Com o crescimento do setor aeronáutico faz-se necessário a criação de novas tecnologias para que a capacidade do sistema possa aumentar sem provocar perdas nos níveis de segurança. Para isso foi criado o CNS/ATM, um paradigma que integra tecnologias de comunicação, navegação e vigilância em um sistema de gerenciamento de tráfego aéreo global. No âmbito das comunicações entre controlador e piloto, o atual sistema de fonia via rádio analógico é substituído por um enlace de dados, chamado de Controller-Pilot Data Link Communication (CPDLC). Esta alteração promove polêmica entre aeronautas e autoridades, de forma que é essencial um estudo aprofundado que comprove sua eficácia. Dessa forma, esta pesquisa visa avaliar a segurança do CPDLC quando utilizado em Áreas Terminais do Espaço Aéreo. Para a realização desta pesquisa, foi criada uma metodologia de avaliação de segurança utilizando simuladores de voo, de tráfego aéreo e de comunicação CPDLC combinados com uma análise por meio de modelos de Markov. O procedimento de chegada ao aeroporto de Congonhas, situado na Terminal São Paulo, foi utilizado como referência para aplicação desta metodologia. Os resultados obtidos mostraram que o sistema atual de comunicação, via voz, está no limite do atendimento dos níveis internacionais de segurança para a demanda atual. Contudo, a comunicação por enlace de dados atende, e em alguns casos inclusive melhora, o nível de segurança desta região do espaço aéreo. / With the growth of the aviation industry it is necessary to create new technologies that can increase the system capacity without loss in the safety levels. Because of this the CNS/ATM was created, a paradigm that integrates communication, navigation and surveillance technologies with a global air traffic management. For the communications between controllers and pilots, the current system of voice over analog radio is being replaced by a data link, called the Controller-Pilot Data Link Communication (CPDLC). This replacement raises debates between airmen and authorities, demanding a detailed study that proves its effectiveness. Thus, this research aims to evaluate the CPDLC safety when used in Terminal Airspace Areas. For this research, was created a methodology for security assessment using flight, air traffic, and CPDLC simulators combined with a Markov model analysis. The Congonhas airport arrival procedure, located in São Paulo Terminal, was used as reference for this methodology application. The results showed that the current system of voice communication is on the limit of fulfilling the international safety levels for the current demand. However, the data link communication addresses, and in some cases even improve, the safety level for this airspace region.

O transporte aéreo e a indústria de sistemas de defesa foram setores pioneiros na utilização de sistemas computacionais críticos, incrementando os níveis de automação nas atividades de controle do espaço aéreo. Com o crescimento desses setores, verificado pela expansão dos números de vôos, volumes de cargas e usuários, assim como pela ampliação e diversidade das operações militares, os sistemas de controle têm assumido maior complexidade técnica, introduzindo novos recursos de automação ou facilidades adicionais de apoio para funções exercidas manualmente. Essa situação tem ampliado a dependência dos serviços prestados, relativamente à disponibilidade dos sistemas computacionais. Diretrizes de projeto e procedimentos operacionais são estabelecidos para manter os níveis de segurança nos casos de falha, no entanto a disponibilidade torna-se parâmetro crítico, na medida em que algumas falhas podem afetar a eficiência nominal da prestação dos serviços. Nesse cenário, este trabalho propõe um modelo para avaliação da disponibilidade de sistemas de controle do espaço aéreo, a partir de recursos de análises da teoria de filas. Inicialmente é citado um modelo geral para análise de disponibilidade de data centers. Em seguida, é apresentada uma extensão do modelo geral para análise da disponibilidade em sistemas de controle do espaço aéreo. Para isso, considerou-se a intervenção humana existente nessa atividade, cujas decisões de controle são exercidas por operadores qualificados (controladores), tanto nas atividades inerentes ao serviço de controle, quanto nos casos de degradação, nos quais os operadores ou técnicos de manutenção assumem alguma tarefa de reparo, decorrente da eventual indisponibilidade de funções do sistema. / Due to the growth in airspace utilization, which can be verified both in terms of the expansions in aerial movements, airports and volumes of transported passengers and cargo, as well as in terms of the expansion of military operations demands and diversity, airspace control activities have been increasing their technical complexity, introducing new features into the existent automation systems or creating additional resources for the automation of some functions previously performed by human operators. This situation has increased the dependence on the availability of the computer systems involved in the services provided by control centers. Project directives and operational procedures are established in order to maintain the safety integrity levels of the systems, in case any failure occurs. However, the availability becomes a critical parameter, once failure events can force an undesirable state of degraded operation, jeopardizing the nominal capacity of the services being performed through any controlled airspace. In this scenario, this work presents an availability model for the computer systems used in airspace control centers, based on analysis from queuing theory. A general model is first presented, referencing a case study that describes the use of queuing models to access the availability of generic data centers. Further considerations are introduced to extend this general model in order to propose its application for the specific computer systems used in airspace control centers, where operational control relies on human activities. In this case, system operation involves intensive use of human-machine interfaces (HMI), for the regular control services provided, and additional technical or operational maintenance activities, occasionally imposed to repair a momentary loss of any function of the system.

