abstract: The uncertainty and variability associated with stochastic resources, such as wind and solar, coupled with the stringent reliability requirements and constantly changing system operating conditions (e.g., generator and transmission outages) introduce new challenges to power systems. Contemporary approaches to model reserve requirements within the conventional security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) models may not be satisfactory with increasing penetration levels of stochastic resources; such conventional models pro-cure reserves in accordance with deterministic criteria whose deliverability, in the event of an uncertain realization, is not guaranteed. Smart, well-designed reserve policies are needed to assist system operators in maintaining reliability at least cost. Contemporary market models do not satisfy the minimum stipulated N-1 mandate for generator contingencies adequately. This research enhances the traditional market practices to handle generator contingencies more appropriately. In addition, this research employs stochastic optimization that leverages statistical information of an ensemble of uncertain scenarios and data analytics-based algorithms to design and develop cohesive reserve policies. The proposed approaches modify the classical SCUC problem to include reserve policies that aim to preemptively anticipate post-contingency congestion patterns and account for resource uncertainty, simultaneously. The hypothesis is to integrate data-mining, reserve requirement determination, and stochastic optimization in a holistic manner without compromising on efficiency, performance, and scalability. The enhanced reserve procurement policies use contingency-based response sets and post-contingency transmission constraints to appropriately predict the influence of recourse actions, i.e., nodal reserve deployment, on critical transmission elements. This research improves the conventional deterministic models, including reserve scheduling decisions, and facilitates the transition to stochastic models by addressing the reserve allocation issue. The performance of the enhanced SCUC model is compared against con-temporary deterministic models and a stochastic unit commitment model. Numerical results are based on the IEEE 118-bus and the 2383-bus Polish test systems. Test results illustrate that the proposed reserve models consistently outperform the benchmark reserve policies by improving the market efficiency and enhancing the reliability of the market solution at reduced costs while maintaining scalability and market transparency. The proposed approaches require fewer ISO discretionary adjustments and can be employed by present-day solvers with minimal disruption to existing market procedures. / Dissertation/Thesis / Doctoral Dissertation Electrical Engineering 2018

Resumo: Esta tese visa ao estudo da valorização de serviços ancilares de reserva, particularmente, a reserva utilizada na regulação de freqüência e que é fornecida pelos geradores hidrelétricos. O objetivo principal do trabalho é desenvolver propostas que indiquem os custos reais desses serviços. Na valorização desses custos, busca-se motivar as empresas geradoras para que assumam a responsabilidade pela prestação de tais serviços, assim como garantir uma remuneração apropriada. Essa valorização é realizada em função da disponibilidade e do uso da reserva, sob uma operação segura e econômica do sistema. Para alcançar o objetivo proposto, inicialmente se realiza uma revisão das características técnicas e dos métodos de valorização dos serviços de reserva em diferentes sistemas. Posteriormente, ilustram-se as características do setor elétrico brasileiro, com a finalidade de contextualizar a valorização no marco de regulação , comercialização e operação correspondentes. Seguidamente, apresentam-se duas propostas de valorização. A primeira considera o ponto de vista de um agente gerador, cujo objetivo é estabelecer o valor do serviço a partir dos custos incorridos no fornecimento. Esses custos incluem, principalmente, os custos pela disponibilidade e pelo uso do serviço. Dentro desses componentes de custo, destaca-se o custo por perdas de eficiência, o qual é calculado utilizando um algoritmo de despacho ótimo de unidades. Essa abordagem é aplicada no cálculo do custo da reserva na usina hidrelétrica de Ilha Solteira. Nesse cálculo são utilizados dados da Companhia Energética de São Paulo - CESP. A segunda proposta considera o ponto de vista do operador de rede, em um ambiente de mercado, no qual os agentes participantes podem ofertar pela disponibilidade da reserva. Para a atribuição dessa reserva utiliza-se um despacho ótimo hidrelétrico, que inclui rest / Abstract: This work presents a reserve ancillary services pricing research. Particularly, the reserve that is used for frequency regulation and that is provided by hydroelectric generators. The development of pricing methodologies, that show real reserve delivery costs, is the main target of this project. Ancillary services pricing procures incentives to motivate agents to take responsibilities in the service supply and ensuring an appropriated remuneration. This pricing is based on the use and availability costs of reserve; under an economic and reliable system operation. In order to do that, firstly an overview of technical characteristics and pricing methods of the ancillary services in different systems is presented. Then, in order to fit this pricing methodology to the corresponding regulation, commercialization and operation rules, an introduction of the Brazilian electrical sector is realized. Next, two reserve ancillary services pricing methods are presented. The first one considers a hydraulic generator point of view. In this case, the aim is to set up the real value of the services by mean of a generator costs analysis. These costs include, basically, availability and use costs. Inside these cost components, efficiency costs are highlighted, and a single generator unit commitment dispatch is used to calculate them. This proposal is applied to calculate the ancillary service reserve costs in the Ilha Solteira hydroelectric generator, using data from the Companhia Energ'etica of S˜ao Paulo (CESP). The second pricing method considers the operator system point of view, under a market environment. In these circumstances, agents are free to set up a price offer for the availability of the reserve. To attribute the reserve, an optimal hydroelectric dispatch is used, considering electrical and hydraulic constraints. This methodology is tested in two systems. The first one represents a didactic three bus / Orientador: Antonio Padilha Feltrin / Coorientador: José Maria Yusta Loyo / Banca: Rubén Augusto Romero Lázaro / Banca: Carlos Roberto Minussi / Banca: Ricardo Bernardo Prada / Banca: Thales Souza / Doutor

