The purpose of this work is indicating System Dynamics Approach to be an appropriate tool for analysis of policies suggested for local sectors. Local sectors are very important for stability of the country&rsquo / s economy as well as welfare of the local community. Therefore, feasible and effective policies should be created and implemented in order to contribute to the local sectoral development. But before any policy implementation, policy analysis is required on to evaluate whether effectiveness and feasibility would be ensured in alternative policies. In this study, firstly the issues of Local Sectoral Dynamics and Policies are examined and specifically, the situation in Alanya Tourism Sector is studied. Afterwards, in accordance with policy analysis steps, problems of Alanya Tourism Sector are detailed and alternative policies that would aid in solution of the problem are idenfined. For evaluation of alternative policies, Dynamics of Alanya Tourism Sector are modeled by System Dynamics approach and the &lsquo / Formal Model&rsquo / is implemented in Stella 9.0.1. The model is simulated for all policy alternatives and the policy outcomes of each alternative are forecasted. Finally the performance of each policy are evaluated using the previously established criteria and combined policies having more superior outcomes than the present ones are created.

Economic events of this era reflect the fact that the value of information and technology has surpassed the value of physical production. This motivates countries to focus on increasing the education levels of citizens. However, policy making about education system and its returns requires dynamical analyses in order to be sustainable. The study aims to investigate the dynamic characteristics of a country-wide education system, in particular, that of Turkey. System Dynamics modeling, which is one of the most commonly referred tools for understanding the complex social structures, is used. Our model introduces dynamic relationships among different classes of labor forces with varying education levels, university admissions, research quality, and the investments made in education, research and other sectors. Model experimentation provides new insights into the investment and capacity-related aspects of the education system environment.

Nowadays, volatile and complex environment has forced most organizations to operate in team-based ways to increase their flexibility and adaptability. For teams to adapt, local innovation and change, that is, self-organization, is the most critical process. However, the self-organizing process is poorly understood both in academic and practice. To deep our understanding of self-organizing teams, this research attempts to explore the self-organizing mechanism in group cognitive system perspective. One System Dynamics model is built to represent important self-organization processes. And the classical self-organizing theory-Dissipative Structure Theory is applied to guide important simulations to acquire knowledge of dynamic interactions among those processes. Several positive loops are found to be quite essential in structuring and de-structuring team¡¦s operation structure. With the knowledge of evolutionary feedback acquired, impact of critical environmental factors, such as knowledge redundancy, communication quality, and open interactions, are further investigated and experimented.

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From the beginning of 1980s, Hsichin has become a dreaming heaven of emigrants who move to the urban area of Taipei because the fever of housing market and the policy of government. As the high density development of slope land, the runoff capacity will be increased. On the other hand, river land will be decreased by city growth. Impacting by the above two reason, Hsichin is called as the flown city by the mass media. The goal of this research is discussing the reaction between the city development of Hsichin, the flood event, and the flood prevention activities. This research uses ¡§System Dynamics¡¨ as a research method, simulating with ¡§iThink¡¨ computer software, building a model of Hsichin city growth and flood event, using this model to precede the policy test to find out which policy will be the economic benefit. The research conclusion is: 1. The aspect of engineering activities: We adopt three policies including Yuansantze activity, dike building activity, and dredging activity. Under the same cost, we¡¦ll find out Yuansantze activity is the most benefit one. When mixing all policies, the most benefit one is putting the fund as 25% in dike building and 75% in dredging. These activities are focused on lowering flood damage directly. In the short term, the outcome is very obvious. However, in the long term, combining city growth management will be the only solution to solve problems of not only city overgrowth but also land development disequilibrium. 2. The aspect of city growth management: We adopt three policies including slope land conservation, converting land to flood storage area, and limiting of population and business. By this research, we¡¦ll find out limiting of population and business is the most efficient method focused on controlling population scale and lowering land development. This research provides an alternative way which is combining limiting high density development and slope land conservation to solve the situation of land development disequilibrium. In my opinion, the authority government cannot take engineering activities as the only way to control flood damage, however, the government should combine two aspects of controlling flood activities to solve Hsichin flood problem.

