Submitted by Jorge Silva (jorgelmsilva@ufrrj.br) on 2018-03-23T18:33:28Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2017 - Micael Cortopassi Booth.pdf: 3109489 bytes, checksum: 01bce83a5a84e68b19faf1907d31a751 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-03-23T18:33:28Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2017 - Micael Cortopassi Booth.pdf: 3109489 bytes, checksum: 01bce83a5a84e68b19faf1907d31a751 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-02-22 / CAPES / The use of geotechnologies assists in the monitoring and quantification of the development and modification of the landscape. The Amazon region has high diversity and plant richness and it is in this biome that is the study area, in the National Forest of Jamari, is a Conservation Unit of Multiple Use. In this FLONA there are eight mines under a PRAD because there has been since the 1960s the exploration and mining of cassiterite to obtain tin. The opening of cavas for the exploration is done in the open, performed almost mechanically, leaving the environment at the end very degraded and its restoration demands resources and time. In general, the recovery of the landscape of an area of cultivation is done with the use of planting heterogenous species of the same biome, aiming to cover the soil and induce natural regeneration. In the areas of mines the type of substrate influences in the development and fixation of the vegetal species in the area. The objectives were to map the soil cover, the creation of future scenarios of revegetation using a prediction program. In these mines the types of substrates that were classified in tillage (PL), dry tail (RS), wet tail (RU), washed tail and washing plant (WP) were mapped. Using four high spatial resolution images of the years 2009, 2011, 2013 and 2015, the typologies were classified as soil exposed, field dirty, capoeira, vegetation thin, intermediate, dense. The areas occupied by each typology for each of the years studied in the mines were compared in order to quantify the converted areas of exposed soil in vegetated areas and the dynamics of the present vegetation cover. Future scenarios for the years 2020 to 2065 were modeled using the Dinamica-EGO, a program used for simulation and prediction of natural environments in particular deforestation. The validation of the generated maps was done using fuzzy similarity. The results obtained for the future scenarios were similar to those observed and the dynamics of the five typologies used evolved in a manner consistent with that observed, with some mines having a better development in a shorter time according to the type of substrate and age of the plantations. / A utiliza??o de geotecnologias auxilia no acompanhamento e quantifica??o do desenvolvimento e modifica??o da paisagem. A regi?o Amaz?nica tem alta diversidade e riqueza vegetal e ? nesse bioma que est? a ?rea de estudo, na Florestal Nacional do Jamari, uma Unidade de Conserva??o de uso m?ltiplo. Nessa FLONA h? oito minas sob um PRAD pois houve desde a d?cada de 1960 a explora??o e lavra de cassiterita para obten??o de estanho. A abertura de cavas para a explora??o ? feita a c?u aberto, realizada de forma quase toda mec?nica, ficando o ambiente ao final muito degradado e sua restaura??o demanda recursos e tempo. De modo geral, a recupera??o da paisagem de uma ?rea de lavra ? feita com o uso de plantio de esp?cies heterogenias do mesmo bioma, visando recobrir o solo e induzir a regenera??o natural. Nas ?reas de minas o tipo de substrato influencia no desenvolvimento e fixa??o das esp?cies vegetais na ?rea. Os objetivos foram mapear a cobertura do solo, a cria??o de cen?rios futuros de revegeta??o usando um programa de predi??o. Nestas minas foram mapeados os tipos de substratos que s?o classificadas em piso de lavra (PL), rejeito seco (RS), rejeito ?mido (RU), rejeito capeado e washing plant (WP). Utilizando quatro imagens de alta resolu??o espacial dos anos 2009, 2011, 2013 e 2015, foram classificados as tipologias solo exposto, campo sujo, capoeira, vegeta??o rala, intermedi?ria, densa. As ?reas ocupadas por cada tipologia, para cada um dos anos estudados nas minas foram comparados visando quantificar as ?reas convertidas de solo exposto em ?reas vegetadas e a din?mica da cobertura vegetal presente. Cen?rios futuros para os anos de 2020 a 2065 foram modelados utilizando o Din?mica-EGO, programa utilizado para simula??o e predi??o de ambientes naturais em especial desmatamento. A valida??o dos mapas gerados foi feita utilizando similaridade fuzzy. Os resultados obtidos para os cen?rios futuros foram em similares ao observado e a din?mica das cinco tipologias utilizadas evolu?ram de forma condizente com o observado, tendo algumas minas melhor desenvolvimento em um menor tempo de acordo com o tipo de substrato e idade dos plantios.