The increasing demand for renewable energy sources to meet climate targets and reduce carbon emissions poses challenges to the power grid due to their intermittent nature. One potential solution to maintain grid stability is by implementing Hybrid Energy Systems (HESs) that incorporate a Battery Energy Storage System (BESS). To achieve the most favorable outcome in terms of both technical feasibility and profitability of a BESS, it is essential to employ models for simulating and optimizing the control of system components. This thesis focuses on the analysis of energy and revenue streams in a HES consisting of a BESS, photovoltaics (PVs), and an energy load including a fast charging station for electric vehicles (EVs). The objective is to optimize the system based on revenue generation by comparing the control techniques of peak shaving, energy arbitrage, and the integration of ancillary services within the Swedish energy market. The research questions explore the optimal utilization of the BESS and assess the impact of the different control techniques. A model is created in Python with the package CasADi where data from an ongoing installation of a HES in southern Sweden is combined with data from literature research. The model includes an objective function that minimizes the total cost of power from the grid based on the day-ahead price, battery degradation, and monthly peak power.  To answer the research questions, four different scenarios are simulated. The first scenario is a base for comparison, the second one focuses on peak shaving and energy arbitrage, the third on participation in the ancillary service FCR-D upwards regulation, and the last one is a combination of peak shaving, energy arbitrage, and the ancillary service FCR-D. The results show that the remuneration from the ancillary service FCR-D is comparably much higher than the revenues generated from peak shaving and energy arbitrage, providing more than 500% of revenue compared to the same system but without a BESS. The scenario with peak shaving and energy arbitrage shows an increase in revenue of 29% but with more cycling of the battery which could cause losses in performance in the long term. To validate the results, sensitivity analyses are conducted by evaluating weighting in the objective function, implementing Model Predictive Control (MPC), and reviewing price variations.  In conclusion, efficient control techniques can enhance system performance, minimize losses, and ensure optimal utilization of different energy sources, leading to improved feasibility and profitability. The optimal usage of a BESS involves finding a balance between maximizing revenue generation and minimizing battery degradation. This can be achieved through control strategies that optimize the charging and discharging patterns of the BESS based on electricity price signals, demand patterns, and battery health considerations.

With the increase in energy demand, and therefore, in energy generation, new high voltage direct current export links and overseas connections of large amounts of power are being introduced. These new links are subject to possible malfunction or failures, which may causea substantial frequency increase in the power system. The need of restorative measurements for over-frequencies is then necessary to regulate this probable imbalance. A new ancillary market product for frequency down-regulation is then being introduced. The Frequency Containment Reserves – Disturbances for downregulation is a service used to handle overfrequencies in the power system. The ancillary market has been historically dominated by hydro, however, with the local plans that set goals to reach 100 % renewable electricity production by the year 2040, ineluctably solar and wind will be occupying a large share of the energy generation, thus the amount of renewable resources to provide ancillary services will increase as well. Nevertheless, requirements to participate in the ancillary market are strict, and renewables face challenges such as unpredictable power generation, making forecasting tools essential for their participation. In this thesis, through the literature and research of an emerging field, the synthetic solar irradiance, an algorithm with adjusted parameters is replicated with the objective of downscaling solar irradiance presumptive-forecasts from 15-minute intervals to 1-minute intervals. An updated clear-sky model, and weather categorization method is used as input to improve the results of the synthesis. A year evaluation with a method to detect irradiance dips is used to evaluate the algorithm. The result of this study contributes with positive outputs. The introduction of this secondary tool to estimate higher resolution irradiance variability data proves to obtain, at 57 % of the point-to-point critical cases examination, an over-estimation of the measured irradiance. This, in turn, grants the actors that participate with solar power the option to adjust the bidding strategy process in the ancillary market accordingly to the output of this tool.