The fiercer competition among international harbors drives every port to reinforce operation efficiency to attract carriers and to develop competition strategies to grow competence. In those years, Kaohsiung Harbor has slumped from the third to the fifth largest carrier harbor in the world. It is the overall symptom of competition risks for seaports in Taiwan. The severe situation, though, it is exactly what we can strive to revert the declining trend. Facing this topic composed of dynamic complexities, we can leverage systematic deliberation and dynamic simulation to revamp the status quo structure and create beneficial behavior model. In this thesis, we adopt system dynamics to build up a typical dynamic harbor model to dig out the crucial facets key to the growth of an international seaport and henceforth serve for basis of the decision-making. The main conclusions of this research are as follows: 1.The four facets that influence the development of a harbor are ¡§The economic strength of the hinterland,¡¨ ¡§The completeness of the harbor facilities, whether the construction of the harbor can keep in pace with the volume of containers,¡¨ ¡§The openness of the harbor,¡¨ ¡§The superiority of the geographic location.¡¨ 2.Whatever the import, export, or even transfer, the rate policy of a harbor will help little to the growth of the volume of containers with the other conditions unchanged. The disastrous effect of rate slash will be revenue decline; keeping volume while losing profit. In the long term, it will become a viscous circle. The freedom policy will be far more important than rate policy according to our policy analysis. 3.If the construction progress of wharfs can be in pace with the growth of enterprises, it will lower the interference between each other, reduce inefficient investment, and increase inter-stability. It¡¦s therefore the more accurate estimation of the growth of a harbor, the less disturbance effected by the other loops.

Our country since has implemented National Health Insurance, provided the best medical service to be easy to obtain, highly went see a doctor the option, as well as high quality medical service. But also therefore creates the health insurance wealth storehouse the loss, for this, the government implements global budget, can control the medical expense by the time. Simultaneously impels the newly hospital Evaluation, thus unceasingly increases the hospital the cost of operation. Therefore under, hurriedly changes in the external management environment, at present superintendents of the many medical establishments for ask the management achievements, positively inducts Balanced Scorecard to do for manages the tool. However Balanced Scorecard has not certainly considered between the realistic environment complex system Tightly Couple and the causes and effects back coupling relations, and has not been able to solve the influence which Time Delay creates. This research main goal for hope affiliation Systems Thinking, discusses the hospital if utilizes Balanced Scorecard, Strategy Map, comes policy of in accordance to the total amount payment system to case influence the hospital long-term transport business, then establishes System e Dynamics pattern, Simulates case hospital to implement Balanced Scorecard on four constructions surface index of correlation, and carries on the test and the confirmation to the pattern. Finally acts according to case hospital global the budget policy, designs Situation analysis and Policy simulation,as to proposes this research conclusion and the suggestion. The research method mainly is uses System Dynamics method. conclusion ¡G(1). Using simulation test of System Dynamics Model, may discover in the system Leading target, Leading target is a key point which the case hospital must pay attention.(2). By System Dynamics model, may inspect between the element and the element is linked together the causes and effects back coupling relations in the system, and case hospital originally strategy design again by Systems Thinking.(3). Using the System Dynamics , may inspect question of the case hospital concurrently digs up Counterintuitive the phenomenon,as case reference hospital strategy adjustment and policy plan. (4). Balanced Scorecard emphasis may penetrate the KPI value the weightto detect the key weight target the question,But in reality,Each key weight target change possibly comes under own and other external factors influences .Finally proposed this studies the suggestion, the research limit and the following research suggestion.

Most studies about customer satisfaction and word-of-mouth communication were discussed how customer satisfaction brought word-of-mouth communication. And to word-of-mouth communication, researches were referring to the motive of word-of-mouth communication, how word-of-mouth communication been measured, or the impact to the customer decision behavior. However, we missed a critical factor that might change the whole story - word-of-mouth cognitive difference. For it is possible that the factor switch a casual loop from a negative loop to a positive one. This study using System Dynamics is adept in dealing with issues like dynamics complexities, casual feedback, time delay, taking the word-of-mouth cognitive difference as a factor in the case model. Moreover, simulate the variety of word-of-mouth cognitive difference in different scenario. The result indicates under the structure of this case, high expected word-of-mouth cognitive makes positive word-of-mouth into negative. That means while a person has higher expected to a word-of-mouth, it might leads him expect higher service satisfaction. Once it failed, the situation turnover. Nevertheless, it should be over concerned the actual simulations are not so conspicuous. The appropriate speaking is under the influence of word-of-mouth cognitive difference, shows the pattern of word-of-mouth cognitive acts on customer satisfaction.