A complete chain of analysis and synthesis system identification tools for detectability assessment and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation that can be found commonly in control-oriented powertrain models is presented. This research is motivated from the fact that future powertrain control and monitoring systems will depend increasingly on physically oriented system models to reduce the complexity of existing control strategies and open the road to new environmentally friendly technologies. At the outset of this study a physics-based control-oriented dynamic model of a complete transient engine testing facility, consisting of a single cylinder engine, an alternating current dynamometer and a coupling shaft unit, is developed to investigate the functional relationships of the inputs, outputs and parameters of the system. Having understood these, algorithms for identifiability analysis and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation are proposed. The efficacy of the recommended algorithms is illustrated with three novel practical applications. These are, the development of an on-line health monitoring system for engine dynamometer coupling shafts based on recursive estimation of shaft’s physical parameters, the sensitivity analysis and adaptive identification of engine friction parameters, and the non-linear recursive parameter estimation with parameter estimability analysis of physical and semi-physical cyclic engine torque model parameters. The findings of this research suggest that the combination of physics-based control oriented models with adaptive identification algorithms can lead to the development of component-based diagnosis and control strategies. Ultimately, this work contributes in the area of on-line fault diagnosis, fault tolerant and adaptive control for vehicular systems.

In this thesis, a physics-based single particle modeling is presented to analyze a proposed direct coupled hybrid energy storage modules using lithium-ion battery and ultracapacitor. Firstly, a state of the art for the energy storage system in the electrified vehicles are summarized. Several energy storage elements including lead-acid battery, nickel-metal hydride battery, lithium-ion battery, ultracapacitor, and lithium-ion capacitor are reviewed. Requirements of the energy storage systems in electric, hybrid electric, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles are generalized. Typical hybrid energy storage system topologies are also reviewed. Moreover, these energy storage elements and hybrid energy storage system topologies are compared to the requirements of the energy storage systems in terms of specific power and specific energy. Secondly, the performance of different battery balancing topologies, including line shunting, ring shunting, synchronous flyback, multi-winding, and dissipative shunting are analyzed based on a linear programming methodology. As a traction battery in an electric or plug-in electric vehicle, high voltage lithium-ion packs are typically configured in a modular fashion, therefore, the analysis considers the balancing topologies at module level and cell level and focuses on minimum balancing time, minimum plug-in charge time, minimum energy loss, and component counts of every balancing topology for the entire battery pack. Thirdly, different modeling techniques for the lithium-ion battery and ultracapacitor are presented. One of the main contributions of this thesis is the development of a physics-based single particle modeling embedded with a solid-electrolyte interface growth model for a lithium-ion battery in battery management system. This development considers the numerical solution of diffusion equation, cell level quantities, parametrization method, effects of number of shells in a spherical particle, SOC-SOH estimation algorithms, and aging effects. The accuracy of the modeling is validated by experimental results of a Panasonic NCR18650A lithium-ion battery cell. Fourthly, the physics-based modeling is applied to analyze the performance of a proposed direct coupled hybrid energy storage module topology based on the Panasonic NCR18650A lithium-ion battery and Maxwell BCAP0350 ultracapacitor. There are many ways to directly connect battery cells and ultracapacitor cells in a module which would influence the performance of the module. The results show that a module has 9 cells in a battery string and 14 cells in an ultracapacitor string can obtain the highest power capability and utilize the most of the energy in an ultracapacitor. More ultracapacitor strings connected in parallel would increase the power density but reduce the energy density. Moreover, the simulation and experimental results indicate that