffic can lead to an efficient use of resources in both wire-line and wireless networks. This aspect brings our attention to the role of link layer protocols, which is to orchestrate the transmission of packets in an efficient way using given resources. Therefore, the Media Access Control (MAC) layer plays a very important role in this context. In this research, we investigate technical challenges involving resource control and management in the design of MAC protocols based on the characteristics of traffic, and provide some strategies to solve those challenges. The first and foremost matter in wireless MAC protocol research is to choose the type of multiple access schemes. Each scheme has advantages and disadvantages. We choose Wireless Code Division Multiple Access/Time Division Duplexing (WCDMA/TDD) systems since they are known to be efficient for bursty traffic. Most existing MAC protocols developed for WCDMA/TDD systems are interested in the performance of a unidirectional link, in particular in the uplink, assuming that the number of slots for each link is fixed a priori. That ignores the dynamic aspect of TDD systems. We believe that adaptive dynamic slot allocation can bring further benefits in terms of efficient resource management. Meanwhile, this adaptive slot allocation issue has been dealt with from a completely different angle. Related research works are focused on the adaptive slot allocation to minimize inter-cell interference under multi-cell environments. We believe that these two issues need to be handled together in order to enhance the performance of MAC protocols, and thus embark upon a study on the adaptive dynamic slot allocation for the MAC protocol. This research starts from the examination of key factors that affect the adaptive allocation strategy. Through the review of the literature, we conclude that traffic characterization can be an essential component for this research to achieve efficient resource control and management. So we identify appropriate traffic characteristics and metrics. The volume and burstiness of traffic are chosen as the characteristics for our adaptive dynamic slot allocation. Based on this examination, we propose four major adaptive dynamic slot allocation strategies: (i) a strategy based on the estimation of burstiness of traffic, (ii) a strategy based on the estimation of volume and burstiness of traffic, (iii) a strategy based on the parameter estimation of a distribution of traffic, and (iv) a strategy based on the exploitation of physical layer information. The first method estimates the burstiness in both links and assigns the number of slots for each link according to a ratio of these two estimates. The second method estimates the burstiness and volume of traffic in both links and assigns the number of slots for each link according to a ratio of weighted volumes in each link, where the weights are driven by the estimated burstiness in each link. For the estimation of burstiness, we propose a new burstiness measure that is based on a ratio between peak and median volume of traffic. This burstiness measure requires the determination of an observation window, with which the median and the peak are measured. We propose a dynamic method for the selection of the observation window, making use of statistical characteristics of traffic: Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial ACF (PACF). For the third method, we develop several estimators to estimate the parameters of a traffic distribution and suggest two new slot allocation methods based on the estimated parameters. The last method exploits physical layer information as another way of allocating slot to enhance the performance of the system. The performance of our proposed strategies is evaluated in various scenarios. Major simulations are categorized as: simulation on data traffic, simulation on combined voice and data traffic, simulation on real trace data. The performance of each strategy is evaluated in terms of throughput and packet drop ratio. In addition, we consider the frequency of slot changes to assess the performance in terms of control overhead. We expect that this research work will add to the state of the knowledge in the field of link-layer protocol research for WCDMA/TDD systems. / Ph. D.

Darbe yra vertinami stochastinio genetinio modelio ir CKLS lygties parametrai pasinaudojant sprendinio stacionariuoju tankiu. Atlikti skaičiavimai parodo, kad SDL parametrai yra ,,gerai" įvertinami, esant pakankamai dideliam stebėjimų skaičiui, pvz.: N = 10 000. Skaičiavimams atlikti sukurta kompiuterinė programa. / In this work estimation of parameters of stochastic genetic model and CKLS equation using process stationary density is presented. The research shows that SDE parameters are estimated "well" when we have large number of observations, e.g. N = 10 000. Application is created to carry out calculations.

