This Master’s thesis evaluates the survey that mapped using management tools in contemporary practice. Respondents were senior and middle management of companies from the Czech Republic. They had to answer what they expect from the tools and what they think about the various claims concerning the parameters of the attractiveness of the market and competition. The survey was focused on portfolio analysis.

The diploma thesis aims at analyzing Miss Claire Ltd., a distributor of perfumes and cosmetic goods. The situation of external and internal environment is described based on Porter Value Chain, indicators of financial analysis, PESTE and SWOT matrix. GE model and BCG matrix serve as complementary tools. All suggested strategies fulfill SMART criteria as well as strategic goal of Miss Claire Ltd, which is achievement of profitability and stabilization of market position.

(EN) Thesis deals with an approximation of static moduli in wells from dynamic moduli determined by acoustic well logging using T-matrix model. Proposed approach makes possible to determine moduli values, which are close to values of static moduli, which would be determined by loading tests. This approach is based on an idea, that an intact rock with sufficiently high compressional strength sc and sufficiently high value of static Young's modulus Es, manifests more or less linear elastic behaviour. In such case, the values of static and dynamic moduli are identical. This fact has been experimentally verified for rocks with values of sc and Es in order of higher tens of MPa and GPa respectively. In case of a rock damage presence in such rock, it's behaviour becomes nonlinearly elastic. The amount of nonlinearity is proportional to increasing amount of rock damage. This results in the difference between values of static and dynamic moduli. T-matrix model is used to quantify this difference. This model is based on an anisotropic rock matrix with ellipsoidal inclusions. These inclusions can affect each other. The result of this model calculation is a group of values of elastic constants, which we call effective moduli. These effective moduli include the effect of porosity in the rock as well and they...

Στην παρούσα εργασία, πραγματοποιείται η μελέτη του φαινομένου της δυναμικής αλληλεπίδρασης εδάφους-κατασκευής όταν αυτή θεμελιώνεται επί εύκαμπτων, επιφανειακών θεμελιώσεων με ή χωρίς πασσάλους. Η μέχρι σήμερα μελέτη της αλληλεπίδρασης εδάφους-κατασκευής έχει περιορισθεί κυρίως σε επιφανειακά, άκαμπτα ή εύκαμπτα θεμέλια και επιφανειακές ή βαθιές, άκαμπτες θεμελιώσεις επί πασσάλων. Ο συνδυασμός εύκαμπτων θεμελιώσεων, επιφανειακών ή βαθιών, και πασσαλώσεων, κοινή πρακτική σε πλείστες κατασκευές, δεν έχει μελετηθεί λόγω της περιπλοκότητας του φαινομένου και των σχετικών αβεβαιοτήτων όσον αφορά στα δεδομένα του προβλήματος. Συνεπώς, η κρισιμότητα των διαφόρων παραμέτρων, και των πολλαπλών αλληλεπιδράσεων τους, στη σεισμική απόκριση των κατασκευών παραμένει εν πολλοίς άγνωστη. Στόχος της εργασίας είναι η ανάπτυξη ενός διακριτού προσομοιώματος για τον εδαφικό ημιχώρο, το οποίο θα δύναται να χρησιμοποιηθεί για την δυναμική ανάλυση εύκαμπτων θεμελίων με ή χωρίς πασσάλους. Σε αυτή την μελέτη χρησιμοποιείται αποκλειστικά η μέθοδος των πεπερασμένων στοιχείων (ΜΠΣ), για την διακριτοποίηση της κατασκευής, του εδάφους και του συστήματος θεμελίωσης. Ειδικότερα, με τη χρήση του πακέτου πεπερασμένων στοιχείων ACS SASSI, διακριτοποιείται ο εδαφικός ημιχώρος και υπολογίζεται το πεδίο μετακινήσεων της επιφάνειας του ημιχώρου για διάφορες συχνότητες που αντιστοιχούν σε συνήθεις σεισμικές διεγέρσεις. Με γνωστό το πεδίο μετακινήσεων, υπολογίζονται οι δυναμικές δυσκαμψίες του ημιχώρου