Submitted by LIANE MARCIA FREITAS E SILVA null (lianef@ct.ufpb.br) on 2017-06-09T11:30:36Z No. of bitstreams: 1 SISTEMÁTICA PARA GERENCIAR OS RISCOS CONSIDERANDO A DEPENDÊNCIA NA CADEIA DE SUPRIMENTOS.pdf: 4514507 bytes, checksum: 696b4ba59617e67a7f99efc26daa93a6 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Luiz Galeffi (luizgaleffi@gmail.com) on 2017-06-13T14:13:57Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 silva_lmf_dr_guara.pdf: 4514507 bytes, checksum: 696b4ba59617e67a7f99efc26daa93a6 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-13T14:13:57Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 silva_lmf_dr_guara.pdf: 4514507 bytes, checksum: 696b4ba59617e67a7f99efc26daa93a6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-04-28 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) / A gestão de riscos da cadeia de suprimentos tem por objetivo garantir a rentabilidade e continuidade das cadeias de suprimentos. Para tanto, em geral, adota-se procedimentos específicos para identificar, avaliar, mitigar e monitorar os riscos, reduzindo a probabilidade de ocorrência e o impacto negativo dessas interrupções nas operações da cadeia. No entanto, a maioria dos modelos de gestão de riscos avaliam os riscos como eventos independentes, desconsiderando as inter-relações existentes entre os elos da cadeia e entre os riscos. A fim de vencer esta limitação o objetivo deste trabalho foi propor uma sistemática para gerenciar os riscos interdependentes em uma cadeia de suprimentos do setor de gás canalizado. O fluxo metodológico adotado considerou duas fases: a proposição de uma sistemática para a gestão dos riscos na cadeia de suprimentos, e a aplicação prática desta sistemática na cadeia de suprimentos de gás canalizado para sua verificação e análise. Nesta sistemática proposta, para a avaliação dos riscos, com a incorporação de interdependência entre estes, adotou-se o uso complementar dos métodos: Analytic Network Process (ANP), Simulação Monte Carlo e Redes Bayesianas. Como método de pesquisa, nesta tese foi adotado o estudo de caso para a identificação dos riscos, e modelagem e simulação para avaliação dos riscos. Na identificação dos riscos foram identificados 13 tipos de risco na empresa distribuidora de gás (Empresa A) e 8 tipos na empresa consumidora de gás (Empresa EP1). Destes, pela hierarquia apontada pelo ANP, foram identificados os riscos mais críticos, para cada elo da cadeia, segundo o índice global de prioridade: na empresa A - riscos de demanda, riscos de fornecimento, risco operacional, e na Empresa EP1 - os riscos de capacidade, operacional e risco de demanda. A partir do mapa da rede de riscos e da Simulação Monte Carlo foram obtidas as probabilidades condicionadas entre os pares de riscos. Assim, calculou-se a criticidade do risco de preço(da Empresa A)/demanda(da Empresa EP1), que resultou em uma probabilidade de 59%, o risco de demanda(da Empresa A)/capacidade(da Empresa EP1),que resultou em uma probabilidade de 38%, o risco de demanda(da Empresa A)/demanda(da Empresa EP1),que resultou em uma probabilidade de 9,5% e o risco de demanda(da Empresa A)/operacional(da Empresa EP1),que resultou em uma probabilidade de 2,4%. Considerando toda a rede de relações existentes entre estes riscos foi possível aplicar as Redes Bayesianas que possibilitou o cálculo da probabilidade agregada, ou probabilidade final dos riscos. Pelas Redes Bayesianas obteve-se a probabilidade do risco de preço na Empresa A (55,6%), o risco de demanda na Empresa A (35,6%); o risco econômico/financeiro na Empresa A (4,4%), e por fim, o risco de fornecimento na Empresa EP1 (3,5%). Deste modo, o risco de preço (da Empresa A) e demanda (da Empresa A) foram considerados como os riscos mais críticos, devendo ser os prioritários na mitigação dos riscos na cadeia de suprimentos estudada. / The risk management of the supply chain has the objective to ensure the profitability and continuity of the supply chains, to achieve this, in general, specific procedures are used to identify, evaluate, mitigate, and monitor the risks, reducing the probability of occurrence and negative impact of interruptions on the chain operations. However, most risk management models evaluate risks as independent events, disregarding the existing interrelationships between the chain links and the risks. To overcome this limitation, the objective of this work was to propose a system to manage interdependent risks in a supply chain of the piped gas sector. The adopted methodological flow considered two phases: proposition of a system for the management of risks in the supply chain, and practical application of this systematic in the supply chain of piped gas for verification and analysis. In this systematic proposal for the evaluation of the risks, with the incorporation of interdependence between them, the use of complementary methods was adopted: Analytic Network Process (ANP), Monte Carlo Simulation, and Bayesian Networks. As a research method, in this thesis, the case study for the identification of risks, modeling, and simulation for risk assessment was adopted. In the identification of the risks thirteen types of risks were identified in the gas distributing company (Company A) and eight types in the gas consuming company (Company EP1). Out of these, by the hierarchy indicated by ANP, the most critical risks were identified for each link in the chain, according to the global priority index: in company A - demand risks, supply risks, operational risk, and in the Company EP1 - risks capacity, operational and demand risk. From the risk network map and the Monte Carlo Simulation the conditioned probabilities between the pairs of risks were obtained. Thus, the criticality of the price risk was calculated (of Company A ) demand (of Company EPI), which resulted in the probability value of 0.59, the risk demand (of Company A) / capacity (of Company EP1), which resulted in the probability value of 0.38, of risk demand (of Company A) / demand (of Company EP1), which resulted in the probability value of 0.095, and the risk demand (of Company A)/ operational (of Company EP1), which resulted in the probability value of 0.024 . Considering the entire existing relationships network between these risks, it was possible to apply the Bayesian Networks that made possible the calculation of the aggregate probabilities, or final probability of the risks. Using Bayesian networks, probability of price risk in Company A (0.556), demand risk in Company A (0.356), economic/ financial risk in Company A (0.044), and finally, risk of supply in the CompanyEP1 (0.035) were obtained. In this mode, price risk (of Company A) and demand (of Company A) were considered as the most critical risks, and should be priorities in risk mitigation in the studied supply chain.

