Solvency II is the new European Union (EU) legislation which will replace the capital adequacy regime for the insurance industry. Considering that the banking sector has experienced a similar change through the different Basel Accords (Basel), there is an opportunity for the insurance industry before The results indicate similar distortions between developing countries while the major driver behind the cost of capital for developing countries is equity market volatility, and not credit risk as might have been expected. Finally, the fourth research problem relates to another objective of financial regulations: to reflect the risks that financial institutions face. The risk sensitivities of economic and regulatory capital for credit risk are investigated empirically using a dynamic optimisation model in one of the first studies of its kind. Results show that economic capital is a superior risk measure to regulatory capital from a systemic- and institution-specific risk perspective. This, along with calls to strengthen Pillar 2 disciplines following the financial crisis, leads to a suggestion that economic capital could be considered as a Pillar 1 capital requirement, replacing the current forms of Pillar 1 regulatory capital. the implementation of Solvency II to learn from the weaknesses and shortcomings in Basel to ensure that the design of Solvency II will, as far as possible, compensate for these. The financial crisis of 2007 to 2010 highlighted certain weaknesses and shortcomings of Basel and there is accordingly an opportunity for the insurance industry to learn from these deficiencies and to strengthen Solvency II to help prevent similar events in the insurance industry. This thesis investigates these weaknesses in Basel in an attempt to determine the extent to which these are inherently included in Solvency II. The first research problem of this thesis examines these weaknesses in Basel and relates them back to Solvency II to determine which, and to what extent, some of them may have been included in Solvency II. The second research problem leads from the first and critically explores an objective of financial regulations, namely to provide financial institutions with equal competitive conditions (the so-called ‘level playing field’) from a regulatory perspective. To achieve this objective, there is an implicit assumption that the cost of capital between countries is equal. Investigation into the cost of capital between both developed and developing countries using a modified weighted average cost of capital model indicates that the cost of capital between developed and developing countries differs and that regulations based on capital requirements tend to favour developed countries. This means that current financial regulations cannot achieve this objective as intended. The third research problem investigates the cost of capital between various developing countries to determine firstly whether similar competitive distortions exist among such countries, while secondly exploring the drivers behind the cost of capital in such countries through linear regression analyses. / PhD (Risk Management), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

台新金控購併彰化銀行可以說是台灣金融業擬以融資購併方式進行合併的第一案，本研究希望透過分析此個案，了解台新金控購併的目的、資金來源與後續合併換股可能衍生之議題，為未來公股釋出，以及金融整併提供可行之方法。 本文就融資購併理論架構說明起，以當前台灣金融政策與購併環境現況分析，這包括實際已發生的金融購併案件及金融購併法規探討，它突顯出台灣在金融合併處理上是保守的。 / / The M&A of Taishin Holdings Cooperation (THC) and Chang Hwa Bank (CHB) could be regarded as the first M&A (Merge and Acquisition) by LBO ( Leverage Buy-out) in Taiwan. This study, by analyzing this case, discusses the purpose, the funding source of THC and the issues after shares-exchange, which indicates the feasible methods for the release of the state holdings and the combination of the financial institutes in the future. The beginning of this study discusses the theory and the structure of LBO to analyze the financial policy and M&A environment in Taiwan at present, including practical M&A cases and legal problems etc., which reveals not very aggressive. /

