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The purpose of this thesis was to evaluate the impact of dynamic message signs (DMS) on the Orlando-Orange County Expressway Authority (OOCEA) toll road network using the Post-Deployment DMS Survey analysis. DMS are electronic traffic signs used on roadways to give travelers information about travel times, traffic congestion, accidents, disabled vehicles, AMBER alerts, and special events. The particular DMS referred to in this study are large rectangular signs installed over the travel lanes and these are not the portable trailer mount signs. The OOCEA has added twenty-nine fixed DMS to their toll road network from 2006-2008. At the time of the post-deployment survey, a total of twenty-nine DMS were up and running on the OOCEA toll road network. Since most of the travelers on the OOCEA toll roads were from Orange, Osceola, and Seminole counties, this study was limited to these counties. This thesis documents the results for the post-deployment survey analysis. The instrument used to analyze the travelers' perception of DMS was a survey that utilized computer aided telephone interview. The post-deployment survey was conducted during the month of May, 2008. Questions pertaining to the acknowledgement of DMS on the OOCEA toll roads, satisfaction with travel information provided on the network, formatting of the messages, satisfaction with different types of messages, diversion questions (Revealed and Stated preferences), and classification/socioeconomic questions (such as age, education, most traveled toll road, county of residence, and length of residency) were asked to the respondents. This thesis is using results of the multinomial logit model for diversion of traffic. This model takes into account the different diversion decisions from the post development survey (stay vs. divert all the way vs. divert and come back vs. abandon trip) and explains the differences in the diversion behavior. Drivers that use SunPass or Epass tend to stay on the toll road during unexpected congestion. Frequent SR 408 users are more likely to divert and stay off the toll road and frequent SR 417 users are more likely to divert and get back on the toll road. Drivers whose stated preference was to divert off the toll road were more likely to do the same in the real world. However, not too many of the respondents were likely to abandon their trips in the real world even if they said they would in a hypothetical congestion scenario. Users of 511 were more likely to divert and get back on the toll road or abandon their trips due to unexpected congestion. OOCEA can use this study to concentrate on keeping their toll roads more attractive during unexpected congestion to keep drivers from diverting all the way or abandoning their trips. For example, better incident management in clearing accidents more efficiently (thereby decreasing delay) and encouraging the use of SunPass or EPass could help drivers stay than divert or abandon their trip. This thesis also used ordered logit model for satisfaction. This model explains the levels of magnitude of satisfaction with traveler information on OOCEA toll roads. Drivers who acquired traveler information from DMS were less likely to be dissatisfied with traveler information provided on toll roads than other respondents. Drivers who were satisfied with accuracy and information on hazard warnings on DMS were more likely to be satisfied with information provided on toll roads than other respondents. This thesis provides a microscopic insight on the driver behavior on toll roads. This thesis expands the diversion and satisfaction models from previous studies in a way that OOCEA can identify specific groups of drivers related to a given response behavior (i.e., diverts off toll roads or dissatisfied with traveler information). Such analysis can be conducted in the future in the same study area or replicated in other areas to quantify the effects of individual and choice related attributes on choice behavior.

The objective of this research study is to explore trajectories of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in older breast cancer survivors, along with their predictors. HRQoL is important because patients who show severe symptoms may wish to consider therapies or treatment plans that lead to better HRQoL. Older people are more vulnerable to low HRQoL scores since old age is associated with deteriorating health, multiple comorbidities, and low-socioeconomic status. To examine the HRQoL trajectory among older women with breast cancer, we used the data queried from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Medicare Health Outcomes Survey database. A total of 1,089 older (≥ 65 years) women who were diagnosed with breast cancer in 1998-2012 and participated in the survey before and after the cancer diagnosis were identified. HRQoL was measured using SF-36/VR-12 questionnaire and summarized as Physical Component Summary (PCS) Score and Mental Component Summary (MCS) Score. Latent Class Growth Mixture Modeling was conducted to identify distinct groups of women with a similar trajectory of HRQoL. The results showed that there were three latent classes of HRQoL trajectories for PCS: the high-declining (46.5% of the sample), mid-declining (36.0%), and the low-improving (17.5%). Two latent classes of HRQoL trajectories were identified for MCS: high-stable (76.5%) and low-declining (23.5%). The results showed that age at diagnosis, BMI, level of education, geographic region, tumor grade, tumor size, and number of comorbidities were some of the major predictors of health-related quality of life. These predictors were further explored using multinomial logistic regression analysis which identified number of comorbidities as the most significant predictor for HRQoL-PCS scores and level of education as the most significant predictor for HRQoL-MCS scores. This suggests that future research needs to be conducted, identifying the most common comorbidities in older breast cancer survivors to develop interventions that better the physical HRQoL in patients, in addition to the development of mental HRQoL interventions for patients that are less educated.

Studien undersökte marknadseffektiviteten i oddsmarknaden för fotboll. Två statistiskamodeller formulerades och implementerades med tillhörande test för att undersöka omoddsmarknaden var svagt marknadseffektiv. Den första modellen var multinominal logistiskregression vilken utvärderades med ett klassiskt Likelihood-ratio test. Den andra modellenvar ”K-means” klusteralgoritm med icke-parametriskt klustersignifikanstest, ”unimodal nonparametric cluster index” (UNPCI), som värderade klusterlösningen. Testerna kunde inteförkasta noll-hypotesen om svag marknadseffektivitet på 5% signifikansnivå. Resultatet liggeri linje med ett flertal andra publicerade studier.

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Smallholder households in Haiti face many natural resource management challenges. Agricultural production occurs on deforested hillsides prone to erosion. Charcoal is in an important source of income, and woodfuel stocks are often over-exploited. Donor-funded projects and non- governmental organizations have made large investments in programs that promote soil conservation practices and reforestation. Despite the magnitude of the problems and the amount invested, there are relatively few economic analyses of the long-term adoption of soil conservation practices and woodfuel management. This dissertation uses an economics approach to examine the adoption of conservation practices and the management of woodfuel resources in Central Haiti using cross-sectional data covering 600 households. The results show that plot and household characteristics have different effects on adoption across different classes of soil practices, particularly with regard to perceived soil quality, market access, and household health status. The results also provide evidence of the management of charcoal woodfuel stocks on private land. These findings inform the design and targeting of new programs related to soil conservation and reforestation in Haiti and other developing countries. / Ph. D.