Submitted by Jorge Silva (jorgelmsilva@ufrrj.br) on 2018-11-12T18:10:27Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2013 - Rosana Lucia Machado Sampaio.pdf: 737471 bytes, checksum: e3a49aefd1c0126fb93d6b6266c3ac61 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-11-12T18:10:27Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2013 - Rosana Lucia Machado Sampaio.pdf: 737471 bytes, checksum: e3a49aefd1c0126fb93d6b6266c3ac61 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-02-28 / CAPES / There is a project in the state of S?o Paulo for the implementation of agroforestry systems (AFS), as well as for the management of ju?ara palm on the north coast. The activities are being promoted as an alternative agriculture with less impact to the environment and reclamation. Therefore it became necessary research regarding the action of such practices on communities and the environment by noted this theme, mostly, is not explored in a joint, separating themselves from the social environment. It is known that the direct interaction between the two can be characterized as a state co-evolutionary and allowed to maintain them so far, despite the pressures on the Atlantic over time. The results obtained with indicators of environmental quality note that an agricultural system with greater complexity may present the greatest number of individuals, as well as richness and diversity, but this result is subject to the stage where it is the system. All samples collected to assess environmental conditions (soil fauna, soil chemistry and FMAS) and social, following the introduction of new agricultural practices was conducted through a participatory monitoring with community quilombo Farm, located in Ubatuba, Brazil . The samples were collected within the area of the maroons and the Institute of Permaculture and Ecovillage Atlantic Forest (IPEMA), an ONG responsible for coordinating the project. The presented results demonstrate the dependence of the factor indicators soil management. Until the current condition of the community itself, restricting their space and planting technique used by it (slash), is on the structuring and execution of an effective management plan that guarantees the primary rescue this activity as well as others that are part of the daily life of the population. As a way to minimize conflicts between park and community generated this process, it becomes necessary for effective participation of those involved in a perspective socioenvironmentalist for answers to problems. / Existe um projeto no estado de S?o Paulo para a implanta??o de sistemas agroflorestais (SAFs), como tamb?m para o manejo da palmeira ju?ara no litoral norte. As atividades est?o sendo incentivadas como alternativa agr?cola de menor impacto ao ambiente e de recupera??o de ?reas degradadas. Sendo assim, tornou-se necess?ria a investiga??o quanto ? a??o de tais pr?ticas sobre as comunidades e o meio ambiente por se notar que este tema, em sua maioria, n?o ? explorado de forma conjunta, separando-se o ambiental do social. Sabe-se que a intera??o direta entre ambos pode ser caracterizada como um estado co-evolutivo e que permitiu a manuten??o dos mesmos at? o momento, apesar das press?es exercidas sobre a Mata Atl?ntica ao longo do tempo. Pelos resultados obtidos com os indicadores de qualidade ambiental, nota-se que um sistema agr?cola com maior complexidade pode apresentar o maior n?mero de indiv?duos, como tamb?m riqueza e diversidade, mas este resultado est? sujeito ao est?gio em que se encontra o sistema. Todas as coletas realizadas para avaliar as condi??es ambientais (fauna do solo, FMAS e qu?mica do solo) e sociais, ap?s a introdu??o da nova pr?tica agr?cola foram realizadas atrav?s de um monitoramento participativo com a comunidade do quilombo da Fazenda, situada em Ubatuba, SP. As amostras foram coletadas dentro da ?rea do quilombo e no Instituto de Permacultura e Ecovilas da Mata Atl?ntica (IPEMA), ONG respons?vel pela coordena??o do projeto. Os resultados apresentados demonstraram a depend?ncia dos indicadores ao fator manejo do solo. At? a pr?pria condi??o atual da comunidade, a restri??o de seu espa?o de plantio e a t?cnica por ela utilizada (coivara), est? ligada ? estrutura??o e efetiva realiza??o de um plano de manejo que lhe garanta o resgate dessa atividade primordial, como tamb?m de outras que fazem parte do cotidiano da popula??o. Como maneira de minimizar os conflitos entre Parque e comunidade gerados desse processo, torna-se necess?ria a efetiva participa??o dos envolvidos dentro de uma perspectiva socioambientalista em busca de respostas aos problemas.

