This diploma thesis deals with the simulation of various operating situations in the network with many non-rotating power sources, especially focusing on frequency stability. Non-rotating power source is any source that delivers its power to the grid via power electronics. The first part of the thesis describes power system of the Czech Republic and its future development. In the next section, there is short description of today's most common non-rotating power sources. The third part deals with power regulation of the frequency in the grid. The following part describes the models of electrical circuit created for use in PSCAD simulations. The penultimate part describes simulations performed on a model of the network with many non-rotating power sources, which also includes rotating sources. The last part describes simulations performed on a model of the network that is composed of non-rotating power sources only.

This dissertation thesis deals with application of probabilistic approach to assessment of earthing system safety in distribution networks, especially for cases with common earthing of high and low voltage side of distribution transformers HV/LV. In these cases, the increased potential during fault might be transferred from high voltage to low voltage network and thus the individuals from public can be exposed to increased risk. Thus, for these cases were in this thesis defined expectable touch scenarios together with the resulting risk imposed on individuals from the public. Based on the results it seems that adoption of probabilistic approach for these cases of earthing systems might be more suitable compared to the conventional deterministic worst case approach. In accordance to the aims of the thesis, a thorough analysis of currently adopted probabilistic approaches was carried out as well and it was pointed out to some new possible simplifications in the adopted probabilistic based methodologies. For example, it seems that appropriate modelling of human body resistance by the full lognormal distribution is not completely necessary and similar results can be obtained when only the resistance for 50 % of population together with c3 and c4 fibrillation curves are used. Much of the work was also devoted to the determination of possible uncertainty of calculated risk of evaluated earthing system, especially due to inappropriate modelling of earthing system. The appropriateness of different earthing system modelling methods together with other parameters on the value of calculated risk was investigated through conducting sensitivity analysis. Based on the analysis results it seems, that due to using more, or less simplified modelling method, a possible underrating in the resulting risk of about 40 % (about half an order/decade) is expectable. On the other hand, the change of parameters related directly to calculation of fibrillation probability seems to exhibit greater change in calculated risk by up to units of orders/decades.

Materialfluss-Systeme für den Stückgut-Transport auf der Basis von Stetigförderern sind meist modular aufgebaut. Das Verhalten gleichartiger Materialfluss-Elemente unterscheidet sich durch technische Parameter (z.B. geometrische Größen) und durch unterschiedliche logistische Belastungen der Elemente im System. Durch die in der Arbeit getroffenen Modellannahmen werden für die Elemente nur lokale Steuerungsregeln zugelassen und für das System Blockierfreiheit vorausgesetzt. Das Verhalten eines Materialfluss-Elements hängt dann nicht mehr von Zuständen anderer Elemente des Systems ab sondern nur noch von den stochastischen Prozessen des Eintreffens von Transporteinheiten. Die Auslastung eines Elements, die Quantile der Warteschlangenlängen an seinen Eingängen und die Variationskoeffizienten seiner Abgangsströme sind statistische Kenngrößen. Sie hängen im Wesentlichen nur von der Klasse des Elements, seinen technischen Parametern, den Parametern der Eingangsströme und der lokalen Transportmatrix ab. Diese funktionellen Abhängigkeiten sind im Allgemeinen nicht analytisch handhabbar. Da diese Funktionen stetig differenzierbar und beschränkt sind und von relativ viele Eingansgrößen anhängen, sind neuronale Netze gut geeignet für numerische Näherungen. Mit Hilfe von einfachen neuronalen Netzen können die statistischen Kenngrößen numerisch approximiert werden. Aus einzelnen Teilmodellen kann ein hybrides Modell des gesamten Systems zusammengesetzt werden. Anhand von einigen Beispielen wird die Güte der Modellierung bewertet. / Material flow systems are normally built with a modular structure. The behavoir of similar elements only differs by technical parameters (e.g. geometriy), and by different logistic loads of the elements in the system. In this paper, a new model is being developed for a non-blocking system with non-global control rules. The behavior of a flow of a material flow element is assumed not to depend on the conditions of other elements of the system, but only on stochastic processes of the arrival of transportation units. The rate of utilization of an element, the quantiles of the queue lengths at its inputs, and the dispersion of its output stream are statistic characteristics. They depend only on the type of the element, its technical parameters, the parameters of the input streams, and the local transportation matrix. These functional dependencies are not analytically manageable. But due to their properties, neural nets are well suited for numeric approximations of these statistic functions. The single models can be used to compose a hybrid model of the whole system. A few examples show the quality of the new modeling technique.