Manmade radionuclides have been introduced to the environment for almost a century. The main source has been the nuclear weapons testing programmes, but accidental releases from the nuclear power production industries have also contributed. The risk to humans from potential releases from nuclear facilities is evaluated in safety assessments. Essential components of these assessments are exposure models, which estimate the transport of radionuclides in the environment, the uptake in biota, and transfer to humans. Recently, there has been a growing concern for radiological protection of the whole environment, not only humans, and a first attempt has been to employ model approaches based on stylised environments and transfer functions to biota based exclusively on bioconcentration factors. They are generally of a non-mechanistic nature and involve no knowledge of the actual processes involved, which is a severe limitation when assessing real ecosystems. The research presented in this thesis attempts to introduce a methodology for modelling exposure of biota that is based on systems ecological theories and concepts. All presented papers concern bioaccumulation and circulation of radionuclides in coastal areas of the Baltic Sea, which is a sea surrounded by several nuclear power plants, waste repositories and reprocessing facilities. Paper I illustrates how an ecosystem model can be used to predict the fate of C-14 in a bay, and to explore the influence of uptake route and water exchange on the concentrations in biota. Due to the longevity of many radionuclides, time spans of thousands of years need to be considered in assessments of nuclear waste facilities. In Paper II, the methodological problems associated with these long timescales are discussed and a new modelling approach is proposed. An extension and generalisation of the C-14 flow model into a generic model for other radionuclides is described and tested in Paper III. This paper also explores the importance of three radionuclide specific mechanisms (plant uptake, excretion and adsorption to organic surfaces) for the concentrations in biota. In Paper IV, the bioaccumulation kinetics of three radionuclides in three key benthic species of the Baltic Sea is studied experimentally. Paper V considers remobilisation and redistribution of sediment-associated radionuclides due to biological mixing, in a microcosm study. The findings in this thesis show both that it was possible to use an ecosystem approach to assess the exposure to biota, and that this approach can handle many of the problems identified in the use of traditional exposure models for radionuclides. To conclude, frameworks for the protection of the environment from ionising radiation would benefit from implementing methodologies based on ecologically sound principles and modelling techniques.

Probabilistic methods have been widely used in structural engineering to model uncertainties in loads and structural properties. The subjects of structural reliability analysis, random vibrations, and structural system identification have been extensively developed and provide the basic framework for developing rational design and maintenance procedures for engineering structures. One of the crucial requirements for successful application of probabilistic methods in these contexts is that one must have access to adequate amount of empirical data to form acceptable probabilistic models for the uncertain variables. When this requirement is not met, it becomes necessary to explore alternative methods for uncertainty modeling. Such efforts have indeed been made in structural engineering, albeit to a much lesser extent as compared to efforts expended in developing probabilistic methods. The alternative frameworks for uncertainty modeling include methods based on the use of interval analysis, convex function representations, theory of fuzzy variables, polymorphic models for uncertainties, and hybrid models which combine two or more of alternative modeling frameworks within the context of a given problem. The work reported in this thesis lies in the broad area of research of modeling uncertainties using non-probabilistic and combined non-probabilistic and probabilistic methods. The thesis document is organized into 5 chapters and 6 annexures. A brief overview of alternative frameworks for uncertainty modeling and their mathematical basis are provided in chapter 1. This includes discussion on modeling of uncertainties using intervals and issues related to uncertainty propagation using interval algebra; details of convex function models and relevance of optimization tools in characterizing uncertainty propagation; discussion on fuzzy variables and their relation to intervals and convex functions; and, issues arising out of treating uncertainties using combined probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods. The notion of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties is also introduced and a brief mention of polymorphic models for uncertainty, which aim to accommodate alternative forms of uncertainty within a single mathematical model, is made. A review of literature pertaining to applications of non-probabilistic and combined probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods for uncertainty modeling in structural engineering applications is presented in chapter 2. The topics covered include: (a) solutions of simultaneous algebraic equations, eigenvalue problems, ordinary differential equations, and the extension of finite element models to include non-probabilistic uncertainties, (b) issues related to methods for arriving at uncertainty models