Nonnative fishes are a major threat to biodiversity and new species continue to be introduced. In this dissertation, I described patterns and assessed determinants of fish invasions in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. Data on nonnative fish distributions were obtained from the United States Geological Survey's Nonindigenous Aquatic Species Database (NASD). Nonnative fishes are introduced by a variety of pathways, and prevention efforts can be optimized by focusing on pathways posing the greatest risk of new invasions. To assess the importance of existing pathways, I described the species associated with each pathway, analyzed the number of species introduced by decade for certain pathways, and estimated the detectability and probability of establishment of species introduced by each pathway. Additionally, I reviewed the efficacy of existing regulations for preventing introductions via each pathway. Historically, the intentional introduction of centrarchids and salmonids for sport was the dominant pathway. Pathways currently posing the greatest risks included bait release, illegal introductions, stocking of private ponds, and several pathways associated with economic activities. These pathways involved cyprinids, catostomids, and species exotic to North America. Regulations varied considerably among states, and I suggest that region-wide prohibitions on the release of nonnative species into the wild would help prevent additional introductions. Mid-Atlantic region watersheds differ considerably in nonnative species richness (NNSR), suggesting they are not equally invasible. I analyzed relationships between ecosystem characteristics and invasibility by compiling data on watershed characteristics and correlating these with NNSR. I included measures of colonization pressure (i.e., the number of species introduced) and research effort, which can bias patterns of NNSR. After controlling for these factors, the range in elevation in a watershed explained the greatest variation in NNSR. Highland watersheds had greater NNSR, probably because of greater habitat heterogeneity due in part to human activity. I suggest that NNSR can be reduced by restoration activities that reduce the diversity of artificial habitats available in highland watersheds. Ecosystems with similar NNSR may be invaded by different species, because differences in ecosystem characteristics may regulate the types of species that are able to establish. To explain differences in nonnative species among ecosystem types, I grouped Mid-Atlantic region watersheds by nonnative community and tested for differences in ecosystem characteristics among groups. Four groups were identified. A large, speciose group in the north-west portion region was characterized by smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu). A large, speciose group in the south-west portion of the region was characterized by largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides). Two smaller groups with few species were found on the coastal plain; one to the north, characterized by black crappie (Pomoxis nigromaculatus) and a second to the south characterized by white crappie (Pomoxis annularis). Nonnative community type was correctly predicted 80% of the time by models based on temperature and range in elevation. Relatively uninvaded watersheds in the south-east part of the region were predicted to host the most diverse nonnative community, suggesting that risks of invasion are high there. These results demonstrate the importance of species identity in determining ecosystem invasibility. There is no consensus on how to estimate the relative impacts of nonnative species. I developed and compared several approaches for doing so. I estimated impact by surveying fish biologists regarding the abundance and socioeconomic and ecological impacts of each species. I obtained fish collection records as an additional estimate of abundance and consulted reports of impacts in the NASD. I consulted reports of impacts in global invasive species databases as a basis for comparison. I compared top-ranked species among approaches, and game and non-game biologists' ratings of game and non-game species for each survey question. Top-ranked species differed considerably among approaches. Non-game biologists gave higher ecological impact ratings to both game and non-game species. Approaches assessing socioeconomic impacts are most appropriate for informing social decisions, such as restricting the possession or trade of a species. A combination of data from approaches assessing ecological impacts and abundance is most appropriate for studies of ecological patterns, such as testing for differences in traits between high- and low-impact species. These approaches are transferrable to other regions and taxa, and can inform management decisions and improve efforts to identify factors correlated with high-impact invaders. Collectively, my results can aid in reducing the effects of nonnative fish invasions by enabling managers to focus prevention efforts on high-impact species likely to invade particular ecosystems via known pathways. For example, bait releases, illegal introductions, private stocking, and several pathways associated with economic activities present the highest risks of future invasions, and warrant attention aimed at preventing invasions. Prevention could also be focused on several watersheds in the south-east part of the region, which currently have few established species but were predicted to be invasible by bluegill (Lepomis gibbosus), bluntnose minnow (Pimephales notatus) channel catfish (Ictalurus punctatus), and warmouth (Lepomis gulosus). This work represents major advancements in invasion biology, including new links between species identity and ecosystem invasibility and the development of methods for quantifying impact. / Ph. D.