the direct coupled hybrid modules can extend the operating range and slow the capacity fade of lithium-ion battery. An SOC-SOH estimation algorithm for the hybrid module is also developed based on the physics-based modeling. Finally, a pack design methodology is proposed to meet U.S. Advanced Battery Consortium LLC PHEV-40, power-assist, and 48V HEV performance targets for the battery packs or the proposed direct coupled topologies. In order to explore replacement tradeoffs between the battery and ultracapacitor, a case study of the direct coupled topologies is presented. From the case study, ultracapacitors enhance the power capability for short term pulse power and marginally reduce the cost of an entire energy storage system. Moreover, the hybrid module topologies can keep a relatively long all-electric range when the batteries degrade. / Dissertation / Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

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This dissertation explores the idea of inducing grid peak demand curtailment by turning commercial buildings into interactive assets for building owners during the demand control period. The work presented here is useful for both ab initio design of new sites and for existing or retrofitted sites. An analytical hierarchy process (AHP)-based framework is developed to curtail the thermal load effectively across a group of commercial buildings. It gives an insight into the amount of peak demand reduction possible for each building, subject to indoor thermal comfort constraints as per ASHRAE standards. Furthermore, the detailed operation of buildings in communion with the electric grid is illustrated through case studies. This analysis forms an outline for the assessment of transactive energy opportunities for commercial buildings in distribution system operations and lays the foundation for a seamless building-to-grid integration framework. The contribution of this dissertation is fourfold – (a) an efficient method of developing high-fidelity physics-based building energy models for understanding the realistic operation of commercial buildings, (b) identification of minimal dataset to achieve a target accuracy for the building energy models (c) quantification of building peak demand reduction potential and corresponding energy savings across a stipulated range of thermostat setpoint temperatures and (d) AHP-based demand curtailment scheme. By careful modeling, it is shown that commercial building models developed using this methodology are both accurate and robust. As a result, the proposed approach can be extended to other commercial buildings of diverse characteristics, independent of the location. The methodology presented here takes a holistic approach towards building energy modeling by accounting for several building parameters and interactions between them. In addition, parametric analysis is done to identify a useful minimal dataset required to achieve a specified accuracy for the building energy models. This thesis describes the concept of commercial buildings as interactive assets in a transactive grid environment and the idea behind its working. / Doctor of Philosophy / This dissertation titled "An Expert-based Approach for Grid Peak Demand Curtailment using HVAC Thermostat Setpoint Interventions in Commercial Buildings" tackles two important challenges in the energy management domain: –electric grid peak demand curtailment and energy savings in commercial buildings. The distinguishing feature of the proposed solution lies in addressing these challenges solely through demand-side management (DSM) strategies, which include HVAC thermostat setpoint interventions and lighting control. We present a methodology for developing highly accurate building energy models that serve as digital twins of actual buildings. These digital replicas can be used to quantify the impact of various interventions and reflect the realistic operation of commercial buildings across varied conditions. This enables building owners to control demand intelligently and transact energy effectively in the electricity market. The development of Internet of Things (IoT) market and advanced technologies such as smart meters and smart thermostats allows for the design of novel strategies that address traditional challenges faced by electric grid operators. This dissertation elaborates on how smart buildings can leverage IoT-based solutions to participate in the electricity market during demand control periods. We also developed an expert opinion-based demand curtailment allocation scheme resulting in grid peak demand reduction. The numerical results obtained reinforce the effectiveness of the proposed solution across varied climatic conditions.

