PhD / Introduction Kidney transplantation confers both survival and quality of life advantages over dialysis for most people with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The mortality rate on dialysis is 10-15% per year, compared with 2-4% per year post-transplantation. Short-term graft survival is related to control of the acute rejection process, requiring on-going immunosuppression. Most current immunosuppressive algorithms include one of the calcineurin inhibitors (CNI: cyclosporin or tacrolimus), an anti-metabolite (azathioprine or mycophenolate) and corticosteroids, with or without antibody induction agents (Ab) given briefly peri-transplantation. Despite this approach, between 15-35% of recipients undergo treatment for an episode of acute rejection (AR) within one year of transplantation. Transplantation is not without risk, and relative mortality rates for kidney recipients after the first post-transplant year remain 4-6 times that of the general population. Longer-term transplant and recipient survival are related to control of chronic allograft nephropathy (rooted in the interplay of AR, non-immunological factors, and the chronic nephrotoxicity of CNI) and limitation of the complications of chronic ESKD and long-term immunosuppression: cardiovascular disease, cancer and infection, which are responsible for 22%, 39% and 21% of deaths respectively. This thesis is presented as published works on the theme of immunosuppression and cancer after kidney transplantation. The work presented in the first chapters of this thesis has striven to identify, evaluate, synthesise and distil the entirety of evidence available of new and established immunosuppressive drug agents through systematic review of randomised trial data, with particular emphasis on quantifying harms of treatment. The final chapters use inception cohort data from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), which is first validated then used to explore the risk of cancer in more detail than was possible from trial data alone. Interleukin 2 receptor antagonists Interleukin-2 receptor antagonists (IL2Ra, commercially available as basiliximab and daclizumab) are humanised or chimeric IgG monoclonal antibodies to the alpha subunit of the IL2 receptor present only on activated T lymphocytes, and the rationale for their use has been as induction agents peri-transplantation. Introduced in the mid-1990s, IL2Ra use has increased globally, and by 2003 38% of new kidney transplant recipients in the United States and 25% in Australasia received an IL2Ra. This study aimed to systematically identify and synthesise the evidence of effects of IL2Ra as an addition to standard therapy, or as an alternative to other induction agents. We identified 117 reports from 38 randomised trials involving 4893 participants. Where IL2Ra were compared with placebo (17 trials; 2786 patients), graft loss was not different at one (Relative Risk -RR 0.84; 0.64 to 1.10) or 3 years (RR 1.08; 0.71 to1.64). AR was reduced at 6 months (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) and at 1 year (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) but cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease (RR 0.82; CI 0.65 to 1.03) and malignancy (RR 0.67; 0.33 to1.36) were not different. Where IL2Ra were compared with other antibody therapy no significant differences in treatment effects were demonstrated, but IL2Ra had significantly fewer side effects. Given a 40% risk of rejection, 7 patients would need treatment with IL2Ra in addition to standard therapy, to prevent 1 patient having rejection, with no definite improvement in graft or patient survival. There was no apparent difference between basiliximab and daclizumab. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporin for primary immunosuppression There are pronounced global differences in CNI use; 63% of new kidney transplant recipients in the USA but only 22% in Australia receive tacrolimus as part of the initial immunosuppressive regimen. The side effects of CNI differ: tacrolimus is associated more with diabetes and neurotoxicity, but less with hypertension and dyslipidaemia than cyclosporin, with uncertainty about equivalence of nephrotoxicity or how these relate to patient and graft survival, or impact on patient compliance and quality of life. This study aimed to systematically review and synthesise the positive and negative effects of tacrolimus and cyclosporin as initial therapy for renal transplant recipients. We identified 123 reports from 30 randomised trials involving 4102 participants. At 6 months graft loss was reduced in tacrolimus-treated recipients (RR 0•56; 0•36 to 0•86), and this effect persisted for 3 years. The relative reduction in graft loss with tacrolimus diminished with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.04), but did not vary with cyclosporin formulation (P=0.97) or cyclosporin level (P=0.38). At 1 year, tacrolimus patients suffered less AR (RR 0•69; 0•60 to 0•79), and less steroid-resistant AR (RR 0•49; 0•37 to 0•64), but more insulin-requiring diabetes (RR 1•86; 1•11 to 3•09), tremor, headache, diarrhoea, dyspepsia and vomiting. The relative excess in diabetes increased with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.003). Cyclosporin-treated recipients experienced significantly more constipation and cosmetic side-effects. We demonstrated no differences in infection or malignancy. Treating 100 recipients with tacrolimus instead of cyclosporin for the 1st year post-transplantation avoids 12 suffering acute rejection and 2 losing their graft but causes an extra 5 to become insulin dependent diabetics, thus optimal drug choice may vary among patients. Target of rapamycin inhibitors for primary immunosuppression Target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I) are among the newest immunosuppressive agents and have a novel mode of action but uncertain clinical role. Sirolimus is a macrocyclic lactone antibiotic and everolimus is a derivative of sirolimus. Both prevent DNA synthesis resulting in arrest of the cell cycle. Animal models suggested TOR-I would provide synergistic immunosuppression when combined with CNI, but early clinical studies demonstrated synergistic nephrotoxicity. Since then diverse trials have explored strategies that avoid this interaction and investigated other potential