La gestion des maladies infectieuses dans la faune sauvage se heurte à de nombreuses limites, et le développement de stratégies efficaces représente un défi de taille. Pour atteindre cet objectif, une compréhension fine des facteurs influençant la transmission et la persistance de l’infection est nécessaire. Parmi ces facteurs, l’hétérogénéité de transmission est une caractéristique importante des populations sauvages. En effet, la diversité des comportements, des structures sociales et spatiales, ou encore des espèces peut conduire à des contributions très variables au nombre de nouvelles infections. Par conséquent, quantifier l’hétérogénéité de transmission pourrait permettre d’améliorer l’efficacité des mesures de gestion sanitaire dans la faune sauvage, en ciblant les individus ou les unités de population qui sont responsables de la majorité des évènements de transmission. L’objectif de cette thèse était d’améliorer les connaissances sur la gestion des maladies infectieuses dans des populations sauvages hétérogènes, en utilisant la brucellose à Brucella melitensis dans une population de bouquetin des Alpes (Capra ibex) comme modèle d’étude. En effet, la biologie de la brucellose et l’écologie de l’espèce hôte se prêtent bien à l’existence et donc à l’étude d’une hétérogénéité de transmission à différentes échelles. A l’aide de cultures bactériennes, nous avons tout d’abord montré que seulement 58 % des individus séropositifs sont à risque d’excréter la brucellose, et que ce risque diminue avec l’âge. Ensuite, mettant à profit l’existence d’informations détaillées sur la dynamique de population et le comportement du bouquetin, et de données épidémiologiques dans la population d’étude, nous avons développé un modèle individu-centré afin de quantifier l’hétérogénéité individuelle et spatiale de la transmission. Nous avons démontré que la transmission de la brucellose était hétérogène entre individus, les femelles provoquant environ 90% des nouvelles infections, et entre unités spatiales, plus de 80% des cas de transmission ayant lieu dans les trois sous-unités socio-spatiales qui forment la zone cœur du massif. Nous avons également estimé l’évolution temporelle de la séroprévalence et de la force d’infection, en utilisant différents modèles statistiques. Les résultats suggèrent que l’importante opération de capture menée en 2015, avec test systématique et élimination des individus séropositifs, a permis de diminuer la transmission de la brucellose dans la population. Sur la base de l’ensemble de ces résultats, nous avons évalués une série de stratégies de gestion sanitaire qui pourraient être utilisées à l’avenir dans la population. Les résultats, issus du modèle individu-centré, confirment que la stratégie prioritaire devrait être d’éliminer le plus d’individus séropositifs, et que cibler les femelles et/ou la zone cœur permet d’améliorer l’efficacité des mesures. Bien qu’il n’y ait pas de solution évidente pour la gestion de la brucellose dans notre cas d’étude, les stratégies de gestion ciblées sont très prometteuses et permettent de raffiner les mesures sanitaires classiquement utilisées. Il est donc primordial de bien comprendre l’hétérogénéité de transmission dans les populations sauvages infectées, et de rechercher des stratégies ciblées qui peuvent permettre d’améliorer la gestion en termes d’efficacité et d’acceptabilité / The management of infectious diseases in wildlife reservoirs is particularly challenging and faces several limitations. The development of appropriate management strategies requires a detailed understanding of the factors affecting the transmission and persistence of the infectious agent in the population. Among these factors, heterogeneity of transmission is a common characteristic in natural host-pathogen systems. Indeed, wild animals express a broad range of behaviours, are organised in a variety of social and spatial structures, occupy many areas with very different characteristics and belong to a large diversity of species. Such heterogeneities, from between-individuals to between-species, may result in different contributions to the overall number of new cases of infections. Thus, understanding transmission heterogeneity could provide valuable insights on how to effectively manage these systems, by targeting the individuals or areas that are responsible for most transmissions. The aim of this thesis was to provide insights on the monitoring and management of infectious diseases in heterogeneous wild populations, using Brucella melitensis infection in a French population of wild Alpine ibex (Capra ibex) as a case