As apparent from the name of my diploma thesis I am trying to find a relation between the political and the economical cycle in the Czech Republic. It is evident that the political events are motivated by the personal interests of the politicians to be re-elected. Also the development of the economy does not need to be spontaneous but influenced by the populist intentions. In the theoretical part I am trying to explain the relations between the political and the economical cycle and also the behaviour of several macroeconomic variables which I have chosen for the analytical part of my work. These are: GDP development, inflation, unemployment rate, social migration of the population, consumption and balance of the state budget. In the analytical part I am analysing the behaviour of the selected variables in the election period 1996-1998, 1999-2002, 2003-2006 and in the first two years of the postelection period 2007 and 2008. Based on the behaviour of the variables within the political cycle I am trying to find the possible reason of their development, whether it is a spontaneous process characterized by the current phase of the economical cycle or whether it is a result of the implemented populist measures.

The main goal of this thesis is to evaluate and analyze the development of publicfinance in the V4 countries and their consolidation during the period 2002 - 2010. In that period of time there have been significant changes that directly affected the fiscal policies of all members of the V4. The examples of such changes is the fiscal decentralization, the admittance of this countries into the European Union and in the case of Slovakia also the fulfillment of the convergence criteria before joining the Eurozone in 2009. The work also analyses the transformation process in the V4 countries, because it very influenced the other fiscal development. The thesis seeks to examine and compare the economic policies of the governments of V4, which aim to restructure of public funds. The thesis also tries to link the knowledge obtained with the political cycle.

nÃo hà / A Lei de Responsabilidade Fiscal à um marco nas normas regulamentadoras das finanÃas pÃblicas voltadas para a responsabilidade na gestÃo fiscal. Em seu conteÃdo, alÃm de estabelecer normas de imposiÃÃo aos limites de pessoal e endividamento, discorre sobre operaÃÃo de crÃdito, gastos em anos eleitorais, previsÃo de receitas e divulgaÃÃo dos relatÃrios fiscais e prevà puniÃÃes para os que nÃo cumprirem as normas. Em sua ausÃncia, era evidente que o gestor pÃblico nÃo impunha os limites dos gastos com a despesa de pessoal, com o endividamento pÃblico e com a transparÃncia na gestÃo fiscal. Este trabalho busca compreender o papel que o processo eleitoral desempenha quanto aos gastos pÃblicos com o investimento, a dÃvida consolidada lÃquida e a receita corrente lÃquida dos estados de todas as regiÃes do Brasil, no perÃodo de 2002 a 2010 ao longo do ciclo polÃtico. Montou-se um painel dinÃmico com variÃveis dummies representativas das diferentes fases do ciclo a partir do ano da eleiÃÃo (t1) para o ano pÃs-eleiÃÃo, (t2) para o ano intermediÃrio e (t3) para o ano prÃ-eleitoral. O mÃtodo de estimaÃÃo usado foi o proposto por Arellano e Bond (1991). / The Fiscal Responsibility Law which became a landmark in regulatory standards of public finance for accountability in fiscal management. In addition to establishing content standards impose limits and personal indebtedness, discusses credit operation, spending in election years, estimates, disclosure of tax reporting, and predict punishments to non compliance with the rules. In their absence was evident that the manager had no public imposition of spending limits to personnel expenses, with public debt and transparency in fiscal management. This work seeks to understand the role that the electoral process has on the performance of public expenditure on investment, consolidated net debt and net current revenue of states from all regions of Brazil, in the period 2002 - 2010 throughout the political cycle. The methodology used was the econometric model with panel data group with dummy variables representing the different phases of the cycle from the election year, (t1) for the year after the election, (t2) for the year and intermediate (t3) for the pre-election year. The estimation method used was proposed by Arellano and Bond (1991).

Diploma thesis is focused on the analysis of expenditure of the state budget of the Ministry of labour and social affairs in the years 2000 to 2010. This thesis explores the changing structure of those expenses and tries to answer the question whether the political cycle and the power of coalitions significant impact on spending in this chapter. It also addresses the issue of sustainability of public finances.

The thesis is concerned with the analysis of the development of public expenditures in Czech Republic between the years 2000 and 2015 with regard to the progress of political cycles. The analysis of overall development of each budget chapter (especially the year on year comparison) is based on real outcomes of state finances collected from final state accounts. The purpose of the thesis is to discover potential influence of political cycles on the level and structure of public expenses. The author created his own theoretical assumptions and set an original methodological approach. Final findings mostly comply with the created hypothesis.