Η παρούσα μεταπτυχιακή διατριβή εντάσσεται ερευνητικά στην περιοχή της Στατιστικής θεωρίας Αποφάσεων και ειδικότερα στη μελέτη της αρνητικής διωνυμικής κατανομής καθώς επίσης και στην εκτίμηση των παραμέτρων της. Στο Κεφάλαιο 1 παρουσιάζονται κάποιοι χρήσιμοι, για την πορεία της μελέτης μας, ορισμοί και θεωρήματα. Στο Κεφάλαιο 2 μελετάται το μοντέλο της αρνητικής διωνυμικής κατανομής, δίνονται τα χαρακτηριστικά μεγέθη αυτής και παρουσιάζονται οι διαφορετικές παραμετρικοποιήσεις της. Στο Κεφάλαιο 3, εξετάζεται το πρόβλημα εκτίμησης των παραμέτρων της αρνητικής διωνυμικής κατανομής και πιο ειδικά η εκτίμηση για τις διάφορες παραμετρικοποιήσης της. Για περισσότερη ανάλυση χρησιμοποιούνται η εκτίμηση μέγιστης πιθανοφάνειας, η εκτίμηση με τη μέθοδο των ροπών και πιο εξειδικευμένες υπολογιστικές μέθοδοι εκτίμησης. Στο Κεφάλαιο 4, και για το ίδιο πρόβλημα εκτίμησης που πραγματεύεται το προηγούμενο κεφάλαιο, επιλέγεται ο βέλτιστος εκτιμητής των παραμέτρων της αρνητικής διωνυμικής κατανομής και παρουσιάζεται ένα παράδειγμα για την κατανόηση των μεθόδων εκτίμησης. / The master thesis we are going to introduce takes place in the region of Statistical Decision Theory and particularly in studying the Negative Binomial Distribution and the estimation of its parameters. In Chapter 1 some useful definitions and theorems are presented. In Chapter 2 the model of negative binomial distribution is studied and its different parameterizations are discussed. In Chapter 3 we examine the problem of estimating the parameters of our model and for its parameterizations. In particular we give the method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation, the Method of Moments and more specified Estimation Methods. In Chapter 4 and for the same estimation problem, as in previous chapter, it’s been chosen the best estimator of the parameters in our model and it’s been derived an example for the better understanding of the above methods.

Les problèmes aux valeurs et fonctions propres surviennent fréquemment dans la théorie et dans les applications des processus stochastiques. Cependant quelques-uns seulement admettent une solution explicite; la résolution est alors généralement obtenue par la théorie généralisée de Sturm-Liouville pour les opérateurs différentiels. Les problèmes plus généraux ne peuvent pas être résolus sous une forme fermée et le sujet de cette thèse est l'analyse spectrale asymptotique des processus gaussiens fractionnaires et ses applications. Dans la première partie, nous développons une méthodologie pour l'analyse spectrale des opérateurs de covariance de type fractionnaire, correspondant à une famille importante de processus, incluant le processus fractionnaire d'Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, le mouvement brownien fractionnaire intégré et le mouvement brownien fractionnaire mixte. Nous obtenons des approximations asymptotiques du second ordre pour les valeurs propres et les fonctions propres. Au chapitre 2, nous considérons le problème aux valeurs et fonctions propres pour l'opérateur de covariance des ponts gaussiens. Nous montrons comment l'asymptotique spectrale d'un pont peut être dérivée de celle de son processus de base, en prenant comme exemple le cas du pont brownien fractionnaire. Dans la dernière partie, nous considérons trois applications représentatives de la théorie développée: le problème de filtrage des signaux gaussiens fractionnaires dans le bruit blanc, le problème de grande déviation pour le processus d'Ornstein-Uhlenbeck gouverné par un mouvement brownien fractionnaire mixte et probabilités des petites boules pour les processus gaussiens fractionnaires. / Eigenproblems frequently arise in theory and applications of stochastic processes, but only a few have explicit solutions. Those which do are usually solved by reduction to the generalized Sturm-Liouville theory for differential operators.The more general eigenproblems are not solvable in closed form and the subject of this thesis is the asymptotic spectral analysis of the fractional Gaussian processes and its applications.In the first part, we develop methodology for the spectral analysis of the fractional type covariance operators, corresponding to an important family of processes that includes the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the integrated fractional Brownian motion and the mixed fractional Brownian motion. We obtain accurate second order asymptotic approximations for both the eigenvalues and the eigenfunctions. In Chapter 2 we consider the covariance eigenproblem for Gaussian bridges. We show how the spectral asymptotics of a bridge can bederived from that of its base process, considering, as an example, the case of the fractional Brownian bridge. In the final part we consider three representative applications of the developed theory: filtering problem of fractional Gaussian signals in white noise, large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion and small ball probabilities for the fractional Gaussian processes.

No description available.

Tato práce je zaměřena na odhad letových parametrů malého letounu, konkrétně letounu Evektor SportStar RTC. Pro odhad letových parametrů jsou použity metody "Equation Error Method", "Output Error Method" a metody rekurzivních nejmenších čtverců. Práce je zaměřena na zkoumání charakteristik aerodynamických parametrů podélného pohybu a ověření, zda takto odhadnuté letové parametry odpovídají naměřeným datům a tudíž vytvářejí předpoklad pro realizaci dostatečně přesného modelu letadla. Odhadnuté letové parametry jsou dále porovnávány s a-priorními hodnotami získanými s využitím programů Tornado, AVL a softwarovéverze sbírky Datcom. Rozdíly mezi a-priorními hodnotami a odhadnutými letovými paramatery jsou porovnány s korekcemi publikovanými pro subsonické letové podmínky modelu letounu F-18 Hornet.