This thesis examines the effects of international capital flows on economic growth by using a dynamic general equilibrium framework based on a three-sector Ramsey Model. In order to detect the impact of financial integration on production, allocation of resources across three sectors and consumption, two different economic environments are modelled. While the first model represents a closed economy with financial autarky, the second model examplifies a financially integrated open economy with partial capital mobility. Each of the models is calibrated to Turkish economy based on the data of the year 2006. The simulation results demonstrate that the presence of international capital flows, despite being limited by a borrowing constraint, reverses the impact of economic growth on production and resource allocation. It is found that even though the importance of production in tradable-goods sector diminishes in the absence of international capital flows, it increases in the open economy model. Moreover, the findings show that while production in the closed economy model simply adjusts to domestic demand, that of the open economy model is not constrained by it. This can be explained by the augmentative effect of partial capital flows on the impact of foreign demand on domestic production.

Darbo tema yra aktuali tuo, kad tarptautinės reitingų agentūros, įvertindamos skolų krizę Europoje, pastaruoju metu daugeliui šalių mažino valstybės kredito reitingus ar blogino jų perspektyvas. Nors po prieš trejus metus patirto nuosmukio Baltijos šalių reitingai ir stabilizavosi, jų aukštesnių reikšmių išlaikymas Baltijos valstybėms yra svarbus užsienio investicijų pritraukimo ir šių šalių finansų sektoriaus vystymosi veiksnys. Vis dėlto, reitingų gerėjimas gali turėti ir priešingą poveikį.Todėl svarbu išsiaiškinti situaciją Baltijos šalyse. Tiriamojo darbo objektas yra Baltijos šalių ilgalaikio ir trumpalaikio skolinimosi užsienio valiuta reitingai bei ilgalaikio ir trumpalaikio skolinimosi nacionaline valiuta reitingai. Šio darbo tikslas - atlikus teorinę valstybės kredito reitingų ir jų įtakos šalies finansų sektoriaus vystymuisi ir užsienio investicijų srautams analizę, nustatyti valstybės kredito reitingų įtaką finansų sektoriaus vystymuisi ir užsienio investicijų srautams Baltijos šalyse. Darbo tikslui pasiekti buvo suformuluoti uždaviniai: atlikti teorinę valstybės kredito reitingų ir jų įtakos šalies finansų sektoriaus vystymuisi ir užsienio investicijų srautams analizę, išanalizuoti Baltijos šalių finansų sektoriaus išsivystymo lygį bei užsienio investicijų srautų ir kredito reitingų šiose šalyse pokyčių tendencijas, reitingus įtakojusius veiksnius, nustatyti valstybės kredito reitingų įtaką finansų sektoriaus vystymuisi ir užsienio investicijų srautams Baltijos... [toliau žr. visą tekstą] / The topic of the work is relevant due to the fact, that international credit rating agencies, assessing the debt crisis in Europe, recently downgraded credit ratings or their outlook for many countries. Despite the fact that sovereign credit ratings of Baltic states have stabilized after the decline occured three years ago, higher ratings are the essential factor for Baltic states, seeking to attract foreign investment and promote their financial sector development. Though, the improvements of ratings may have the opposite effect. Therefore, it is important to clarify the situation in Baltic states. The object of the research work – the Baltic states‘ short and long term in foreign and local currency ratings. The purpose of this paper is to establish the impact of sovereign credit ratings on the financial sector development and international capital flows in the Baltic states, doing theoretical analysis on sovereign credit ratings and their impact on the financial sector development and international capital flows in a country. In order to achieve an objective, the following tasks have been fomulated: to accomplish above-mentioned theoretical analysis, to analyse the level of financial sector development, changes in trends of international capital flows and sovereign credit ratings in the Baltic states, reveal the main factors, which affected ratings in these countries and ascertain the influence of these ratings on the financial sector development and international capital... [to full text]