study. The biology of brucellosis and the ecology of Alpine ibex makes this case study a good candidate for transmission heterogeneity at several levels. Using bacterial examinations, we first established that only 58% of seropositive individuals were at risk to excrete Brucella, and that this risk decreased with increasing age. Then, we took advantage of detailed information available on ibex population dynamics, behaviour, and habitat use, and on epidemiological surveys, to build an individual-based model in order to quantify heterogeneity at the individual and spatial levels. The transmission is extremely heterogeneous between individuals, with females generating around 90% of the new cases of brucellosis infection, and between spatial units, three of the five socio-spatial units (the core area) accounting for more than 80% of brucellosis transmission. Using statistical models to estimate the temporal dynamics of the seroprevalence and of the force of infection in the population, we found evidence that the massive captures with test-and-remove operations that were conducted in 2015 managed to reduce brucellosis transmission in the population. Based on these results, we evaluated several predictive disease management strategies in the individual-based model. Our results confirmed that the primary strategy should be to remove as many seropositive individuals as possible, and that strategies targeting females and/or the core area are more effective than untargeted management. Although there is no silver bullet for the management of brucellosis in the population of study, targeted strategies offer a wide range of promising refinements to classical sanitary measures. We therefore encourage to look for heterogeneity in other infection-wildlife systems and to evaluate potential targeted strategies for improving management schemes in terms of efficiency and acceptability

Evalúa la diversidad y estructura genética de 269 cabras criollas, Capra hircus, de los departamentos de Lima (187) y Piura (82) en Perú, mediante el uso de 21 marcadores tipo microsatélite, de los cuales diecisiete fueron altamente informativos (PIC>0.5) y se recomiendan para el análisis de la diversidad genética en estas poblaciones. La población de Lima presentó una He y número medio de alelos por locus de 0.67 y 8.19, respectivamente; mientras que para Piura estos fueron 0.71 y 7.86, respectivamente. La diversidad genética de las poblaciones fue alta, siendo la de Piura ligeramente mayor que la de Lima. Además, se observó una ausencia de endogamia en ambas poblaciones (FIS=0.036). Los estadísticos de AMOVA, FST y RST mostraron valores de 3% de variación interpoblacional, 0.030 y 0.045, respectivamente, lo que indica una baja estructuración genética. El análisis de estructura genética por métodos bayesianos, el análisis factorial de correspondencias y los análisis de distancia corroboraron la baja estructura genética entre las poblaciones de Lima y Piura, así como entre cada una de sus subpoblaciones. Este resultado puede deberse al significativo flujo génico entre las poblaciones, a pesar de su lejanía geográfica, la predominancia de apareamientos no dirigidos debido al sistema de producción mayormente extensivo, diversidad de criterios de selección, así como el gran tamaño poblacional en estos departamentos, lo cual tiende a disminuir el efecto de la deriva génica. / Tesis

(1) Reliable measures of population abundance are essential for managing wildlife effectively. Aerial surveys provide a rapid and efficient means of surveying large mammals and many techniques have been developed to adjust for the inability to count all animals within transects. The probability of detection varies according to a range of factors which are important to consider when estimating density. Standardised survey methods developed in flat country are not readily transferable to steep terrain due to safety, access and difficulties delineating transect widths. Other methods have logistic constraints and must adhere to various other assumptions. (2) Density estimators are seldom examined using actual population size, hence their ability to correct for true bias is unknown. Studies that compare techniques are difficult to interpret because of the uncertainty of adherence to their respective assumptions. Factors influencing detection probability, estimators that correct for bias, the validity of their assumptions and how these relate to true density are important considerations for selecting suitable methods. The aim of this study was to obtain accurate and reliable methods for estimating the density of feral goats