benefits. The aim of this study was to systematically identify and synthesise available evidence of sirolimus and everolimus when used in initial immunosuppressive regimens for kidney recipients. We identified 142 reports from 33 randomised trials involving 7114 participants, with TOR-I evaluated in four different primary immunosuppressive algorithms: as replacement for CNI, as replacement for antimetabolites, in combination with CNI at low and high dose, and with variable dose of CNI. When TOR-I replaced CNI (8 trials, 750 participants), there was no difference in AR (RR 1.03; 0.74 to 1.44), but creatinine was lower (WMD -18.31 umol/l; -30.96 to -5.67), and bone marrow more suppressed (leucopoenia RR 2.02; 1.12 to 3.66, thrombocytopenia RR 6.97; 2.97 to 16.36, anaemia RR 1.67; 1.27 to 2.20). When TOR-I replaced antimetabolites (11 trials, 3966 participants), AR and CMV were reduced (RR 0.84; 0.71 to 0.99 and RR 0.49; 0.37 to 0.65) but hypercholesterolaemia was increased (RR 1.65; 1.32 to 2.06). When low was compared to high-dose TOR-I, with equal CNI dose (10 trials, 3175 participants), AR was increased (RR 1.23; 1.06 to 1.43) but GFR higher (WMD 4.27 ml/min; 1.12 to 7.41). When low-dose TOR-I and standard-dose CNI were compared to higher-dose TOR-I and reduced CNI AR was reduced (RR 0.67; 0.52 to 0.88), but GFR also reduced (WMD -9.46 ml/min; -12.16 to -6.76). There was no significant difference in mortality, graft loss or malignancy risk demonstrated for TOR-I in any comparison. Generally surrogate endpoints for graft survival favoured TOR-I (lower risk of acute rejection and higher GFR) and surrogate endpoints for patient outcomes were worsened by TOR-I (bone marrow suppression, lipid disturbance). Long-term hard-endpoint data from methodologically robust randomised trials are still needed. Monoclonal and polyclonal antibody therapy for treating acute rejection Strategies for treating AR include pulsed steroids, an antibody (Ab) preparation, the alteration of background immunosuppression, or combinations of these options. In 2002, in the USA 61.4% of patients with AR received steroids, 20.4% received Ab and 18.2% received both. The Ab available for AR are not new: horse and rabbit derived polyclonal antibodies (ATG and ALG) have been used for 35 years, and a mouse monoclonal antibody (muromonab-CD3) became available in the late 1980s. These preparations remove the functional T-cell population from circulation, producing powerful saturation immunosuppression which is useful for AR but which may be complicated by immediate toxicity and higher rates of infection and malignancy. The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate and synthesise all evidence available to clinicians for treating AR in kidney recipients. We identified 49 reports from 21 randomised trials involving 1394 participants. Outcome measures were inconsistent and incompletely defined across trials. Fourteen trials (965 patients) compared therapies for 1st AR episodes (8 Ab versus steroid, 2 Ab versus another Ab, 4 other comparisons). In treating first rejection, Ab was better than steroid in reversing AR (RR 0.57; CI 0.38 to 0.87) and preventing graft loss (RR 0.74; CI 0.58 to 0.95) but there was no difference in preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.67; CI 0.43 to 1.04) or death (RR 1.16; CI 0.57 to 2.33) at 1 year. Seven trials (422 patients) investigated Ab treatment of steroid-resistant rejection (4 Ab vs another Ab, 1 different doses Ab, 1 different formulation Ab, 2 other comparisons). There was no benefit of muromonab-CD3 over ATG or ALG in reversing rejection (RR 1.32; CI 0.33 to 5.28), preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.99; CI 0.61 to 1.59), graft loss (RR 1.80; CI 0.29 to 11.23) or death (RR 0.39; CI 0.09 to 1.65). Given the clinical problem caused by AR, comparable data are sparse, and clinically important differences in outcomes between widely used interventions have not been excluded. Standardised reproducible outcome criteria are needed. Validity of cancer data in an end stage kidney disease registry Registries vary in whether the data they collect are given voluntarily or as a requirement of law, the completeness of population coverage, the breadth of data collected and whether data are assembled directly or indirectly through linkage to other databases. Data quality is crucial but difficult to measure objectively. Formal audit of ANZDATA cancer records has not previously taken place. The aim of this study was to assess agreement of records of incident cancer diagnoses held in ANZDATA (voluntary reporting system) with those reported under statute to the New South Wales (NSW) state Central Cancer Registry (CCR), to explore the strengths and weaknesses of both reporting systems, and to measure the impact of any disagreement on results of cancer analyses. From 1980-2001, 9453 residents received dialysis or transplantation in NSW. Records from ANZDATA registrants were linked to CCR using probabilistic matching and agreement between registries for patients with 1 or more cancers, all cancers and site-specific cancer was estimated using the kappa-statistic (κ). ANZDATA recorded 867 cancers in 779 (8.2%) registrants; CCR 867 cancers in 788 (8.3%), with κ =0.76. ANZDATA had sensitivity 77.3% (CI 74.2 to 80.2), specificity 98.1% (CI 97.7 to 98.3) if CCR records were regarded as the reference standard. Agreement was similar for diagnoses whilst receiving dialysis (κ =0.78) or after transplantation (κ =0.79), but varied by cancer type. Melanoma (κ =0.61) and myeloma (κ =0.47) were less good; lymphoma (κ =0.80), leukaemia (κ =0.86) and breast cancer (κ =0.85) were very good. Artefact accounted for 20.8% non-concordance but error and misclassification did occur in both registries. Cancer risk did not differ in any important way whether estimated using ANZDATA or CCR records. Quality of cancer records in ANZDATA are high, differences largely explicable, and seem unlikely to alter results of analyses. Risk of cancer after kidney transplantation Existing data on the magnitude of excess risk of cancer across different kidney recipient groups are sparse. Quantifying an individual transplant candidate’s cancer risk informs both pre-transplant counselling, treatment decisions and has implications for monitoring, screening and follow-up after transplantation. The aims of this study were firstly to establish the risk of cancer in the post-transplant population compared to that experienced by the general population, and secondly to quantify how excess risk varied within the transplanted population, seeking to establish meaningful absolute risk estimates for post-transplant cancer based on unalterable recipient characteristics known a priori at the time of transplantation. 