This dissertation has as its object of study the influence of international financial organizations - World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - policies brazilian state, in particular in Brazilian health policy, during the government of Luis Inacio Lula da Silva and was developed in three sections. In the first, he was made an analysis of the process of the financialisation of capital, which has become the dominant model in the world economy. It was emphasized with what purpose they were created the international organizations, World Bank and International Monetary Fund, and what their respective roles in the process of reproduction of financial capital. In the second section, a study was conducted on the scenario of social policies in the Lula government and became an analysis of the guidelines of international bodies for policies brazilian state. In the third section, we analyzed the role of World Bank in Brazilian health policy from the documents produced by this bank to guide the direction of health policy in Brazil. In the end, it was concluded that the international guidelines for the brazilian health suggest a policy reduced the focal programs intended for the poor population, by means of actions of health promotion and prevention and accountability measures social individual. / Fundação de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Alagoas / Esta dissertação tem como objeto de estudo a influência dos organismos financeiros internacionais Banco Mundial e Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI) - nas políticas estatais brasileiras, em especial na política de saúde brasileira, durante o governo de Luís Inácio Lula da Silva e foi desenvolvido em três seções. Na primeira, fez-se uma análise do processo da financeirização do capital, o qual vem se tornando o modelo dominante na economia mundial. Enfatizou-se com qual propósito foram criadas as organizações internacionais, Banco Mundial e Fundo Monetário Internacional, e qual seus respectivos papéis no processo de reprodução do capital financeiro. Na segunda seção, realizou-se um estudo sobre o cenário das políticas sociais no governo Lula e fez-se uma análise das orientações dos organismos internacionais para as políticas estatais brasileiras. Na terceira seção, analisou-se o protagonismo do Banco Mundial na política de saúde brasileira a partir dos documentos produzidos por este Banco para orientar o rumo da política de saúde no Brasil. Ao final, concluiu-se que as orientações internacionais para a saúde brasileira sugerem uma política reduzida a programas focais destinados a população mais pobre, por meio de ações de promoção e prevenção da saúde e medidas de responsabilização social individual.

Thesis is focusing on trends in foreign direct investment flows and stocks in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia break down by country and activity. The main data analysis is for years 2000 - 2006. Recent trends from 2007 till H1 2009 are mentioned only in terms of total flows and stocks.

[pt] O bairro de Deodoro, localizado na zona oeste da cidade do Rio de Janeiro, é caracterizado por ser um bairro de classe média baixa e por possuir características típicas dos bairros suburbanos da cidade do Rio de Janeiro, como, por exemplo, possuir suas origens muito ligada ao avanço da Estrada de Ferro (ABREU, 2011); Atualmente, o bairro de Deodoro está passando por profundas mudanças em seu espaço em decorrência dos investimentos realizados pelo poder público junto com o capital financeiro para a realização dos Jogos Olímpicos e Paraolímpicos de 2016; Partindo do pressuposto, desenvolvido por Lefebvre (2006) e trabalhado por Carlos (2007; 2011), de que o espaço deve ser compreendido como um produto histórico e social no qual uma sociedade em um determinado momento histórico, através das técnicas que desenvolve e das relações sociais e de produção que estabelece, o produz, esta dissertação se pauta nas múltiplas formas de apropriação e de produção do espaço através da introdução de novos vetores tecnológicos e de investimentos para os Jogos Olímpicos e Paraolímpicos de 2016 nos bairros de Deodoro e da Vila Militar na cidade do Rio de Janeiro e como estas intervenções irão afetar o cotidiano dos moradores do bairro de Deodoro e a sua relação com o bairro vizinho, a Vila Militar; Investigaremos, assim, como o bairro de Deodoro está inserido dentro do contexto da representação da Cidade Olímpica construída pelo poder público e reforçada pela ação da publicidade;. Além disso, chamamos a atenção para as intervenções no espaço destes bairros em decorrência da realização dos Jogos Olímpicos de 2016, como a construção das vias expressas e dos corredores expressos para a circulação do BRT além das arenas esportivas, como o Parque Olímpico de Deodoro, irão transformar a relação dos moradores do bairro de Deodoro com o bairro da Vila Militar. / [en] The Deodoro neighborhood, located in the west of the city of Rio de Janeiro, is characterized by being a lower middle class neighborhood and has characteristics typical of suburban neighborhoods in the city of Rio de Janeiro, for example, has its origins linked to the advancement of the Railroad (ABREU, 2011). Currently, the Deodoro neighborhood is undergoing profound changes in its space as a result of the investments made by the government along with financial capital for the Olympic and Paralympic Games in 2016; Assuming the assumption developed by Lefebvre (2006) and worked for Carlos (2007; 2011) that space must be understood as a historical and social product in which a society at a particular historical moment, through the techniques that develops and social relations and establishing production, produces it, this dissertation is guided in multiple forms of ownership and production of space by introducing new technological vectors and investment for the Olympic and Paralympic Games in 2016 in the districts of Deodoro and Vila Militar in the city of Rio de Janeiro and how these interventions will affect the daily lives of residents of the Deodoro neighborhood and its relationship with the surrounding neighborhood, the Vila Militar; We investigate, as well as the Deodoro neighborhood is inserted into the representation of context Olympic City built by the government and reinforced by action of advertising; In addition, we draw attention to the interventions within these neighborhoods as a result of the Olympic Games in 2016, as the construction of highways and corridors expressed for BRT circulation beyond the sports arenas such as the Olympic Park in Deodoro, will transform the relationship between the residents of the Deodoro neighborhood with the Vila Militar neighborhood.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-04-26T20:48:40Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Frederico Moreira Carbonari.pdf: 1291956 bytes, checksum: 057c7dcd0f41c9506a24d6fcb52e76c8 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-03-12 / This study aims to analyze the International Monetary and Financial System influence exercised in the conduction of the economic policy in Brazil from 1980 to 2000, with emphasis on exchange rate policy, mostly because of its great importance as a key price for the economy. The study demonstrates how the hegemonic nation had manipulated the currency use as a way to dominate the other countries of the system and submit them to its behalf. By evidencing the differences between the periods of crisis and the adjustment at the conduction of economic policy against the dollar policy in the period, it becomes clear the Brazilian dependence on the leader currency of the International Monetary System. It can be concluded that this dependence is closely related with the country's vulnerability to the international capital flows, thus showing, how the Brazilian exchange rate policy became subordinated to the policy and interests of the nation which owns the international reserve currency / Este trabalho se propõe a analisar a influência que o Sistema Monetário e Financeiro Internacional exerceu na condução da política econômica brasileira de 1980 a 2000, com destaque para a política cambial, sobretudo devido a sua grande importância como preço-chave para a economia. O trabalho mostra como a nação hegemônica manipulou a utilização de sua moeda como forma de dominar os demais países do sistema e submetê-los aos seus interesses. Ao fazer a contraposição dos períodos de crise e ajuste da condução da política econômica brasileira, vis-à-vis a política do dólar no período, fica clara a dependência brasileira em relação à moeda líder do Sistema Monetário Internacional. Pode-se concluir que essa dependência está intimamente ligada com a vulnerabilidade da economia brasileira em relação aos fluxos internacionais de capitais, mostrando, assim, como a política cambial brasileira ficou sujeita a política e aos interesses da nação proprietária da moeda de reserva internacional

