Stories about the future are a powerful tool for navigating uncertainty, building agency, and detecting opportunities for transformation. For communities that have weathered colonialism, future visions grounded in local values and knowledge are especially powerful. Futures based in diverse value systems are also valuable assets for global efforts toward sustainability transformation. This thesis project began with a participatory visioning workshop in Mombera Kingdom, a community located in Malawi. We invited the kingdom’s traditional leaders to imagine positive futures for nature and people in their district. This workshop was a case study application of the Nature Futures Framework (NFF), a heuristic tool that enables explicit discussion of different ways that people value nature. Following the workshop, I applied the NFF in a novel way to translate the rich and diverse participant visions into distinct, packaged future scenarios. First, I built a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) that represents dynamics in the present. Second, I organized possible interventions according to their expected impact on the NFF’s value perspectives. Third, I used those interventions to build three desirable scenarios of the kingdom’s future, each of which is desirable according to different values. Finally, I gathered stakeholder feedback on the scenarios at a follow-up workshop. The CLD suggests that misalignment within agricultural and energy production institutions causes failure to mediate ecosystem health and human well-being. The intervention analysis demonstrates that value-diverse visions can be translated into value-discrete scenarios. The scenarios capture images of modernity firmly grounded in Mombera Kingdom’s cultural values, rather than the culture that once colonized them. These results suggest new problem framings and strategies in the case study context. This project is a useful step toward regional- and global-scale future scenarios able to include Africa’s locally situated value systems. / AFRICAN FUTURES

‘Nature-positive’ (NP) is emerging as an increasingly used term, intended to encompass goals aimed at reversing the global decline in biodiversity and the incessant destruction of ecosystems. The 1.5-degree goal of the Paris agreement has become a unifying target in the climate discourse, accompanied by the guiding concept of ‘net-zero’ emissions. Anequivalent, widely accepted target for biodiversity has been called for, with NP being named a contender to take this position. However, the concept NP, and net-zero alike, have been subject to criticism. Building on an extensive literature search, this study seeks to identify and analyse the most frequently employed definitions of NP, and who promotes them. It also aims to draw conclusions from a comparative analysis where definitions of NP are mapped onto the IPBES- promoted Nature Futures Framework (NFF). For this purpose, an assessment tool (‘the NFF Mixing Triangle’) is presented. The study finds that NP is frequently used without specifying its meaning, in scientific and non-scientific literature alike. While existing dominant definitions are largely aligned on the conceptual level, there is a lack of consensus on a common definition among stakeholders. The Global Goal for Nature (GG4N) stands out as the most referenced source for defining NP, and is found to have the strongest alignment with NFF. While problematising and discussing criticism, the study suggests a number of focus areas that could serve the future potential of NP. This includes converging NP definitions, balancing definitions across the NFF value dimensions, and considering applicability across multiple scales. An aspiration to consolidate guiding frameworks, use of the Mitigation Hierarchy to strengthen the robustness of NP, and focus on stewardship inside corporations as well as across sectors and value chains, is proposed. Meanwhile, the study suggests that the external drivers of legislation and regulation, and the current growth paradigm and consumption patterns, need to be addressed in concert if NP is to have a real contribution to sustainability transformation.