based on empirical data, and (c) applications to problems of structural safety and structural optimization. The review identifies scope for further research into the following aspects: (a) development of methods for arriving at optimal convex function models for uncertain variables based on limited data and embedding the models thus developed into problems of structural safety assessment, and (b) treatment of inverse problems arising in structural safety based design and optimization which takes into account possible use of combined probabilistic and non-probabilistic modeling frameworks. Chapter 3 considers situations when adequate empirical data on uncertain variables is lacking thereby necessitating the use of non-probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainties. The study discusses such situations in the context of structural safety assessment. The problem of developing convex function and fuzzy set models for uncertain variables based on limited data and subsequent application in structural safety assessment is considered. Strategies to develop convex set models for limited data based on super-ellipsoids with minimum volume and Nataf’s transformation based method are proposed. These models are shown to be fairly general (for instance, approximations to interval based models emerge as special cases). Furthermore, the proposed convex functions are mapped to a unit multi-dimensional sphere. This enables the evaluation of a unified measure of safety, defined as the shortest distance from the origin to the limit surface in the transformed standard space, akin to the notion used in defining the Hasofer- Lind reliability index. Also discussed are issues related to safety assessment when mixed uncertainty modeling approach is used. Illustrative examples include safety assessment of an inelastic frame with uncertain properties. The study reported in chapter 4 considers a few inverse problems of structural safety analysis aimed at the determination of system parameters to ensure a target level of safety and (or) to minimize a cost function for problems involving combined probabilistic and non-probabilistic uncertainty modeling. Development of load and resistance factor design format, in problems with combined uncertainty models, is also presented. We employ super-ellipsoid based convex function/fuzzy variable models for representing non-probabilistic uncertainties. The target safety levels are taken to be specified in terms of indices defined in standard space of uncertain variables involving standard normal random variables and (or) unit hyper-spheres. A class of problems amenable for exact solutions is identified and a general procedure for dealing with more general problems involving nonlinear performance functions is developed. Illustrations include studies on inelastic frame with uncertain properties. A summary of contributions made in the thesis, along with a few suggestions for future research, are presented in chapter 5. Annexure A-F contain the details of derivation of alternative forms of safety measures, Newton Raphson’s based methods for optimization used in solutions to inverse problems, and details of combining Matlab based programs for uncertainty modeling with Abaqus based models for structural analysis.

Sistemas de transporte marítimo são essenciais para o Comércio Global, em especial, navios-tanques e seus centros de carga e descarga de produtos líquidos ou gasosos inflamáveis; portanto, é crucial entender como estes sistemas podem falhar, para que seus operadores sejam capazes de manter a sua capacidade de operação. É preciso que cada e toda análise quantitativa de risco compreenda algumas das atividades básicas que devem ser desenvolvidas, para permitir a quantificação dos riscos envolvidos e associados, na operação do sistema ou do processo. Basicamente, devem ser calculadas as probabilidades de ocorrência dos eventos indesejados identificados, bem como a magnitude de suas consequências. O objetivo deste trabalho é aferir se a técnica denominada Rede Bayesiana RB é a mais adequada, comparando-a com as técnicas de árvores de falhas e de eventos, para realizar uma Análise de Risco da operação ou processo de descarga de líquidos inflamáveis, como etanol anidro e/ou produtos petrolíferos, de um naviotanque para um terminal portuário específico Terminal de Granéis Líquidos TGL com foco na interface entre dois sistemas: o navio e o porto, observado o elemento humano, ou seja, o erro humano (Análise da Confiabilidade Humana). Além disso, será realizado um estudo das consequências do vazamento de um líquido inflamável transportado pelo navio, olhando para o pior cenário, a partir da ruptura da tubulação ou do compartimento do navio-tanque. A análise tem por base as recomendações da Organização Internacional Marítima OIM (em inglês, IMO). A OIM tem adotado a Avaliação Formal da Segurança AFS (em inglês, Formal Safety Assessment FSA), como seu modo oficial de receber as sugestões de seus membros para criar ou modificar qualquer regulamentação correlacionada. Este processo é composto de cinco passos que a OIM descreve na guia AFS (IMO, 2002). Este trabalho irá mostrar todas as etapas, mas irá focar, com especial atenção, a segunda etapa Risk Assessment, porque será aplicada ao caso sob análise, envolvendo o comportamento humano. Existem muitas técnicas e muito trabalho envolvido na estimação das probabilidades dos eventos. O mesmo ocorre para a avaliação de suas consequências. Uma vez definida a quantidade total de vazamento, um software poderá ser usado para calcular as consequências. O mesmo será feito para na Análise de Risco, utilizando RB, e, neste