by improving predictions of detection probability, investigating the assumptions of aerial surveys, and examining the accuracy of 15 density estimators by comparing with total counts of feral goats. (3) Group size, vegetation and observer were the most important factors influencing the probability of observing a group of goats during aerial surveys. However, different approaches to analysing these data influenced the significance of variables and the predicted probabilities. Goat colour, type of helicopter, site and rear observer experience in hours were also found to be significant (P<0.05) when using likelihood equations based on all animals in the population rather than only those in the sample. The slope of the terrain was also shown to significantly (P=0.014) affect the probability of detection. (4) Indices are commonly used in wildlife management for their simplicity and practicality, but their validity has been questioned because of variable probability of detection. Results of this study suggest aerial survey indices are useful in monitoring a range of medium-sized mammal species across space and time if differences in detection probability between species, group size, vegetation and observer are considered and their effects are standardised. (5) An assumption of most sampling regimes that is fundamental but rarely examined is that animals are not counted more than once. In this study the behavioural responses of feral goats to helicopters were investigated as a basis for estimating the probability that goats were recounted. No long-term consequences were evident in feral goat behaviour of responses to helicopters. However, helicopter surveys were found to alter the structure of 42% of groups observed, with 28% of groups merging with others and 14% splitting into separate groups. Therefore, group size estimated from the air should not be considered as biologically important, and when estimating density, researchers should also avoid using group sizes determined from independent ground observations to correct group sizes determined from aerial surveys. Goats were also more likely to flush further when helicopters were within 150 m, which is close to or within standard helicopter strip widths. Substantial movement occurred between transects and 21% of goats were estimated to be available for recounting in adjacent transects. (6) Different detection probabilities between groups of goats may be particularly relevant when using double-counting, where multiple observers are �capturing� and �recapturing� animals in the same instant. Many analyses test and adjust for this �unequal catchability� assumption in different ways, with the approaches of Huggins and Alho allowing prediction of unique probability values for a range of co-variates. The approach of Chao attempts to correct for skewed distributions in small samples. The Horvitz-Thompson approach provides a useful basis for estimating abundance (or density) when detection probability can be estimated and is known to vary between observations according to a range of independent variables, and also avoids errors associated with averaging group size. (7) After correcting for recounting, the Alho estimator applied to helicopter surveys was the most accurate (Bias = 0.02) and reliable of all techniques, which suggests that estimates were improved by taking into account unconditional detection probability and correcting individual observations according to their characteristics. The positive bias evident in the Chao (Bias = 0.28) and Petersen (Bias = 0.15) aerial survey estimators may have been a result of averaging detection probability across all observations. The inconsistency and inaccuracy of the ground-based area-count technique emphasises the importance of other assumptions in density estimation, such as representative sampling and availability bias. The accuracy of index-manipulation-index techniques was dependent on the indices used. Capture-recapture estimates using mustering showed slight negative bias (Bias = -0.08), which was likely a result of increased probability of re-capture (i.e. trap happy). Ground-based capture-resight estimates were labour intensive and positively biased (Bias = 0.13), likely due to underestimating the area sampled, or overestimating the number of unmarked individuals with each sample. (8) Helicopter survey using double-counting is recommended for estimating the density of feral goats in steep terrain. However, consideration of recounting under intensive sampling regimes and adjustments for the factors that influence unconditional detection probability is required.

