The prediction of asphalt pavements performance in relation to their main distresses has been proposed by different researchers, by means of laboratory characterization and field data evaluation. In relation to fatigue cracking, there is no universal consensus about the laboratory testing to be performed, the damage criterion to be considered, the testing condition to be set (level and frequency of loading, and temperature), and the specimen geometry to be used. Tests performed in asphalt binders and in asphalt mixes are used to study fatigue behavior and to predict fatigue life. The characterization of asphalt binders is relevant, since fatigue cracking is highly dependent on the rheological characteristics of these materials. In the present research, the linear viscoelastic characterization, time sweep tests, and amplitude sweep tests were done. In respect to the laboratorial characterization of asphalt mixes, tests based on indirect tensile, four point flexural bending beam, and tension-compression were performed. Field damage evolution data of two asphalt pavement sections were collected from an experimental test site in a very heavy traffic highway. Three asphalt binders (one neat binder, one SBS-modified binder and one highly modified binder, HiMA), and one asphalt concrete constituted by the neat binder were tested in laboratory. The experimental test site was composed by two segments, constituted by different base layers (unbound course and cement-treated crushed stone) that provided different mechanical responses in the asphalt wearing course. The field damage data were compared to fatigue life models that use empirical results obtained in the laboratory and computer simulations. Correlations among the asphalt materials scales were discussed in this dissertation, with the objective of predicting the fatigue cracking performance of asphalt pavements. / A previsão do desempenho de pavimentos asfálticos em relação aos seus principais defeitos tem sido proposta por diferentes pesquisadores, por meio da caracterização em laboratório e da avaliação de dados de campo. No que diz respeito ao trincamento por fadiga, não há um consenso universal sobre o tipo de ensaio a ser realizado, o critério de dano a ser considerado, e as condições de ensaio a serem adotadas (nível e frequência de carregamento, e temperatura), além da geometria das amostras testadas. Ensaios realizados em ligantes asfálticos e em misturas asfálticas são usados para estudar o comportamento em relação à fadiga e para prever a vida útil. A caracterização dos ligantes asfálticos é relevante, uma vez que o trincamento por fadiga é altamente dependente das características reológicas desses materiais. Nesta pesquisa, a obtenção dos parâmetros viscoelásticos lineares e a caracterização por meio de ensaios de varredura de tempo e de varredura de deformação foram realizados. Em relação à caracterização laboratorial das misturas asfálticos, ensaios baseados em compressão diametral, vigota de quatro pontos e em tração-compressão axial foram realizados. Dados de evolução do dano de campo obtidos em duas seções de pavimentos asfálticos foram coletados de um trecho experimental construído em uma rodovia de alto volume de tráfego. Três ligantes asfálticos (um ligante não modificado, um ligante modificado por polímero do tipo SBS e um ligante altamente modificado, HiMA), e uma mistura asfáltica do tipo concreto asfáltico constituída pelo ligante não modificado foram testados em laboratório. O trecho experimental era composto por dois segmentos, constituídos por diferentes tipos de camadas de base (brita graduada simples e brita graduada tratada com cimento) que forneciam diferentes respostas mecânicas à camada de revestimento asfáltico. Os dados de campo foram comparados com modelos de previsão de vida de fadiga que utilizam resultados empíricos obtidos em laboratórios e simulações computacionais. Correlações entre as diferentes escalas são discutidas nesta tese, com o objetivo de prever o desempenho de pavimentos asfálticos ao trincamento por fadiga.

To stay competitive, companies are forced to improve their products continuously. Field data is a source of information that shows the actual performance of products during operation, and that information can be used to clarify the items in need of improvements. This master thesis aims at identifying the set of field data that is required for dependability improvements and to develop a working procedure that enables increased utilization of the field data in order to make cost-effective design improvements. To achieve this, a 12-step model called the Design Improvement Cycle (DIC) was developed and tested in a single case study. The field data need was identified using a top-down method and was included as a part of the DIC. Testing of the model showed that it was practicable and each step could be carried through, even though the last steps only could be tested hypothetically during discussions with concerned personnel. The model implied a working procedure that should be aimed at, according to personnel with competence within the subject. As the DIC appeared to be very flexible it should be possible to use within several areas. It was discovered that field data was not a sufficient source of information to support design improvements but it could be used to indicate which items that should be focused on during further investigations. The quality of the field data had a big impact on the analysis possibilities and to point out which data quality issues that had to be amended to make the data more useful, the data need for dependability improvements could be used.

Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) modeling has been a common research area to date. This thesis work proposes a new field-data based EAF-specific model. The data used in developing the proposed model is obtained from field measurements of instantaneous voltages and currents of EAF the plants. This model presents the dynamic behavior of the EAF system including all its parts, which are the EAF transformer, the secondary circuit, the electrodes moving and the arc itself. It consists of a cascade connected variable-resistance and &ndash / inductance combination to represent the variation in time of the fundamental frequency, and a current source in parallel with it to inject the harmonics and interharmonics content of the EAF current. The proposed model is capable of representing both AC and DC EAFs, whose controllers&rsquo / set points are the impedance values seen from the low voltage (LV) side of the EAF transformer. The validity of the proposed model has been verified by comparing EMTDC/PSCAD simulations of the model with the field measurements. The results obtained have shown quite satisfactory correlation between the behavior of the proposed model and v the actual EAF operation. To show the advantages of the model while developing FACTS solutions for power quality (PQ) problem mitigation of a given busbar supplying single- or multi-EAF installations, various applications are presented.

<p>To stay competitive, companies are forced to improve their products continuously. Field data is a source of information that shows the actual performance of products during operation, and that information can be used to clarify the items in need of improvements. This master thesis aims at identifying the set of field data that is required for dependability improvements and to develop a working procedure that enables increased utilization of the field data in order to make cost-effective design improvements. To achieve this, a 12-step model called the Design Improvement Cycle (DIC) was developed and tested in a single case study. The field data need was identified using a top-down method and was included as a part of the DIC.</p><p>Testing of the model showed that it was practicable and each step could be carried through, even though the last steps only could be tested hypothetically during discussions with concerned personnel. The model implied a working procedure that should be aimed at, according to personnel with competence within the subject. As the DIC appeared to be very flexible it should be possible to use within several areas. It was discovered that field data was not a sufficient source of information to support design improvements but it could be used to indicate which items that should be focused on during further investigations. The quality of the field data had a big impact on the analysis possibilities and to point out which data quality issues that had to be amended to make the data more useful, the data need for dependability improvements could be used.</p>

