No novo contexto do setor elétrico brasileiro, as concessionárias passam a ter uma nova postura quanto à gestão. A energia elétrica, como produto, como negócio, deve levar lucro às empresas concessionárias. Começam a dar mais importância aos custos, entendendo que vários aspectos técnicos devem ser analisados, visando reduzir perdas substanciais. Assim sendo, o transformador de potência assume uma posição destacada, considerando sua posição estratégica no sistema elétrico, fundamental no processo de transporte e entrega de energia elétrica. Por este motivo vem despertando o interesse no desenvolvimento de estudos e pesquisas no sentido de aumentar sua vida útil. O método de Análise da Resposta em Frequência da impedância do transformador permite obter a “assinatura” do mesmo, a fim de verificar futuras degradações. Este método é adotado por várias empresas em todo o mundo, há mais de três décadas. Embora sua ampla aplicação entre muitas técnicas utilizadas na monitoração e análise de falhas em equipamentos, até agora não houve consenso na interpretação dos resultados obtidos por este método. A dificuldade de correlacionar parâmetros com prováveis falhas tem suscitado pesquisas para obtenção de resultados confiáveis e de interpretação fácil. Este trabalho objetiva determinar um modelo elétrico que represente a característica da resposta em frequência para fins de armazenamento de dados e simulações. A partir de dados reais do teste de resposta em frequência da impedância inseridos no modelo proposto, através de um programa computacional, foi verificada a confiabilidade nas respostas obtidas, comparadas com as reais. Os resultados obtidos asseguram que o modelo proposto é viável de ser aplicado. / In the new context of the Brazilian electric industry, the electric power provider companies have adopted a new administration posture. The electric power, as a product and business, should make the companies profitable. They have been paying more attention to the costs, .learning that many technical aspects should be analyzed in order to reduce substantial losses. Therefore, the power transformer takes an outstanding position, considering its strategic position in the electric system and being essential in the process of transport and delivery of the electric power. For this reason, there has been an interest in the development of studies and research in order to increase its useful life. The method of Frequency Response Analysis of impedance of the power transformer permits to obtain reference parameters of this one, in order to verify future degradations. This method has been adopted by many companies throughout the world for over three decades. Despite its wide application among several techniques used in the supervision and analysis of faults of equipments, there has been no consensus in the interpretation of the results obtained by this method so far. The difficulty of correlating the parameters with probable faults have increased research in order to obtain reliable results and of easy interpretation. This study aims to determine an electric model that represents the characteristic of the frequency response in order to store data and simulations. Starting from the real data of the FRA test inserted in the proposed model through a computer program, the reliability of the obtained responses were verified and compared with the real data. The obtained results assure that the proposed model is viable and can be applied.

The purpose of this study is to research the volume-price relationship and information transmission among Taiwan Stock Index, Electronic Industry Index, Financial Industry Index and Plastic Industry Index. This study uses the time series methods of ADF unit root test, variance decomposition, Granger causality and impulse response analysis to proceed empirical research. It covers the period June 2, 2003, through December 29, 2006 and uses the daily data for sample. The empirical results can be summarized as follows¡G (1) All the trading volume and stock return series are trend stationary at level, therefore, they are integrated of order 0 ~ I (0). (2) The variance decomposition shows that the major change of every variable comes from by itself. The explanatory power of trading volume is higher than stock returns. Among the stock returns of Taiwan Stock Index, Electronic Industry Index, Financial Industry Index and Plastic Industry Index, Taiwan Stock Index has the highest explanatory power. (3) According to the Granger causality test, it expresses that trading volume leads stock returns. Taiwan Stock Index is the leading indicator of the Electronic Industry Index and Financial Industry Index. (4) As to the impulse response functions, neither persistent nor overall. The effect of shocks on all variables is transitory.

No description available.

An important objective in statistical risk assessment is estimation of minimum exposure levels, called Benchmark Doses (BMDs) that induce a pre-specified Benchmark Response (BMR) in a target population. Established inferential approaches for BMD analysis typically involve one-sided, frequentist confidence limits, leading in practice to what are called Benchmark Dose Lower Limits (BMDLs). Appeal to hierarchical Bayesian modeling and credible limits for building BMDLs is far less developed, however. Indeed, for the few existing forms of Bayesian BMDs, informative prior information is seldom incorporated. Here, a new method is developed by using reparameterized quantal-response models that explicitly describe the BMD as a target parameter. This potentially improves the BMD/BMDL estimation by combining elicited prior belief with the observed data in the Bayesian hierarchy. Besides this, the large variety of candidate quantal-response models available for applying these methods, however, lead to questions of model adequacy and uncertainty. Facing this issue, the Bayesian estimation technique here is further enhanced by applying Bayesian model averaging to produce point estimates and (lower) credible bounds. Implementation is facilitated via a Monte Carlo-based adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm to approximate the posterior distribution. Performance of the method is evaluated via a simulation study. An example from carcinogenicity testing illustrates the calculations.