Submitted by Jorge Silva (jorgelmsilva@ufrrj.br) on 2017-06-29T18:21:50Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2005 - ?lvaro Freire da Motta.pdf: 4216645 bytes, checksum: 8b71082db76942e3cb61ca73c1dc6c87 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-29T18:21:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2005 - ?lvaro Freire da Motta.pdf: 4216645 bytes, checksum: 8b71082db76942e3cb61ca73c1dc6c87 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2005-08-12 / The present work makes an analysis of the forest and environmental legislation with focus in the Atlantic forest, and it evaluates the effects of that legislation in the maintenance of a remaining space of that bioma. The objectives of the work were: a) to survey and to discuss the legislation with focus in the Atlantic forest; b) to analyze the forest covering evolution and land use occurred among 1984-99 of a Atlantic forest remaining fragment in the state of Rio de Janeiro; c) to evaluate the effects of the forest and environmental legislation in fragment maintenance. A forest and environmental legislation survey was accomplished in the Commission of Defense of the environment of the Legislative Assembly of the State of Rio de Janeiro (ALERJ), through the environmental legislation program ISIGLA2000, besides search in ALERJ library and in legislation research internet sites; it was carried out a Atlantic forest remaining fragment mapping, using base maps supplied by the Division of Environmental Information of the Clerkship of environment of the City of Rio de Janeiro (SMAC) and from the Instituto Pereira Passos (IPP), were generated maps in the scale of 1:40.000 and information of forest covering and land use, in seven thematic classes, for five moments, in a 15 year-old period; finally, the pertinent legislation was confronted to the study area with the data resultants of the mapping classes. This analysis revealed that before the Forest Code of 1934 there was a concern with the forest conservation, even so in character strictly commercial; in the period between the codes: 1934-65 the published legal acts are linked fundamentally to the Forest Code, highlighting the creation of the Protecting Forests; starting from the New Forest Code the legislation is revealed liberal and consistent; pos-constitution of 1988 can stand out the alterations introduced in the Forest Code, the creation of IBAMA and the specific regulation of the use of the Atlantic forest. The analysis of the thematic mapping revealed a relative loss of forest in the studied area of 28% (2.337,1 ha), in 15 years, and a relative increment of 857% of the urbanization (5,1 ha). Confronting legislation with the mapping it reveals that previously to 1984 several legal acts had already been published; the legislation appeared in the period of 1984- 88 was unable to contain a loss of the forest covering of 505,6 ha; among 1988-92 the loss of the forest covering was of 99,1 ha; among 1992-96 the loss of the forests was worsened (838,9 ha), nevertheless the published legal acts; the same happened among 1996-99 (893,6 ha), being explained partly by a public distrust of the efficiency of the legislation. The main conclusions were: in the elapsed country history, six were the marked legal acts: the Forest Code (1934), the effective Forest Code (1965), the Law of the National Politics of the environment (1981), the Constitution of 1988, the Law of Environmental Crimes (1998) and the Law of the National System of Conservation of the Nature; it was effective the inclusion of the Atlantic forest as National Patrimony, in the Constitution of 1988; the studied Atlantic forest remaining fragment revealed a relative loss of 28% of the forest covering among 1984-99, and an extraordinary growth of 857% and 256% of urban and urban areas consolidated, respectively; the expressive number of legal acts published in the period 1984-99 was insufficient to maintain the forest covering in the studied Atlantic forest remaining fragment. / O presente trabalho faz uma an?lise da legisla??o florestal e ambiental com enfoque na Mata Atl?ntica, e avalia os efeitos dessa legisla??o na manuten??o de um trecho remanescente desse bioma. Os objetivos do trabalho foram: a) levantar e discutir a legisla??o com enfoque na Mata Atl?ntica; b) analisar a evolu??o da cobertura florestal e uso da terra ocorrida entre 1984-99 em um trecho remanescente