Merino sheep are the most numerous domestic livestock in Australia and feral goats are wide-spread and locally abundant in many of the regions where sheep are grazed. Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is a disease of ungulates that causes severe economic hardship to countries where outbreaks occur or where it has become endemic. In India, Africa, Greece and recently the United Kingdom and Eire, sheep and goats have been implicated in the spread and maintenance of FMD. In Australia, there are contingency plans (AUSVETPLANS) for dealing with an outbreak of FMD. Included in those plans are strategies for control of the disease in feral ungulates including feral pigs and feral goats. Modelling has provided assistance in developing strategies to combat outbreaks in feral pigs and for controlling outbreaks in domestic livestock. No models have been constructed to aid decisions about controlling FMD in feral goats where they co-occur with merino sheep. In Australia, the greatest densities of free-ranging feral goats and domestic livestock occur in the high rainfall zone (> 500 mm mean annual rainfall) along the eastern tablelands and adjacent slopes of the Great Dividing Range. Previous studies of feral goat biology, population dynamics and behaviour in Australia have concentrated on arid and semi-arid zones or on islands. Interactions between free ranging feral goats and merino sheep have not previously been studied in the high rainfall zone. My study investigated the ecological and behavioural characteristics of feral goats and their interactions with sympatric merino sheep at a high rainfall site in central eastern New South Wales. The population dynamics, biological and behavioural parameters of feral goats and sheep were then used to model FMD in such an environment. Deterministic temporal models and a new spatial stochastic model were used. Of particular interest were the rates of contact within and between subgroups of feral goats (termed herds and mobs), within and between subgroups of merino sheep (termed flocks and mobs), and between subgroups of the two species. Feral goats at the study site were found to be numerous (mean density = 34.94 goats km-2, from aerial surveys), in good condition, fecund and had high adult survival and low annual adult mortality (survival= 0.81�1.00) in the absence of harvesting and hunting. They had an observed instantaneous rate of increase of 0.112 per year. Annual rate of increase was similar to other sites in Australia without sustained harvesting pressure. Home ranges were small for both males (3.754 km², s.e. = 0.232, n = 116 goats) and females (2.369 km², s.e. = 0.088, n = 241 goats). From this and other Australasian studies, an inverse power function was found to be an excellent descriptor of the relationship between mean annual rainfall and female home range size. A resource selection function was fitted in a geographic information system to observational data of feral goats. The habitat selection of feral goats included a preference for wooded vegetation on eastern and north eastern aspects at higher elevations. The resource selection function was also used to set the probabilities of occurrence of feral goats in 1 ha areas of the landscape and these probabilities were used to generate heterogeneity in a spatial model of foot and mouth disease virus (FMDV) transmission. Daily per capita contact rates were estimated from observed contacts in the field where a contact between individuals was recognised when one approached within 1 body length ([approx] 1m) of another. The contacts between feral goats within herds were frequent and occurred at a rate of 6.96 (s.e. = 1.27) goat�goat contacts day-1. Sheep to sheep contacts were slightly less frequent (4.22 sheep�sheep contacts day-1, s.e. = 0.65) but both estimates were most likely negatively biased because of observer errors in estimating the number of individual animals coming in contact with observation subject (focal) animals. Contacts between herds of feral goats were not common and those between adjacent populations were fewer than 1 per year. In sheep, flock to flock contact was largely governed by husbandry practices and occurred at a mean daily rate of 0.0014 flock�flock contacts. Contacts between sheep and feral goats were less frequent but nonetheless common (2.82 goat�sheep contacts day-1, s.e. = 0.40). In feral goats the size of the mob in which focal goats were observed was found to be the most important factor in determining contact rates between individuals and a counter-intuitive inverse relationship was identified. Contacts were heterogeneous and density was not an important determinant of contact rates implying that, because of the uniformly high densities at the site, saturation had occurred. The temporal models of FMDV transmission showed that the rate of contact within and between species was such that FMD was predicted to spread rapidly throughout an infected herd or flock. Control strategies of intense culling of feral goats at the population level were predicted to allow the disease to persist at low prevalence, with a small peak corresponding to the annual lambing pulse in sheep. However, the same level of control (>90% reduction) at the herd level was predicted to eliminate FMD and allow the safe reintroduction of sheep. Extreme control that left very small groups (<3 individuals) may be counter productive because such small groups are likely to join the reintroduced sheep in an effort by the goats to meet gregarious urges. The spatial model was more reassuring. It predicted that FMD would die out in a mixed sheep and feral goat population in less than 90 days because of the low rate of herd to herd contact and herd to flock contact. For similar environments, the contingency planning consequences are that an outbreak of FMD introduced into feral goats from sympatric sheep is likely to be containable by removing all the sheep, determining the extent and likely range of the feral goats, then removing a substantial proportion of or eradicating each herd. Feral goats, being relatively sedentary, are unlikely to spread to adjacent populations and the disease will die out through lack of contact between herds and populations. Because feral goat home ranges overlap and are centred on one or two small catchments, a containment ring of feral goat control, set to encompass the home range of a target herd and that of adjacent herds, should be adequate to limit spread of FMD.