Nas últimas décadas, em decorrência da globalização e do comércio internacional, o deslocamento de espécies para longe de suas regiões de origem tem crescido em frequência e extensão, aumentando o risco de invasões biológicas, que podem impactar significativamente a economia, o funcionamento dos ecossistemas e causar perdas de biodiversidade. A erradicação de espécies invasoras tem poucas chances de sucesso, de modo que prevenir a invasão constitui a melhor alternativa de manejo. Técnicas de modelagem preditiva de distribuição têm sido globalmente aplicadas para prever a distribuição potencial de espécies invasoras. No Brasil, são poucos e recentes os estudos sobre invasões biológicas. Visando ampliar o conhecimento sobre plantas consideradas invasoras e sua distribuição no estado de São Paulo, neste estudo aplicamos técnicas de modelagem preditiva a 10 espécies. Para cada uma delas buscamos caracterizar o padrão de invasão e identificar os fatores ambientais atuantes que limitam ou potencializam sua distribuição, por meio de modelos multi-hierárquicos de nicho ecológico. Para tanto, coletamos informações de ocorrência dessas espécies em todo o mundo e registramos coordenadas geográficas, características das populações e dos ambientes invadidos por essas espécies em todos os tipos de vegetação e em todas as regiões do estado de São Paulo. Com base nesses dados, caracterizamos o padrão de invasão de cada espécie e a invasibilidade de cada tipo vegetacional estudado. Aplicamos a metodologia de modelagem multi-hierárquica de nicho ecológico por meio do algoritmo MaxEnt em macro escala para todo o globo e em meso escala para o estado de São Paulo. Apesar das peculiaridades das espécies e dos tipos de vegetação, nossos resultados evidenciam a influência do estado de conservação do ecossistema e da posição na paisagem sobre a severidade da invasão e, também, sobre a invasibilidade dos tipos de vegetação em escala local. Mesmo os tipos de vegetação mais resistentes, como a restinga e a floresta ombrófila densa, podem se tornar suscetíveis à invasão em função de distúrbios e da pressão de propágulos. Em fragmentos conservados, porém, são raras as espécies exóticas capazes de se estabelecer e se tornar uma ameaça real à conservação. As fitofisionomias mais abertas do Cerrado mostraram-se como os tipos de vegetação suscetíveis à invasão pelo maior número de espécies, entre as estudadas. Em macro escala, os modelos de nicho ecológico identificaram as áreas potenciais de invasão e revelaram os limites fisiológicos de temperatura e precipitação para cada espécie, enquanto em meso escala, os modelos de nicho refinaram estas previsões e revelaram novos padrões associados com a distribuição das espécies na escala do estado de São Paulo. Este estudo gera contribuições importantes em termos de informação sobre as características e áreas potenciais de invasão para gestores e tomadores de decisão no processo de prevenção e controle de invasões, bem como identifica limites e fatores ambientais que contribuem para a melhor compreensão de invasões biológicas no Brasil. De forma geral, a abordagem multi-hierárquica se mostrou uma ferramenta poderosa para explorar padrões de distribuição em escalas apropriadas com os objetivos de conservação, prevenção e controle de espécies exóticas. / In recent decades, as a result of globalization and international trade, the movement of species away from their native regions has grown in frequency and extent, increasing the risk of biological invasions, which can significantly impact the economy, the functioning of ecosystems and cause biodiversity loss. The eradication of invasive species it is not an easy task, usually with little chance of success, so that prevent the invasion is still the best management alternative. Predictive species distribution modeling techniques have generally been applied to predict the potential distribution of invasive species. In Brazil, studies on biological invasions are recent and insufficient to understand the current invasive status. To enhance understanding about invasive plants and its distribution in the state of São Paulo, in this study we apply predictive modeling techniques to 10 species considered invasive. For each of the selected species we seek to characterize the invasion pattern and identify the active environmental factors that limit or leverage its distribution through multihierarchical ecological niche models. For this purpose, we collect information for these species occurring worldwide and recorded geographical coordinates characteristics of populations and environments invaded by these species in all vegetation types and in all regions of the state of São Paulo. Based on these data, we characterize the invasion pattern of each species and the invasiveness of each vegetation type studied. We applied the multihierarchical ecological niche modeling methodology through MaxEnt algorithm in macro scale for the entire globe and meso scale for the state of São Paulo. Despite the peculiarities of species and vegetation types, our results highlight the influence of ecosystem conservation status and position in the landscape on the severity of the invasion and on the invasiveness of vegetation types on a local scale. Even the most resistant types of vegetation, such as the restinga and the tropical rain forest, can become susceptible to invasion because of disturbances and seedlings pressure. In conserved fragments, however, exotic species were rarely able to settle down and become a real threat to conservation. The more open forms of the Cerrado vegetation types appeared as the most susceptible to invasion by most of the studied species. In macro scale, the ecological niche models identified the potential areas of invasion and revealed the physiological limits of temperature and precipitation for each species, while in meso scale, niche models refined these projections and revealed new patterns associated with the distribution of species on the scale of São Paulo. This study provides important contributions in terms of information about the characteristics and potential areas of invasion for managers and decision makers in prevention and control of invasions and identifies limitations and environmental factors that contribute to a better understanding of biological invasions in Brazil. In general, the multihierarchical approach proved to be a powerful tool to explore patterns of distribution at scales compatible with conservation objectives, prevention and control of alien species.