Natural lightning strikes induce impulsive overvoltages on transmission lines and its terminal equipment. These overvoltages may cause failures in insulation mechanisms of electrical devices in the power system. It is important to test the insulation strength of a device against these impulsive overvoltages. Usually, Marx generators are used to generate impulse waveforms for testing purposes. A novel approach is proposed to obtain resistor settings of a Marx generator for impulse testing of power transformers. This approach enables us to overcome most of the major challenges in the commonly used trial-and-error method, including excessive time consumption and potential damage to the transformer. The proposed approach uses the frequency response of the transformer to synthesize a circuit model. Then, a genetic algorithm based optimization-enabled electromagnetic transient simulation approach is used to obtain the resistor settings. The proposed approach is validated by a real impulse test conducted on a three phase power transformer.

Topography effects, the modification of seismic motion by topographic features, have been long recognized to play a key role in elevating seismic risk. Site response, the modification of ground motion by near surface soft soils, has been also shown to strongly affect the amplitude, frequency and duration of seismic motion. Both topography effects and 1-D site response have been extensively studied through field observations, small-scale and field experiments, analytical models and numerical simulations, but each one has been studied independently of the other: studies on topography effects are based on the assumption of a homogeneous elastic halfspace, while 1-D site response studies are almost exclusively formulated for flat earth surface conditions. This thesis investigates the interaction between topographic and soil amplification, focusing on strong ground motions that frequently trigger nonlinear soil response. Recently, a series of centrifuge experiments tested the seismic response of single slopes of various inclination angles at the NEES@UCDavis facility, to investigate the effects of nonlinear soil response on topographic amplification. As part of this collaborative effort, we extended the search space of these experiments using finite element simulations. We first used simulations to determine whether the centrifuge experimental results were representative of free-field conditions. We specifically investigated whether wave reflections caused by the laminar box interfered with mode conversion and wave scattering that govern topographic amplification; and whether this interference was significant enough to qualitatively alter the observed amplification compared to free-field conditions. We found that the laminar box boundaries caused spurious reflections that affected the response near the boundaries; however its effect to the crest-to-free field spectral ratio was found to be insignificant. Most importantly though, we found that the baseplate was instrumental in trapping and amplifying waves scattered and diffracted by the slope, and that in absence of those reflections, topographic amplification would have been negligible. We then used box- and baseplate-free numerical models to study the coupling between topography effects and soil amplification in free-field conditions. Our results showed that the complex wavefield that characterizes the response of topographic features with non-homogeneous soil cannot be predicted by the superposition of topography effects and site response, as is the widespread assumption of engineering and seismological models. We also found that the coupling of soil and topographic amplification occurs both for weak and strong motions, and for pressure-dependent media (Nevada sand), nonlinear soil response further aggravates topographic amplification; we attributed this phenomenon to the reduction of apparent velocity that the low velocity layers suffer during strong ground motion, which intensifies the impedance contrast and accentuates the energy trapping and reverberations in the low strength surficial layers. We finally highlighted the catalytic effects that soil stratigraphy can have in topographic amplification through a case study from the 2010 Haiti Earthquake. Results presented in this thesis imply that topography effects vary significantly with soil stratigraphy, and the two phenomena should be accounted for as a coupled process in seismic code provisions and seismological ground motion predictive models.

No novo contexto do setor elétrico brasileiro, as concessionárias passam a ter uma nova postura quanto à gestão. A energia elétrica, como produto, como negócio, deve levar lucro às empresas concessionárias. Começam a dar mais importância aos custos, entendendo que vários aspectos técnicos devem ser analisados, visando reduzir perdas substanciais. Assim sendo, o transformador de potência assume uma posição destacada, considerando sua posição estratégica no sistema elétrico, fundamental no processo de transporte e entrega de energia elétrica. Por este motivo vem despertando o interesse no desenvolvimento de estudos e pesquisas no sentido de aumentar sua vida útil. O método de Análise da Resposta em Frequência da impedância do transformador permite obter a “assinatura” do mesmo, a fim de verificar futuras degradações. Este método é adotado por várias empresas em todo o mundo, há mais de três décadas. Embora sua ampla aplicação entre muitas técnicas utilizadas na monitoração e análise de falhas em equipamentos, até agora não houve consenso na interpretação dos resultados obtidos por este método. A dificuldade de correlacionar parâmetros com prováveis falhas tem suscitado pesquisas para obtenção de resultados confiáveis e de interpretação fácil. Este trabalho objetiva determinar um modelo elétrico que represente a característica da resposta em frequência para fins de armazenamento de dados e simulações. A partir de dados reais do teste de resposta em frequência da impedância inseridos no modelo proposto, através de um programa computacional, foi verificada a confiabilidade nas respostas obtidas, comparadas com as reais. Os resultados obtidos asseguram que o modelo proposto é viável de ser aplicado. / In the new context of the Brazilian electric industry, the electric power provider companies have adopted a new administration posture. The electric power, as a product and business, should make the companies profitable. They have been paying more attention to the costs, .learning that many technical aspects should be analyzed in order to reduce substantial losses. Therefore, the power transformer takes an outstanding position, considering its strategic position in the electric system and being essential in the process of transport and delivery of the electric power. For this reason, there has been an interest in the development of studies and research in order to increase its useful life. The method of Frequency Response Analysis of impedance of the power transformer permits to obtain reference parameters of this one, in order to verify future degradations. This method has been adopted by many companies throughout the world for over three decades. Despite its wide application among several techniques used in the supervision and analysis of faults of equipments, there has been no consensus in the interpretation of the results obtained by this method so far. The difficulty of correlating the parameters with probable faults have increased research in order to obtain reliable results and of easy interpretation. This study aims to determine an electric model that represents the characteristic of the frequency response in order to store data and simulations. Starting from the real data of the FRA test inserted in the proposed model through a computer program, the reliability of the obtained responses were verified and compared with the real data. The obtained results assure that the proposed model is viable and can be applied.