The demographic structure seems to change dramatically over the next 50 years in the Czech Republic. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of expected demographic changes on the future development of a real interest rate and international capital flows. In order to simulate the impact of the expected demographic changes upon the mentioned variables we apply a computable overlapping generations model. The real interest rate development is simulated under a closed economy assumption. As a result of the future expected demographic changes labour-capital ratio tends to fall, i.e. the real interest rate diminishes. The range of a change is significantly affected by a public budget closure rule. In case of an endogenous income tax rate, the real interest rate falls down by 0.5 percentage point. On the contrary, the real interest rate decreases by almost 1 percentage point in case when public transfers adjusted. Assuming an open economy, we simulate the impact of the expected demographic changes on the international capital flows between the domestic economy and the rest of the world. In case of increasing ratio of older agents, the aggregate domestic wealth surpasses the demand for capital by domestic firms. As a result a part of domestic capital is exported abroad. Increasing level of net foreign assets contributes to positive change in ratio of the balance of payment to the domestic production in a range from 2 to 5 percentage points over next 40 years if income taxes or public transfers change respectively.

This thesis sheds light on several macroeconomic aspects of international and domestic goods trade during the last three decades. The first chapter investigates the causes of the growth of world trade during this period and shows that it is best understood from a factor-proportions perspective. The second chapter analyses the decline in trade experienced by countries in the wake of sovereign debt crises. Empirical evidence suggests that it is due to a reduction in exporters’ access to foreign credit. The third and final chapter provides an explanation for the procyclicality of input trade among domestic firms. I argue that periods of economic expansion affect vertically integrated producers asymmetrically, providing incentives for intermediate-goods trade between fast-growing and slow-growing firms. / Aquesta tesis posa en relleu varis aspectes macroeconòmics del comerç internacional i domèstic en les últimes tres dècades. El primer capítol investiga les causes del creixement del comerç mundial en aquest període i demostra que s’entén millor des de la perspectiva dels proporcions dels factors. El segon capítol analitza la caiguda del comerç experimentada per països arran de crisis del deute sobirà. L’evidencia empírica suggereix que aquest declivi es deu a la reducció en l’accés dels exportadors al crèdit extern. El tercer i últim capítol ofereix una explicació per la prociclicitat del comerç d’inputs entre empreses domèstiques. En períodes d’expansió econòmica els productors integrats verticalment es veuen afectats d’una forma asimètrica, proporcionant així incentius pel comerç de bens intermedis entre empreses que creixen a diferent ritme.