This paper presents the cooperative modelling methodology used in the Information Society foresight carried out within the research project SCETIST. The class of models here presented used the concept of group decision creativity that has been elaborated for the use in a Living Lab. The trends and scenarios are discussed and refined during cooperative activities, finally verified using the simulation of a hybrid system consisting of qualitative information processing, and a discretetime- control system with a discrete-event component.

Within the present work, the main objective is to identify interactions between flexibility demand and flexibility supply. Therefore, three research fields regarding the future transformation of the European energy system are addressed. First, an expansion of intermittent renewable energy sources (iRES) is discussed taking the potentials of wind and PV technologies into account. The analysis is based on fundamental considerations of generation characteristics as well as available potentials across 17 countries in central-western Europe. To emphasis the differences in electricity generation between wind and PV, an iRES expansion model is developed coping for geographically highly resolved weather data as well as for limitations of iRES potentials due to land-use restrictions and for energy-policy constraints. Three scenarios with varying Wind-PV ratio in total iRES electricity generation are evaluated. Second, the options to provide flexibility to balance the flexibility demand are introduced and mathematically implemented in ELTRAMOD. Therefore, the model was adjusted to represent multiple flexible technologies for upward, downward and shifting flexibility provision to cover the residual load. In a system perspective and a greenfield approach, the linear electricity market model enables the analysis of cost-optimal combinations of flexibility options against the background of scenarios with different flexibility demands. In addition, the third research field addresses the emerging developments of sector coupling by including selected Power-to-X technologies. A second scenario dimension analyses the role of energy storages in the energy end-use sectors for a more flexible sector coupling. The results underline the importance of the Wind-PV ratios in electricity generation when assessing flexibility demand and flexibility supply in model-based energy system analysis. Due to the higher seasonality of PV, the residual load parameter indicate higher iRES integration challenges in terms of flexible capacity requirements. Particularly the provision of spatial and temporal balancing flexibility is significantly influenced by a higher wind or a higher PV share in the iRES mix. With sector coupling, the value of temporal shifting is increasing. Hourly storages are not only highly sensitive to the Wind-PV ratio, but in addition strongly impacted by sector coupling. In both dimensions, a higher PV share is increasing the value for short-term shifting. Furthermore, sector coupling increases the need for additional electricity generation. Thereby, for peak-load capacity provision gas-fuelled power plant are optimal in the present work increasing the total emissions especially with higher PV shares. The sensitivity analysis shows the value of additional iRES capacities as well as of storage cost reductions to further reduce emissions.