15,183 residents of Australia and New Zealand had a transplant between 1963 and 2004, and were followed for a median of 7.2 years (130,186 person-years), with 1642 (10.8%) developing cancer. Overall, kidney recipients had 3 times the cancer risk, with risk inversely related to age (Standardised Incidence Ratio of 15 to 30 in children reducing to 2 in people > 65 years). Female recipients aged 25 -29 had rates of cancer (779.2/100,000) equivalent to women aged 55 - 59 from the general population. The risk pattern of lymphoma, colorectal and breast cancer was similar to the overall age trend, melanoma showed less variability across ages and prostate cancer showed no risk increase. Within the transplanted population cancer risk was affected by age differently for each sex (P=0.007), and was elevated for recipients with prior non-skin malignancy (Hazard Ratio: HR 1.40; 1.03 to 1.89), of white race (HR 1.36; 1.12 to 1.89), but reduced for those with diabetic ESKD (HR 0.67; 0.50 to 0.89) Rates of cancer in kidney recipients were similar to non-transplanted people 20 -30 years older, but risk differed across patient groups. Men aged 45 - 54 at transplantation with graft function at 10 years had a risk of cancer that varied from 1 in 13 (non-white, diabetic ESKD, no prior cancer) to 1 in 5 (white, prior cancer, ESKD from other causes).

PhD / Introduction Kidney transplantation confers both survival and quality of life advantages over dialysis for most people with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The mortality rate on dialysis is 10-15% per year, compared with 2-4% per year post-transplantation. Short-term graft survival is related to control of the acute rejection process, requiring on-going immunosuppression. Most current immunosuppressive algorithms include one of the calcineurin inhibitors (CNI: cyclosporin or tacrolimus), an anti-metabolite (azathioprine or mycophenolate) and corticosteroids, with or without antibody induction agents (Ab) given briefly peri-transplantation. Despite this approach, between 15-35% of recipients undergo treatment for an episode of acute rejection (AR) within one year of transplantation. Transplantation is not without risk, and relative mortality rates for kidney recipients after the first post-transplant year remain 4-6 times that of the general population. Longer-term transplant and recipient survival are related to control of chronic allograft nephropathy (rooted in the interplay of AR, non-immunological factors, and the chronic nephrotoxicity of CNI) and limitation of the complications of chronic ESKD and long-term immunosuppression: cardiovascular disease, cancer and infection, which are responsible for 22%, 39% and 21% of deaths respectively. This thesis is presented as published works on the theme of immunosuppression and cancer after kidney transplantation. The work presented in the first chapters of this thesis has striven to identify, evaluate, synthesise and distil the entirety of evidence available of new and established immunosuppressive drug agents through systematic review of randomised trial data, with particular emphasis on quantifying harms of treatment. The final chapters use inception cohort data from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), which is first validated then used to explore the risk of cancer in more detail than was possible from trial data alone. Interleukin 2 receptor antagonists Interleukin-2 receptor antagonists (IL2Ra, commercially available as basiliximab and daclizumab) are humanised or chimeric IgG monoclonal antibodies to the alpha subunit of the IL2 receptor present only on activated T lymphocytes, and the rationale for their use has been as induction agents peri-transplantation. Introduced in the mid-1990s, IL2Ra use has increased globally, and by 2003 38% of new kidney transplant recipients in the United States and 25% in Australasia received an IL2Ra. This study aimed to systematically identify and synthesise the evidence of effects of IL2Ra as an addition to standard therapy, or as an alternative to other induction agents. We identified 117 reports from 38 randomised trials involving 4893 participants. Where IL2Ra were compared with placebo (17 trials; 2786 patients), graft loss was not different at one (Relative Risk -RR 0.84; 0.64 to 1.10) or 3 years (RR 1.08; 0.71 to1.64). AR was reduced at 6 months (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) and at 1 year (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) but cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease (RR 0.82; CI 0.65 to 1.03) and malignancy (RR 0.67; 0.33 to1.36) were not different. Where IL2Ra were compared with other antibody therapy no significant differences in treatment effects were demonstrated, but IL2Ra had significantly fewer side effects. Given a 40% risk of rejection, 7 patients would need treatment with IL2Ra in addition to standard therapy, to prevent 1 patient having rejection, with no definite improvement in graft or patient survival. There was no apparent difference between basiliximab and daclizumab. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporin for primary immunosuppression There are pronounced global differences in CNI use; 63% of new kidney transplant recipients in the USA but only 22% in Australia receive tacrolimus as part of the initial immunosuppressive regimen. The side effects of CNI differ: tacrolimus is associated more with diabetes and neurotoxicity, but less with hypertension and dyslipidaemia than cyclosporin, with uncertainty about equivalence of nephrotoxicity or how these relate to patient and graft survival, or impact on patient compliance and quality of life. This study aimed to systematically review and synthesise the positive and negative effects of tacrolimus and cyclosporin as initial therapy for renal transplant recipients. We identified 123 reports from 30 randomised trials involving 4102 participants. At 6 months graft loss was reduced in tacrolimus-treated recipients (RR 0•56; 0•36 to 0•86), and this effect persisted for 3 years. The relative reduction in graft loss with tacrolimus diminished with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.04), but did not vary with cyclosporin formulation (P=0.97) or cyclosporin level (P=0.38). At 1 year, tacrolimus patients suffered less AR (RR 0•69; 0•60 to 0•79), and less steroid-resistant AR (RR 0•49; 0•37 to 0•64), but more insulin-requiring diabetes (RR 1•86; 1•11 to 3•09), tremor, headache, diarrhoea, dyspepsia and vomiting. The relative excess in diabetes increased with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.003). Cyclosporin-treated recipients experienced significantly more constipation and cosmetic side-effects. We demonstrated no differences in infection or malignancy. Treating 100 recipients with tacrolimus instead of cyclosporin for the 1st year post-transplantation avoids 12 suffering acute rejection and 2 losing their graft but causes an extra 5 to become insulin dependent diabetics, thus optimal drug choice may vary among patients. Target of rapamycin inhibitors for primary immunosuppression Target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I) are among the newest immunosuppressive agents and have a novel mode of action but uncertain clinical role. Sirolimus is a macrocyclic lactone antibiotic and everolimus is a derivative of sirolimus. Both prevent DNA synthesis resulting in arrest of the cell cycle. Animal models suggested TOR-I would provide synergistic immunosuppression when combined with CNI, but early clinical studies demonstrated synergistic nephrotoxicity. Since then diverse trials have explored strategies that avoid this interaction and investigated other potential benefits. The aim of this study was to systematically identify and synthesise available evidence of sirolimus and everolimus when used in initial immunosuppressive regimens for kidney recipients. We identified 142 reports from 33 randomised trials involving 7114 participants, with TOR-I evaluated in four different primary immunosuppressive algorithms: as replacement for CNI, as replacement for antimetabolites, in combination with CNI at low and high dose, and with variable dose of CNI. When TOR-I replaced CNI (8 trials, 750 participants), there was no difference in AR (RR 1.03; 0.74 to 1.44), but creatinine was lower (WMD -18.31 umol/l; -30.96 to -5.67), and bone marrow more suppressed (leucopoenia RR 2.02; 1.12 to 3.66, thrombocytopenia RR 6.97; 2.97 to 16.36, anaemia RR 1.67; 1.27 to 2.20). When TOR-I replaced antimetabolites (11 trials, 3966 participants), AR and CMV were reduced (RR 0.84; 0.71 to 0.99 and RR 0.49; 0.37 to 0.65) but hypercholesterolaemia was increased (RR 1.65; 1.32 to 2.06). When low was compared to high-dose TOR-I, with equal CNI dose (10 trials, 3175 participants), AR was increased (RR 1.23; 1.06 to 1.43) but GFR higher (WMD 4.27 ml/min; 1.12 to 7.41). When low-dose TOR-I and standard-dose CNI were compared to higher-dose TOR-I and reduced CNI AR was reduced (RR 0.67; 0.52 to 0.88), but GFR also reduced (WMD -9.46 ml/min; -12.16 to -6.76). There was no significant difference in mortality, graft loss or malignancy risk demonstrated for TOR-I in any comparison. Generally surrogate endpoints for graft survival favoured TOR-I (lower risk of acute rejection and higher GFR) and surrogate endpoints for patient outcomes were worsened by TOR-I (bone marrow suppression, lipid disturbance). Long-term hard-endpoint data from methodologically robust randomised trials are still needed. Monoclonal and polyclonal antibody therapy for treating acute rejection Strategies for treating AR include pulsed steroids, an antibody (Ab) preparation, the alteration of background immunosuppression, or combinations of these options. In 2002, in the USA 61.4% of patients with AR received steroids, 20.4% received Ab and 18.2% received both. The Ab available for AR are not new: horse and rabbit derived polyclonal antibodies (ATG and ALG) have been used for 35 years, and a mouse monoclonal antibody (muromonab-CD3) became available in the late 1980s. These preparations remove the functional T-cell population from circulation, producing powerful saturation immunosuppression which is useful for AR but which may be complicated by immediate toxicity and higher rates of infection and malignancy. The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate and synthesise all evidence available to clinicians for treating AR in kidney recipients. We identified 49 reports from 21 randomised trials involving 1394 participants. Outcome measures were inconsistent and incompletely defined across trials. Fourteen trials (965 patients) compared therapies for 1st AR episodes (8 Ab versus steroid, 2 Ab versus another Ab, 4 other comparisons). In treating first rejection, Ab was better than steroid in reversing AR (RR 0.57; CI 0.38 to 0.87) and preventing graft loss (RR 0.74; CI 0.58 to 0.95) but there was no difference in preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.67; CI 0.43 to 1.04) or death (RR 1.16; CI 0.57 to 2.33) at 1 year. Seven trials (422 patients) investigated Ab treatment of steroid-resistant rejection (4 Ab vs another Ab, 1 different doses Ab, 1 different formulation Ab, 2 other comparisons). There was no benefit of muromonab-CD3 over ATG or ALG in reversing rejection (RR 1.32; CI 0.33 to 5.28), preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.99; CI 0.61 to 1.59), graft loss (RR 1.80; CI 0.29 to 11.23) or death (RR 0.39; CI 0.09 to 1.65). Given the clinical problem caused by AR, comparable data are sparse, and clinically important differences in outcomes between widely used interventions have not been excluded. Standardised reproducible outcome criteria are needed. Validity of cancer data in an end stage kidney disease registry Registries vary in whether the data they collect are given voluntarily or as a requirement of law, the completeness of population coverage, the breadth of data collected and whether data are assembled directly or indirectly through linkage to other databases. Data quality is crucial but difficult to measure objectively. Formal audit of ANZDATA cancer records has not previously taken place. The aim of this study was to assess agreement of records of incident cancer diagnoses held in ANZDATA (voluntary reporting system) with those reported under