The invasibility, or susceptibility of an ecosystem to biological invasion is influenced by changes in biotic and abiotic resistance often due to shifts in disturbance regime. The magnitude of invasive propagule pressure interacts with an ecosystem's invasibility to determine the extent of a biological invasion. I examined how propagule pressure, forest community structure and disturbance interact to influence the invasibility of temperate Pacific Northwest forests by the newly-invasive grass, Brachypodium sylvaticum. My goal was to identify which of these factors is most instrumental in enabling the shift from establishment to population growth in B. sylvaticum at the edge of its expanding range. Both observational and experimental studies were employed to identify the many ecological components of this problem. Ecological sampling methods were used to identify trends in B. sylvaticum habitat preference and signs of habitat disturbance. In addition, an experimental study was performed to test the effects of soil and vegetation disturbance on B. sylvaticum seedling propagation. I found that while soil disturbance did not have a significant effect on seedling propagation, vegetation disturbance was implicated in B. sylvaticum spread. Higher propagule pressure and coniferous forest type were also strong predictors of increased B. sylvaticum seedling propagation and survival within established sites. My study demonstrates how propagule pressure and plant community dynamics interact to shift the invasibility of Pacific Northwest forests and facilitate the transition from establishment to spread in the invasion of B. sylvaticum.

Invasions of non-native species cause problems in ecosystems worldwide, and despite the extensive effort that has been put into research about invasions, we still lack a good understanding for why some, but not other, communities resist these invasions. In this doctoral thesis I test hypotheses on biotic resistance using a large dataset of more than 1000 both failed and successful introductions of freshwater fish into Swedish lakes. We have found that the classic species richness hypothesis is a poor descriptor of introduction success because it fails to acknowledge that resident species contribute to the resistance in different ways. We developed a new measure of biotic resistance, the weighted species richness, which takes into account that the resident species contributes to the resistance with different strength and sign. Further, we correlated performance traits of species in their role as an invader and as a resident species to predict how the biotic resistance of these communities would develop over time. We found a positive correlation between performance traits: Some species have high introduction success, they make a large contribution to the resistance, and they cause extinctions when introduced but do not go extinct themselves when other species establishes, whereas other species are weak performers in these respects. Thus, the biotic resistance of these communities should grow stronger as non-native species accumulates. These results give us clues about what type of communities that should be most sensitive to further invasions, i.e., communities harboring species weak performers.  My results show that the biotic resistance of communities is an important factor in determining invasibility of a community. They also show that methods for quantifying resistance must take into account how interactions are structured in nature. What determine the biotic resistance of a community is the type of interactions that the resident species have with the invader and not the species richness of the community.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Miami University, Dept. of Botany, 2008. / Title from second page of PDF document. Includes bibliographical references (p. 86-88).