Durch den Ausbau an Wind- und PV-Anlagen in Deutschland wird der Flexibilitätsbedarf im Stromsystem steigen. Der Flexibilitätsbedarf kann zum einen durch verschiedene Technologien, z.B. Speicher oder Netze, und zum anderen durch die Stromnachfrage bereitgestellt werden. Eine gezielte Steuerung der Stromnachfrage wird als Demand Side Management (DSM) bezeichnet. Der zunehmend wetterabhängigen und fluktuierenden Stromerzeugung in Deutschland steht jedoch eine bis heute weitgehend unelastische Nachfrage gegenüber. In der Literatur sind verschiedene Arbeiten zu finden, die das Potential zur Lastabschaltung und verschiebung in Deutschland untersuchen. Hierbei liegt der Fokus auf absoluten Werten. Saisonale oder tageszeitliche Unterschiede bleiben dabei häufig unberücksichtigt. Die vorliegende Dissertation greift an dieser Stelle an und untersucht das Potential ausgewählter DSM-Anwendungen in stündlicher Auflösung. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass das verfügbare Potential starken saisonalen und tageszeitlichen Schwankungen unterliegt. Dementsprechend wird das DSM-Potential überschätzt, wenn nur absolute Werte betrachtet werden. Darüber hinaus zeigt die Autorin, welche Entwicklungen in den nächsten Jahren hinsichtlich der Verfügbarkeit des DSM-Potentials zu erwarten sind. Basierend auf der Potentialermittlung wird in der Dissertation die Rolle von DSM in einem EE-geprägten Stromsystem modellbasiert untersucht. Hierfür wird das lineare Optimierungsmodell ELTRAMOD, das den deutschen und europäischen Strommarkt abbildet, weiterentwickelt. Anhand verschiedener Szenarien wird zum einen der Beitrag von DSM zur Systemintegration von erneuerbaren Energien in Deutschland und zum anderen die Wechselwirkungen mit anderen Flexibilitätsoptionen (z.B. Speicher) untersucht. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die DSM-Kategorien Lastabschaltung und verschiebung nur kurzzeitig auftretende Schwankungen der Einspeisung aus erneuerbaren Energien ausgleichen können. Zum Ausgleich großer Überschussmengen aus erneuerbaren Energien sind hingegen Power-to-X-Technologien, z.B. Power-to-Heat, besser geeignet.

When the low voltage electric grid is dimensioned electric loads are predicted by analyzing the area by certain factors such as geographical data, customer type, heating method etc. So far, the charging of Plugin Electric Vehicles (PEVs) is not considered as one of these factors. Approximately 30% of the distribution grid in Sweden is projected to need reinforcements due to the increased loads from PEVs during winters if the charging isn’t controlled. In addition to this Stockholm face the problem of capacity shortage from the transmission grid, limiting the flow of electricity into the city. This research is therefore conducted to analyze the impact that the increase of PEVs will have on the distribution grid in the future. This thesis simulates the electric grid for three substations located in Hammarby Sjöstad by using power flow analysis and electric grid data from 2016. To approach this problem a method to disaggregate the total power consumption per substation into power consumption responding to each building was developed. In addition to this the number of PEVs in the future was projected. Nine different scenarios were used to compare different outcomes for the future, namely the years of 2025 and 2040. In order to simulate the worst possible case for the electric grid all the PEVs were assumed to be charged at the same time, directly when arriving home on the Sunday when the power demand peaks in 2016. The results indicate that PEVs can have a considerable impact on the components of the low voltage distribution network and controlled charging should be implemented. By examining the impact on the simulated