statute to the New South Wales (NSW) state Central Cancer Registry (CCR), to explore the strengths and weaknesses of both reporting systems, and to measure the impact of any disagreement on results of cancer analyses. From 1980-2001, 9453 residents received dialysis or transplantation in NSW. Records from ANZDATA registrants were linked to CCR using probabilistic matching and agreement between registries for patients with 1 or more cancers, all cancers and site-specific cancer was estimated using the kappa-statistic (κ). ANZDATA recorded 867 cancers in 779 (8.2%) registrants; CCR 867 cancers in 788 (8.3%), with κ =0.76. ANZDATA had sensitivity 77.3% (CI 74.2 to 80.2), specificity 98.1% (CI 97.7 to 98.3) if CCR records were regarded as the reference standard. Agreement was similar for diagnoses whilst receiving dialysis (κ =0.78) or after transplantation (κ =0.79), but varied by cancer type. Melanoma (κ =0.61) and myeloma (κ =0.47) were less good; lymphoma (κ =0.80), leukaemia (κ =0.86) and breast cancer (κ =0.85) were very good. Artefact accounted for 20.8% non-concordance but error and misclassification did occur in both registries. Cancer risk did not differ in any important way whether estimated using ANZDATA or CCR records. Quality of cancer records in ANZDATA are high, differences largely explicable, and seem unlikely to alter results of analyses. Risk of cancer after kidney transplantation Existing data on the magnitude of excess risk of cancer across different kidney recipient groups are sparse. Quantifying an individual transplant candidate’s cancer risk informs both pre-transplant counselling, treatment decisions and has implications for monitoring, screening and follow-up after transplantation. The aims of this study were firstly to establish the risk of cancer in the post-transplant population compared to that experienced by the general population, and secondly to quantify how excess risk varied within the transplanted population, seeking to establish meaningful absolute risk estimates for post-transplant cancer based on unalterable recipient characteristics known a priori at the time of transplantation. 15,183 residents of Australia and New Zealand had a transplant between 1963 and 2004, and were followed for a median of 7.2 years (130,186 person-years), with 1642 (10.8%) developing cancer. Overall, kidney recipients had 3 times the cancer risk, with risk inversely related to age (Standardised Incidence Ratio of 15 to 30 in children reducing to 2 in people > 65 years). Female recipients aged 25 -29 had rates of cancer (779.2/100,000) equivalent to women aged 55 - 59 from the general population. The risk pattern of lymphoma, colorectal and breast cancer was similar to the overall age trend, melanoma showed less variability across ages and prostate cancer showed no risk increase. Within the transplanted population cancer risk was affected by age differently for each sex (P=0.007), and was elevated for recipients with prior non-skin malignancy (Hazard Ratio: HR 1.40; 1.03 to 1.89), of white race (HR 1.36; 1.12 to 1.89), but reduced for those with diabetic ESKD (HR 0.67; 0.50 to 0.89) Rates of cancer in kidney recipients were similar to non-transplanted people 20 -30 years older, but risk differed across patient groups. Men aged 45 - 54 at transplantation with graft function at 10 years had a risk of cancer that varied from 1 in 13 (non-white, diabetic ESKD, no prior cancer) to 1 in 5 (white, prior cancer, ESKD from other causes).

In Taiwan, the nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and chronic renal failure are occupied the eighth of compatriot's ten major causes of the death; Due to medical improvement in recent years, end stage renal disease with long term hemodialysis patients were increasing day by day, the dialysis cost also go up year by year. According to the statesment of Bureau of National Health Insurance, the whole Taiwan dialysis patients were about 50,000 persons, expensed 28,100 million dollars in one year , each dialysis patient expense 600,000 dollars every year on average, it is the first of clinical expenses . In recent years, the dialysis suppliers get involved in the business of the dialysis clinics, they already were not only the large international factory for selling dialysis material, but also get involved in dialysis clinics about dealing , buying and combining resources, so the dialysis clinics form the two kinds of different manageable type :dialysis supplier and independent operator. This research was cross- sectional study and divided dialysis clinics into dialysis supplier and independent operator, the study choose the different kinds of dialysis clinic patients as samples from Kaohsiung and Pingtung area and carry on the interview of questionnaire by the bedside. Through analyzing the patient¡¦s idiosyncrasy, affect patients in choosing health care providers, patient's satisfaction, life quality, life impact after kidney disease and paying medical care quality indicator of dialysis clinics (average serum albumin with the whole people's clinic of health insurance, dialysis efficiency equally to life), probe into the difference between two kinds of different manageable type of dialysis clinics. The descriptive statistical analysis, explored factor analysis, dependent sample analysis of variance, independent sample analysis of variance and Pearson product-moment correlation analysis, etc. method were employed as statistical analysis. The result of study found, the top five expected satisfaction level of hemodialysis patient were avablility to the peritoneum dialysis service, avablility to consultation of kidney transplantation , medicine safe to value , nutritionist for diets consultation , the availability of nephrology specialists , the expected satisfaction level relatively lean to the professional service , but patient satisfaction relatively lean to the hardware service actually. The whole satisfaction of independent operator in the operation service , professional service , extra service , public relations , geographical position are all superior to dialysis suppliers. The dialysis supplier was superior to the independent operator only in the hardware service. Through this research, hope to make the officer in dialysis center, realize the demand of patients,and offer better service as improving direction in medical quality.