The prediction of asphalt pavements performance in relation to their main distresses has been proposed by different researchers, by means of laboratory characterization and field data evaluation. In relation to fatigue cracking, there is no universal consensus about the laboratory testing to be performed, the damage criterion to be considered, the testing condition to be set (level and frequency of loading, and temperature), and the specimen geometry to be used. Tests performed in asphalt binders and in asphalt mixes are used to study fatigue behavior and to predict fatigue life. The characterization of asphalt binders is relevant, since fatigue cracking is highly dependent on the rheological characteristics of these materials. In the present research, the linear viscoelastic characterization, time sweep tests, and amplitude sweep tests were done. In respect to the laboratorial characterization of asphalt mixes, tests based on indirect tensile, four point flexural bending beam, and tension-compression were performed. Field damage evolution data of two asphalt pavement sections were collected from an experimental test site in a very heavy traffic highway. Three asphalt binders (one neat binder, one SBS-modified binder and one highly modified binder, HiMA), and one asphalt concrete constituted by the neat binder were tested in laboratory. The experimental test site was composed by two segments, constituted by different base layers (unbound course and cement-treated crushed stone) that provided different mechanical responses in the asphalt wearing course. The field damage data were compared to fatigue life models that use empirical results obtained in the laboratory and computer simulations. Correlations among the asphalt materials scales were discussed in this dissertation, with the objective of predicting the fatigue cracking performance of asphalt pavements. / A previsão do desempenho de pavimentos asfálticos em relação aos seus principais defeitos tem sido proposta por diferentes pesquisadores, por meio da caracterização em laboratório e da avaliação de dados de campo. No que diz respeito ao trincamento por fadiga, não há um consenso universal sobre o tipo de ensaio a ser realizado, o critério de dano a ser considerado, e as condições de ensaio a serem adotadas (nível e frequência de carregamento, e temperatura), além da geometria das amostras testadas. Ensaios realizados em ligantes asfálticos e em misturas asfálticas são usados para estudar o comportamento em relação à fadiga e para prever a vida útil. A caracterização dos ligantes asfálticos é relevante, uma vez que o trincamento por fadiga é altamente dependente das características reológicas desses materiais. Nesta pesquisa, a obtenção dos parâmetros viscoelásticos lineares e a caracterização por meio de ensaios de varredura de tempo e de varredura de deformação foram realizados. Em relação à caracterização laboratorial das misturas asfálticos, ensaios baseados em compressão diametral, vigota de quatro pontos e em tração-compressão axial foram realizados. Dados de evolução do dano de campo obtidos em duas seções de pavimentos asfálticos foram coletados de um trecho experimental construído em uma rodovia de alto volume de tráfego. Três ligantes asfálticos (um ligante não modificado, um ligante modificado por polímero do tipo SBS e um ligante altamente modificado, HiMA), e uma mistura asfáltica do tipo concreto asfáltico constituída pelo ligante não modificado foram testados em laboratório. O trecho experimental era composto por dois segmentos, constituídos por diferentes tipos de camadas de base (brita graduada simples e brita graduada tratada com cimento) que forneciam diferentes respostas mecânicas à camada de revestimento asfáltico. Os dados de campo foram comparados com modelos de previsão de vida de fadiga que utilizam resultados empíricos obtidos em laboratórios e simulações computacionais. Correlações entre as diferentes escalas são discutidas nesta tese, com o objetivo de prever o desempenho de pavimentos asfálticos ao trincamento por fadiga.

This master thesis is part of a big project at Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery (SIT) in Finspång aimed to use the operation experience available at SIT to predict the state of the gas turbines in general and some mechanical components in particular. The objective of the thesis is to continue the development of a prediction model based on experience data for estimations of a components lifetime. In a previous master thesis by Alessandro Olivi statistical analysis of environmental attributes effect on the expected lifetime of components in a gas turbine was performed. Olivi’s thesis constitutes the starting point on which to keep building to create a reliable prediction model. In this thesis extensive validation tests have been performed in order to further quantify the reliability of the model. Investigations aimed towards finding ways to further develop and improve the prediction model are carried out. The relevant new findings are applied to the model and analysis concerning improvements in the prediction accuracy is carried out. It was revealed that the model is able to make accurate predictions for most of the validation points for each failure mode, but more research is needed to obtain a completely reliable prediction model.

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Yes / The performance of Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems for domestic use is an increasing area of study in the UK. This paper examines the thermal performance of three bespoke shallow horizontal GSHP systems installed in newly built residential houses in the North of England against a control house which was fitted with a standard gas boiler. A total of 350 metres of High Density Polyethylene pipe with an external diameter of 40 mm was used for each house as a heat pump loop. The study investigated (i) the performance of a single loop horizontal Ground Heat Exchanger (GHE) against a double loop GHE and (ii) rainfall effects on heat extraction by comparing a system with an infiltration trench connected to roof drainage against a system without an infiltration trench above the ground loops. Parameters monitored for a full year from October 2013 to September 2014. Using the double GHE has shown an enhanced performance of up to 20% compared with single GHE. The infiltration trench is found to improve performance of the heat pumps; the double loop GHE system with an infiltration trench had a COP 5% higher than that of the double loop GHE system without a trench.