da Mata Atl?ntica no estado do Rio de Janeiro; c) avaliar os efeitos da legisla??o florestal e ambiental na manuten??o desse trecho. Foi realizado um levantamento da legisla??o florestal e ambiental na Comiss?o de Defesa do Meio Ambiente da Assembl?ia Legislativa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (ALERJ), atrav?s do programa ISIGLA2000 de legisla??o ambiental, al?m de busca na biblioteca da ALERJ e em sites de pesquisa de legisla??o; procedeu-se ao mapeamento de um trecho remanescente da Mata Atl?ntica do estado, tomando-se como base mapas fornecidos pela Divis?o de Informa??es Ambientais da Secretaria de Meio Ambiente da Cidade do Rio de Janeiro (SMAC) e pelo Instituto Pereira Passos (IPP), gerando-se mapas na escala de 1:150.000 e informa??es de cobertura florestal e uso da terra, em sete classes tem?ticas, para cinco momentos, num per?odo de 15 anos; finalmente, confrontou-se a legisla??o pertinente ? ?rea de estudo com os dados resultantes das classes de mapeamento. Esta an?lise revelou que antes do C?digo Florestal de 1934 havia uma preocupa??o com a conserva??o florestal, por?m em car?ter estritamente comercial; no per?odo interc?digos: 1934-65 os atos legais editados vinculam-se fundamentalmente ao C?digo Florestal, destacando a cria??o das Florestas Protetoras; a partir do Novo C?digo Florestal a legisla??o revela-se mais pr?diga e consistente; p?s-constitui??o de 1988 pode-se destacar as altera??es introduzidas no C?digo Florestal, a cria??o do IBAMA e a regulamenta??o espec?fica do uso da Mata Atl?ntica. Na an?lise dos mapeamentos tem?ticos revelou uma perda relativa de floresta na ?rea estudada de 28% (2.337,1ha), em 15 anos, e um acr?scimo relativo de 857% da urbaniza??o (5,1ha). O confronto da legisla??o com o mapeamento revelou que anteriormente a 1984 v?rios atos legais j? haviam sido editados; a legisla??o surgida no per?odo de 1984-88 foi incapaz de conter uma perda da cobertura florestal de 505,6ha; entre 1988- 92 a perda da cobertura florestal foi de 99,1ha; entre 1992-96 a perda das florestas foi agravada (838,9ha), n?o obstante os atos legais editados; o mesmo ocorreu entre 1996-99 (893,6ha), sendo explicado em parte por uma desconfian?a p?blica da efici?ncia da legisla??o. As principais conclus?es foram: no decorrer da hist?ria do pa?s, seis foram os atos legais marcantes: o C?digo Florestal (1934), o C?digo Florestal vigente (1965), a Lei da Pol?tica Nacional do Meio Ambiente (1981), a Constitui??o de 1988, a Lei de Crimes Ambientais (1998) e a Lei do Sistema Nacional de Unidades de Conserva??o ? SNUC (2000); foi tamb?m marcante a inclus?o da Mata Atl?ntica como Patrim?nio Nacional, na Constitui??o de 1988; o trecho remanescente da Mata Atl?ntica estudado revelou uma perda relativa de 28% da cobertura florestal entre 1984-99, e um extraordin?rio crescimento de 857% e 256% das ?reas urbana e urbana n?o consolidada, respectivamente; o expressivo n?mero de atos legais editados no per?odo 1984-99 revelou-se insuficiente para manter a cobertura florestal no trecho remanescente da Mata Atl?ntica estudado.

Submitted by Jorge Silva (jorgelmsilva@ufrrj.br) on 2017-08-16T19:52:28Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2017 - Givanildo de Gois.pdf: 10268407 bytes, checksum: 6b0d9ed5afee22baa701ac9aa599b1e9 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-08-16T19:52:28Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2017 - Givanildo de Gois.pdf: 10268407 bytes, checksum: 6b0d9ed5afee22baa701ac9aa599b1e9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-02-22 / CAPES / Few studies were based on the areas of Physical and Statistical Climatology applied to the state of Rio de Janeiro (ERJ), focused on natural disasters (droughts, floods and desertification) based on climatic data and orbital products. The time series used were 47 years (1967 to 2013) and 71 years (1943 to 2013). Both series come from 100 existing stations belonging to ANA, CPRM, INMET, SERLA and LIGHT. The temporal series (raw data) were faulty and were filled with TRMM satellite 3B43 product (1998 to 2013) and INMET climatological norm (1947 to 1997). The series were submitted to descriptive, exploratory, parametric (Shapiro-Wilks-SW and Barlett-B), non-parametric tests (Mann-Kendall-MK, Sen-Se, Pettitt and SOCUM), Box Cox transformation and analysis Grouping (AA). In addition, monthly data from the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI2) between 