συναρτήσει της συχνότητας και της απόστασης από το σημείο φόρτισης και δημιουργείται ένα νέο διακριτό προσομοίωμα που αντικαθιστά το έδαφος, με βάση το μητρώο δυναμικών δυσκαμψιών. Τέλος με κατάλληλη αδιαστατοποίηση, προκύπτουν κλειστές εκφράσεις για τα στοιχεία του μητρώου δυναμικών δυσκαμψιών, που παρέχουν το επιπλέον πλεονέκτημα ότι είναι ανεξάρτητες της συχνότητας διέγερσης και έτσι γίνεται εφικτή η απευθείας ανάλυση συστημάτων αλληλεπίδρασης εδάφους – κατασκευής στο πεδίο του χρόνου. Το προτεινόμενο προσομοίωμα του ελαστικού ημιχώρου επεκτείνεται στην περίπτωση του μεμονωμένου πασσάλου σε εδαφικό ημιχώρο. Το διακριτό προσομοίωμα που αναπτύχθηκε προηγουμένως είναι κατάλληλο για εισαγωγή σε πρόγραμμα πεπερασμένων στοιχείων γενικού σκοπού ( όπως π.χ. ANSYS, SAP2000, ABAQUS ) και μπορεί να χρησιμοποιηθεί για κάθε είδος επιφανειακής εύκαμπτης ή άκαμπτης θεμελίωσης ανεξαρτήτου γεωμετρίας, υποκαθιστώντας τον ελαστικά γραμμικό εδαφικό ημιχώρο. Με αυτό τον τρόπο γίνεται εφικτή η επίλυση οποιουδήποτε συστήματος αλληλεπίδρασης εδάφους – κατασκευής. Η ακρίβεια και αποτελεσματικότητα του προτεινόμενου προσομοιώματος για τον εδαφικό ημιχώρο, γίνεται φανερή από μια σειρά συγκρίσεων με αποτελέσματα παλαιοτέρων δημοσιεύσεων για άκαμπτα και εύκαμπτα θεμέλια και κατασκευών με ή χωρίς πασσάλους. / During the last decades the problem of dynamic soil-structure interaction (SSI), has received considerable attention due to the large number of installations and structures sensitive to dynamic excitations such as multistory buildings, bridges, nuclear reactors, platforms etc. In fact every structure that lies on a deformable soil medium, experiences the effects of dynamic SSI. Although the phenomenon is thoroughly studied for a variety of soil-structure systems the main research effort has been focused on the dynamic behavior of rigid foundations. The assumption of foundation rigidity is so popular because it simplifies the solution procedure. In contrast, the dynamic analysis of flexible foundations adds more parameters to the problem, by requiring the discretization of both the soil medium and the foundation itself. In this work, the main goal is the study of the dynamic response of flexible foundations (e.g. mat foundations, raft foundations) and the development of a new discrete model for the analysis of soil-foundation-structure systems, which incorporates the effects of foundation flexibility. The problem under consideration consists of determining the dynamic response of the surface of the soil medium idealized as a linear elastic, isotropic half space. To this end the Finite element Method (FEM) is utilized throughout this work. The FEM computer code ACS SASSI is used to simulate the half space. Using the dynamic response of half space surface due to a unit harmonic load, calculated at a dense network of surface nodal points, the impedances of the half space are computed. Using these values a simplified, frequency independent discrete impedance matrix is constructed. Results of the above analysis are presented for a range of frequencies and half-space material properties, in easy to use graphs. This model is expanded to incorporate the case of a single flexible pile embedded on a homogenous half space. The above discrete model can easily be imported to any standard general purpose FEM code (e.g., ANSYS, SAP2000), where the solution of the soil-structure system can be obtained for a variety of soil-structure systems. The main advantages of this model are 1) Accurate, easy and fast discretization of the soil medium 2) No limitation exist due to foundation type or geometry 3) Analyses can be performed both in frequency and time domain.

