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冷戰後中共印度洋戰略研究 / China’s strategy in the Indian ocean after Cold War

本文採取文獻分析法為主,並以戰略邏輯與國際事務為出發點,從海權觀念意識與國家發展思維上去探討,再以目的、手段、方法之研究途徑切入。
研究重點首重中共在印度洋戰略之思維,從周邊地緣分析切入,瞭解東亞、南亞地區地緣戰略關係;再分析中共國家戰略需求(以能源安全為主),及中共海軍戰略進程,包含劉華清走出第一島鏈的三階段海軍戰略,也就是藍水海軍戰略。
其次為中共印度洋戰略之角色與實踐,主要圍繞中共在印度洋戰略布局的手段,包含政治、經貿及軍事手段之實踐作為,並探討其戰略意涵。
第三,探討中共印度洋戰略之影響與限制因素,分別為區域安全之影響(南亞地區)、大國之影響(美、蘇、日)及對中共自身之影響。可以預見的,印度與美國對中共在印度洋的活動非最敏感,日印美聯合制中之傳聞早已甚囂塵上,各國之反應對中共後續之布局產生哪些具體滯礙與限制。
最後為研究心得,計有中共海軍戰略進程、中共印度洋戰略布局的過程及中共戰略布局印度洋後的影響與限制等三點。 / The research is to adopt Document analysis, use strategic logic and international affairs as a starting point, and discusses the concept of consciousness from the sea power with the thinking of national development, then the purpose, means, methods, ways to cut into the study.

First of all, the most important point of this research is focus on the PRC’s strategy thinking in the Indian ocean, from the surrounding geographical metrology to understand East Asia, South Asia’s geo-strategic relationships and then analysis PRC’s national strategic needs (Focus on the energy security), and the PRC’s maritime strategic process, including Liu’s three-stage maritime strategy which is out of the first island chain, also means Blue-water Navy.

Secondly, the PRC’s role and practice in the Indian Ocean mainly focus on the strategic layout, including political, economic and military methods, and explore its strategic implications.

Third, Regarding the influences and constraints of PRC’s strategy in the Indian Ocean are the regional security (South Asia), the influences of powerful nations (USA, USSR, and Japan) and the influences to itself. It is can be expected, India and U.S.A are very sensitive of all the activities of China in Indian Ocean. The rumor of that Japan, U.S.A and India are standing on the same side to against China had already spread, what will China respond and what kind of difficulty they will face.

The last part of this research comprises the process of PRC’s maritime strategy, the strategic layout in the Indian Ocean and the influences and restrictions after PRC’s strategy in the Indian Ocean.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0979220061
Creators劉啟文
Publisher國立政治大學
Source SetsNational Chengchi University Libraries
Language中文
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
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