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Ciclos pol?tico-econ?micos e a elei??o presidencial brasileira de 2014Bolzan, Daiane Deponti 29 August 2016 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2016-08-29 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES / Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul (FAPERGS) / This dissertation deals with the re-election of President Dilma in 2014 in the light of models of economic cycles incorporating federalism as an analytical element to include budgetary and voluntary transfers to municipalities. Through a Tobit model, we seek to establish whether there were changes in transfers to municipalities able to influence the vote of the government candidate. It analyzes also the ?Bolsa Fam?lia? program (PBF), regional differences, the relationship between the Workers' Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores ? PT) and other parties of the ruling coalition and other sociodemographic variables impacted the vote on the candidate. As a result, the current transfers of the federal government positively impact the vote on the candidate while multigovernamentals transfers has an inverse relationship with the vote. Other important results concerning the impact of PBF in the vote of the chairman and indicates that the influence caused by the program is greatly reduced. Similarly, the relationship between the mayors and governors of the main ruling party and the other coalition parties also have no major impact on the vote on the candidate. The variables that were most important in the analysis of the candidate's vote was the vote in the 2010 election, indicating the continuation of an electoral base of the PT and the HDI showed a negative relationship with the vote on the candidate. / A presente disserta??o trata da reelei??o da Presidente Dilma no ano de 2014 ? luz dos modelos de ciclos pol?tico-econ?mico incorporando o federalismo como elemento de an?lise ao incluir as transfer?ncias or?ament?rias e volunt?rias aos munic?pios. Por meio de um modelo Tobit, procura-se estabelecer se houveram altera??es nas transfer?ncias aos munic?pios capazes de influenciar a vota??o da candidata governista. Analisa-se tamb?m se o Programa Bolsa Fam?lia, as diferen?as regionais, a rela??o entre o Partido dos Trabalhadores e os demais partidos da coliga??o governista e outras vari?veis s?cio demogr?ficas impactaram na vota??o da candidata. Obteve-se como resultado que as transfer?ncias correntes da Uni?o impactam positivamente na vota??o da candidata enquanto que as transfer?ncias multigovernamentais tem rela??o inversa com a vota??o. Outros resultados importantes dizem respeito ao impacto do PBF na vota??o da presidente e indica que a influ?ncia causada pelo programa ? bastante reduzida. Da mesma forma, a rela??o entre o prefeitos e governadores do principal partido governista e os demais partidos da coliga??o tamb?m n?o tem grande impacto na vota??o da candidata. As vari?veis que se mostraram mais importantes na an?lise da vota??o da candidata foram a vota??o na elei??o de 2010, indicando a perman?ncia de uma base eleitoral do PT e o IDH-M apresentando rela??o negativa com a vota??o da candidata.
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Caminhos e descaminhos dos munic?pios produtores de petr?leo: o papel dos royalties no desempenho das finan?as p?blicas municipais no estado do Rio Grande do Norte / Paths and embezzlements of the oil producing cities: the role of the royalties in the municipal public finances of the performance in the state of Rio Grande do NorteSilva, Maria Janaina Alves da 18 December 2007 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2007-12-18 / Petr?leo Brasileiro SA - PETROBRAS / It analyzes the magnitude, the nature and the direction of public revenues and the public expenses in oil and natural gas producing municipalities in the state of Rio Grande do Norte in the post-constituent period, and, more precisely, from the approval of Law 9.478/97, called
Oil Law . It argues the fiscal federalism normative theory, the typology and the role of the intergovernamental transferences in the performance of the public finances of the local governments. Shows that the economy of Rio Grande do Norte went through deep social-economic changes in the last few decades, among which includes the discovery of the oil and the natural gas and its importance for the growth of the industrial and services sectors. It
points out that the increase of the production and the international price of the oil contributed for the growth in revenues of royalties and the special participation in the beneficiary cities, what did not mean an automatic increase in the resources destined to the investment and in the quality on the provision of the goods and services come back toward the local development. On the contrary, the main conclusion of the work is that the trajectory of the oil producing municipalities is marked by paths and embezzlements in the performance of the public finances and in the provision of public goods and services. Paths, that lead to the
improvement of the performance of the public finances and the quality of the public goods and services. Embezzlements, that lead to the inefficiency in the provision of goods and services and the capture of the public resources. That is, the fiscal decentralization is a necessary condition, however not enough to improve the amount and the quality of the public goods and services given by these municipalities. For that it is necessary to advance in the fiscal federalism normative theories, in search of optimum model of federalism in local governments where still predominated by patrimonialism, clientelism, fiscal illusion and the capture of the public resources in benefit of the private interests / Analisa a magnitude, a natureza e a dire??o das receitas e dos gastos p?blicos nos munic?pios produtores de petr?leo e g?s natural no estado do Rio Grande do Norte no per?odo p?s-constituinte, e, mais precisamente, a partir da aprova??o da Lei 9.478/97, denominada Lei do