The ability of feral herbivores to reduce the amount of food available to domestic livestock has rarely been quantified. This thesis seeks to examine the degree to which feral goats (Capra hircus) reduce the availability of pasture and shrub biomass for other herbivores. The interaction between feral goat populations and their food supply will be explored using a modelling approach. In addition to this it will also examine the cost of controlling goats and attempt to identify the cost efficient target densities for control operations. The implications of this information for management will be discussed. There are two ways an animal population can interact with its food supply, through: (1) intrinsic food shortages, and (2) extrinsic food shortages. Intrinsic food shortages occur when a negative feed-back loop exists between the animal population and their food supply. This means the animals affect the availability of their food and their food supply affects the dynamics of the animal population. Since the animals are affecting their own food supply it could be said that they will also affect the availability of that food to other herbivores if they consume the same species. Extrinsic food shortages occur when there is no feed-back from the animals to their food supply. Food availability is determined by extrinsic factors such as rainfall and is unaffected by the animal population. To determine how feral goats interact with their food supply several models will be examined, and these include: (1) single species models which use data from the animal population only. These have historically been used to identify density dependence which is commonly caused by the animal population being regulated through their food supply in the case of large herbivores, and (2) trophic models which incorporate data from at least two trophic levels in an ecosystem, in this case those being the animal population and the vegetation they are thought to consume. These models allow a more direct examination of the relationship between the feral goat population and their food supply. The various models were fitted to data collected on the field sites and the following results were obtained: (1) the dynamics of the feral goat populations could not be represented by single-species models. This was most probably due to the stochastic environment in which they lived causing the level of density dependence experienced by the goats to vary greatly masking its presence. (2) the rate of increase of the goat population could be predicted by the numerical response of rate of increase to pasture biomass. This demonstrated that food availability influenced the dynamics of the goat population. (3) goat density affected the availability of some species of shrub biomass. There was, however, no response seen in the availability of pasture species to changes in goat density. Since the study was conducted during a drought this is in agreement with other studies which indicated that goats will primarily browse during dry spells but switch to pasture species when conditions improve following rainfall. These results indicate that a negative feed-back loop does exist between feral goat populations and their food supply since the goats affected the availability of some shrub species and so they suffer intrinsic food shortages. This means goats have the ability to reduce the availability of food to other herbivores providing both are eating the same species. Cost-efficiency analysis showed that the cost of removing individual feral goats increases exponentially as density decreases because the search time per animal becomes greater. This relationship was used to construct a model that predicted the cost of achieving a target density. The model describing cost of control over density was also combined with a productivity model based on the numerical response of feral goats to pasture biomass to predict the cost of maintaining target densities under different environmental conditions. Using these models the most cost-efficient density identified was 11 goats/km2. From this study we can make the following conclusions: (1) feral goats have the ability to reduce the amount of shrub biomass available to other herbivores during dry conditions (2) their ability to influence the availability of pasture species remains unknown (3) given the cost of initial and ongoing control and the minimal benefits that result it would be difficult to justify controlling goats during a drought on the field sites.

M.Tech. / Capra hircus (boer goats) are well known for their hardy adaptability to arid regions and their ability to survive and thrive in areas where grazing is low in nutrition. They are an irreplaceable source of protein for the lower income groups of arid regions in South Africa. Boer goats are prone to helminthiasis (infestation of intestinal parasitic worms), which can result in poor health (Kumba, 2002). This can have a significant effect on the long term productivity of the animal (Alexandre and Mandonnet, 2005), resulting in economic and nutritional strain in poor farming communities who depend on goats as a primary source of protein and income (Kumba, 2002). Conventional treatments worldwide show a trend of resistance of helminths to treatment and carry the risk of inducing side effects when administered (Kumba, 2002; Scarfe, 2004; Schnyder et al., 2005). Homoeopathic research has shown promising results in the treatment of helminthiasis in animals (Zacherias et al., 2008; Jeannes et al, 2001), but no research currently exists of homoeopathy on helminthiasis in Boer goats.