Le Luxembourg est le 3ème exportateur mondial de services financiers. Il figure parmi les pays qui accueillent le plus d’investissements directs en provenance de l’étranger, ce qui indique l’intensité de ses liens avec l’économie mondiale. Le but de ce travail est d’analyser l’influence éventuelle d’une économie mondiale caractérisée par l’interdépendance des marchés réels et financiers sur l’économie Luxembourgeoise. Chapitre 1 présente une analyse des interactions de l’économie Luxembourgeoise avec le monde extérieur. Le chapitre suivant est consacré à la revue de la littérature portant sur la modélisation de l’intermédiation financière au niveau macroéconomique, couvrant plusieurs types d’approches de modélisations. Enfin, le troisième chapitre comporte un modèle macroéconométrique multi-pays construit et analysé afin de simuler les scénarios plausibles. Le modèle y est présenté avec ses fondements théoriques, les résultats des simulations et une comparaison avec d’autres modèles. La nouveauté du modèle réside dans sa prise en compte du commerce international désagrégé en services financiers et autres, et des investissements internationaux en portefeuille avec leurs flux de titres et de capitaux, ainsi que de leur impact sur la croissance économique. Les résultats des simulations montrent que ce cadre d’analyse donne parfois des résultats différents par rapport aux modèles standards. Nombre de scénarios qui ne peuvent être simulés par d’autres modèles, tels que la baisse des flux internationaux d’investissements de portefeuille, sont également analysés et confirment la forte vulnérabilité du Luxembourg aux chocs externes qui ont lieu sur les marchés financiers. / Luxembourg is world’s third financial services exporter and one of world’s top recipients of foreign direct investment in value as well as per capita terms, which highlight its strong linkages with world economy. The objective of this dissertation is to analyze possible outcomes for the very small and very open economy of Luxembourg in a world environment, where real and financial markets affect each other. To better understand the characteristics of the economy and economic mechanisms behind them, a thorough analysis with emphasis put on the interactions with the outside world based on available data and relevant literature is presented (Chapter 1). Subsequently a survey of literature devoted to modeling financial intermediation at macroeconomic level across various types of modeling approaches is offered (Chapter 2). Finally, a multi-country macroeconometric model built to simulate possible scenarios is presented and analyzed (Chapter 3) with its theoretical background, simulations’ results and comparison with other models. The model is novel in that it accounts for international trade disaggregated into financial services and the rest, and international portfolio investment in securities and equity flows, that have a significant impact on the country’s economic growth. Simulations’ results show that such a framework generates sometimes markedly different results than more standard models. A number of scenarios which cannot be simulated in other models, such as American stock market fall or a decrease in international portfolio flows, are also analyzed and confirm the high vulnerability of Luxembourg economy to external shocks originating in financial markets.

La presente investigación busca identificar el efecto del riesgo país, medido como el índice EMBI, en conjunto con un grupo de variables macroeconómicas, sobre la Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED) y la Inversión Extranjera de Cartera (IEC) en el Perú. Luego de asegurar la estacionariedad y no autocorrelación de las series de datos mediante transformaciones matemáticas, se aplica la metodología de Vectores Autoregresivos VAR con la finalidad de hallar las variables que explican el desempeño de la IED e IEC durante el periodo comprendido entre los años 2000 y 2020. Los resultados sugieren que el índice EMBI mantiene en el tiempo un efecto negativo sobre la IEC, mientras que en el caso de la IED se observa un efecto positivo durante dos primeros trimestres, el cual posteriormente se diluye hasta disiparse en su totalidad. / This research seeks to identify the effect of country risk, measured as the EMBI Index, together with a group of macroeconomic variables, on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) in Peru. After ensuring the stationarity and non-autocorrelation of the data series through mathematical transformations, the VAR Autoregressive Vectors methodology is applied in order to find the variables that explain the performance of FDI and FPI during the period between 2000 and 2020. The results suggest that the EMBI index maintains a negative effect on the IEC over time, while in the case of FDI a positive effect is observed during the first two quarters, which subsequently dissipates until it dissipates in its entirety. / Trabajo de investigación