The aim of the thesis "The economic policy of the Czech Republic in the background of the political cycle" is to analyze whether the size of the state budget and revenue and expenditure is influenced by the political cycle or not. The main goal of this work is to find out whether the size of the state budget and its individual parts are affected by the political cycle and at the same time also make assessment of that whether the current political cycle is manifested in the selected macroeconomic variables or not. Next, I will analyze the evolution of the unemployment and inflation rates and then determine whether the individual variables are affected because of the ongoing political cycles or their development would have been comparable, if there would not be the functioning of the political cycle. The thesis will be taken into account the conclusions and outcomes of the theory that areas are involved in the political cycle. The aim of this work will be to confirm or refute the hypothesis political cycle in the Czech Republic and to find out whether there is a growing state budget deficits particular pre-election and election year, extensive easing of fiscal policy and whether budget deficits are a natural result of the struggle for votes between political parties or not. The influence of the...

p. 1-191 / Submitted by Santiago Fabio (fabio.ssantiago@hotmail.com) on 2013-04-25T19:23:41Z No. of bitstreams: 1 22222.pdf: 1803793 bytes, checksum: 908f049302ffed4b26a9995cc14b52a8 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Maria Creuza Silva(mariakreuza@yahoo.com.br) on 2013-05-04T17:36:37Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 22222.pdf: 1803793 bytes, checksum: 908f049302ffed4b26a9995cc14b52a8 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2013-05-04T17:36:37Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 22222.pdf: 1803793 bytes, checksum: 908f049302ffed4b26a9995cc14b52a8 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009 / En el Perú una cuarta parte de niños menores de 5 años se encuentran en desnutrición crónica y la evolución de este indicador desde 1996 prácticamente se ha mantenido igual. En el departamento de Puno el problema aún es mayor por sus condicionantes socio-económicas y políticas. Después del ajuste estructural provocado por los cambios del sistema económico, la mitad de la población peruana, pasó al estado de pobreza y una cuarta parte a la extrema pobreza; siendo afectado el acceso a los alimentos por parte de las familias peruanas, es aquí donde la política alimentaria formó parte del programa. En el periodo del gobierno de Alberto Fujimori y Alejandro Toledo se incrementó el financiamiento en programas alimentarios, trabajándose aún innovaciones en la gestión de estos programas. Producto de esta realidad social, el Perú se encuentra en la inseguridad alimentaria. Pese a las iniciativas y esfuerzos realizados por el estado peruano por disminuir la inseguridad alimentaria se observa aún instituciones públicas y privadas en la yuxtaposición de implementación de políticas alimentarias. El objetivo de la investigación fue describir y analizar el proceso de formulación de las políticas de seguridad alimentaría en el departamento de Puno – Perú durante el periodo 2001 al 2006. Utilizamos el enfoque teórico - metodológico del ciclo de la política enfatizando sobre el modelo de las ―múltiples corrientes‖. Este estudio de caso utilizó la revisión documental y las entrevistas en profundidad aplicadas a los ―informantes clave‖. Estas informaciones fueron procesadas, descritas y analizados para caracterizar el contexto nacional y regional; obtener las racionalidades de los actores en el proceso de formulación de la política de seguridad alimentaria; así como identificar a los emprendedores políticos que facilitó la reconstrucción del momento de predecisión, decisión y la apertura de la ―ventana política o de oportunidad‖ que condujo a la formulación de la Estrategia Nacional de Seguridad Alimentaria 2004-2015 y la Estrategia Regional de Seguridad Alimentaria – Puno 2006-2015. Constatamos que estas políticas aún tienen dificultad para implementarse, existiendo vacío de responsabilidades y articulación con los planes sectoriales, a pesar de haber obtenido apoyo general de la comunidad política para su formulación. Observándose que el gobierno de Alejandro Toledo (2001-2006) promovió el dialogo y la negociación con la sociedad civil, todavía insuficiente para el enfrentamiento de la inseguridad alimentaria. / Salvador

