Predictive coding theorizes the capacity of neural structures to form predictions about forthcoming sensory events based on previous sensory input. This concept increasingly gains attention within experimental psychology and cognitive neuroscience. In auditory research, predictive coding has become a useful model that elegantly explains different aspects of auditory sensory processing and auditory perception. Many of these aspects are backed up by experimental evidence. However, certain fundamental features of predictive auditory processing have not been addressed so far by experimental investigations, like correlates of neural predictions that show up before the onset of an expected event. Four experiments were designed to investigate the proposed mechanism under more realistic conditions as compared to previous studies by manipulating different aspects of predictive (un)certainty, thereby examining the ecological validity of predictive processing in audition. Moreover, predictive certainty was manipulated gradually across five conditions from unpredictable to fully predictable in linearly increasing steps which drastically decreases the risk of discovering incidental findings. The results obtained from the conducted experiments partly confirm the results from previous studies by demonstrating effects of predictive certainty on ERPs in response to omissions of potentially predictable stimuli. Furthermore, results partly suggest that the auditory system actively engages in stimulus predictions in a literal sense as evidenced by gradual modulations of pre-stimulus ERPs associated with different degrees of predictive certainty. However, the current results remain inconsistent because the observed effects were relatively small and could not consistently be replicated in all follow-up experiments. The observed effects could be regained after accumulating the data across all experiments in order to increase statistical power. However, certain questions remain unanswered regarding a valid interpretation of the results in terms of predictive coding. Based on the current state of results, recommendations for future investigations are provided at the end of the current thesis in order to improve certain methodological aspects of investigating predictive coding in audition, including considerations on the design of experiments, possible suitable measures to investigate predictive coding in audition, recommendations for data acquisition and data analysis as well as recommendations for publication of results.:1. Introduction ... 5 1.1 An introduction to predictive coding theory ... 9 1.2 Predictive coding in audition ... 11 1.3 Electrophysiological correlates of predictive auditory processing ... 14 1.4 Limitations of previous research and aims of the thesis ... 21 2. Traditional correlates of auditory prediction ... 24 2.1 Experiment 1: Reliability of auditory predictions ... 25 2.2 Experiment 2: Accuracy of auditory predictions ... 39 3. Pre-stimulus correlates of auditory prediction ...47 3.1 Pre-stimulus effects in Experiment 1 and 2 ... 48 3.2 Experiment 3: Temporal dynamics of auditory prediction ... 56 3.3 Experiment 4: The influence of omissions on stimulus processing ... 64 4 Results across experiments ... 74 4.1 Methods ... 76 4.2 Results ... 80 4.3 Discussion ... 82 5. General Discussion ... 87 5.1 Implications for current research ... 89 5.2 Recommendations for future investigations ... 93 5.3 Future prospects ... 101 5.4 Conclusion ... 104 References ...106 Appendix ... 116

Personen mit Morbus Parkinson (MP) erleben Herausforderungen beim Erinnern, Planen und Ausführen täglicher Abläufe, die über motorische Symptome hinausgehen. Störungen in der Verarbeitung von Alltagsereignissen könnten eine zentrale Rolle spielen, jedoch sind potentielle Defizite und neuronale Mechanismen unzureichend untersucht. In Studie 1 untersuchten wir das Segmentierungsverhalten während der Betrachtung von naturalistischen Filmen und dessen Beziehung zum Ereignisgedächtnis. Die Ergebnisse zeigten Abweichungen im Segmentierungsverhalten bei MP, wobei größere Abweichungen mit mehr Fehlern im Gedächtnisabruf der zeitlichen Ereignisabfolge einhergingen. Darüber hinaus weisen wenige Verhaltensstudien auf eine gestörte zeitliche Ereignisverarbeitung bei MP hin, aber zugrundeliegende Mechanismen wurden selten untersucht. Resultate zur Struktur und zum Abruf von Ereigniswissen im Langzeitgedächtnis sind uneindeutig. In Studie 2 analysierten wir daher Verhaltensleistungen und ereigniskorrelierte Potenziale (ERPs) als Reaktion auf zeitliche und inhaltliche Verletzungen in Ereignissequenzen. Personen mit MP zeigten höhere Fehlerraten und verlangsamte Reaktionszeiten in Antwort auf zeitliche Ereignisfehler im Vergleich zu Kontrollprobanden. Neurophysiologisch deutete ein vorzeitiger Latenzbeginn der „late posivitive component“ (LPC) in Reaktion auf die zeitlichen Ereignisfehler bei MP darauf hin, dass diese unerwartet waren und hohe neuronale Ressourcen zur Verarbeitung erforderten. Bei inhaltlichen Verletzungen zeigten Kontrollprobanden einen N400-Effekt, der auf eine semantische Mismatch-Reaktion zwischen dem fehlerhaften Ereignis und Ereignismodell hinwies. Dieser Effekt fehlte bei der MP-Gruppe, was auf Beeinträchtigungen beim Abruf strukturierter Ereignisrepräsentationen hindeutet. Kombiniert belegen die Ergebnisse eine beeinträchtigte Alltagsereignisverarbeitung bei MP mit möglichen Auswirkungen auf Verhaltensdefizite in alltäglichen Routinen. / Persons with Parkinson’s disease (PD) encounter challenges in remembering, planning, and executing daily routines. Beyond the typical motor symptoms, impairments in processing everyday events could play an essential role in this context. However, deficits and associated underlying neuronal mechanisms of event processing in PD have hardly been investigated. In Study 1, we examined the segmentation behavior during naturalistic movie viewing (i.e., event segmentation) and its relation to event memory in PD, as respective impairments can be expected due to dysfunctions in dopaminergic striatal-cortical networks. Results showed that persons with PD deviated from healthy controls' segmentation patterns and that the more the segmentation differed from the normative pattern, the more errors persons with PD made in recalling the temporal order of the perceived events. Further, some behavioral studies suggest impaired temporal event processing in PD, but underlying mechanisms are rarely examined. Findings on long-term event knowledge are so far inconclusive. Thus, in Study 2, we analyzed behavioral performance and event-related potentials (ERPs) in response to temporally and content-related violated event sequences. Persons with PD exhibited less accurate performance and slowed reaction times to temporal violations compared to controls. On the neurophysiological level, persons with PD expressed a premature latency onset of the late positive component (LPC) upon temporal violations compared to controls suggesting that temporal errors were highly unexpected, demanding high neuronal resources to process in PD. In response to content violations, controls expressed a N400 indicating a semantic mismatch reaction between the erroneous event and the event model, which was absent in the PD group, suggesting impaired retrieval and disorganized event representations. Combined findings highlight impaired event processing in PD, shedding light on behavioral deficits in daily routines.