The incidence of hypocalcemia and bone mineral density (BMD) changes in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on denosumab remains unclear. We performed this meta-analysis to assess the incidence of denosumab-associated hypocalcemia and effects of denosumab on BMD in ESRD patients. A literature search was conducted using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Database from inception through November 2017 to identify studies evaluating incidence of denosumab-associated hypocalcemia and changes in serum calcium, phosphate, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), parathyroid hormone (PTH), and BMD from baseline to post-treatment course of denosumab in ESRD patients. Study results were pooled and analyzed using a random-effect model. The protocol for this meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews; no. CRD42017081074). Six observational studies with a total of 84 ESRD patients were enrolled. The pooled estimated incidence of hypocalcemia during denosumab treatment was 42% (95% CI 29–55%, I2 = 0%). Hypocalcemia occurred approximately 7 to 20 days after the first dose and reached nadir of low calcium levels in the first 2 weeks up to 2 months. However, there were no significant changes in serum calcium or phosphate from baseline to post-treatment course (≥ 3 months after treatment) with mean differences [MDs] of 0.20 mg/dL (95% CI, − 0.30 to 0.69 mg/dL) and − 0.10 mg/dL (95% CI, − 0.70 to 0.49 mg/dL). There were significant reductions in ALP and PTH levels with standardized mean differences (SMDs) of − 0.65 (95% CI − 1.13 to − 0.16) and − 1.89 (95% CI − 3.44 to − 0.34), respectively. There were significant increases in T-scores with MDs of 0.39 (95% CI 0.10 to 0.69) and 0.79 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.98) for lumbar spine and femoral neck, respectively. Our study demonstrates the estimated incidence of denosumab-associated hypocalcemia in dialysis patients of 42%. From baseline to post-treatment course, although there are no differences in serum calcium and phosphate, our findings suggest significant reductions in ALP and PTH and a significant increase in BMD. Currently, denosumab should not be considered as the treatment of choice in ESRD patients until more safety and efficacy data are available.

The worldwide population of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is growing, with estimated prevalence at 12-15% of adults. Of particular concern are those with late stage CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)of less than 30 ml/min/1.73m2, as they are susceptible to the highest risk of adverse outcomes such as progression to end stage kidney disease (ESKD), cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality (1, 2). As such, late stage CKD patients are often managed in specialized clinics with set clinical targets, standardized education and multi-disciplinary care(3). A key clinical target for therapeutic intervention and prevention of the progression of CKD is blood pressure (BP) reduction(4). Yet, multiple relevant questions remain regarding the strength and nature of association of BP with clinical outcomes in late stage CKD. As the risks of hypotension-related complications are high in late stage CKD, it remains unclear whether strict BP control delays CKD progression in a real world clinic population(5). Furthermore, it is unclear how to appropriately specify the nature of the longitudinal association between BP and clinical outcomes of ESKD and mortality. The overall objective of this thesis is to examine the longitudinal association of BP and adverse clinical outcomes in a cohort of 1203 patients (mean eGFR 17.8 ml/min/1.73m2; mean of 6.7 BP measures per patient) with late stage CKD. In our first paper we examined the association of repeat measures of BP with CKD progression, defined as a decline in eGFR. When modeling eGFR using longitudinal linear regression, we found that its over-time trajectory was non-linear and that this trajectory was modified by BP; thus, we found a significant time-dependant association between BP and eGFR. When modeling time to eGFR decline ≥ 30% using Cox proportional hazards regression with categorized BP specified as a time-dependent exposure, BP was significantly associated with risk of eGFR decline; in particular, extremes of low and high systolic blood pressure (SBP) and high diastolic blood pressure (DBP) significantly increased the risk of eGFR decline. In our second paper, we examined different methods of modelling longitudinal BP and its association with time to mortality and ESKD. We found that elevations in SBP and DBP, in particular, when expressed as current (most recent visit), lag (previous visit), and cumulative exposure were significantly associated with increased risk of ESKD while low SBP (current, lag and cumulative exposure) was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality. Baseline BP measures were not statistically significantly associated with any outcomes. In patients with more moderate ranges of SBP (121-140) or DBP (60-85) at baseline, a subsequent rise to >160 or > 85 respectively, was associated with an increased risk of ESKD. Thus, longitudinal BP measures in late-stage CKD are significantly associated with adverse outcomes and convey important information beyond baseline BP measures.