ponto, o trabalho apresenta uma nova contribuição. / Maritime transportation systems are essential for World Trade, in special, Tankers ships and yours loading and unloading facilities; therefore, it is crucial to understand how these systems may fail, to be able to maintain their capacity. It need that each and every quantitative risk assessment comprises some basic activities that have to be developed to allow the quantification of the risks involved in the operation of a system or process. Basically, it must be estimated the likelihood of the identified undesired events as well as the magnitude of their consequences. The objective of this study is to assess if the technique called Bayesian Networks BN is the best suited, with respect to the Fault Tree Analysis FTA and the Event Tree Analysis ETA, to perform an Risk Analysis of the operation or process of unloading of flammable bulk liquids, such as anhydrous ethanol and/or oil products, from a Tanker to a port terminal specified the Bulk Liquid Terminal BLT, focusing on the interface between the two systems: ship and port with the inclusion of the human factor, i.e., human error: Human Reliability Analysis HRA. Furthermore, a consequence analysis of a specific liquid bulk leakage will be performed, looking at the worst scenario case, from the rupture of a pipeline or tank from a Tanker. The analysis came from based on the recommendations of the International Maritime Organization IMO. The IMO has adopted the FSA (Formal Safety Assessment) as its official way of receiving suggestions of its members to create or modify any regulation correlated. It is a process composed by five steps that IMO has described in its Guidelines for FSA (IMO, 2002). This thesis will to show all steps, but will look carefully to step two (Risk Assessment) because it will be applied in the example situation, involving human behavior (HRA). There are many techniques and much work involved in the estimation of the likelihood of the events. The same occurs for the evaluation of their consequences. Once defined the total leaked quantity, software will be used to calculate the consequences. The same will be done to Risk Analysis, using BN, and at this point, the work is a new contribution.

A APS (Análise Probabilística de Segurança) de instalações industriais é assunto que evoluiu com a complexidade dos sistemas. A princípio, foram desenvolvidas ferramentas e técnicas com o propósito de analisar plantas já instaladas, possibilitando a identificação de fenômenos e mecanismos de falha desconhecidos até então. Com a evolução dos estudos dos acidentes, foram desenvolvidas técnicas aplicáveis às fases pré-operacionais com o propósito de diminuir os riscos na operação. Observa-se, portanto, um bom número de técnicas ideais para analisar projetos prontos ou em fase de conclusão. O mesmo não é observado para a fase de concepção. Apesar disto, cada vez mais especialistas na área de risco propõem que as considerações de segurança são mais eficazes quando ponderadas ao longo de toda a vida dos sistemas críticos. O estudo das APS realizadas no mundo em várias indústrias ajuda a entender o consenso sobre a contribuição potencial destas análises no desenvolvimento de novos sistemas. Para explorar este potencial, é essencial a elaboração de processos e modelos prospectivos que sejam simples, quantitativos, realistas, capazes de alimentar análises no estágio de projeto e que tragam resultados que possam ser interpretados pelos profissionais envolvidos no processo decisório. Estas considerações são extensíveis à ACH (Análise de Confiabilidade Humana), i.e., poucas são as ferramentas que ponderam aspectos operacionais, em especial o desempenho humano, na fase de projeto. A reconhecida contribuição do fator humano em acidentes envolvendo sistemas complexos - por vezes atribuída à falta de ferramentas adequadas para sua consideração na fase de projeto - evidencia ainda mais esta lacuna. Neste contexto, esta tese apresenta o desenvolvimento de uma metodologia e de uma técnica para a consideração precoce da confiabilidade humana na concepção de sistemas complexos, sendo que: 1) o desenvolvimento desta metodologia primou pela facilidade de entendimento de suas etapas e resultados, i.e., procurou-se a inteligibilidade para as pessoas envolvidas no projeto, sendo especialistas em ACH ou não, e; 2) a TECHR (Technique for Early Consideration of Human Reliability) foi concebida com o propósito de desenvolver um modelo prospectivo para o desempenho humano que possa ser explorado na fase de concepção de sistemas, e se baseia no aproveitamento da opinião de especialistas em relação a sistemas que operam ou operaram nos últimos anos para obter estimativas das probabilidades dos diversos tipos de erro humano que podem ocorrer durante a execução de uma ação específica. A metodologia proposta e a TECHR resultam em um procedimento simples e capaz de produzir modelos extremamente úteis na fase de projeto, representando uma contribuição original para o estado da arte da concepção de sistemas baseada em dados incertos. / PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment) is an industrial plant issue that has evolved with the complexity of systems. Initially, tools and techniques have been developed with the main purpose of analyzing operational plants, enabling the identification of phenomena and fault mechanisms hitherto not highlighted. With the evolution of accidents studies, some techniques applicable to pre-operational phases were developed in order to reduce the risks in operation. Therefore, a number of techniques adequate to analyze ready or near completion