This thesis describes how life history characteristics of the varnish clam (Nuttallia obscurata), and interactions with the physical environment and other species, have contributed to its successful invasion in coastal British Columbia. Lab and field experiments were conducted to investigate varnish clam larval ecology (i.e. larval rearing experiments), adult population dynamics (i.e. annual population surveys, mark-recapture and length-frequency analysis, growth modeling) and ecological interactions with native species (i.e. predator/prey preference feeding trials). Using these results, a matrix demographic model was developed to determine which life history stage contributes the most to varnish clam population growth. Larval rearing experiments indicated that temperature and salinity tolerances of varnish clam larvae are comparable to native species, however the planktonic phase is slightly longer (3-8 weeks). Based on local oceanographic circulation, varnish clam larvae have the potential to disperse throughout their entire geographic range in just one reproductive season. Varnish clam population surveys revealed spatiotemporal variation in density and size. No relationships were evident between varnish clam density and the number or density of co-occurring bivalve species. Length-frequency analysis suggested that recruitment varies among sites, with high post-settlement mortality coinciding with high recruitment. The presence of similar recruitment pulses at geographically separate sites indicates regional scale processes may influence recruitment. Individual growth rates iii varied among sites, with higher growth corresponding to lower population densities and water temperature. Monthly survival rates ranged from 0.81 – 0.99 and were lower for clams 10-30 mm. Predator/prey preference feeding trials showed that crabs prefer varnish clams to local species when clam burial depth is limited. Crabs therefore have the potential to influence varnish clam distributions, particularly on beaches where the varnish clam is unable to bury deeply. Based on matrix demographic analysis, adult survival (e.g. clams ≥ 40 mm) is the most crucial factor for varnish clam population growth, and drives the observed population growth differences between sites. This study of the varnish clam invasion demonstrates that its success lies in both species (e.g. lengthy planktonic phase, high survival) and regional (e.g. favourable ocean circulation patterns for rapid dispersal) characteristics. Measures to reduce introductions should be targeted in areas where introductions are likely to have the furthest reaching impacts.

After European settlement, Australian rangelands especially in South Australia underwent significant changes because of the main land use of pastoralism. Many studies have revealed that the plant communities are negatively effected by herbivory mainly by sheep. The main aim of this study is to separate the different effects of sheep, rabbits and kangaroos. This was examined by survey supported by experimental and modelling research. A 32,000 km² area previously surveyed by Tiver and Andrew (1997) in eastern South Australia was re-surveyed to monitor populations of perennial plant species at sites of various intensity of grazing by sheep, rabbits and kangaroos (goats populations are low in the study area), the most important vertebrate herbivores. Plant population data were collected in both sheep paddocks and historically ungrazed by sheep (road reserves) by using the Random Walk method and analyzed using Generalized Linear Modelling (GLM) to separate the effects of sheep and rabbits on plant regeneration and their regeneration in response to grazing. These data were also compared to similar data collected by Tiver and Andrew in 1992 (1997) to ascertain if the reduction in rabbit numbers through introduction of RCV had allowed increased regeneration. Regeneration of many species inside paddocks were negatively affected and species in roadside reserves neither did not significantly increase from 1992 to 2004. However, some species showed increase of populations in spite of sheep grazing, with some species being less susceptible than others. This research also indicates kangaroo grazing impact on some plant species. Reduction in rabbit numbers following the 1995 release of calicivirus has not been effective in restoring regeneration. Another experiment was conducted at Middleback Field Station near Whyalla to identify herbivore grazing pressure on the arid zone plant species Acacia aneura using unfenced, sheep fenced and rabbit fenced grazing exclosures. This experiment was set up with seedlings in exclosures, ten replicates of each treatment, at plots four different distances from the watering point to identify the survivorship of seedlings. Data were collected by recording canopy volumes of seedling over an 18 month period and analyzed by