Power to gas is an emerging energy storage technology with great versatility. This thesis investigates the economic prospects of investing in such a facility via a case study linked to the Söderåren biogas plant in southern Sweden.The basis for this study is cash flow scenario analysis based on revenues and costs, which are referred as scenario parameters. Each of these parameters have different options to choose from, with nominal values chosen as the most likely options for each scenario parameter. In current market condition it was observed that installing power to gas is not profitable. However after exploring numerous combinations of scenarios, it was found that the electrical grid fee charges and higher ancillary service income was critical to achieve a viable business case for power to gas. Another scenario achieved profitability with a small margin which occurred when the grid fee was removed, referred as “grid fee off”. Both the most likely scenario and grid fee off scenario included sensitivity analysis. This was used to observe the impact of net present value when changing one parameter at a time. / Power to gas/ El till gas är en teknik på frammarsch med mångsidiga egenskaper. Den här master uppsatsen ämnar att undersöka om power to gas är lönsamt att investera idag vid en anläggning i södra Sverige vid namn Söderåsen/Wrams biogasanläggning. Samt överskåda under vilka ekonomiska den skulle kunna bli lönsam. Resultaten kan extrapoleras till liknande biogasanläggningar med liknande ekonomiska förutsättningar.Grunden för denna studie är analys av kassaflödesscenarion baserat på intäkter och kostnader, vilket kommer att refereras till som scenarioparametrar. Var och en av dessa parametrar har olika alternativ att välja mellan, där en av dessa parametrar antas vara det mest troliga alternativet att hända verkligheten. I nuvarande marknadsförhållanden observerades det att installation av el till gas inte är lönsam. Däremot efter att ha undersökt en mängd olika scenario, tillsammans 90 stycken kombinationer av scenarier (mer finns i bilagan), visade det sig att nätavgiften var avgörande för att uppnå en bärkraftig affärssituation för el till gas. Ett alternativt scenario med slopad nätavgift illustreras därefter. Känslighetsanalys sker i det mest troliga scenariot och i det alternativa scenariot utav projektets nuvärde för belysa ändring av enskilda scenario parametrars inverkan på resultatet.En intressant men osäker ekonomisk möjlighet diskuteras kring möjligheterna att ersätta uppgraderingsenheten för konventionella biogasenheter helt och hållet. Det diskuteras hur vissa parametrar korrelerar samt ifall det går att ekonomiskt motivera an slopning av nätavgiften.Slutligen tas rekommendationer till framtida studier upp.

According to the “Draft development plan for meeting the current and future electricity demandfor 2023-2032” developed by the Polish Transmission System Operator PSE, the most appropriate solution is to significantly expand the possibilities of energy storage, due to its role as a factor improving the power balancing with the increase of wind farms and photovoltaic (PV) sources. Poland has changed the rules governing the energy industry to encourage energy storage. Few barriers have already been eliminated like double charging of transmission fees, but there is still a big novelty to come and that is the reform of the balancing market. With the introduction of this change many more revenue streams should be available that are already present in other EU countries. The objective of this thesis is to provide a high-level overview of the Polish electricity market, identification of existing legal barriers, assessing the role of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) participating in distinct applications, and evaluating a possible business case considering a foreseeable market evolution. The scope of the study is limited to only one storage option Li-Ion standalone project of 10MW/40MWh at HV Point of Connection. In literature review, there does not seem to be a study on storage in the context of Poland. Hence, identifying the research gaps, an analysis of standalone storage system for grid applications in Poland is performed. In this study the NPV, IRR and PP for different scenarios of available revenue streams is determined to compare current and future business models for techno-economic feasibility for BESS in the context of Poland. Results of the study are as following. In the future scenario under the assumed dispatch strategy and participation in CM, FCR, aFRR availability markets as well as aFRR energy market and wholesale arbitrage, the overall project IRR is around 18% with a payback time of around 5 years. Provided the number of new accessible revenue streams BESS can present a strong business case in Poland.