designs can be found. The same is not observed for the early design phase. Despite this, more and more experts in the risk assessment field suggest that safety considerations are most effective when assessed over the whole life of critical systems. Probabilistic safety analyses performed worldwide in various industries help us understand the consensus on the potential contribution of these analyses for developing new systems. To exploit this potential, it is essential to develop processes and prospective models that are simple, quantitative, realistic, able to feed analyses at the design stage and to bring results that can be interpreted by the professionals involved in the decision making process. These considerations are extended to HRA (Human Reliability Analysis), i.e., there are few tools that consider operational aspects, especially human performance, during the design phase. The recognized contribution of the human factor in accidents involving complex systems - sometimes attributed to the lack of suitable tools for its consideration in the design phase - further highlights this gap. In this context, this thesis presents a methodology and a technique developed for the early consideration of human reliability in complex systems design, and: 1) the development of this methodology has prioritized the easy understanding of its steps and results, i.e., its intelligibility for people involved in the system design has been sought, with expertise in HRA or not, and; 2) the technique for early consideration of human reliability (TECHR) was designed for developing a prospective human performance model that can be exploited in the system design phase, and is based on the use of expert opinion in relation to systems that operate or have operated in recent years to obtain estimates of the probabilities of the various types of human error that may occur during the performance of a specific action. The proposed methodology and technique result in a simple procedure capable of producing useful models for the design phase, representing an original contribution to the state of the art of systems conception under uncertainty.

Constructing a road is a complex process that may be represented as a series of correlated steps, from the planning to the construction and usage of the new road. At the heart of this process, the preliminary and detailed design stages are key elements that will ensure the quality and the adequacy of the final solution regarding the constraints and objectives of the project. In particular, infrastructure layout and design will have a strong impact on the global performances of the road in operational conditions. Among them, road safety, mobility, environment preservation, noise pollution limitation, economic feasibility and viability of the project, or even its socio-economic impact at the local level. Consequently, it is crucial to offer engineers and road planners some tools and methods that may assist them in designing and selecting the most efficient solutions considering the distinctive features of each design problem. In this work, a multicriteria analysis methodology is developed to carry out an integrated and preventive assessment of road projects at the design stage by considering both their safety performances and some economic and environmental aspects. Its purpose is to support design engineers in the analysis of their projects and the identification of innovative, consistent and effective solutions. The proposed methodology is composed of two main research frameworks. On the one hand, the road design problem is addressed by focusing successively on the structuring of the multicriteria problem, the identification of the approximate set of non-dominated solutions using a genetic algorithm (based on NSGA-II), and the application of the methodology to a real road design project. On the other hand, the methodological development of a multicriteria interval clustering model was performed (based on PROMETHEE). Due to the applicability of this model to the studied problem, the interactions between the two frameworks are also analysed. / Doctorat en Sciences de l'ingénieur et technologie / The present PhD thesis is an aggregation of published contributions related to the application of multicriteria analysis to the evaluation of road projects at the design stage. The aim of the two introductory chapters is to offer a synthesised and critical presentation of the scientific contributions that constitute the PhD thesis. The complete version of the journal articles and preprints are found in Chapters 3 to 6. In the appendices, we also provide reprints of conference papers that are usually related to one of the main contributions of the thesis. / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished

The Diploma thesis deals with the assessment of global and local stability of the masonry gravity dam Pastviny, for two load conditions. The first part consists of a present state review describing selected masonry dams in the Czech Republic and abroad. Further on a conceptual and mathematical formulation of the seepage flow and strain-stress problem are stated. The case study is focused on the practical application of formulated problems on the Pastviny dam. Firstly the available data have been assembled and processed. Global and local safety of the dam was assessed for the selected most vulnerable profile of the dam body. In the final chapters 5, 6 and 7, the seepage flow, stress and strain have been calculated and graphically displayed. Finally global and local stability have been assessed and completed with final summary of the results and concluding remarks.