Submitted by Rebeca Regatieri (rereregatieri@yahoo.com.br) on 2013-07-30T19:57:19Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Regatieri.pdf: 719656 bytes, checksum: 32bbeaea4a6587d7fc138ae31c74262d (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Suzinei Teles Garcia Garcia (suzinei.garcia@fgv.br) on 2013-07-30T20:00:02Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Regatieri.pdf: 719656 bytes, checksum: 32bbeaea4a6587d7fc138ae31c74262d (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2013-07-30T20:00:55Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Regatieri.pdf: 719656 bytes, checksum: 32bbeaea4a6587d7fc138ae31c74262d (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-06-27 / The present work studies the variable regarding to the tax revenue directly collected by municipalities. It highlights three objectives: i) to analyze the impact of constitutional transfers from the Municipal Participation Fund (MPF) on direct municipal tax revenues, ii) analyze the existence of a political cycle on the collection, and iii) analyze the impact of the collection on the current mayors's probability of reelection. The methodology used for the analysis of MPF on the municipal tax collection is the Regression Discontinuity (RD) in fuzzy design (Angrist & Pischke, 2008), using for this the MPF discontinuities due to changes in population groups. To analyze the political cycle, we use regressions of the municipal tax revenues variable on year dummies referring to the mayors's year administration, with fixed effects and according to the political cycles literature(Vine & Mattos, 2011; Araújo Leite Filho, 2010; Nakaguma & Bender 2010). Regarding the impact of the variable of interest on the incumbent mayors's probability of reelection, the estimation methodology follows three stages in the estimation of an OLS model (OLS), for the whole sample and to the vicinity of these discontinuities. The results indicate a both negative and increasing effect of MPF on municipal tax revenues, along cert a in population groups, suggesting that mayors would prefer cutting tax revenues, rather than simply use the granted additional transfers in order to increase the local public good. From this gap in municipal tax revenue allowed by MPF, we find the existence of political cycles, being the tax collections in the early years of the mandate above the tax collection in the election year. In respect to the impact on re-election, the results are not robust, indicating the necessity for information that detach the effect of increases in tax rates from the effects of increases in the tax base or improvements in the structure of municipal tax collection, which may be producing a more balanced or equitable municipal tax collection system. / O presente trabalho tem como variável de estudo a arrecadação realizada diretamente pelos municípios. Destacam-se três objetivos: i) analisar o impacto das transferências constitucionais do Fundo de Participação Municipal (FPM) sobre a arrecadação municipal direta; ii) analisar a existência de ciclo político na arrecadação; e iii) analisar o impacto da arrecadação na probabilidade de reeleição dos prefeitos incumbentes. A metodologia usada para a análise do FPM sobre a arrecadação municipal é a Regressão de Descontinuidade (RD) no fuzzy design (Angrist & Pischke, 2008), utilizando para isso as descontinuidades no FPM devido às mudanças nas faixas populacionais. Para analisar o ciclo político, utilizam-se regressões da variável arrecadação municipal sobre dummies para os anos do mandato com efeitos fixos, em consonância com a literatura de ciclos políticos (Videira & Mattos, 2011; Araújo e Leite Filho, 2010; Nakaguma & Bender, 2010). Com relação ao impacto da variável de interesse sobre a probabilidade de reeleição dos prefeitos incumbentes, a metodologia segue a estimação em 3 estágios de um modelo de Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO), para a amostra toda e para as proximidades das referidas descontinuidades. Os resultados indicam um efeito negativo e crescente do FPM sobre a arrecadação municipal, ao longo de determinadas faixas populacionais, sinalizando que os prefeitos preferem reduzir a arrecadação tributária, ao invés de apenas usar as transferências adicionais obtidas para aumentar o bem público local. Nessa lacuna na arrecadação municipal permitida pelas transferências do FPM, encontra-se a existência de ciclos políticos, estando as arrecadações nos anos iniciais do mandato acima da arrecadação no ano eleitoral. Com relação ao impacto sobre a reeleição, os resultados não são robustos, indicando a necessidade de se obter informações que separem o efeito de aumentos nas alíquotas dos efeitos de aumentos na base de cálculo ou de melhorias na estrutura de arrecadação municipal, que podem estar tornando o sistema de arrecadação municipal mais equilibrado ou equitativo.

The basic goal of diploma thesis "The Propensity to Government Budget Deficit: Analysis of the Influence of Political Cycle on Czech Fiscal policy" is to identify fundamental factors which influence decisions about the size of government budget balance and to analyze the influence of political cycle on the volume and structure of government expenditures in the period of 1993-2009. Analysis is based on theories which are connected to the areas of public sector, state and its function, public finances, government budget, the process of generating budget, political cycle, political parties and europeanization. The problem of propensity to budget deficits is structured using dimensional analysis and problem tree. The influence of political cycle is verified by using the combination of qualitative analysis of policy documents and quantitative analysis of specific indicators. Analysis classifies external and internal factors influencing the tendency to deficit budgeting. Political cycle is one of those internal factors becouse it is affected by the decision making process of political representatives. The influence of political cycle on the volume of government expenditures and the expenditures of the Ministry of Labor and social affairs could not be demonstrated on data. Otherwise, there is possibility...