Le risque systémique a joué un rôle clé dans la propagation de la dernière crise financière mondiale.Un grand nombre de mesures de ce risque ont été développées pour évaluer la contribution d’une institutionfinancière au risque de l’ensemble du système. Toutefois, de nombreuses questions concernantles capacités de ces mesures à identifier les institutions financières d’importance systémique (SIFIs) ontété soulevées puisque le risque systémique possède de multiples facettes et certaines d’entre elles sontdifficiles identifier, telles que les similitudes entre institutions financières.L’objectif général de cette thèse en finance est donc (i) de proposer une solution empirique pour identifierles SIFIs au niveau nationale, (ii) de comparer théoriquement et empiriquement différentes mesures durisque systémique et (iii) de mesurer les changements d’expositions au risque des banques.Tout d’abord, le chapitre 1 propose un ajustement de trois mesures de risque systémique basées sur desdonnées de marchés et conçues dans un cadre international, afin d’identifier les SIFIs au niveau national.Ensuite, le chapitre 2 introduit un modèle commun dans lequel plusieurs mesures du risque systémiquesont exprimées et comparées. Il y est théoriquement établi que ces mesures de risque systémique peuventêtre exprimées en fonction de mesures traditionnelles de risque. L’application empirique confirme cesrésultats et montre que ces mesures ne sont pas capables de saisir la nature multidimensionnelle durisque systémique. Enfin, le chapitre 3 présente la méthodologie appelée Factor Implied Risk Exposures(FIRE) permettant de décomposer une variation de la mesure de risque d’une banque en deux éléments,le premier représentant la volatilité de marché et le second correspondant à l’exposition au risque de labanque. Ce chapitre illustre empiriquement que les changements d’expositions au risque sont corréléspositivement entre les banques, ce qui est cohérent avec le fait que les banques présentent des similitudesdans leurs prises de positions sur le marché. / Systemic risk has played a key role in the propagation of the last global financial crisis. A large number ofsystemic risk measures have been developed to quantify the contribution of a financial institution to thesystem-wide risk. However, numerous questions about their abilities to identify Systemically ImportantFinancial Institutions (SIFIs) have been raised since systemic risk has multiple facets, and some of themare difficult to gauge, such as the commonalities across financial institutions.The main goal of this dissertation in finance is thus (i) to propose an empirical solution to identifydomestic SIFIs, (ii) to compare theoretically and empirically different systemic risk measures, and (iii)to measure changes in banks’ risk exposures.First, chapter 1 offers an adjustment of three market-based systemic risk measures, designed in a globalframework, to identify domestic SIFIs. Second, chapter 2 introduces a common framework in whichseveral systemic risk measures are expressed and compared. It is theoretically shown that those systemicrisk measures can be expressed as function of traditional risk measures. The empirical application confirmsthese findings and shows that these measures fall short in capturing the multifaceted nature of systemicrisk. Third, chapter 3 proposes the Factor Implied Risk Exposures (FIRE) methodology which breaksdown a change in risk disclosure into a market volatility component and a bank-specific risk exposurecomponent. This chapter empirically illustrates that changes in risk exposures are positively correlatedacross banks, which is consistent with banks exhibiting commonality in trading.

Submitted by Karina Cyganczuk Goes (karinagoes@uol.com.br) on 2014-06-06T20:34:21Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Estrutura de Capital e CoCos sob a otica de Basileia III - Um estudo empirico sobre o Brasil.pdf: 699008 bytes, checksum: 8646f039c659f7f9e7a793f98d9b1bf5 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by JOANA MARTORINI (joana.martorini@fgv.br) on 2014-08-19T14:19:50Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Estrutura de Capital e CoCos sob a otica de Basileia III - Um estudo empirico sobre o Brasil.pdf: 699008 bytes, checksum: 8646f039c659f7f9e7a793f98d9b1bf5 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2014-08-19T16:15:05Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Estrutura de Capital e CoCos sob a otica de Basileia III - Um estudo empirico sobre o Brasil.pdf: 699008 bytes, checksum: 8646f039c659f7f9e7a793f98d9b1bf5 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-05-07 / It is a fact that banks worldwide maintain excess regulatory capital, either to minimize cost of recapitalization or to mitigate risks of financial difficulties. But only after the 2007/2008 crisis, the quality of that excess capital has been important to regulators, who proposed a new capital structure in the Basel III agreement, creating new hybrid bonds, the contingent convertible, whose main objective is to recapitalize the bank automatically in times of financial difficulties. In this context, we analyzed the 10 largest banks in Brazil in total assets, comparing the structure of each bank with straight bond, against the same structure with contingent convertible under the Basel III rules and without regulations or when they are fragile. The evidence suggests that, by the model, Brazilian banks were better capitalized with contingent convertible, than straight bond under Basel III rules, but in unregulated environments or where they are fragile, contingent convertibles induce increased risk and may lead to new financial crisis. / É fato, que os bancos do mundo inteiro mantêm excesso de capital regulatório, seja para minimizar custos de recapitalização, seja para mitigar riscos de dificuldades financeiras. Mas somente depois da crise de 2007/2008, a qualidade desse capital em excesso, passou a ganhar importância entre os órgãos reguladores, que propuseram uma nova estrutura de capital no Acordo de Basiléia III, criando novos instrumentos híbridos de capital e dívidas, os contingentes conversíveis, cujo principal objetivo é, recapitalizar o banco automaticamente em momentos de dificuldades financeiras. Neste contexto, analisamos os 10 maiores bancos do Brasil, em total de ativos, comparando a estrutura de cada banco com dívidas subordinadas, contra a mesma estrutura com contingentes conversíveis, sob as regra de Basiléia III e, em ambientes sem regulamentações ou quando estas são frágeis. As evidências sugerem que, segundo o modelo utilizado, os bancos brasileiros estariam mais bem capitalizados com contingentes conversíveis, do que com dívidas subordinadas sob as regras de Basiléia III, mas em ambientes sem regulamentação ou quando estas são frágeis, os contingentes conversíveis induzem o aumento de riscos, podendo levar a novas crises financeiras.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-06-02T20:06:09Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 5762.pdf: 2315381 bytes, checksum: 2d23013b02c4b33dcbf1b10405b613b9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-02-12 / Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos / In this work, we present and discuss the operational risk in the financial institutions, Basel Accord II, the structure of dependence between cumulative operational losses, a tool for modeling this dependence (theory of copula) and the allocation of a capital, called regulatory capital. The usual method for calculation of regulatory capital for operational risk, suggested by Basel Committee, overestimates the final capital because it is considered that the losses are perfectly positively dependents. Then, we propose a new method for this calculation based on theory of copula for the bivariate case. Such method models the dependence between two losses and considers a index (representing the expert opinion). We discuss also a method studied on Alexander (2003) and perform a simulation study in order to compare all methods, the usual, the proposed and the convolution one. / Nesse trabalho, abordamos o risco operacional nas instituições financeiras sob o ponto de vista do Acordo de Basileia II, a característica da presença de dependência estocástica entre as variáveis aleatórias em questão, a ferramenta para modelagem de tal dependência (teoria de cópulas) e a alocação de capital regulatório. Como o método usual para alocação de capital regulatório sugerido pelo Acordo de Basileia II superestima tal capital por considerar que as variáveis perdas são perfeitamente dependentes, propomos neste trabalho uma metodologia alternativa, baseada em teoria de cópulas, para o caso bivariado. Tal metodologia modela a dependência entre duas perdas e ainda inclui a opinião de especialistas da área no modelo final. Também discutimos uma metodologia existente na literatura (método da convolução) e fazemos um estudo de simulação para analisar o comportamento dos métodos abordados: método usual, proposto e da convolução.