2001- 2012 with the objective of verifying the trend of increase and decrease of vegetation in the ERJ by non-parametric tests and future scenarios by the Markov Chain. Estimation of the monthly mean air temperature (Tmi) in the ERJ based on observed series and reanalyses or the composition of both, and being adjusted to the three-base linear multiple regression (RLM) and linear regression models: Bases 1 Reanalysis / NCEP), 2 (INMET / NCDC) and 3 (Reanalysis / NCEP and INMET / NCDC) between 1948 and 2015. Descriptive analysis showed a probability of occurrence above 75%. The SW and B tests presented a low significance level for p-value (? < 5%) and the hypothesis of normality and homogeneity of variances in the stations was rejected. The Box Cox transformation was effective in stabilizing the residue normality and homogeneity of variance of the monthly rainfall series of the Middle Para?ba and Serrana regions, except for the Northwest Fluminense. The high variability of ? (0.326 to 0.565) is due to the fact that most of the stations are in the Sierra do Mar slope facing the mainland, where rainfall is influenced by the interaction of topography with local and synoptic systems, only one season In the Serra do Mar slope facing the Atlantic Ocean with influence of the coastal environment and the mesoscale and synoptic systems, in the series of 71 years. Based on AA were chosen 11 stations with normality or homogeneity of variance characterized two homogeneous pluviometric groups (G1 and G2) in the ERJ. For the trend analysis, the MK test and method were shown the presence of non significant trends of rainfall increase in the annual and seasonal scales. Pettitt and SOCUM were efficient in identifying the years of possible non-significant or insignificant abrupt changes in the 71-year time series. The SOCUM test identified 39 ENSO events in groups G1 and G2. The highest percentage in the neutral events (48.72%) and the lowest in the moderate El Ni?o and La Ni?a weak and strong (5.13%). An insignificant trend of vegetation growth is observed at 75%, followed by a significant downward trend of 25% of the ERJ Government regions. The Pettitt test showed the existence of abrupt changes not significant (NS), both growth and vegetation decrease in 6 regions and significant (S) decrease in 2 regions. The predictions of changes ranging from 1 to 2 years at constant intervals (3 to 10 years) were observed in all future scenarios. Bases 1 and 2 presented the highest number of significant coefficients, according to the F test for (p-value <0.05), the exception was Base 3. The latitude variable (?1) was more significant, followed by altitude (?3 ) In all Bases. Significant values of r2 (> 0.80) and r (> 0.90) in Base 2 and Base 1 with r2 (> 0.50) and r (> 0.70). The adjusted RLM models explained most of the spatial variability of Tmi for the ERJ. The parametric tests of SW and B applied to the monthly rainfall series without treatment and to the reduced variable the normal distribution standardized to 95% of probability point to the hypotheses of non-normality and neither homogeneity of the time series. The high sensitivity of the rainfall series to the B test were observed in the eight Government regions, due to the rigor of the test. The lambda coefficients of the Box Cox transformation applied to the monthly rainfall series for data without treatment and the reduced variable of the standardized normal distribution do not present efficiency in the stabilization of the homogeneity of the variances. Confirmed by the test of B, in 99.58% and 100% of the events. The efficiency found only in the stabilization of normality in 81.33% and 81.58% of the monthly cumulative frequencies of data without treatment and the reduced variable. Moderate performance of SPI methods with untreated and Box Cox versus SPI-transformed data with reduced-box data transformed by Box Cox is evident in SPI-1, which shows the presence of significant variations of statistical parameters in the Norte, Costa Verde, Baixada Litor?nea e Metropolitana shortage, followed by low performance of the r2 coefficient in the ERJ regions. SPI-12 shows a significant high dispersion of the coefficient r, followed by a low to very low performance, and a low coefficient r2. This indicates poor accuracy of SPI index estimates in both methods. The EPE and RMSE errors do not present significant