No novo contexto do setor elétrico brasileiro, as concessionárias passam a ter uma nova postura quanto à gestão. A energia elétrica, como produto, como negócio, deve levar lucro às empresas concessionárias. Começam a dar mais importância aos custos, entendendo que vários aspectos técnicos devem ser analisados, visando reduzir perdas substanciais. Assim sendo, o transformador de potência assume uma posição destacada, considerando sua posição estratégica no sistema elétrico, fundamental no processo de transporte e entrega de energia elétrica. Por este motivo vem despertando o interesse no desenvolvimento de estudos e pesquisas no sentido de aumentar sua vida útil. O método de Análise da Resposta em Frequência da impedância do transformador permite obter a “assinatura” do mesmo, a fim de verificar futuras degradações. Este método é adotado por várias empresas em todo o mundo, há mais de três décadas. Embora sua ampla aplicação entre muitas técnicas utilizadas na monitoração e análise de falhas em equipamentos, até agora não houve consenso na interpretação dos resultados obtidos por este método. A dificuldade de correlacionar parâmetros com prováveis falhas tem suscitado pesquisas para obtenção de resultados confiáveis e de interpretação fácil. Este trabalho objetiva determinar um modelo elétrico que represente a característica da resposta em frequência para fins de armazenamento de dados e simulações. A partir de dados reais do teste de resposta em frequência da impedância inseridos no modelo proposto, através de um programa computacional, foi verificada a confiabilidade nas respostas obtidas, comparadas com as reais. Os resultados obtidos asseguram que o modelo proposto é viável de ser aplicado. / In the new context of the Brazilian electric industry, the electric power provider companies have adopted a new administration posture. The electric power, as a product and business, should make the companies profitable. They have been paying more attention to the costs, .learning that many technical aspects should be analyzed in order to reduce substantial losses. Therefore, the power transformer takes an outstanding position, considering its strategic position in the electric system and being essential in the process of transport and delivery of the electric power. For this reason, there has been an interest in the development of studies and research in order to increase its useful life. The method of Frequency Response Analysis of impedance of the power transformer permits to obtain reference parameters of this one, in order to verify future degradations. This method has been adopted by many companies throughout the world for over three decades. Despite its wide application among several techniques used in the supervision and analysis of faults of equipments, there has been no consensus in the interpretation of the results obtained by this method so far. The difficulty of correlating the parameters with probable faults have increased research in order to obtain reliable results and of easy interpretation. This study aims to determine an electric model that represents the characteristic of the frequency response in order to store data and simulations. Starting from the real data of the FRA test inserted in the proposed model through a computer program, the reliability of the obtained responses were verified and compared with the real data. The obtained results assure that the proposed model is viable and can be applied.

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第22759号 / 工博第4758号 / 新制||工||1744(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院工学研究科都市社会工学専攻 / (主査)教授 三村 衛, 教授 渦岡 良介, 准教授 肥後 陽介 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DFAM

In the last two decades, two major earthquakes have occurred in Japan: the 1995 Kobe earthquake and the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. In the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake, many bridge structures were destroyed by the tsunamis, but it is interesting to study the ground motion induced damage and also how this earthquake differed from the one in 1995. In this thesis, the seismic response of a bridge designed according to the current Japanese Design Specifications was evaluated when it is subjected to near-field ground motions recorded during the 1995 Kobe earthquake and far-field ground motions recorded during the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. For this purpose, a series of nonlinear dynamic response analysis was conducted and the seismic performance of the bridge was verified in terms of its displacement and ductility demand. It was found from the dynamic response analysis that the seismic response of the target bridge when subjected to the ground motions from the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake was smaller than during the 1995 Kobe earthquake. Although the ground motions from the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake were very strong, they were not as strong as the ground motions from the 1995 Kobe earthquake. The results obtained in this thesis clarify the validity of the Type I and Type II design ground motions. The target bridge used in this thesis was designed according to the post-1990 design specifications and showed limited nonlinear response when subjected to the different ground motions which shows how efficient the enhancement of the seismic performance of bridges has been since the 1990’s.