Residual Maximal Likelihood (REML). Seedlings both near and far from the watering point were severely effected by large herbivores, either sheep, kangaroos or both, and in a separate experiment kangaroo grazing effects on the seedling were also identified. Seedlings browsed by the rabbits were recovered better than the seedlings grazed by the large herbivores. Decreasing kangaroo activities has been noticed when the rabbit movements increased. Computer modelling was conducted to predict the future plant population structure over 500 years using a matrix population model developed by Tiver et al. (2006) and using data collected in the survey as a starting point. Extinction probabilities of populations of Acacia aneura near watering points, far from watering points and under pulse grazing scenarios were compared. Sheep grazing was found to cause eventual extinction of populations in all parts of sheep paddocks. Together, the results indicate that sheep are the major herbivore suppressing regeneration of perennial plant species. Kangaroo and rabbits have an identifiable but lesser effect. The results have implications for conservation and pastoral management. To achieve ecological sustainability of arid lands a land-use system including a network of reserves ungrazed by sheep and with control of both rabbit and kangaroo numbers will be required.

Presence of coastal aquaculture activities in marine landscapes is growing. However, there is insufficient knowledge on the subsequent ecological interactions between these activities and marine fish communities. The overall aim of this thesis was to evaluate the direct and indirect ecological effects of aquaculture activities on marine fish communities in Scotland. A combination of empirical and modelling approaches was employed to collect evidence of how aquaculture activities affect marine fish communities at the individual, population and ecosystem levels around coastal sea cages. The two fish farms evaluated in this research provided the wild fish sampled near the sea cages with a habitat rich in food resources which is reflected in an overall better biological condition. Results of the stomach content analysis indicated that mackerel (Scomber scombrus), whiting (Merlangius merlangus) and saithe (Pollachius virens) sampled near sea cages consumed wasted feed which was also reflected in their modified FA profiles. The overall effects of the two fish farms were more pronounced in young whiting and saithe than in mixed aged mackerel sampled near the sea cages. The phase space modelling approach indicated that the overall potential for fish farms to act at the extremes as either population sources (a habitat that is rich in resources and leads to an overall improved fitness) or ecological traps (a habitat that appears to be rich in resources but is not and leads to an overall poor fitness) are higher for juvenile whiting than for mackerel. Based on the empirical evidence and literature the two fish farms are more likely to be a population source for wild fishes. Using an ecosystem modelling approach indicated that fish farming impacts the food web in a sea loch via nutrient loading. Mussel farming relies on the natural food resources and has the potential to affect the food web in a sea loch via competing with zooplankton for resources which can affect higher trophic levels. The presence of both activities can balance the overall impact in a sea loch as compared to the impact induced if each of these activities were present on their own. Both activities have the potential do induce direct and indirect effects on the wild fish and the entire sea loch system. The results of this PhD identified several gaps in data and thus could be used to improve future sampling designs. It is important to evaluate the cumulative effect of the presence of aquaculture activities in terms of nutrient loading and physical structure in the environment. Using a combination of empirical and modelling approaches is recommended to gain further insight into the ecological impacts of aquaculture activities on wild fish communities. Results of this PhD study could lead to more informed decisions in managing the coastal aquaculture activities. Establishing coastal fish farms as aquatic sanctuaries can be of an advantage to increase fish production and conserve species that are endangered provided that no commercial and recreational fishing is allowed nearby. It would be useful to have long term monitoring of the fish stocks around the cages and if there is any production at the regional level. Additionally, information on behaviour, migration patterns should be collected to understand the impacts of aquaculture activities on fish stocks. From an aquaculture perspective, ecologically engineered fish farms in addition to careful site selection in new aquaculture developments may improve nutrient loading into the ecosystem.

