Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-03-22T16:32:16Z No. of bitstreams: 1 AlexandreCardosoFernandesDissertacao2018.pdf: 2016006 bytes, checksum: 7fd24bcd2aa3b4e878f606c4ac524571 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-03-22T16:32:41Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 AlexandreCardosoFernandesDissertacao2018.pdf: 2016006 bytes, checksum: 7fd24bcd2aa3b4e878f606c4ac524571 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-03-22T16:32:41Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 AlexandreCardosoFernandesDissertacao2018.pdf: 2016006 bytes, checksum: 7fd24bcd2aa3b4e878f606c4ac524571 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-02-26 / The main objective of this study is to analyze the effects of macroprudential policies, adopted by Brazil after the 2008 crisis, on the granting of credit to finance vehicles for individuals. The changes in the compulsory liabilities on time deposits and demand deposits, changes in the capital requirement and changes in the Tax on Financial Transactions (IOF) and Industrialized Products Tax (IPI) rates will be studied. In the empirical part, a multiple regression will be estimated to identify the main determinants of vehicle credit for individuals in Brazil. A review will be made of the literature on the trajectory of banking regulation from Basel I to Basel III, as well as the Micro and Macroprudential regulation. / O objetivo central do trabalho, ?? analisar os efeitos das pol??ticas macroprudenciais, adotadas pelo Brasil ap??s a crise de 2008, sobre a concess??o de cr??dito para financiamento de ve??culos para pessoas f??sicas. Ser??o estudadas as altera????es nas exigibilidades de compuls??rio sobre dep??sitos a prazo e ?? vista, mudan??a na exig??ncia de capital e altera????es nas al??quotas do Imposto sobre Opera????es Financeiras (IOF) e Imposto sobre Produtos Industrializados (IPI). Na parte emp??rica, ser?? estimada uma regress??o m??ltipla para identificar os principais determinantes da concess??o de cr??dito ve??culo para pessoas f??sicas no Brasil. Ser?? feita uma revis??o da literatura sobre trajet??ria da regula????o banc??ria de Basileia I a Basileia III, bem como da regula????o Micro e Macroprudencial.

Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-12T17:54:31Z No. of bitstreams: 1 FernandodaSilvaVinhadoTese2016.pdf: 4671491 bytes, checksum: 0135cb044ecbfc6e099af8cff5435e2d (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-12T17:54:50Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 FernandodaSilvaVinhadoTese2016.pdf: 4671491 bytes, checksum: 0135cb044ecbfc6e099af8cff5435e2d (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-04-12T17:54:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 FernandodaSilvaVinhadoTese2016.pdf: 4671491 bytes, checksum: 0135cb044ecbfc6e099af8cff5435e2d (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-06-01 / This thesis consists of two studies investigating the relationship between monetary and macroprudential policy and the banking sector of the Brazilian economy. The first chapter seeks to find empirical evidence exploring a data structure in cross-section as a source of interrelations between systemic aspects of those policies and the behavior of banks. From estimations panel VAR there is evidence that monetary and macroprudential policies influence on the levels of exposure to financial risks, capital and financial stability of banks. It is observed that there is a complement between the instruments of those policies and the stabilization of inflation. Relationships involving banking metrics also reveal how the formation of capital buffers favors financial stability. This confirms the importance of the capital requirement as a tool to maintain a stable financial system. In the second section applies a DSGE modeling that combines different literatures as a way to examine how monetary and macroprudential policy shocks are conducted in noncompetitive banking. The findings show that despite the recessionary effect on credit and product, contractionary shock in interest rate and reserve requirement when pass through to the cost of bank credit in financial markets operating in imperfect competition, may cause an immediate increase in the spread and earnings of banks with increased formation of capital buffers, which favors the stability of the financial system. Further the relevance of a capital requirement of shock to the banking sector and real economy, the results also indicate that, due to different practices in reserve requeriments rules and / or the magnitude of the capital requeriment ratio, there may be different influences in the transmission of monetary and macroprudential policy shocks. This shows the relationship and the need for suitable coordination between policies. It is also noted that the study captures the effectiveness of macroprudential policy, for reserve requirement or capital requiremen / Esta tese ?? composta por dois estudos que investigam as rela????es entre pol??tica monet??ria e macroprudencial e o setor banc??rio da economia brasileira. No primeiro cap??tulo busca-se encontrar evid??ncias emp??ricas explorando uma estrutura de dados em cross-section como fonte de inter-rela????es entre aspectos sist??micos daquelas pol??ticas e o comportamento dos bancos. A partir de estima????es VAR em painel encontram-se evid??ncias de que as pol??ticas monet??rias e macroprudenciais exercem influ??ncia sobre os n??veis de exposi????o a riscos financeiros, capital e