Nas últimas décadas, em decorrência da globalização e do comércio internacional, o deslocamento de espécies para longe de suas regiões de origem tem crescido em frequência e extensão, aumentando o risco de invasões biológicas, que podem impactar significativamente a economia, o funcionamento dos ecossistemas e causar perdas de biodiversidade. A erradicação de espécies invasoras tem poucas chances de sucesso, de modo que prevenir a invasão constitui a melhor alternativa de manejo. Técnicas de modelagem preditiva de distribuição têm sido globalmente aplicadas para prever a distribuição potencial de espécies invasoras. No Brasil, são poucos e recentes os estudos sobre invasões biológicas. Visando ampliar o conhecimento sobre plantas consideradas invasoras e sua distribuição no estado de São Paulo, neste estudo aplicamos técnicas de modelagem preditiva a 10 espécies. Para cada uma delas buscamos caracterizar o padrão de invasão e identificar os fatores ambientais atuantes que limitam ou potencializam sua distribuição, por meio de modelos multi-hierárquicos de nicho ecológico. Para tanto, coletamos informações de ocorrência dessas espécies em todo o mundo e registramos coordenadas geográficas, características das populações e dos ambientes invadidos por essas espécies em todos os tipos de vegetação e em todas as regiões do estado de São Paulo. Com base nesses dados, caracterizamos o padrão de invasão de cada espécie e a invasibilidade de cada tipo vegetacional estudado. Aplicamos a metodologia de modelagem multi-hierárquica de nicho ecológico por meio do algoritmo MaxEnt em macro escala para todo o globo e em meso escala para o estado de São Paulo. Apesar das peculiaridades das espécies e dos tipos de vegetação, nossos resultados evidenciam a influência do estado de conservação do ecossistema e da posição na paisagem sobre a severidade da invasão e, também, sobre a invasibilidade dos tipos de vegetação em escala local. Mesmo os tipos de vegetação mais resistentes, como a restinga e a floresta ombrófila densa, podem se tornar suscetíveis à invasão em função de distúrbios e da pressão de propágulos. Em fragmentos conservados, porém, são raras as espécies exóticas capazes de se estabelecer e se tornar uma ameaça real à conservação. As fitofisionomias mais abertas do Cerrado mostraram-se como os tipos de vegetação suscetíveis à invasão pelo maior número de espécies, entre as estudadas. Em macro escala, os modelos de nicho ecológico identificaram as áreas potenciais de invasão e revelaram os limites fisiológicos de temperatura e precipitação para cada espécie, enquanto em meso escala, os modelos de nicho refinaram estas previsões e revelaram novos padrões associados com a distribuição das espécies na escala do estado de São Paulo. Este estudo gera contribuições importantes em termos de informação sobre as características e áreas potenciais de invasão para gestores e tomadores de decisão no processo de prevenção e controle de invasões, bem como identifica limites e fatores ambientais que contribuem para a melhor compreensão de invasões biológicas no Brasil. De forma geral, a abordagem multi-hierárquica se mostrou uma ferramenta poderosa para explorar padrões de distribuição em escalas apropriadas com os objetivos de conservação, prevenção e controle de espécies exóticas. / In recent decades, as a result of globalization and international trade, the movement of species away from their native regions has grown in frequency and extent, increasing the risk of biological invasions, which can significantly impact the economy, the functioning of ecosystems and cause biodiversity loss. The eradication of invasive species it is not an easy task, usually with little chance of success, so that prevent the invasion is still the best management alternative. Predictive species distribution modeling techniques have generally been applied to predict the potential distribution of invasive species. In Brazil, studies on biological invasions are recent and insufficient to understand the current invasive status. To enhance understanding about invasive plants and its distribution in the state of São Paulo, in this study we apply predictive modeling techniques to 10 species considered invasive. For each of the selected species we seek to characterize the invasion pattern and identify the active environmental factors that limit or leverage its distribution through multihierarchical ecological niche models. For this purpose, we collect information for these species occurring worldwide and recorded geographical coordinates characteristics of populations and environments invaded by these species in all vegetation types and in all regions of the state of São Paulo. Based on these data, we characterize the invasion pattern of each species and the invasiveness of each vegetation type studied. We applied the multihierarchical ecological niche modeling methodology through MaxEnt algorithm in macro scale for the entire globe and meso scale for the state of São Paulo. Despite the peculiarities of species and vegetation types, our results highlight the influence of ecosystem conservation status and position in the landscape on the severity of the invasion and on the invasiveness of vegetation types on a local scale. Even the most resistant types of vegetation, such as the restinga and the tropical rain forest, can become susceptible to invasion because of disturbances and seedlings pressure. In conserved fragments, however, exotic species were rarely able to settle down and become a real threat to conservation. The more open forms of the Cerrado vegetation types appeared as the most susceptible to invasion by most of the studied species. In macro scale, the ecological niche models identified the potential areas of invasion and revealed the physiological limits of temperature and precipitation for each species, while in meso scale, niche models refined these projections and revealed new patterns associated with the distribution of species on the scale of São Paulo. This study provides important contributions in terms of information about the characteristics and potential areas of invasion for managers and decision makers in prevention and control of invasions and identifies limitations and environmental factors that contribute to a better understanding of biological invasions in Brazil. In general, the multihierarchical approach proved to be a powerful tool to explore patterns of distribution at scales compatible with conservation objectives, prevention and control of alien species.