electric grid from the different scenarios the limit of PEV penetration is found. In the area of Hammarby this limit seems to be around 30 % of the total cars if there is no controlled charging. Without any controlled charging the peak power demand increases by 30% with a 30% share of PEVs, which is projected to happen in 2025. In 2040 when share of PEVs is projected to be about 95% the peak power is instead increased by more than 100% which shows the impact that PEVs can exert on the electric grid. Utilizing a simple method of controlled charging where the PEVs are instead charged during the night when the power demand is low, the peak power is not increased at all. This also results in the small cost benefit for PEV owners since the electricity is cheaper during the night and controlled charging can therefore save about 15% of the electricity charging cost. However, the main savings are for the grid owners since the need to reinforce the grid is heavily reduced. In addition to this the power losses are reduced heavily from about 14% down to 5% in the electric grid that is simulated. / När dimensioneringen av distributionsnätet utförs analyseras området genom att räkna med elektriska laster som till exempel kan bero på geografiska data, typ av konsument, uppvärmningsmetod etcetera. Än så länge har laddningen av elbilar (PEVs) inte varit en av dessa faktorer trots den förväntade tillväxten av elbilar. Ungefär 30% av Sveriges distributionsnät förväntas behöva förstärkningar på grund av den ökade elkonsumtionen från elbilar under vintrarna om laddningen inte kontrolleras. Utöver detta står Stockholm inför problemet med effektbrist från elöverföringsnätet. Denna uppsats genomförs således för att analysera påverkan från elbilar på fördelningsnätet i framtiden. Denna masteruppsats simulerar det elektriska nätet för tre nätstationer i Hammarby Sjöstad genom en analys av effektflödet. En metod för att disaggregera elkonsumtionen per nätstation ned till elkonsumtionen per byggnad utvecklades och antalet elbilar i framtiden uppskattades. För att utvärdera elbilars påverkan skapades nio olika scenarion för framtiden genom att undersöka hur det kommer att se ut år 2025 och år 2040. Genom att anta att laddningen av alla elbilar i området sker samtidigt, samma tid som den maximala förbrukningen av el sker under en söndag 2016, analyseras det värsta möjliga scenario för det elektriska nätet. Resultaten visar att elbilar kan ha enorm påverkan på de maximala lasterna för ett lågspänningsnät och därför kommer kontroll av laddningen behövas. Genom att undersöka elnätets påverkan i de olika scenariona uppskattades gränsen för hur många elbilar det modellerade elnätet klarar av. I Hammarby Sjöstad ligger denna gräns på ungefär 30% elbilar. Utan kontrollerad laddning ökar maxlasten med 30% år 2025 då antalet elbilar förväntas vara 30% av alla bilar i Hammarby Sjöstad. År 2040 då antalet elbilar uppnår ungefär 95 % av alla bilar ökar maxlasterna med mer än 100% vilket visar den enorma påverkan elbilar kan ha på elnätet. Genom att använda en simpel modell av kontrollerad laddning som består av att flytta laddningen från eftermiddagen till natten, då förbrukningen av elektricitet är låg, ökar inte maxlasten för dygnet alls jämfört med scenariot utan elbilar. Detta resulterar också i besparingen av elektricitetskostnad för elbilsägaren med cirka 15% eftersom elektriciteten ofta är billigare under natten jämfört med kvällens elpriser. Detta är dock små summor jämfört med besparingar elnätsägarna kan göra då elnätet inte behöver förstärkas lika mycket som skulle behövas utan kontroll av laddningen. Utöver detta så sänks även förlusterna av elektricitet i det simulerade nätet från 14% ned till 5% genom att utnyttja denna modell av kontrollerad laddning.