<p dir="ltr">The Air Traffic Management (ATM) system encompasses complex and safety-critical operations which are mainly managed by Air Traffic Controllers (ATCs) and pilots to ensure safety and efficiency. This air traffic operation becomes more complex and challenging as demands continue to increase. Indeed, the demand for air transport is expected to increase by an average of 4.3% annually over the next 20 years, and the projected number of flights is expected to reach around 90 million by 2040 [1]. This continuous growth of demands can lead to an excessive workload for both ATCs and pilots, thereby resulting in the degradation of the ATM system. To effectively respond to this problem, a lot of effort has been put into developing decision support tools. This dissertation explores and focuses on the development of algorithms for decision support tools in air traffic control, emphasizing specific desirable properties essential for tasks such as tracking the position of aircraft and monitoring air traffic. The primary focus of this dissertation is to combine a data-driven model and a physics-based model systematically, thereby addressing the limitations of previous works in trajectory prediction and anomaly detection. Through a literature review, important properties, including real-time applicability, interpretability, and feasibility, are identified and pursued for practical applications. These properties are integrated into the proposed algorithms which combine data-driven and physics-based models to address dynamic air traffic scenarios effectively. To meet the requirement of real-time applicability, the algorithms are designed to be computationally efficient and adaptable to continuously changing conditions, ensuring timely provision of immediate information and near-instantaneous responses to assist ATCs. Subsequently, interpretability allows controllers to understand the reasoning behind the algorithm’s predictions. This is facilitated by the use of attention mechanisms and explicit physics-based guidance, making the predictions more intuitive and understandable. In addition, anomaly detection algorithms provide human-readable decision boundaries for flight states for a clear understanding. Lastly, feasibility ensures that the algorithms generate realistic aircraft trajectory predictions based on current flight states and air traffic conditions. This is achieved by physics-guided machine learning which leverages both data-driven and physics-based approaches, accounting for the aircraft dynamics and uncertainties. Moreover, practical and operational considerations are integrated into algorithms for real-world applications. This includes developing anomaly detection models that are adaptable to dynamic trajectory patterns to address the complexities of flexible area navigation airspace. Additionally, to reduce the workload of ATCs, providing immediate advisories for anomaly resolution and arrival sequencing is targeted by learning from historical data. By considering these properties with practical considerations, the dissertation presents a suite of algorithms that can effectively support human operators for air traffic control. </p>

L’ambition de ce travail est la prédiction du champ d’onde incident réalistique, induit par des mouvement forts de sol, aux sites d’importance stratégique, comme des centrales nucléaires. À cette fin, un plateforme multi-outil est développé et exploité pour simuler les aspects différents d’un phénomène complexe et multi-échelle comme un tremblement de terre. Ce cadre computationnel fait face à la nature diversifiée d’un tremblement de terre par approche holistique local-régionale.Un cas d’étude complexe est choisie: le tremblement de terre MW6.6 Niigata-Ken Ch¯uetsu-Oki, qui a endommagé la centrale nucléaire de Kashiwazaki-Kariwa. Les effets de site non-linéaires observés sont à premier examinés et caractérisés. Dans la suite, le modèle 3D «de la faille au site» est construit et employé pour prédire le mouvement sismique dans une bande de fréquence de 0-7 Hz. L’effet de la structure géologique pliée au-dessous du site est quantifié en simulant deux chocs d’intensité modérée et en évaluant la variabilité spatiale des spectres de réponse aux différents endroits dans le site nucléaire. Le résultat numérique souligne le besoin d’une description plus détaillée du champ d’onde incident utilisé comme paramètre d’entrée dans la conception structurel antisismique de réacteurs nucléaires et des installations. Finalement, la bande de fréquences des signaux synthétiques obtenues comme résultat des simulations numériques est agrandie en exploitant la prédiction stochastique des ordonnées spectrales à courte période fournies par des Réseaux Artificiels de Neurones. / The ambition of this work is the prediction of a synthetic yet realistic broad-band incident wave-field, induced by strong ground motion earthquakes at sites of strategic importance, such as nuclear power plants. To this end, an multi-tool platform is developed and exploited to simulate the different aspects of the complex and multi-scale phenomenon an earthquake embodies. This multi-scale computational framework copes with the manifold nature of an earthquake by a holistic local-to-regional approach. A complex case study is chosen to this end: is the MW6.6 Niigata-Ken Ch¯uetsu-Oki earthquake, which damaged the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant. The observed non-linear site-effects are at first investigated and characterized. In the following, the 3D source-to-site model is constructed and employed to provide reliable input ground motion, for a frequency band of 0-7 Hz. The effect of the folded geological structure underneath the site is quantified by simulating two aftershocks of moderate intensity and by estimating the spatial variability of the response spectra at different locations within the nuclear site. The numerical outcome stresses the need for a more detailed description of the incident wave-field used as input parameter in the antiseismic structural design of nuclear reactors and facilities. Finally, the frequency band of the time-histories obtained as outcome of the numerical simulations is enlarged by exploiting the stochastic prediction of short-period response ordinates provided by Artificial Neural Networks.