Submitted by Luciana Sebin (lusebin@ufscar.br) on 2016-09-15T12:55:24Z No. of bitstreams: 1 TeseRNB.pdf: 4016225 bytes, checksum: f19817cea28780fc143ece6a86758413 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marina Freitas (marinapf@ufscar.br) on 2016-09-23T18:14:57Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 TeseRNB.pdf: 4016225 bytes, checksum: f19817cea28780fc143ece6a86758413 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marina Freitas (marinapf@ufscar.br) on 2016-09-23T18:15:06Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 TeseRNB.pdf: 4016225 bytes, checksum: f19817cea28780fc143ece6a86758413 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-09-23T18:15:12Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 TeseRNB.pdf: 4016225 bytes, checksum: f19817cea28780fc143ece6a86758413 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-06-09 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) / A community can be defined purely as a group of individuals in a certain area? Since the beginning of ecology as a science, many authors have proposed theories to explain the structure of plant communities and therefore the spatial variation. However, although the accumulated knowledge has advanced to challenge the theories with each other, we have not reached many consensus within the community ecology. Likewise it has not been an easy task to establish physical or functional boundaries between the plant communities in the field, has also not been easy to establish boundaries between theories, approaches and influences of diferents areas of science, such as the biogeografia and evolution. Although some researchers have been working on attempts to establish an integrated theory was not only achieved little success and earned the antipathy of many trends or incited passions in scientific circles. On the one hand, the structure of the plant community may be the result of chance that accumulates over time and space, or by environmental heterogeneity due to specific ecological adaptations of different species. On the other hand, the gradient study indicates recognition of closed communities separated by transitional areas whose influence among communities, such highly dynamic areas, regulate their diversity, as endemic center would be essential for management and maintenance actions. Thus, the thresholds may reflect discontinuities on many different levels, but all kinds of limits can help to draw the line where there is success or failure in the prevalence of survival, growth and reproduction, sufficient to prevent the extinction of a species. In this context, the objective of this work is especially to propose a new old way to look at the structure of plant communities, trying to recognize the principles of the proposed theories from the scale of influence on spatial variation in community composition. Still, considering the current context of environmental changes caused by human activities, we will evaluate the effect of artificial transitions in the structure and diversity of communities. Furthermore, given the important contribution of ecotonal areas as endemic centers, we evaluate the contribution of the occurrence of threatened species in these areas for the Brazilian ecosystems conservation status. In this analysis, greater focus was given to the Cerrado, as the Brazilian Phytogeographic Domain presenting transition areas with almost all other ecosystems, with the exception of Pampa. Our results indicated a greater heterogeneity among the grasslands than in the savanna, but in thin scales both guard similarity close to 1, with a higher similarity between samples than expected by chance. This allows us to consider that the fine-scale continuum theory applies to structuring of communities and its spatial variation. In a coarser scale, communities vary as of continuum, in which the case studied in Itirapina Ecological Station, the continuum is represented by the part of Coutinho's gradient ("Grassland – Savanna - Forest") as Grassland-Forest. However, within a mosaic of ecotones and homogeneous types of vegetation, we find gradients nested with the refinement of the scale. In this case, the influence of the scale in approaches to the structuring of the Cerrado communities could be related to fractals, from the recognition of repeated linked units. Considering the intense fragmentation of the Cerrado vegetation, the invasibility of the communities and the biodiversity loss by invasive alien species, it is necessary to carefully