estabilidade financeira dos bancos. Observa-se que h?? um complemento entre os instrumentos daquelas pol??ticas e a estabiliza????o da infla????o. As rela????es envolvendo m??tricas banc??rias revelam tamb??m como a forma????o de buffers de capital favorece a estabilidade financeira. Isso ratifica a import??ncia da exig??ncia de capital como instrumento para manuten????o de um sistema financeiro est??vel. No segundo cap??tulo aplica-se uma modelagem em DSGE que combina diferentes literaturas como forma de examinar como os choques de pol??tica monet??ria e macroprudencial s??o conduzidos na atividade banc??ria n??o competitiva. Os achados mostram que apesar do efeito recessivo sobre o cr??dito e produto, choques contracionistas em taxa de juros e requerimento compuls??rio, quando repassados para o custo do cr??dito banc??rio em mercado financeiro operando em concorr??ncia imperfeita, podem provocar aumento imediato no spread e lucro dos bancos, com maior forma????o de buffers de capital, o que favorece a estabilidade do sistema financeiro. Al??m da relev??ncia de um choque de exig??ncia de capital para o setor banc??rio e lado real da economia, os resultados apontam tamb??m que, em raz??o de diferentes pr??ticas adotadas nas regras de compuls??rio e/ou na magnitude da meta do ??ndice de Basil??ia, pode haver diferentes influ??ncias na transmiss??o dos choques de pol??tica monet??ria e macroprudencial. Isso mostra a rela????o e necessidade de adequada coordena????o entre as pol??ticas. Ressalta-se tamb??m que o estudo captura a efic??cia da pol??tica macroprudencial, via requerimento compuls??rio ou exig??ncia de capital, como instrumentos complementares ?? taxa de juros de pol??tica no processo de estabilidade monet??ria.

Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-20T11:14:42Z No. of bitstreams: 1 CarlosAlbertoTakashiHaraguchiDissertacao2016.pdf: 2164879 bytes, checksum: 14e93c20b925917bc67518001c696adf (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-20T11:15:24Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 CarlosAlbertoTakashiHaraguchiDissertacao2016.pdf: 2164879 bytes, checksum: 14e93c20b925917bc67518001c696adf (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-04-20T11:15:24Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 CarlosAlbertoTakashiHaraguchiDissertacao2016.pdf: 2164879 bytes, checksum: 14e93c20b925917bc67518001c696adf (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-04-21 / This work evaluates the effects of shocks on a small open economy using a DSGE model with financial frictions and a macroprudential measure of reserve requirements with monetary authority. According to this approach, the exchange rate role as a channel of transmission for shocks was analyzed as well as alternatives Taylor rules and reserve requirements policies the monetary authority could implement. Simulations indicated exchange rate plays an active role in situations of domestic or external monetary policy and technological progress shocks, but the intensity depends on the degree of openness of the economy. The choice between PPI or CPI measures of inflation as a target in the Taylor rule resulted in a slight better performance for PPI regarding stability. When it comes to including real exchange rate in the rule, the differences were more significant, indicating that, in order to reach a common inflation target, the necessary interest rate shock and the ensuing fall of output would be smaller as well as the convergence to equilibrium would be faster. However, the cost was a more volatile inflation rate. The absence of reserve requirements with monetary authority was more appropriate in case of external shocks, since it caused lower volatility in output and domestic prices. A reserve requirements policy, on the other side, helped to stabilize output after a internal monetary policy shock. / Este trabalho avalia os efeitos de choques sobre uma pequena economia aberta (PEA) utilizando um modelo din??mico estoc??stico de equil??brio geral (DSGE, em ingl??s) com fric????es financeiras e uma pol??tica macroprudencial de exig??ncia de dep??sitos compuls??rios por parte da autoridade monet??ria. A partir dessa modelagem, foram analisados o papel do c??mbio como canal de propaga????o de choques e alternativas de regras de Taylor e pol??ticas de compuls??rios que a autoridade monet??ria poderia implementar. As simula????es indicaram que o c??mbio tem um papel ativo na transmiss??o de choques de pol??tica monet??ria dom??stica, de produtividade e de pol??tica monet??ria externa, mas a intensidade depende do grau de abertura da economia. A escolha entre as medidas de infla????o dom??stica (PPI) ou ao consumidor (CPI) para a regra de Taylor resultou num desempenho ligeiramente melhor para a PPI no que se refere ?? estabilidade. Em se tratando da inclus??o da taxa real de c??mbio na regra, as diferen??as foram bem mais significativas indicando que, para atingir uma mesma meta de infla????o, o choque necess??rio na taxa de juros e a consequente queda no produto seriam menores, al??m de uma converg??ncia ao equil??brio mais r??pida. O custo, por??m, foi uma trajet??ria mais vol??til da taxa de infla????o. A aus??ncia de exigibilidade de dep??sitos compuls??rios na autoridade monet??ria se mostrou mais indicada em situa????es de choques externos por provocar menor oscila????o no produto e nos pre??os dom??sticos. Uma pol??tica de compuls??rios, por outro lado, auxiliou a estabilizar o produto ap??s um choque de pol??tica monet??ria interna.