variations, in the durations of 1 and 12 months. A high variation of the rec coefficients with the index d in the SPI-1 month is verified, a poor performance of the methods with data without treatment and with transformed by Box Cox versus SPI with data of the reduced variable transformed by Box Cox, for the SPI-12 Was verified in the ERJ regions. The temporal / annual analyzes of SPI-1 and 12 in the regions show a high variability and greater intensity of SPI-1, unlike SPI-12. SPI-1 and SPI-12 in the regions show similarity in the behavior of SPI-1 and SPI-12, where the highest and lowest frequencies of droughts categorized as moderately, extremely and extremely dry were recorded in the 70, 80, 90, 2000 and in the period 2010/2013, except for the 60. Events of ENOS were observed in the study period. The Pettitt test identified the years of changes in the SPI-12 index, in 1977 (El Ni?o weak), 1984 (La Ni?a weak), 1989 (Neutral), 1992 (Neutral) and 2002 (Moderate El Ni?o). The prevailing category was close to normal in the Norte Fluminense, Baixadas Litor?neas and Costa Verde regions, followed in the other regions of Government in some parts (SW), (SSW) (SE) and (NE). The moderately dry category occurred in the regions, Metropolitana, Centro Sul Fluminense, M?dio Para?ba, Serrana and NoroesteFluminense, and the other parts in the (SW), (NW) and (NNE) portions of the ERJ. In short, the application of statistical, parametric and non-parametric tests, chain of markov, multivariate analysis are efficient tools in the evaluation of natural disasters in the ERJ. / H? poucos estudos baseados nas ?reas de Climatologia F?sica e Estat?stica aplicadas ao estado do Rio de Janeiro (ERJ), voltados para cat?strofes naturais (secas, enchentes e desertifica??o) baseado em dados clim?ticos e produtos orbitais. As s?ries temporais usadas foram de 47 anos (1967 a 2013) e 71 anos (1943 a 2013). oriundas de 100 esta??es pertencentes ? ANA, CPRM, INMET, SERLA e LIGHT. Estas s?ries (dados brutos) apresentavam falhas e foram preenchidas com produto 3B43 do sat?lite TRMM (1998 a 2013) e com as normais climatol?gicas do INMET (1947 a 1997). Para tanto elas foram submetidas ? an?lise descritiva, explorat?ria, testes param?tricos (Shapiro-Wilks-SW e Barlett-B), n?o param?tricos (Mann-Kendall-MK, M?todo de Sen -Se, Pettitt e SOCUM), transforma??o Box Cox e an?lise de agrupamento (AA). Al?m disso, foram usados dados mensais do Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI2) entre 2001-2012 com objetivo de verificar tend?ncia de aumento e diminui??o da vegeta??o no ERJ pelos testes n?o param?tricos e os cen?rios futuros pela Cadeia de Markov. A estimativa da temperatura m?dia mensal do ar (Tmi) no ERJ, foi baseada em s?ries observadas de rean?lises ou atrav?s da composi??o de ambas e, sendo ajustadas aos modelos de regress?o linear m?ltipla (RLM) e simples (RLS) baseado em tr?s bases: Bases 1 (Rean?lise/NCEP), 2 (INMET/NCDC) e 3 (Rean?lise/NCEP e INMET/NCDC) entre 1948 a 2015. A an?lise descritiva mostrou uma probabilidade de ocorr?ncia acima de 75%, os testes SW e B apresentaram um baixo n?vel de signific?ncia para p-valor (? < 5%) e rejeitou-se a hip?tese de normalidade e homogeneidade de vari?ncias nas esta??es. A transforma??o Box Cox foi eficaz na estabiliza??o da normalidade dos res?duos e homogeneidade de vari?ncia da s?rie temporal de chuva mensal das regi?es M?dio Para?ba e Serrana, com exce??o do Noroeste Fluminense. A alta variabilidade de ? (0,326 a 0,565) ? devido ? maioria das esta??es encontram-se na vertente da Serra do Mar voltada para o continente, onde o regime de chuva ? influenciado pela intera??o da topografia com sistemas locais e sin?ticos e tendo apenas uma esta??o na vertente da Serra do Mar voltada para o Oceano Atl?ntico com influ?ncia do ambiente costeiro e dos sistemas de mesoescala e sin?ticos, na s?rie de 71 anos. Com base na AA foram escolhidas 11 esta??es com normalidade ou homogeneidade de vari?ncia, caracterizando dois grupos homog?neos pluviom?tricos (G1 e G2) no ERJ. Para a an?lise de tend?ncia, o teste MK e m?todo Se mostraram a presen?a de tend?ncias n?o significativas de aumento das chuvas nas escalas anual e sazonal, enquanto que o Pettitt e o SOCUM foram eficientes quanto ? identifica??o dos anos de poss?veis mudan?as abruptas n?o significativas ou insignificantes na s?rie temporal de 71 anos. O teste de SOCUM identificou 39 eventos de