Thesis(M. A. Agricultural Management (Animal Production)) -- University of Limpopo, 2019 / The study was conducted to assess phenotypic and genotypic diversity in resistance to gastro-intestinal nematode (GIN) within communal goats in different agro-ecological zones of Limpopo province. Eighty goats were randomly sampled from Mopani = 20, Blouburg = 20, Vhembe = 20 and Capricorn = 20, representing four agro-ecological zones of Limpopo province. Frequencies and percentages of occurrence of qualitative traits and least square means (LSM) of quantitative traits were computed. Goats were characterized as multi-coloured (67.7%), black dominant coat colour (40%), flat face profile (73.8%), erect ears (68.75%), slopping rump (47.5%), no toggles (83.8%), horned (86.3%), while 71.0% and 59.4% were straight shaped and orientated backward respectively, in all agro-ecological zones. Faecal and blood samples were collected to assess the prevalence of GIN and genetic diversity of goats. The highest prevalence and abundance GIN parasites were Haemonchus contortus (nematode = 357.42) followed by Fasciola hapatica (trematode = 163) and Moniezia (cestodes = 121.50). The patterns of GIN prevalence varied (P < 0.05) across agro-ecological zones and seasons. Prevalence of Moniezia nematode varied (P < 0.05) amongst goat sexes, whilst prevalence of other GIN’s did not vary (P>0.05). For genetic variation in GIN resistance, goats were genotyped at 15 microsatellite markers recommended by the International Society of Animal Genetics. Expected heterozygosity (HE) ranged from 0.69 in arid zone goat population to 0.76 in sub-humid zone goat population, while the observed heterozygosity (HO) ranged from 0.53 in arid zone goat population to 0.60 in sub-humid zone goat population. Mean number of alleles (MNA) per population ranged from 6.13 to 7.40. Gene differentiation (FST) among populations was low (3.6%). The results revealed that genetic relationships between populations do not reflect their geographical proximity as revealed by the Nei’s genetic distance results. Low heterozygosity resulted in reducing some fitness traits for GIN parasite resistance. Inbreed goats showed low internal parasite resistance across all agro-ecological zones.

This thesis is a rhetorical analysis of Frank Capra's World War II information film series, Why We Fight, produced from 1942-1945. The series' mythological messages are examined using the four national parables as defined by Robert Reich (1987), namely The Mob at the Gates, The Triumphant Individual, The Benevolent Community, and The Rot at the Top. The values conveyed through the national parables are analyzed using a delineation of 17 core American values provided by Steele and Redding (1962). The analysis reveals the basic narrative structure of the series constituted by the myths, The Battle of Good and Evil and The Foundation Myth of America. Particularly, these two myths are crucial for America's shift from an isolationist to interventionist paradigm in foreign policy. This change in the mythical system initiated America's emergence as a world power after World War II. / Department of Telecommunications

Thesis (M.A.)--Bowling Green State University, 2009. / Document formatted into pages; contains vi, 71 p. Includes bibliographical references.

We studied the dynamic of nine populations of Alpine ibex ( Capra ibex ibex ) in five protected areas. We showed a strong effect of age on demographic parameters, with a marked decrease of survival after 10-12 years of age. We also found a high variability of old females' reproduction between populations. Contrary to what is expected for a highly dimorphic species like ibex, males survived as well as females except for old individuals. Winter harshness had a negative impact on survival of old individuals but not on reproduction and survival of young. We conclude that ibex have evolved a highly conservative life-history tactic compared to other ungulates studied to now. From a management viewpoint we also showed that under some circumstances ground counts might provide reliable estimates of ibex population trends.