End-stage renal disease (ESRD), or kidney failure, is a serious illness with significant health consequences and high-cost treatment options. Since the early 1980s, the number of Canadians with ESRD has more than quadrupled (CIHI, 2001), leading to questions about the current and future impact of the disease on public health, quality of life, health spending, and patients’ productivity. Using an economic burden of illness approach, this thesis estimates ESRD’s “direct” health care costs and “indirect” costs, such as productivity losses due to premature death and short- and long-term disability. It also projects future results under various alternative assumptions using a multi-state discrete time Markov model. The analysis suggests that, although less than 0.1% of Canadians have ESRD, it generated direct health care costs of $1.3 billion in 2000 or $51,099 per person with ESRD. That compares to $3,183 per capita for Canadians overall (CIHI, 2002b). Adding indirect morbidity and mortality costs brings the total to $1.9 billion. Rising ESRD numbers suggest higher costs in the future. Further analysis explored the effect of various assumptions about drivers of past trends, such as population growth, changes in the age structure, and the prevalence of conditions known to cause ESRD (e.g. diabetes). Projections were most sensitive to assumptions about the rate at which new cases are diagnosed. If current trends continue, the total economic burden of the disease can be expected to reach $7.9 billion by 2015 (year 2000 dollars). On the other hand, if the rate of new cases in 2000 were maintained, the economic burden of illness would be $5.7 billion in 2015. Nevertheless, under this and many other assumptions, there is likely to be a significant gap between available organs for transplant and the demand for transplantation. The likely effects of various options for addressing this gap are also explored. / Thesis / Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

<p>  </p> <p>This research evaluates Kidney Health Initiative's (KHI)   four kidney replacement therapy (KRT) technology priority groups in the roadmap:</p> <p>1) Literature review of technology citations for each of the four KHI priority groups for safety and efficacy data with a patient centered focus. Additionally, the incorporation and integration of KHI minimum technical design criteria in six areas into the development process.</p> <p>2) Clinical PICO analysis of the critical clinical outcomes that the discovery and innovation from the specific technology priority group addresses</p> <p>3) Critical evaluation of KRT technologies on patients with ESKD by expert clinicians and scientists in KRT through Delphi method with targeted questionnaires</p>

Les modalités de dialyse à domicile, soit la dialyse péritonéale (DP) et l’hémodialyse à domicile (HDD), offrent plusieurs avantages aux patients avec insuffisance rénale terminale (IRT), que ce soit par rapport à la qualité de vie ou à une diminution des complications liées à l’IRT. Peu de données sont toutefois disponibles quant aux répercussions cliniques de l’initiation de la thérapie de suppléance rénale via la DP ou l’HDD et de l’optimisation subséquente du traitement à domicile. Le présent mémoire visait donc à répondre aux trois questions suivantes soit (1) la comparaison entre la survie des patients débutant la thérapie de suppléance rénale par une ou l’autre des modalités à domicile, (2) l’évaluation du modèle de dialyse à domicile intégrée (c’est la dire l’initiation de la suppléance rénale en DP avec un transfert subséquent en HDD) et (3) l’évaluation des prédicteurs dudit modèle de dialyse à domicile intégrée. L’évaluation de 11 416 patients ayant débuté la suppléance rénale en Australie et Nouvelle-Zélande entre 2000 et 2012 a montré une association entre une mortalité globale inférieure chez les patients traités par HDD comparativement à ceux traités par DP (rapport des risques [hazard ratio - HR] 0.47, intervalle de confiance [IC] de 95%, 0.38-0.59). Par contre, les patients ayant débuté la suppléance rénale en DP et ayant ensuite été transférés en HDD (modèle de dialyse à domicile intégrée) avaintt une survie en dialyse à domicile similaire à ceux directement traités par l’HDD (HR 0.92, IC de 95%, 0.52-1.62). Finalement, les caractéristiques démographiques de base (jeune âge, sexe masculin, ethnie), les comorbidités, la cause de l’insuffisance rénale terminale, la durée du traitement et la raison de l’arrêt de la DP étaient des prédicteurs du modèle de dialyse à domicile intégrée. / Treatment of end-stage renal disease with home dialysis modalities (peritoneal dialysis [PD] and home hemodialysis [HHD]) is associated with significant patient-related benefits, including improved quality of life, greater autonomy and lower rates of medical complications. Although home dialysis is being increasingly promoted internationally, little data has been published to evaluate outcomes of patients treated with PD and HDD at time of renal replacement therapy (RRT) initiation and evaluate the optimal home dialysis treatment pattern. The current project specifically aimed to answer the following questions: (1) what is the survival associated with initiation of RRT with PD or HDD, (2) what is the survival associated with the integrated home dialysis model (PD with subsequent transfer to HHD) compared to PD or HDD treatment initially, (3) what are the predictors associated with the integrated home dialysis model. The first study included 11 416 incident dialysis patients from Australia and New Zealand between 2000 and 2012. Treatment with HHD at start of RRT was associated with a lower mortality compared to initial treatment with PD (hazard ratio [HR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38-0.59). The second study assessed the integrated home dialysis model per se and showed a similar mortality among patients treated with the integrated home model (PD with transfer to HHD after PD ending) and patients treated with HHD from start of RRT (hazard ratio [HR] 0.92, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.52-1.62). Finally, the third study assessed the predictors of the integrated home dialysis model and identified baseline characteristics such as lower age, male sex, race, cause of end-stage renal disease, comorbidities and duration of PD therapy as potential predictors of a transfer from PD to HHD.