La population de la crevette blanche Palaemon longirostris, espèce résidente des estuaires faisant l’objet d’une pêche traditionnelle, est soumise à des forçages environnementaux (fluctuations naturelles du milieu, modifications du régime hydro-climatique de l’estuaire en lien avec le changement climatique) et anthropiques importants (aspiration dans les circuits du CNPE -Centre Nucléaire de production d’Electricité du Blayais-, pêche ciblée, pollutions etc.). Dans ce contexte et sur la base d’un suivi mensuel, réalisé depuis 1979, complété par des échantillonnages en 2007, cette thèse montre que cette population répond fortement aux changements environnementaux abiotiques et anthropiques. Ainsi, d’importantes fluctuations spatio-temporelles des abondances sont mises en évidence à diverses échelles temporelles, spatiales et biologiques. L’analyse de la série à long terme montre des fortes oscillations interannuelles régulières (période 5/10 ans) en partie liées aux facteurs environnementaux et aux variations du recrutement. Une diminution de l’abondance globale, ainsi qu’un déplacement vers l’amont de cette population, sont également constatés. Ce déclin est attribué aux fortes variations et nombreuses modifications des traits de vie de l’espèce –reproduction, -croissance, -mortalité, démontrées au cours de l’étude. La présence de déformations de l’exosquelette, étudiée aussi via un élevage de plusieurs mois, révèle par ailleurs, de forts impacts négatifs à l’échelle individuelle (mortalité). De plus, des simulations réalisées à partir d’un modèle matriciel de dynamique de population élaboré durant l’étude, montrent la synergie des pressions anthropiques par prélèvements (CNPE, pêche) et des forçages environnementaux, ainsi que l’importance des processus de déplacement dans le fonctionnement de cette population. Cette étude démontre finalement l’intérêt que revêt cette population et plus largement les populations de crevettes estuariennes, pour l’étude du fonctionnement et du diagnostic de l’état des écosystèmes estuariens. De nouvelles métriques originales sont proposées, lesquelles ouvrent vers la voie vers de nouveaux indicateurs. / The white shrimp, Palaemon longirostris, is an estuarine species and an important fishing resource. This species therefore encounters an important environmental forcing (natural fluctuations of the environment, modifications of the hydro-climatic regime of the estuary associated with the climate change) and an anthropological forcing (drawing up by the circuits of the CNPE - Nuclear center of electricity production of Blayais-, targeted fishing, pollutions etc.). In this context and on the basis of a monthly survey in place since 1979 and completed in 2007, this study shows that this population is strongly influenced by environmental and anthropological changes. Important spatio-temporal variations in the shrimp abundance are highlighted at different temporal, spatial and biological scales. A long-term analysis underlines strong regular interannual oscillations (5/10-year period) partially linked with environmental factors and recruitment variations. A decrease in the global abundance and a movement of this population towards the upstream part of the estuary are also displayed. In this study, the decline is attributed to strong variations and numerous modifications in the life history traits of the species - reproduction, - growth, - mortality. The presence of exoskeletal deformities, alternatively studied via a rearing of several months, reveals strong negative impacts at the individual scale (mortality). Furthermore, simulations based on a population-matrix model, developed during the study, show the synergy of the anthropological pressure by capture (CNPE, fishing) and the environmental forcing, as well as the importance of movement processes in the population dynamics. This study finally demonstrates the interest of this population, and more widely of the estuarine shrimp populations, in the understanding of the functioning and the diagnosis of the estuarine ecosystem state. New original metrics are proposed, opening the way towards new indicators.

The subject of this thesis is to propose suitable business strategies that will lead to strengthening of the company's current situation and increase of sales. The thesis is divided into theoretical and practical part. The first part theoretically describes methods and procedures used in the practical part. The second part analyses external and internal environment of the chosen company and from the obtained results SWOT analysis and BCG portfolio matrix are created. Subsequently, new strategy is created separately for different individual strategic business units. In the end, chosen strategies are developed into four parts with regards to marketing, finance, R&D and product portfolio.