This thesis is concerned with problematics of multi-criteria decision making, especially method DEMATEL, its modifications and combinations with another methods. There is description of particular steps of this methods and selected theory from various areas, which is used in these methods. In every chapter we can find theoretical explanation of these methods, description of their steps and afterwards these theoretical findings are applied on numerical example. Firstly, the crucial method is introduced. Then this thesis is concerned with its adjustments based, on different approaches, which are often used not only in decision making. In the end, all these findings are aggregated and new method is founded.

The thesis is concerned with Multi-Criteria Decision Making, in particular the Analytic Network Process method. The introductory part is dedicated to compile all the theory necessary to understand the method and utilized throughout the paper. The Analytic Hierarchy Process method is described and later generalized in the form of the ANP. Part of the paper is a description of available software products that are able to solve the ANP models. The main focus is on the application of the method, the usability and efficiency of possible use in macroeconomics is tested. In the third chapter a macroeconomic forecasting model is developed in cooperation with experts. The results of this model are compared with the best available up-to-date forecasts by local and international institutions.

[EN] This thesis is about the problems of SMEs in the Mining Industry in the IV Region of Chile. It includes the identification of the most critical issues, the participating actors either their relationships or the prioritization of influences. To achieve the purposes of the research, the study of key actors is addressed through the Social Network Analysis (SNA) and Analytic Network Process (Analytic Network Process ANP). The study includes an analysis of the problems of SMEs in the Mining Industry in the IV Region of Chile. In the same way, the more critical issues are identified which affect to the small and medium enterprises of the mining industry. Likewise, it studies the actors who or which are involved in decisions to improve actions to the problems of small and medium-sized mining companies and analyzes the relationships between the various stakeholders, to determine the influence of stakeholders. Finally, the research makes a prioritization list that identifies the actors on the issue of SMEs in the mining industry of the IV Region of Chile, whose study focused on the problem of mineral extraction process. To achieve the objectives, it has taken account the participation of a distinguished group of experts with extensive knowledge in the problems of SMEs in the Mining Industry in the IV Region of Chile. With these experts, different methodological techniques are been developed and structured interviews to raise the required information. Analysis processes is also supported by using Software as Superdecisions UCINET and calculation tools that provide graphical representation and facilitate the analysis of the results. The investigation identified 444 small businesses in the mining industry in the fourth region of Chile and all of them, grouped by mining trade associations, and at the same time, eight companies belonging to medium mining. It also includes analysis of 17 actors and their relationships within the decision-making processes related to the problems of mining SMEs, particularly in the mineral extraction process. / [ES] En la presente tesis doctoral se aborda la problemática de las PYMES de la Industria Minera de la IV Región de Chile. La misma contempla la identificación de los problemas más críticos, los actores participantes y sus relaciones, y la priorización de influencias de los actores. Para lograr los propósitos de la investigación, se aborda el estudio de actores principales mediante el Análisis de Redes Sociales (ARS) y el Proceso Analítico de Red (Analytic Network Process, ANP). El estudio contempla el análisis de la problemática de las PYMES de la Industria Minera de la IV Región de Chile. Asimismo se identifican los problemas más críticos que afectan a las pequeñas y medianas empresas de la industria minera. De igual forma, estudia los actores participantes en las decisiones sobre propuestas de acciones de mejoras a la problemática de las pequeñas y medianas empresas mineras y analiza las relaciones existentes entre los diversos grupos de interés, a fin de determinar las