Kidney failure is an important cause of morbidity and mortality, frequently associated with chronic inflammation of glomeruli and immune hypersensitivity reactions. In this study we aimed to determine if there was an association between HLA alleles and end stage kidney diseases. Towards this objective, we analyzed 87 patients with an average age of 51 years and a mean of 4.5 years of hemodialysis. The main clinical diagnosis of kidney failure in this group was hypertension (38%), diabetes (25%) and glomerulopathies (23%). As a control, we utilized the HLA typing data of 17,541 voluntary marrow donors from the Brazilian national registry. HLA typing was determined by SSO kits (One Lambda, Inc.) and flow cytometry (Luminex technology). Our results demonstrated that, when compared to the normal population, there was a significant association of: 1) hypertension with HLA-A*23 (p=0.014), HLA-A*30 (p<0.001) and HLA-B*41 (p=0.016); 2) diabetes with HLA-A*23 (p=0.004), HLA-A*30 (p=0.033), HLA-B*41 (p=0.023), HLA-B*81 (p=0.020), HLADRB 1*1 (p=0.030) and HLA-DRB1*3 (p=0.013); and 3) glomerulopathies with HLA-A*32 (p<0.001), HLA-B*13 (p<0.001), HLA-B*14 (p=0.004), HLA-DRB1*4 (p=0.030), HLADRB 1*11 (p=0.008) and HLA-DRB1*15 (p<0.001). There was an association between allele frequency and protection against kidney disease in the following situations: 1) hypertension with HLA-A*3 and HLA-DRB1*4; 2) diabetes with HLA-DRB1*11; 3) glomerulopathies with HLA-DRB1*1 and HLA-DRB1*13. In conclusion, HLA alleles may be an important marker of prognosis in chronic renal disease. / A insuficiência renal, frequentemente associada com inflamação glomerular crônica e com reações de hipersensibilidade, é importante causa de morbidade e mortalidade. O objetivo deste estudo foi determinar se havia associação entre alelos HLA e doença renal crônica terminal. Foram analisados 87 pacientes com idade média de 51 anos e realizando hemodiálise há, em média, 4,5 anos. Os principais diagnósticos clínicos da insuficiência renal neste grupo foram hipertensão (38%), diabetes (25%) e glomerulopatias (23%). Como controle foram utilizados dados de tipagens de HLA de 17.541 doadores voluntários de medula óssea do registro nacional Brasileiro. A tipagem de HLA foi determinada através de kits SSO (One Lambda, Inc) e citometria de fluxo (tecnologia Luminex). Nossos resultados demonstraram que, quando comparado com a população normal, havia associação significativa de: 1) hipertensão com HLA-A*23 (p=0,014), HLA-A*30 (p<0,001) e HLAB* 41 (p=0,016); 2) diabetes com HLA-A*23 (p=0,004), HLA-A*30 (p=0,033), HLA-B*41 (p=0,023), HLA-B*81 (p=0,020), HLA-DRB1*1 (p=0,030) e HLA-DRB1*3 (p=0,013); 3) glomerulopatias com HLA-A*32 (p<0,001), HLA-B*13 (p<0,001), HLA-B*14 (p=0,004), HLA-DRB1*4 (p=0,030), HLA-DRB1*11 (p=0,008) e HLA-DRB1*15 (p<0,001). Houve associação entre a frequência de alelos e proteção contra doença renal nas seguintes situações: 1) hipertensão com HLA-A*3 e HLA-DRB1*4; 2) diabetes com HLA-DRB1*11; 3) glomerulopatias com HLA-DRB1*1 e HLA-DRB1*13. Conclusão: alelos HLA podem ser importantes marcadores do prognóstico em doença renal crônica. / Doutor em Imunologia e Parasitologia Aplicadas

Les conditions de sécurité sanitaire encadrant les pratiques d'hémodialyse (HD) et d'hémodiafiltration (HDF) n'intègrent pas les risques liés à des micropolluants comme les perturbateurs endocriniens (PE). Les patients dialysés présentent un risque de surexposition au Bisphénol A (BPA), reconnu comme PE, en raison de sa présence dans les dispositifs médicaux utilisés lors de la dialyse et du risque d'accumulation liée à leur état rénal.Nos premiers travaux ont confirmé la présence du BPA dans les dialyseurs et démontré pour la 1ère fois que l'eau utilisée en HD était également une source de contamination importante en BPA, via la production du dialysat. De plus, nous avons mis en évidence dans l'eau de dialyse la présence de dérivés chlorés du BPA (ClxBPA), sous-produits de chloration de l'eau connus pour leur activité œstrogénique supérieure au BPA. Nous avons ensuite montré que l'HDF entrainait un risque d'exposition aux PE plus important que l'HD, via la contamination du liquide de substitution perfusé chez le patient. Ces résultats permettront aux industriels de prendre en compte le risque de contamination à ces PE ainsi qu'aux médecins et pharmaciens impliqués dans la prise en charge des patients dialysés.Peu de données sont disponibles concernant l'impact clinique d'une telle exposition chez le patient dialysé et aucune étude n'a intégré le risque lié aux ClxBPA. C’est pourquoi, nous avons développé des biomarqueurs d'exposition en mettant au point des méthodes de dosage ultrasensibles du BPA et des ClxBPA dans les urines et le plasma. Ces biomarqueurs permettront d'étudier l'impact des différentes techniques de dialyse sur l'exposition des patients à ces PE. / The health safety conditions for the practice of hemodialysis (HD) and hemodiafiltration (HDF) do not integrate the risks associated with micropollutants such as endocrine disruptors (ED). Dialysed patients are at risk of overexposure to Bisphenol A (BPA), a well-recognized ED, due to its occurrence in medical devices used during dialysis and to the risk of accumulation due to their renal impairment.In a first step we have confirmed BPA contamination in dialyzers and demonstrated, for the first time, that the water used in HD was a significant source of BPA contamination, via dialysate production. Furthermore, we highlighted the presence of chlorinated derivatives of BPA (ClxBPA), by-products of water chlorination known to have higher oestrogenic activity than BPA, in dialysis water. Then, We have demonstrated that HDF leads to a higher risk of exposure to ED than HD, via the contamination of the liquid of substitution perfused in patient. These results will allow manufacturers to take into account the risk of contamination to these ED as well as physicians and pharmacists involved in patient care.Very few data are available regarding the clinical impact of such exposition on dialysed patient and no study has included the risk arising from ClxBPA. Therefore, we have performed exposure biomarkers using ultra-sensitive analytical methods to determine BPA and ClxBPA concentration in urine and plasma. These biomarkers will allow studying the impact of different dialysis techniques on patient exposure to these ED.