Dans l'industrie bancaire, plusieurs études ont montré l'existence de la gestion du ratio de solvabilité. Toutefois, elles se sont focalisées pour l'essentiel sur la manipulation des provisions et avancent généralement que la gestion du ratio de solvabilité est mise en œuvre en vue d'éviter les coûts réglementaires associés à un ratio inférieur au seuil minimum. Notre thèse examine la pratique de gestion du ratio de solvabilité à travers les ajustements prudentiels qui sont des retraitements que la banque doit opérer pour passer des fonds propres comptables aux fonds propres réglementaires. Les ajustements prudentiels sont composés de déductions et de filtres prudentiels destinés à atténuer l'impact de la volatilité des fonds propres induite par la juste valeur liée à l'application des IFRS. Adoptant une démarche diachronique et une approche instrumentale, l'étude se base sur un échantillon de banques européennes et utilise des méthodes de régression par données de panel, ainsi que des tests de robustesse tels que le bootstrap et la régression quantile. Le principal apport de cette thèse est de montrer que la transformation de l'information comptable en information réglementaire passe par les ajustements prudentiels qui constituent un pont sur lequel une gestion opportuniste du ratio de solvabilité peut être effectuée à travers des variables relatives à la qualité du capital et à la performance opérationnelle de la banque. L'étude montre que la gestion du capital n'est pas l'exclusivité des banques présentant un ratio faible. Enfin, elle permet de ne plus considérer le ratio de solvabilité comme une boîte noire et de l'examiner à travers ses composantes. / Through Earnings Management practices applied to banking industry, several studies have shown existence of Capital Adequacy Ratio Management (CARM). However, they are mainly focused on loss loan provision (LLP) manipulation's and suppose that Capital adequacy ratio management motivation is to reduce regulatory costs imposed when the bank's capital adequacy ratio falls below the minimum. This thesis deals with the possibilities of banks to manage the regulatory ratio via the prudential adjustments, which are corrections made to equity items in the statement of financial position, to safeguard the quality of the supervisory capital and to reduce potential volatility induced by fair value accounting (application of IFRS). Adopting diachronic and instrumental approaches, the study is based on a sample of European banks and uses regression methods by panel data and bootstrap and quantile regression as post estimation and robustness tests. The main contribution of this thesis is to show that the necessary transformation of accounting information into regulatory information by prudential adjustments constitutes a bridge on which a timely CARM could be carried out through variables relating to the quality of the capital and the operational performance of the bank. Furthermore, the results show that CARM is not exclusively dedicated to banks with ratio close to minimum. Finally the results make possible to no longer consider the capital adequacy ratio as a black box and to examine it through its components.

Insurance contracts will be reported at fair values on insurers’ balance sheets from 2010. In this thesis, we will review the conceptual and theoretical backbone of the insurance fair valuation project while providing a summary of the key features of the fair valuation project. Then, we will conduct a case study aimed at finding, under the fair valuation regime, the best asset allocation strategy for a particular business unit that carries a hypothetical annuity portfolio using a single modelling framework for valuation, risk calculation and business appraisal.