Petr?leo . Discute a teoria normativa do federalismo fiscal, a tipologia e o papel das transfer?ncias intergovernamentais no desempenho das finan?as p?blicas dos governos locais. Mostra que a economia do Rio Grande do Norte passou por profundas mudan?as s?cio-econ?micas nas ?ltimas d?cadas, entre as quais se incluem a descoberta do petr?leo e do g?s natural e a sua import?ncia para o crescimento dos setores industrial e de servi?os. Destaca que o aumento da produ??o e do pre?o internacional do petr?leo contribuiu para o crescimento nas receitas dos royalties e das participa??es especiais nos munic?pios benefici?rios, o que n?o significou um aumento autom?tico nos recursos destinados ao investimento e na qualidade na
provis?o dos bens e servi?os voltados para o desenvolvimento local. Ao contr?rio, a principal
conclus?o do trabalho ? que a trajet?ria dos munic?pios produtores de petr?leo ? marcada por caminhos e descaminhos no desempenho das finan?as p?blicas e na provis?o de bens e servi?os p?blicos. Caminhos, que levam ? melhoria do desempenho das finan?as p?blicas e da qualidade dos bens e servi?os p?blicos. Descaminhos, que levam ? inefici?ncia na provis?o de bens e servi?os e na captura dos recursos p?blicos. Ou seja, a descentraliza??o fiscal ? uma condi??o necess?ria, por?m n?o suficiente para melhorar a quantidade e a qualidade dos bens e servi?os p?blicos prestados por esses munic?pios. Por isto ? preciso avan?ar nas teorias normativas do federalismo fiscal, em busca do melhor modelo de federalismo em munic?pios onde ainda
predominam o patrimonialismo, o clientelismo, a ilus?o fiscal e a captura dos recursos p?blicos em benef?cio dos interesses privados
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Efeitos das transfer?ncias intergovernamentais sobre as finan?as p?blicas dos munic?pios do Rio Grande do Norte (2001-2010)Brito, Johnatan Rafael Santana de 06 December 2011 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2011-12-06 / The Brazilian tax structure has specific characteristics and the performance level of
government. The autonomy given to municipalities to manage their activities after the 1988
Constitution, made them highly dependent on intergovernmental transfers of resources,
revealing the fragility of the administrative capacity of these entities. The vertical gap
revealed by the constitutional structure of the Brazilian fiscal federalism model contributes to
the formation of this specific feature that you are eroding the tax base and the ability of
municipal own revenues. Although there was a better regulation of these transfers after the
enactment of the Fiscal Responsibility Law, it is observed that the amount of resources
transferred to the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte is very high and is the main source of
revenue of municipalities. In light of the theory of federalism and fiscal decentralization, in
particular, the theories related to intergovernmental transfers, we seek to diagnose the
transfers from the systematization of information on the origin, destination and value. We
used the econometric model of System Dynamic Panel GMM in making the diagnosis and
verification of the impact of transfers on public finances of the municipalities of the newborn,
associated with a review in light of the theory of fiscal federalism and intergovernmental
transfers. The paper presents some proposals for the transfer system and the composition of
spending in order to contribute to greater tax efficiency / A estrutura fiscal brasileira apresenta caracter?sticas espec?ficas quanto ? atua??o das esferas
de governo. A autonomia dada aos munic?pios para a gest?o de suas atividades, ap?s a
constitui??o de 1988, os tornou altamente dependentes das transfer?ncias intergovernamentais
de recursos, revelando a fragilidade da capacidade administrativa destes entes. A brecha
vertical revelada pela estrutura constitucional do modelo de federalismo fiscal brasileiro
contribui para a forma??o dessa caracter?stica espec?fica que acaba minando a base tribut?ria
municipal e a capacidade de arrecada??o pr?pria. Embora tenha havido uma melhor
regulamenta??o dessas transfer?ncias ap?s a promulga??o da Lei de Responsabilidade Fiscal,
observa-se que a quantidade de recursos transferidos aos munic?pios do Rio Grande do Norte
? bastante elevada e constitui a principal fonte de receita desses munic?pios. ? luz da teoria do
federalismo e descentraliza??o fiscal e, em particular, nas teorias relacionadas com as
transfer?ncias intergovernamentais, busca-se diagnosticar as transfer?ncias a partir da
sistematiza??o das informa??es quanto ? origem, o valor e o destino. Utilizou-se o modelo
econom?trico de Painel Din?mico System GMM na elabora??o do diagn?stico e na verifica??o
do impacto dessas transfer?ncias nas finan?as p?blicas dos munic?pios do RN, associado a
uma an?lise ? luz da teoria de federalismo fiscal e das transfer?ncias intergovernamentais. O
trabalho apresenta algumas proposi??es para o sistema de transfer?ncias e na composi??o dos
gastos a fim de contribuir com uma maior efici?ncia fiscal
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