ENOS nos grupos G1 e G2, os maiores percentuais nos eventos neutros (48,72%) e os menores nos El Ni?o moderado e La Ni?a fraca e forte (5,13%). Outro resultado encotrado foi a exist?ncia de uma tend?ncia insignificante de crescimento da vegeta??o em 75%, seguido de uma tend?ncia significativa de diminui??o em 25% das regi?es pol?ticas do ERJ. J? o teste de Pettitt mostrou a exist?ncia de mudan?as bruscas n?o significativas (NS), ambos de crescimento e diminui??o da vegeta??o em 6 regi?es e significativas (S) de diminui??o em 2 regi?es. Os progn?sticos de mudan?as com varia??o de 1 a 2 anos em intervalos constante (3 a 10 anos) foram observados em todos os cen?rios futuros. As Bases 1 e 2 apresentaram o maior n?mero de coeficientes significativos, segundo O teste F para p-valor < 0,05, com exce??o para a Base 3. A vari?vel latitude (?1) foi mais significativa, seguido da altitude (?3) em todas as Bases. Foram encontrados valores significativos de r2 (>0,80) e r (> 0,90) na Base 2 e na Base 1 com r2 (>0,50) e r (>0,70). Os modelos de RLM ajustados explicaram a maior parte da variabilidade espacial da Tmi para o ERJ, enquanto que os testes param?tricos de SW e B aplicados a s?rie temporal mensal de chuva sem tratamento e ? vari?vel reduzida a distribui??o normal padronizada a 95% de probabilidade apontaram para as hip?teses de n?o-normalidade e n?o-homogeneidade da s?rie temporal. A alta sensibilidade da s?rie temporal de chuva ao teste B foram constatada nas oito regi?es pol?ticas do ERJ, devido ao rigor do teste. Os coeficientes de lambda da transforma??o Box Cox aplicada ?s s?ries temporais mensais de chuva para dados sem tratamento e a vari?vel reduzida da distribui??o normal padronizada n?o apresentam efici?ncia na estabiliza??o da homogeneidade das vari?ncias. Confirmado pelo teste de B, em 99,58% e 100% dos eventos repetitivamente. A efici?ncia constatada apena na estabiliza??o da normalidade em 81,33% e 81,58% das frequ?ncias acumuladas mensais dos dados sem tratamento e da vari?vel reduzida. Al?m disso observa-se que o desempenho moderado dos m?todos do SPI com dados sem tratamento e com os transformados pela Box Cox versus SPI com dados da vari?vel reduzida transformada pela Box Cox fica evidente no SPI-1, que mostra a presen?a de varia??es significativas dos par?metros estat?sticos nas regi?es Norte, Costa Verde, Baixada Litor?nea e Metropolitana, seguidos de baixo desempenho do coeficiente r2 nas regi?es do ERJ. J? o SPI-12 mostrou uma alta dispers?o significativa do coeficiente r, seguido de um desempenho baixo a muito baixo, e baixos valores do coeficiente r2, indicando fraca precis?o das estimativas dos ?ndices SPI em ambos os m?todos. Os erros EPE e RMSE n?o apresentaram varia??es significativas, nas dura??es de 1 e 12 meses. Contudo costatase uma alta varia??o dos coeficientes r e c com o ?ndice d no SPI-1 m?s, ressaltasse que um p?ssimo desempenho dos m?todos com dados sem tratamento e com transformados pela Box Cox versus SPI com dados da vari?vel reduzida transformada pela Box Cox, para o SPI-12 foi verificado nas regi?es do ERJ. Al?m disso, as an?lises temporal/anual dos SPI-1 e 12 nas regi?es mostra alta variabilidade e maior intensidade do SPI-1, ao contr?rio do SPI-12. No tocante a an?lise temporal dos SPI?1 e SPI?12 nas regi?es do ERJ verifica-se similaridade quanto ao comportamento dos SPI?1 e SPI?12, onde as maiores e menores frequ?ncias de eventos de secas categorizadas como moderadamente, muito e extremamente seco foram registradas nas d?cadas 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 e no per?odo 2010/2013, com exce??o da d?cada de 1960. Eventos de ENOS foram observados no per?odo de estudo. O teste de Pettitt identificaram os anos de mudan?as do ?ndice SPI-12, em 1977 (El Ni?o fraco), 1984 (La Ni?a fraca), 1989 (Neutro), 1992 (Neutro) e 2002 (El Ni?o moderado). Prevaleceu a categoria pr?ximo ao normal nas regi?es Norte Fluminense, Baixadas Litor?neas e Costa Verde, seguido nas demais regi?es de Governo em algumas por??es (SW), (SSW) (SE) e (NE). A categoria moderadamente seca ocorreu nas regi?es, Metropolitana, Centro Sul Fluminense, M?dio Para?ba, Serrana e Noroeste Fluminense enas demais nas por??es (SW), (NW) e (NNE) do ERJ. Em suma, a aplica??o dos testes estat?sticos, param?tricos e n?o-param?tricos, cadeia de markov, an?lise multivariada s?o ferramentas eficientes na avalia??o das cat?strofes naturais no ERJ.