Submitted by Ricardo Cedraz Duque Moliterno (ricardo.moliterno@uefs.br) on 2016-07-11T23:08:58Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Jumara Marques Souza_tese.pdf: 2615056 bytes, checksum: b21b8de1cf3cd6d4e050ce8ae830c183 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-07-11T23:08:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Jumara Marques Souza_tese.pdf: 2615056 bytes, checksum: b21b8de1cf3cd6d4e050ce8ae830c183 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-09-28 / Conselho Nacional de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico - CNPq / Disturbances affect plant populations in different ways, and their understanding is extremely important to define management strategies and biodiversity conservation. Such disturbances may be natural, as in the case of fire initiated by lightning, or can be anthropogenic, as the extraction of natural products. In both cases, populations of plants under interference from disturbances may increase or decrease, being necessary to understand its effects on populations in the long run. A key plant for conservation is Vellozia aff. sincorana L.B.Sm. & Ayensu (Velloziaceae), is an important species for the conservation of rupestrian fields of the western portion of the Serra do Sincor?, which is endemic. The largest area of distribution of this species, popularly know as candomba, is within the limits of the Chapada Diamantina National Park (CDNP), Bahia, Brazil, where it has a elevated cover. Candomb? branches are target of extraction in the region, which are destined to ignite wood stoves. In addition to this anthropic disturbance, V. aff. sincorana is also frequently affected by fires, which despite being a natural phenomenon are largely generated by human activity in CDNP. The fire has a marked effect on V. aff. sincorana, as it stimulates their mass flowering and synchronic, with no registration of flowering in this species in the absence of fire. This study evaluated the effects of fire in individuals of V. aff. sincorana in space and stages structure and the population dynamics of this species. In addition, simulations were performed with different frequencies fire, harvest intensities, and the association of fire and harvesting in order to assess the possibilities of using fire as management tool of harvest to this species. For analyzes involving harvest, the two techniques used by candomb? collectors in the region (removal of whole adult plants or branches) were simulated. For this study, individuals of V. aff. sincorana were marked, measured and monitored on 16m? plots over two censuses (2012 and 2013) in six populations, three unaffected by fire since 2008, and three affected by recent fires (2011 or 2012), approximately 40 days before the first census. In total, we monitored 1,617 individuals in 56 plots. The results showed that the recent fire affects individuals of V. aff. sincorana stimulating flowering and increases in canopy area, plant height and number of rosettes. Populations had lower rates of mortality and recruitment, however, in areas without recent fire, both the recruitment by seeds and mortality of juveniles were higher. The distribution of individuals was aggregate in all populations, averaging two individuals per m?. The recent fire caused changes in distribution of individuals in class of life stages. In general, populations tended to have higher concentration of adults. The reproduction stimulus by fire increases fertility and causes growth of recent fire populations, so the recent fire encourages population increase of V. aff. sincorana, while in absence of fire populations tended to decrease. The simulation results showed that populations of V. aff. sincorana tend to decrease with increasing the gap between the fire events. In harvest simulations, the growth of population was negatively affected by the decrease in harvest intervals and no fire. The results showed that the harvesting technique of whole adult is not sustainable and that the maintenance of the populations of V. aff. sincorana depends on the survival