Electrical contacts provide a well-proven solution to switching various loads in a wide variety of applications, such as power distribution, control applications, automotive and telecommunications. However, electrical contacts are known for limited reliability due to degradation effects upon the switching contacts due to arcing and fretting. Essentially, the life of the device may be determined by the limited life of the contacts. Failure to trip, spurious tripping and contact welding can, in critical applications such as control systems for avionics and nuclear power application, cause significant costs due to downtime, as well as safety implications. Prognostics provides a way to assess the remaining useful life (RUL) of a component based on its current state of health and its anticipated future usage and operating conditions. In this thesis, the effects of contact wear on a set of electromagnetic relays used in an avionic power controller is examined, and how contact resistance combined with a prognostic approach, can be used to ascertain the RUL of the device. Two methodologies are presented, firstly a Physics based Model (PbM) of the degradation using the predicted material loss due to arc damage. Secondly a computationally efficient technique using posterior degradation data to form a state space model in real time via a Sliding Window Recursive Least Squares (SWRLS) algorithm. Health monitoring using the presented techniques can provide knowledge of impending failure in high reliability applications where the risks associated with loss-of-functionality are too high to endure. The future states of the systems has been estimated based on a Particle and Kalman-filter projection of the models via a Bayesian framework. Performance of the prognostication health management algorithm during the contacts life has been quantified using performance evaluation metrics. Model predictions have been correlated with experimental data. Prognostic metrics including Prognostic Horizon (PH), alpha-Lamda (α-λ), and Relative Accuracy have been used to assess the performance of the damage proxies and a comparison of the two models made.

La simulation médicale interactive sur ordinateur est une technologie révolutionnaire pour améliorer l'efficacité de nombreuses interventions médicales tout en réduisant le niveau de risque pour les patients. Bien que visant essentiellement l'apprentissage, ces simulations pourraient être utilisées, dans un futur proche, pour la planification d'interventions complexes ou même pour assister le praticien / clinicien dans la salle d'opération. Ce manuscrit présente une revue détaillée du domaine multi-disciplinaire de la simulation médicale, et illustre nos différentes contributions dans ce domaine. Après une vue d'ensemble, au Chapitre I, de nombreuses applications en simulation médicale, le Chapitre II décrit nos contributions sur les modèles, depuis la modélisation anatomique (afin de créer des représentations réalistes, et potentiellement adaptées au patient, de l'anatomie humaine) jusqu'à la modélisation biomécanique (pour déterminer les caractéristiques des tissus mous et définir des modèles mathématiques décrivant leur comportement). Les problématiques liées à la modélisation de matériel médical (instruments flexibles ou systèmes d'imagerie) ou encore la modélisation physiologique (pour le calcul d'écoulement sanguin par exemple) sont également abordées. Le Chapitre III s'attache à la modélisation des interactions entre instruments et tissus mous, qui occupent une part très importante dans toute intervention médicale. Les différentes techniques à mettre en oeuvre pour modéliser de telles interactions (détection de collision, modélisation des contacts et rendu haptique) sont décrites dans ce chapitre. Au Chapitre IV sont présentées plusieurs contributions liées à la validation, que ce soit pour comparer des modèles déformables ou pour l'évaluation de systèmes d'apprentissage. Le Chapitre V est dédié à la description de divers prototypes de simulateurs développés au cours de ces travaux de recherche, et le Chapitre VI présente nos récents travaux visant au développement d'une plate-forme Open Source dédiée à la simulation médicale. Cette plate-forme, appelée SOFA, est le fruit d'un travail collaboratif international à travers lequel nous espérons fédérer de nombreuses équipes de recherche. Finalement, le Chapitre VII résume nos différentes contributions et présente un ensemble de perspectives et de défis, en particulier dans les domaine de la simulation et de la planification sur des données spécifiques à des patients.