Submitted by Jorge Silva (jorgelmsilva@ufrrj.br) on 2017-10-17T17:01:18Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2015 - Simone Sousa Freitas Ximenes.pdf: 1055594 bytes, checksum: d8928e33a3da9ae4c522b0c8f94cfe1b (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-10-17T17:01:18Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2015 - Simone Sousa Freitas Ximenes.pdf: 1055594 bytes, checksum: d8928e33a3da9ae4c522b0c8f94cfe1b (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-08-28 / In capitalist modern society, the paradigm of separation between Humans and nature legitimized relations of domination and exploitation of natural goods, as well as human beings, understood as constituents of nature. Thus, a reflection and reorientation is needed about these practices in a context marked by the crisis, involving coordination with the production of meanings about environmental education. Among the current strategies to address environmental issues, the creation of conservation units (CU) has acted as an important tool for the protection of natural goods and ecosystem functions, but also represents important areas for the maintenance of socio-cultural diversity. From that look, this study approach the environmental interpretation, understood as an instrument within the environmental education practices developed within the conservation units, seeking interlocution with the critical perspective. Thus, environmental interpretation can be worked broadly, considering whole the process of communication and rapprochement between the protected area and society. Considering the complexity of themes approached in the educational practices, evaluation the impact of its activities has been set up as a challenge, is the inadequacy of traditional evaluation tools or absence of specific instruments. Considering the context presented, this research seeks to support the development and monitoring of environmental interpretation projects in conservation units from the perspective of the critical environmental education. For this, was conducted an analysis of bibliographic references about the environmental interpretation themes in protected areas, and analysis of secondary data research seeking to understand the impact of environmental interpretation projects. Furthermore, considering the importance of purposeful analysis to management were established interlocutions with CU managers to raise collectively, the views and recommendations for the elaboration and monitoring of environmental interpretation projects in conservation units. One of the products of this research consists of a table with the analysis of secondary data, organized in relation to the objectives of the research, audience involved, location, evaluation tools and conclusions. In addition to this analytical table, was elaborated a document with suggestions and guidelines for planning and monitoring of environmental interpretation projects in conservation units. This result seeks to demonstrate the environmental interpretation as a relevant instrument in the context of environmental education practices in conservation unit, strengthening its educational component, favoring the questioning about the function of these areas and the role of society in intervention in certain reality. / Na sociedade moderna capitalista, o paradigma de separa??o entre ser humano e natureza legitimou rela??es de domina??o e explora??o dos bens naturais, assim como dos seres humanos, entendidos como constituintes da natureza. Com isso, ? necess?ria uma reflex?o e reorienta??o sobre essas pr?ticas em um contexto marcado pela crise ambiental, envolvendo a articula??o com a produ??o de sentidos sobre a educa??o ambiental. Dentre as estrat?gias atuais para enfrentar a problem?tica ambiental, a cria??o de unidades de conserva??o (UC) tem funcionado como um instrumento relevante para prote??o de bens naturais e fun??es ecossist?micas, como tamb?m representam ?reas importantes para a manuten??o da diversidade sociocultural. A partir desse olhar, o presente estudo aborda a interpreta??o ambiental, entendida como um instrumento no ?mbito das pr?ticas de educa??o ambiental, desenvolvidas junto ?s unidades de conserva??o, buscando a interlocu??o com a perspectiva cr?tica. Assim, a interpreta??o ambiental pode ser trabalhada de maneira ampla, considerando todo o processo de comunica??o e aproxima??o entre a unidade de conserva??o e a sociedade. Considerando a complexidade de tem?ticas abordadas nas pr?ticas educativas, a avalia??o do impacto de suas atividades tem se configurado como um desafio, seja pela inadequa??o dos instrumentos avaliativos tradicionais ou pela aus?ncia de instrumentos espec?ficos. Considerando o contexto apresentado, esta pesquisa busca subsidiar a elabora??o e o monitoramento de projetos de interpreta??o ambiental em unidades de conserva??o a partir da perspectiva cr?tica da educa??o ambiental. Para isso, foi realizado um levantamento e an?lise de referencial bibliogr?fico sobre a tem?tica de interpreta??o ambiental em ?reas protegidas, e an?lise de dados secund?rios sobre pesquisas que buscam compreender o impacto dos projetos de interpreta??o ambiental. Al?m disso, considerando a import?ncia da an?lise propositiva para gest?o foram estabelecidas interlocu??es com gestores de UC para identificar, de forma coletiva, a opini?o e as recomenda??es para a elabora??o e monitoramento de projetos de interpreta??o ambiental em unidade de conserva??o. Um dos produtos dessa pesquisa consiste em um quadro com a an?lise de dados secund?rios, organizado em rela??o aos objetivos das pesquisas, p?blico envolvido, localiza??o, ferramentas de avalia??o e conclus?es. Al?m desse quadro anal?tico, foi elaborado um documento com sugest?es e orienta??es para o planejamento e monitoramento de projetos de interpreta??o ambiental em unidades de conserva??o. Este resultado busca evidenciar a interpreta??o ambiental como um instrumento relevante no ?mbito das pr?ticas de educa??o ambiental em unidade de conserva??o, refor?ando o seu componente educativo ao favorecer a problematiza??o sobre a fun??o dessas ?reas e o papel da sociedade na interven??o em determinada realidade.