influencias de los actores involucrados. Finalmente la investigación construye un listado de priorización que identifica a los actores sobre la problemática de las PYMES de la Industria Minera de la IV Región de Chile, cuyo estudio se centró en las problemáticas del Proceso de Obtención del Mineral. Para el logro de los objetivos planteados, se cuenta con un destacado grupo de expertos con gran conocimiento de la problemática de las PYMES de la Industria Minera de la IV Región de Chile. Con ellos se desarrollan diversas técnicas metodológicas, así como entrevistas estructuradas para levantar la información requerida. Asimismo se apoyan los procesos de análisis mediante el uso de Softwares como UCINET y Superdecisions que proveen herramientas de cálculo y representación gráfica que facilitan el análisis de los resultados. La investigación permitió identificar a 444 pequeñas empresas de la industria minera de la cuarta región de Chile y todas ellas, agrupadas a través de asociaciones gremiales mineras, y también, 8 compañías mineras pertenecientes a la mediana minería. Asimismo incluye el análisis de 17 actores y sus relaciones, dentro de los procesos de toma de decisiones vinculados a la problemática de las PYMES mineras, específicamente en el Proceso de Obtención del Mineral. / [CAT] En la present tesi doctoral s'aborda les problemàtiques de les PIMES de la Indústria Minera de la IV Regió de Xile. La mateixa contempla la identificació dels problemes més crítics, els actors participants i les seues relacions, i la priorització d'influències dels actors. Per a aconseguir els propòsits de la investigació, s'aborda l'estudi d'actors principals per mitjà de l'Anàlisi de Xarxes Socials (AXS) i el Procés Analític de Xarxa (Analytic Network Process, ANP). L'estudi contempla l'anàlisi de les problemàtiques de les PIMES de la Indústria Minera de la IV Regió de Xile. Així mateix s'identifiquen els problemes més crítics que afecten les xicotetes i mitjanes empreses de la indústria minera. De la mateixa manera, estudia els actors participants en les decisions sobre propostes d'accions de millores a la problemàtica de les xicotetes i mitjanes empreses mineres i analitza les relacions existents entre els diversos grups d'interés, a fi de determinar les influències dels actors involucrats. Finalment la investigació construïx un llistat de priorització que identifica els actors sobre la problemàtica de les PIMES de la Indústria Minera de la IV Regió de Xile, l'estudi de la qual es va centrar en la problemàtica del Procés d'Obtenció del Mineral. Per a l'èxit dels objectius plantejats, s'ha comptat amb la participació d'un destacat grup d'experts amb gran coneixement de les problemàtiques de les PIMES de la Indústria Minera de la IV Regió de Xile. Amb ells es desenrotllen diverses tècniques metodològiques, així com entrevistes estructurades per a alçar la informació requerida. Així mateix es recolzen els processos d'anàlisi per mitjà de l'ús de Programaris com UCINET i Superdecisions que proveïxen ferramentes de càlcul i representació gràfica que faciliten l'anàlisi dels resultats. La investigació va permetre identificar a 444 xicotetes empreses de la indústria minera de la quarta regió de Xile i totes elles, agrupades a través d'associacions gremials mineres, i al seu torn, 8 companyies mineres pertanyents a la mitjana mineria. Així mateix inclou l'anàlisi de 17 actors i les seues relacions, dins dels processos de presa de decisions vinculats a les problemàtiques de les PIMES mineres, específicament en el Procés d'Obtenció del Mineral. / Ramírez Olivares, ER. (2015). Análisis de la problemática de las PYMES de la industria minera de la IV Región de Chile. Estudio de actores participantes mediante ARS y ANP [Tesis doctoral no publicada]. Universitat Politècnica de València. https://doi.org/10.4995/Thesis/10251/58667 / TESIS

The aim of this diploma thesis is refer to the supplier evaluation and selection process in business sphere. On the business sphere is putted emphasis because securing of company sources are more and more important parts of strategic decision making. In this paper is analyzed supplier selection problem and are analyzed most common methods to determine the best supplier. The goal of this paper is proposal of own program solution of evaluation and supplier selection build on evolution methods, specifically evolution algorithms. The part of this thesis is map of theoretical possibilities of evolution algorithms and implementation of program for solving supplier selection problem.