Humans’ activities in urban areas put a strain on local water resources. This paper introduces a method to accurately simulate the stress urban water demand in Germany puts on local resources on a single-building level, and scalable to regional levels without loss of detail. The method integrates building geometry, building physics, census, socio-economy and meteorological information to provide a general approach to assessing water demands that also overcome obstacles on data aggregation and processing imposed by data privacy guidelines. Three German counties were used as validation cases to prove the feasibility of the presented approach: on average, per capita water demand and aggregated water demand deviates by less than 7% from real demand data. Scenarios applied to a case region Ludwigsburg in Germany, which takes the increment of water price, aging of the population and the climate change into account, show that the residential water demand has the change of −2%, +7% and −0.4% respectively. The industrial water demand increases by 46% due to the development of economy indicated by GDP per capita. The rise of precipitation and temperature raise the water demand in non-residential buildings (excluding industry) of 1%.

This master’s thesis covers the structuring and implementation of a digital testbench for the air brake system of freight trains. The test bench will serveto further improve the existing brake models at Transrail Sweden AB. Theseare used for the optimised calculation of train speed profiles by the DriverAdvisory System CATO. This work is based on the research of the technicalbackground, as well as the methodical approach to physical modelling anda modular implementation of the test bench. It gives full flexibility for thesimulation of customised train configurations using the European UIC brakesystem. Train length and vehicle arrangement can be adapted to the user’sspecific needs. For example, the test bench could be used for the simulation ofa train with distributed power. The system parameters are stored in a vehiclelibrary for the convenient generation of train configurations. This vehiclelibrary is freely expandable.The simulation is based on an equivalent electric circuit model which iscompleted with nozzle flow modelling. This model involves monitoring themain pipe, brake cylinder and reservoir pressure. Linear approximation is usedto obtain braking forces for the individual wagons and for the whole train. Thedepiction of the brake system behaviour is mostly accurate in the operationalscenarios, which is validated with measurement data. Additional calibrationis required for further reduction of the simulation errors and an extension ofthe model’s domain of validity. The test bench is developed by incrementaland iterative modelling and prepared for further improvements and variations,for example the adaption to the American AAR system variant.The presented work can also be used as a basis for similar implementationssuch as driving simulators. The methods are transferable to other applicationsof modular simulation. / Det här examensarbetet omfattar formgivningen och implementeringen aven digital provbänk för tyckluftsbromssystemet på godståg. Provbänken skaanvändas för att vidareutveckla befintliga bromsmodeller hos Transrail SwedenAB. De används för beräkningen av optimerade hastighetsprofiler förtåg i förarassistanssystemet CATO. Arbetet baserar sig på undersökningenav den tekniska bakgrunden, samt ett metodiskt angreppssätt för fysikaliskmodellering. Verktyget är implementerat på ett modulärt sätt. Provbänkenger full flexibilitet för simuleringen av skräddarsydda tågkonfigurationer somanvänder det europeiska UIC-bromssystemet. Tåglängd och fordonsanordningkan anpassas enligt användarens behov, till exempel för simulering av fördeladtraktion. Systemparametrarna lagras i ett fordonsbiliotek som förenklar inmatningenav tågkonfigurationer. Fordonsbiblioteket kan utvidgas enligt behov.Simuleringen är baserad på en ekvivalent strömkretsmodell, som kompletterasmed modellerad dysströmning. Simuleringen beskriver trycket ihuvudledningen, bromscylindern och förrådsluftsbehållaren. Bromskrafternaapproximeras linjärt efter trycken för de enskilda vagnarna såväl som helatåget. Simuleringen återger beteendet av bromssystemet i alla driftsituationerpå ett verklighetsnära sätt, enligt validering med mätdata från Knorr-Bremse:stestanläggning. Ytterligare kalibrering behövs för att minimera avvikelserna isimuleringen och för att utvidga modellens giltighetsdomän. Provbänken harutvecklats i stegvis modellering och är väl förberedd för vidareutveckling ochanpassning. Ett exempel är anpassningen för att simulera det amerikanskaAAR-bromssystemet.Arbetet som presenteras här är lämplig för användning i liknande applikationer,såsom körsimulatorer. Metoden kan tillämpas allmänt på övrigaanvändningsområden av modulär simulering.

An experimental investigation of an M level (M = 16, 64 and 256) Quadrature Amplitude Modulation (QAM) transmission system suitable for video transmission is presented. The communication system is based on layered video coding and unequal error protection to make the video bitstream robust to channel errors. An implementation is described in which H.264 video is protected unequally by partitioning the compressed data into two layers of different visual importance. The partition scheme is based on a separation of the group of pictures (GoP) in the intra-coded frame (I-frame) and predictive coded frame (P frame). This partition scheme is then applied to split the H.264-coded video bitstream and is suitable for Constant Bit Rate (CBR) transmission. Unequal error protection is based on uniform and non-uniform M-QAM constellations in conjunction with different scenarios of splitting the transmitted symbol for protection of the more important information of the video data; different constellation arrangements are proposed and evaluated to increase the capacity of the high priority layer. The performance of the transmission system is evaluated under Additive White Gaussian Noise (AWGN) and Rayleigh fading conditions. Simulation results showed that in noisy channels the decoded video can be improved by assigning a larger portion of the video data to the enhancement layer in conjunction with non-uniform constellation arrangements; in better channel conditions the quality of the received video can be improved by assigning more bits in the high priority channel and using uniform constellations. The aforementioned varying conditions can make the video transmission more successful over error-prone channels. Further techniques were developed to combat various channel impairments by considering channel coding methods suitable for layered video coding applications. It is shown that a combination of non-uniform M-QAM and forward error correction (FEC) will yield a better performance. Additionally, antenna diversity techniques are examined and introduced to the transmission system that can offer a significant improvement in the quality of service of mobile video communication systems in environments that can be modelled by a Rayleigh fading channel.