Today’s society already requires a great connectivity network. This need will only increase in the future, and EDGE data centres are concepts meeting this future need, where the computational power is deployed close to the end user. They are defined, in this thesis, as a concept including different nodes, or data centres, located in proximity connected and participating in the market as one entity. The electricity grid in the Nordics is also a complex system. Many types of interactions with the grid exist and depend on the type of stakeholder. One collection of such interactions is ancillary services, which refer to different types of measures that maintain a reliable grid and electricity system. Electricity consumers within the grid network have the potential to interact and participate in these different functions. In this thesis, the participation of data centres, or EDGE data centres in ancillary services market, is studied. This thesis modelled different scenarios of an EDGE data centre with the grid network. Scenario 1 looked into self-consumption; scenario 2 looked into spot trading; scenario 3 looked into the FCR-N market; scenario 4 looked into the FCR-D markets; and scenario 5 looked into the combination of self-consumption and the FCR-D markets. It is observed from the results that scenario 4 generated the most favourable economic benefits. The results in relation to the price areas (zones in Sweden) were varied for the results. The price area SE4 gave better results for scenarios 1, 2, and 5 as compared to others. The best price area for scenarios 3 and 4 was from the SE1 zone. It is observed from the results that the potential benefit of the different ancillary markets exist and are at times favourable. Hence, there lies a future potential for the participation of EDGE networks in the electricity market thereby generating benefits for the data centres as well as stability for the grid. / Dagens samhälle kräver redan ett bra nätverk för uppkoppling. Detta behov kommer bara att öka i framtiden, och EDGE:s datacenter är koncept som uppfyller detta framtida behov, där datakraften placeras nära slutanvändaren. De definieras i denna avhandling som ett koncept som omfattar olika noder, eller servrar, som är placerade i närheten av varandra och som deltar på marknaden som en enhet. Elnätet i Norden är också ett komplext system. Det finns många olika typer av interaktioner med elnätet som beror på vilken typ av aktör det är fråga om. En samling av sådana interaktioner är stödtjänster, som avser olika typer av åtgärder som upprätthåller ett tillförlitligt nät och elsystem. Elkonsumenter inom elnätet har möjlighet att interagera och delta i dessa olika funktioner. I den här avhandlingen undersöks datacentraler, eller EDGE-datacenter, som deltar. I denna avhandling har olika scenarier för EDGE-datacenter modellerats i förhållande till elnätet. I scenario 1 undersöktes självkonsumtion, i scenario 2 spothandel, i scenario 3 FCR-N-marknaden, i scenario 4 FCR-D-marknader och i scenario 5 en kombination av självkonsumtion och FCR-D-marknader. I korthet gav scenario 4 de mest gynnsamma ekonomiska fördelarna. De potentiella miljöfördelarna diskuteras och kan inte lika lätt kvantifieras. Resultaten i förhållande till prisområdena varierade för resultaten. Prisområde SE4 gav de bästa resultaten för scenario 1 och 2 samt 5. Det bästa prisområdet för scenario 3 och 4 var SE1. Det framgår tydligt av denna avhandling att de potentiella fördelarna med de olika stödmarknaderna finns och att de vid vissa tillfällen är mycket gynnsamma med tanke på de höga lagringskostnaderna. EDGE-nätverkens framtida potentiella deltagande ger positiva resultat i både ekonomiska och miljömässiga termer.

This thesis investigates the opportunities and challenges of using repurposed electric car batteries, so called Second-life Battery (SlB), in a residential building as an energy storage. The performance of SlBs is compared to a First-life Battery (FlB) by identifying two potential scenarios and using a battery degradation model. The first scenario involved the batteries providing ancillary services to the grid, while in the second scenario the batteries were used for peak shaving. The battery degradation model is based on typical usage from the scenarios. The thesis findings indicate that the SlB degrades at a slower rate than the FlB, but can perform fewer cycles. Economic performance varies based on the application and initial assumptions. Both batteries proved to be profitable in the two scenarios studied, with some of the SlB configurations outperforming FlB configurations and vice versa. The yearly compensation received, when providing ancillary services with a 1000 kWh battery, ranged between 3-8 MSEK, while the yearly compensation received, when peak shaving with a 200-300 kWh battery, ranged between 20-35 thousand SEK. The main challenges identified included reduced lifespan, security risks, potential price increases, and space constraints. On the other hand, the main opportunities identified included potential price decreases and sustainability benefits such as carbon footprint reduction and grid stability. These results may provide valuable insights for informed decision-making regarding investments in FlBs and SlBs on the Swedish market.