The development of autonomous driving in recent years has been in full swing and one of the aspects that Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) should always focus on is safety. Although the corresponding technology has gradually matured, and AVs have performed well in a large number of tests, people are still uncertain whether AVs can cope with all possible situations. This world is complex and ever-changing, experiencing countless disturbances every moment, and according to The Butterfly Effect, even the most insignificant small disturbance may set off a huge storm in the near future. If AVs really enter people’s daily lives, they will inevitably encounter many unexpected situations that have never been experienced before. Thus how to ensure that AVs can handle these well has become the most important issue at the moment. It is necessary to give the Automated Driving System (ADS) sufficient challenges during training and testing for acceptable safety and stability. However, dangerous and extreme driving scenarios in the real world are very rare, and it is also very expensive for such a test to be carried out in reality. Therefore, artificially creating a series of critical driving scenarios then training and testing the ADS in a simulation environment has become the current mainstream solution. This thesis project builds a complete framework for the automatic generation, simulation, and analysis of safety-critical driving scenarios. First, the specified scenarios and features are sequentially extracted from the naturalistic driving dataset through pre-defined rules; then a Density Estimation Model is adopted to learn the features, trying to find the distribution of the specified scenarios; after the distribution is obtained, synthetic driving scenarios can be obtained by sampling. Finally, visualize these synthetic scenarios via simulation for safety assessment and data analysis. / Utvecklingen av självkörande fordon har varit i full gång de senaste åre och en av aspekterna som självkörande alltid bör fokusera på är säkerheten. Även om motsvarande teknik gradvis har mognat, och självkörande har presterat bra i ett stort antal tester, är människor fortfarande osäkra på om självkörande klarar av alla möjliga situationer. Den här världen är komplex och ständigt föränderlig, upplever otaliga störningar varje ögonblick, och enligt The Butterfly Effect kan även den mest obetydliga lilla störningen sätta igång en enorm storm inom en snar framtid. Om självkörande verkligen kommer in i människors dagliga liv kommer de oundvikligen att möta många oväntade situationer som aldrig har upplevts tidigare. Så hur man säkerställer att självkörande kan hantera dessa väl har blivit den viktigaste frågan för tillfället. Det är nödvändigt att ge självkörande tillräckliga utmaningar underträning och testning för acceptabel säkerhet och stabilitet. Men farliga och extrema körscenarier i den verkliga världen är mycket sällsynta, och det är också mycket dyrt att genomföra ett sådant test i verkligheten. Att på konstgjord väg skapa en serie kritiska körscenarier och sedan träna och testa det automatiserade körsystemet i en simuleringsmiljö har därför blivit den nuvarande vanliga lösningen. Detta examensarbete bygger ett komplett ramverk för automatisk generering, simulering och analys av säkerhetskritiska körscenarier. Först extraheras de specificerade scenarierna och funktionerna sekventiellt från den naturalistiska kördatauppsättningen genom fördefinierade regler; sedan antas en densitetsuppskattningsmodell för att lära sig funktionerna och försöka hitta fördelningen av de specificerade scenarierna; efter att fördelningen erhållits kan syntetiska körscenarier erhållas genom provtagning. Slutligen, visualisera dessa syntetiska scenarier via simulering för säkerhetsbedömning och dataanalys.

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