As a strategy to conserve tropical rainforests of the East Usambara block of the Eastern Arc Mountains, Tanzania, I developed a set of models that can identify above-average tree species richness areas within the humid forests. I developed the model based on geo-referenced field data and satellite image-based variables from the Amani Nature Reserve, the largest forest sector in the East Usambara. I then verified the model by applying it to the Nilo Forest Reserve. The field data, part of the Tanzanian National Biodiversity Database, were collected by Frontier-Tanzania between 1999 and 2001, through the East Usambara Conservation Area Management Program, Government of Tanzania. The field data used are rapidly collectible by people with varied backgrounds and education. I gathered spectral reflectance values from pixels in the Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper (Landsat ETM) image covering the study area that corresponded to the ground sample points. The spectral information from different bands formed the satellite image-based variables in the dataset. The best satellite image logistic regression and discriminant analysis models were based on a single band, raw Landsat ETM mid-infrared band 7 (RB7). In the Amani forest, the RB7-based model resulted in 65.3% overall accuracy in identifying above average tree species locations. When the logistic and discriminant models were applied to Nilo forest sector, the overall accuracy was 62.3%. Of the rapidly collectible field variables, only tree density (number of trees) was selected in the logistic regression and the discriminant analysis models. Logistic and discriminant models using both RB7 and number of trees recorded 76.3% overall accuracy in Amani, and when applied to Nilo, 76.8% accuracy. It is possible to apply and adapt the current set of models to identify above-average tree species richness areas in East Usambara and other forest blocks of the Eastern Arc Mountains. Potentially, managers and researchers can periodically use the model to rapidly assess, monitor, update, and map the tree species rich areas within the forest. The same or similar models could be applied to check their applicability in other humid tropical forest areas. / Ph. D.

Orientador: Messias Borges Silva / Resumo: Com um mercado cada vez mais veloz, competitivo e com consumidores mais exigentes que não toleram falhas de produtos, que são amparados por legislações de proteção e defesa do consumidor, as empresas necessitam se esforçar no aprimoramento da qualidade de seus produtos. Entretanto, mesmo com a aplicação de tecnologias no desenvolvimento e fabricação de produtos, as falhas ainda acontecem. Para que um produto possa desempenhar sua função sem falhas num determinado tempo desejável, nas mais diversas condições reais as quais são submetidos, deve-se conhecer e aumentar a sua confiabilidade. Embora os dados de garantia que as empresas possuam dos seus produtos sejam fontes de informações valiosas para a obtenção da confiabilidade de um produto, estes dados ainda são insuficientes, imprecisos ou incompletos para uso direto, sendo necessário o uso de métodos apropriados ainda não muito disseminados. Este trabalho visa aplicar o método de censura por taxa de uso que viabiliza o uso de dados de garantia em análises mais precisas de confiabilidade para que as empresas possam aprimorar os seus produtos. Por meio de uma revisão da literatura e com o uso de dados de garantia, verificou-se a viabilidade da aplicação do método proposto. Com comprovação estatística, o método proposto de modelagem dos dados de garantia atingiu os resultados do estudo de referência adotado. Conclui-se que o método proposto com o objetivo de conhecer com precisão a confiabilidade do produto é aplicável e não ex... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo) / Abstract: With an ever faster, more competitive market, and more demanding consumers who cannot tolerate product failures that are backed by consumer protection and protection laws, companies need to strive to improve the quality of their products. However, even with the application of technologies in product development and manufacturing, failures still occur. For a product to be able to perform its function without fail in a certain desirable time, under the most diverse real conditions to which it is submitted, its reliability must be known and increased. Although the assurance data that companies have of their products is a valuable source of information for the reliability of a product, this data is still insufficient, inaccurate or incomplete for direct use, and appropriate methods not yet widely disseminated are required. . This work aims to apply the usage rate censored method that enables the use of warranty data in more accurate reliability analyzes so that companies can improve their products. Through a literature review and the use of guarantee data, the feasibility of applying the proposed method was verified. With statistical proof, the proposed guarantee data modeling method reached the results of the adopted reference study. It is concluded that the proposed method with the objective of knowing precisely the product reliability is applicable and does not require specialized reliability software for its execution. Therefore, its application can contribute to the developm... (Complete abstract click electronic access below) / Mestre