of individuals, mostly adults. In general, we find evidence that the conservation of V. aff. sincorana and its management for extractive purposes depend on periodic fire occurrence. / Os dist?rbios afetam as popula??es vegetais de diversos modos, sendo sua compreens?o de extrema import?ncia para defini??o de estrat?gias de manejo e conserva??o da biodiversidade. Tais dist?rbios podem ter origem antr?pica ou n?o, a exemplo do fogo iniciado por raio e da extra??o de produtos naturais. Em ambos os casos, as popula??es de plantas sob interfer?ncia podem crescer ou diminuir demasiadamente, sendo necess?ria a compreen??o dos efeitos em longo prazo dos dist?rbios nas popula??es. Vellozia aff. sincorana L.B.Sm. & Ayensu (Velloziaceae) ? uma esp?cie importante para a conserva??o dos campos rupestres da por??o ocidental da Serra do Sincor?, da qual ? end?mica. A maior ?rea de distribui??o dessa esp?cie, popularmente conhecida como candomb?, encontra-se dentro dos limites do Parque Nacional da Chapada Diamantina (PNCD), Bahia, Brasil, onde apresenta uma elevada cobertura. Os ramos do candomb? s?o alvo de extrativismo na regi?o, os quais s?o destinados a acender fog?es a lenha. Al?m desse dist?rbio antr?pico, V. aff. sincorana tamb?m ? frequentemente afetada por inc?ndios, que apesar de serem um fen?meno natural, s?o majoritariamente originados pela a??o humana no PNCD. O fogo tem um efeito marcante sobre V. aff. sincorana, j? que estimula sua flora??o em massa e sincr?nica, n?o havendo registros de flora??o da esp?cie na aus?ncia de fogo. O presente estudo avaliou os efeitos do fogo nos indiv?duos de V. aff. sincorana, na estrutura espacial e de est?dios, bem como na din?mica populacional dessa esp?cie. Al?m disso, foram realizadas simula??es com diferentes frequ?ncias de fogo, intensidades de colheita, e da associa??o entre fogo e colheita, a fim de avaliar as possibilidades do uso do fogo como ferramenta do manejo extrativista dessa esp?cie. Para as an?lises envolvendo colheita, foram simuladas as duas t?cnicas utilizadas pelos coletores de candomb? na regi?o (retirada de plantas adultas inteiras ou a de ramos). Para esse estudo, os indiv?duos de V. aff. sincorana foram marcados, medidos e acompanhados em parcelas de 16m? durante dois censos (2012 e 2013) em seis popula??es, tr?s n?o afetadas por fogo desde 2008, e tr?s afetadas por inc?ndios recentes (2011 ou 2012), aproximadamente 40 dias antes do primeiro censo. No total, foram acompanhados 1.617 indiv?duos distribu?dos em 56 parcelas. Os resultados evidenciaram que o fogo recente afeta os indiv?duos de V. aff. sincorana estimulando ? flora??o e aos incrementos em ?rea da copa, altura da planta e produ??o de rosetas. As popula??es apresentaram baixas taxas de mortalidade e recrutamento, por?m, nas ?reas sem fogo recente, tanto o recrutamento via sementes quanto a mortalidade de juvenis foram maiores. A distribui??o dos indiv?duos foi agregada em todas as popula??es, com m?dia de dois indiv?duos/m?. O fogo recente provocou mudan?as na distribui??o dos indiv?duos entre as classes de est?dios de vida. Em geral, as popula??es tenderam ? maior concentra??o de adultos. A reprodu??o estimulada por fogo aumenta a fertilidade e ocasiona crescimento das popula??es rec?m-incendiadas, de modo que o inc?ndio recente favoreceu o aumento populacional de V. aff. sincorana, enquanto na sua aus?ncia as popula??es tenderam ? diminui??o. Os resultados das simula??es evidenciaram que as popula??es de V. aff. sincorana tendem ? diminui??o com o aumento do intervalo entre os eventos de fogo. Nas simula??es de colheita, o crescimento das popula??es foi afetado negativamente pela diminui??o dos intervalos de colheita e aus?ncia de fogo. Os resultados evidenciaram que a t?cnica de colheita de adultos inteiros n?o ? sustent?vel e que a manuten??o das popula??es de V. aff. sincorana depende da sobreviv?ncia dos indiv?duos, principalmente os adultos. De modo geral, encontramos ind?cios de que a conserva??o de V. aff. sincorana e seu manejo para fins extrativistas dependem da ocorr?ncia peri?dica do fogo.