Très récemment, notre équipe a mis en évidence une réaction dite de ligation et coupure entre une famille de composés mésoioniques, les sydnone-imines, et les cyclooctynes. Cette réaction bioorthogonale agit selon un processus en deux étapes, une cycloaddition [3+2] suivie d’une rétro Diels-Alder, qui génère deux nouveaux composés : un produit de ligation et un produit de coupure. L’objectif de cette thèse consiste à améliorer la cinétique de réaction entre ces deux partenaires afin de pouvoir l’utiliser en tant qu’outil pour la libération contrôlée de principes actifs in vivo.Trois stratégies ont été développées lors de cette thèse afin d’optimiser ce système réactionnel : l’étude d’une relation structure/réactivité du partenaire sydnone-imine vis-à-vis de la réaction bioorthogonale; l’utilisation de micelles constituées d’amphiphiles possédant un motif sydnone-imine en tant que lien clivable entre la partie hydrophobe et la partie hydrophile de la molécule; et enfin, l’étude de l’utilisation de la reconnaissance moléculaire entre deux brins d’acides nucléiques peptidiques (ANP) complémentaires. / Recently, our laboratory has discovered a click and release reaction involving iminosydnones, a family of mesoionic compounds, and cyclooctynes. This bioorthogonal reaction occurs via a two step process: a [3+2] cycloaddition followed by a retro Diels-Alder, to give two new compounds: a click product and a release product.The main goal of this work is to improve the kinetic of the reaction between these two partners in order to use it as a powerful tool for in vivo drug delivery. Three strategies were developed during this thesis to optimize this reaction system: the study of a structure/reactivity relationship of the iminosydnone partner regarding the bioorthogonal reaction; the development of micelles built by amphiphiles containing an iminosydnone moiety as a cleavable linker, strategically located between the hydrophobic and the hydrophilic part of the compound and finally, the use of molecular recognition between two peptide nucleic acids (PNA) complementary strands.

Mémoire numérisé par la Direction des bibliothèques de l'Université de Montréal.

No description available.

Yes / To compare and contrast job descriptions for nursing roles in out-of-hours (OOH) services to obtain a general understanding of what is required for a nurse working in this job. OOH services provide nursing services to patients either through telephone or face to face contact in care centres. Many of these services are newly created giving job opportunities to nurses working in this area. It is vital that nurses know what their role entails but also that patients and other professionals know how OOH nurses function in terms of competence and clinical role. Design: Content analysis of OOH job descriptions. Method: Content analysis of a convenience sample of 16 job descriptions of OOH nurses from 5 OOH care providers across England was undertaken. The findings were narratively synthesised, supported by tabulation. Results: Key role descriptors were examined in terms of: job titles, managerial skills, clinical skills, professional qualifications and previous experience. Content analysis of each OOH job description revealed a lack of consensus in clinical competence and skills required related to job title although there were many similarities in skills across all the roles. Conclusion: This study highlights key differences and some similarities between roles and job titles in OOH nursing but requires a larger study to inform workforce planning. Relevance to clinical practice: OOH nursing is a developing area of practice which requires clarity to ensure patient safety and quality care. What does this paper contribute to the wider global clinical community? • There is a need for a consensus of opinion for nursing roles in OOH care linked to education, professional regulation and competence, based on expectations linked to particular job titles. • Educational and professional standards are required for different roles, which has implications for the training of OOH practitioners. • Health providers trying to meet the expectations of service users for 24 hour health care globally may invest in OOH nursing to meet demand

Yes / Performance measurement of logistics companies is based upon various performance indicators. Yet, in the logistics industry, there are several vaguenesses, such as deciding on key indicators and determining interrelationships between performance indicators. In order to resolve these vaguenesses, this paper first presents the stakeholder-informed Balanced Scorecard (BSC) model, by incorporating financial (e.g. cost) and non-financial (e.g. social media) performance indicators, with a comprehensive approach as a response to the major shortcomings of the generic BSC regarding the negligence of different stakeholders. Subsequently, since the indicators are not independent of each other, a robust multi-criteria decision making technique, the Analytic Network Process (ANP) method is implemented to analyze the interrelationships. The integration of these two techniques provides a novel way to evaluate logistics performance indicators from logisticians' perspective. This is a matter that has not been addressed in the logistics industry to date, and as such remains a gap that needs to be investigated. Therefore, the proposed model identifies key performance indicators as well as various stakeholders in the logistics industry, and analyzes the interrelationships among the indicators by using the ANP. Consequently, the results show that educated employee (15.61%) is the most important indicator for the competitiveness of logistics companies.