[pt] No atual modelo econômico do setor elétrico, é necessário identificar os agentes beneficiados pelos serviços ancilares à transmissão de potência de forma a alocar adequadamente os custos de investimento, de operação e manutenção do equipamento necessário para a prestação do serviço. Entre os serviços ancilares, destaca-se o suporte de potência reativa para a regulação de tensão. Este trabalho apresenta um método baseado nos multiplicadores de Lagrange de um problema de otimização associado ao cálculo das medidas corretivas necessárias para lidar com níveis de tensão inadequados. Dois critérios de otimização são definidos: mínimo corte de carga e mínima alocação de potência reativa. Os multiplicadores de Lagrange definem a responsabilidade de cada barra quando ocorrem violações de tensão no sistema. O método permite não só identificar as barras beneficiadas pelo equipamento de compensação de potência reativa como também alocar os custos entre elas. É priorizada a confiabilidade do sistema, analisando as contingências possíveis e considerando suas respectivas probabilidades de ocorrência. O programa computacional NH2, desenvolvido pelo CEPEL, é a ferramenta básica para o desenvolvimento deste trabalho. O método é aplicado, a título de ilustração, ao sistema IEEE - RTS de 24 barras e ao sistema da Área Rio. Os resultados obtidos são comparados com um método já existente, que define fatores de alocação de custos medindo os benefícios às barras devido ao suporte de potência reativa. Esta comparação, benefício x responsabilidade, e a própria teoria dos dois métodos, mostram que o método proposto identifica mais adequadamente as barras e os respectivos fatores para a repartição dos custos. / [en] It is important to identify the agents that take advantage of the ancillary services for system operation in the nowadays electricity market. The actual economic design requires that the costs of investment, operation and maintenance of the necessary equipment should be properly allocated between these agents. Among the ancillary services, the reactive power support for voltage regulation is quite important. It is presented a method that identifies the buses that take advantage of the reactive power equipment and allocates the costs between each one of them. The power system reliability is taken into account. The analysis considers possible contingencies and their respective probability of occurrence. The computer program NH2, developed by CEPEL, is the main tool for the development of this work. The method is based on the Lagrangian multipliers of an optimal power flow problem (OPF) associated to corrective measures necessary to deal with voltage violations. Two different objective functions are used: minimum load shedding and minimum reactive power injection. The Lagrangian multipliers define the responsibility of each bus when system voltage violations occur. For the purpose of illustration, the method is applied on the 24 bus IEEE Reliability Test System and on Área Rio system. Results are compared with those produced by other existing method that defines cost allocation factors measuring the benefit due the reactive support. This comparison, benefit x responsibility, and the theory used by both methods, show that the proposed method identifies more appropriately the buses and the corresponding factors to allocate the costs.

[pt] Com a implantação do novo modelo econômico nos sistemas de potência, a justa remuneração das empresas provedoras de serviços ancilares tem se tornado um assunto grande importância. O suporte de potência reativa, por se tratar também de um serviço ancilar, está inserido neste contexto. Desta forma, a factível identificação dos agentes beneficiários pelo suporte, bem como as proporções deste beneficiamento podem implicar em um mecanismo viável de remuneração para os custos de cada fonte provedora. Este trabalho apresenta um método de alocação de custos pelo suporte de potência reativa baseado nos princípios fundamentais da teoria de circuitos elétricos, buscando determinar a contribuição de potência reativa de cada fonte para cada barra de carga. Para isto, é sugerida uma modelagem de fontes de tensão, que permite levar em conta a natureza local da relação Q-V, proporcionando uma abordagem simples e clara do problema. Complementarmente é apresentado um método de alocação das perdas reativas em cada ramo de transmissão entre as fontes provedoras de potência reativa. Para validar o método proposto, são realizados testes em sistemas de potência de pequeno e médio porte, apresentado as parcelas de contribuição de cada fonte de potência reativa para cada carga, e adicionalmente para as perdas reativas em cada ramo de transmissão. Comparações são estabelecidas com um método existente, onde é constatado que o método proposto apresenta maior coerência com as propriedades elétricas dos sistemas de potência, destacando-se a verificação clara da natureza local do consumo de potência reativa. Em relação aos resultados da alocação de perdas reativas, verifica-se que o método serve como indicativo sobre o uso da rede de transmissão por parte de cada fonte de potência reativa. / [en] After implantation of power systems` new economic model, a fair remuneration strategy of ancillary services suppliers had became an important issue. Reactive power support is also an ancillary service, thus, it belongs to this context. Then, identification of service beneficiaries as well as the benefit proportions may take a feasible remuneration mechanism for each source. This work presents a reactive power support cost allocation method based on fundamental principles of circuit theory, where reactive power contribution from each source to each load is calculated. This method suggests a modeling of voltage sources, which takes into account the Q-V relationship, providing a simple and clear treatment of the problem. Additionally, a reactive loss allocation method to each branch is presented. To validate the proposed method, tests with small and medium size systems are realized. So, there are presented results of reactive power demand and transmission losses allocation into systems` sources. Comparisons with an existent method are established, when we can verify that the proposed method brings more coherence with the electrical properties of power systems and the local nature of reactive power consumption. In the other hand, results of reactive losses allocation can indicate the transmission network usage by each reactive power source.