evaluate the effect of artificial transitions in the structure of plant communities and establish 3 effective measures of management of invasive grasses for the focus of established invasion. Still, one must consider the ecosystem conservation status are significantly influenced by the heterogeneity that should be considered in priority actions for conservation. / Uma comunidade pode ser definida puramente como o conjunto de indivíduos de determinada área ? Desde o ínicio da Ecologia enquanto ciência, muitos autores vêm propondo teorias que expliquem a estruturação das comunidades vegetais e, portanto, da variação espacial. Entretanto, ainda que o conhecimento acumulado tenha avançado com a contestação das teorias entre si, não alcançamos muitos consensos dentro da ecologia de comunidades. Da mesma forma que não tem sido uma tarefa fácil estabelecer limites físicos ou funcionais entre as comunidades vegetais em campo, também não tem sido fácil estabelecer fronteiras entre as teorias, abordagens e influências de principios de outras áreas da ciência, como por exemplo, a biogeografia e evolução. Ainda que alguns pesquisadores tenham se debruçado sobre tentativas para o estabelecimento de uma teoria integrada, não só foi alcançado pouco sucesso como ganhou a antipatia de diversas tendências ou acirrou ânimos no meio científico. Por um lado a estrutura da comunidade vegetal pode ser resultado do acaso que se acumula ao longo do tempo e do espaço, ou da heterogeneidade ambiental devido a adaptações ecológicas únicas de espécies diferentes. Por outro lado, o estudo de gradientes indica o reconhecimento de comunidades fechadas separadas por áreas de transição, cuja influência entre as comunidades, como áreas muito dinâmicas, regulam sua diversidade e, como centro de enemismos seriam essenciais para ações de gestão e conservação. Assim, os limites podem refletir descontinuidades em muitos níveis diferentes, mas todos os tipos de limites podem ajudar a desenhar a linha onde há sucesso ou fracasso no predomínio de sobrevivência, crescimento e reprodução, suficientes para evitar a extinção de uma espécie. Nesse contexto, o objetivo deste trabalho é sobretudo o de propor um nova velha forma para o olhar para a estrutura das comunidades vegetais, buscando reconhecer os princípios das teorias propostas a partir da influência da escala na variação espacial da composição das comunidades. Ainda, considerando o atual contexto de transformações ambientais causadas por atividades antrópicas, avaliaremos o efeito de transições artificiais na estrutura e diversidade das comunidades. Além disso, diante da importante contribuição das zonas ecotonais como centros de endemismos, avaliaremos a contribuição da ocorrência de espécies ameaçadas nessas zonas para o estado de conservação dos ecossistemas brasileiros. Nessa análise, maior foco foi dado ao Cerrado, visto que é o Domínio Fitogeográfico brasileiro apresentando áreas de transição com quase todos os outros ecossistemas, com exceção do Pampa. Nossos resultados indicaram uma maior heterogeneidade entre as formações campestres do que no savânicas, porém em escalas finas ambas guardam similaridade próximas de 1, sendo maior a similaridade entre as amostras do que a esperada ao acaso. Isso nos permite considerar que em escala fina a teoria do continuum se aplica a estruturação das comunidades e sua variação espacial. Em uma escala mais grossa, as comunidades variam como continuum, sendo nesse caso de estudo, na Estação Ecológica de Itirapina (EEI), o gradiente é representado por parte do gradiente de Coutinho (Campestre- Savânica-Floresta), como "Campestre-Savanica". No entanto, dentro de um mosaico de ecótonos e tipos de vegetação homogênea, encontramos gradientes aninhados com o refinamento da escala. Nesse caso, a influência da escala para as abordagens sobre a estruturação das comunidades de Cerrado poderiam estar relacionadas a teoria dos fractais, a partir do reonhecimento de repetições de unidades em cadeia. Considerandose a fragmentação intensa do cerrado, a invasibilidade das comunidades, e a perda de diversidade por invasão de espécies exóticas, é preciso cautelosamente avaliar o efeito de transições artificiais na estrutura das comunidades vegetais e estabelecer medidas eficientes de manejo de gramíneas invasoras para os focos já estabelecidos de invasão. Ainda, é preciso considerar que o estado de conservação dos ecossistemas são 2 influenciados significativamente pela heterogeneidade que deve ser considerada em ações prioritárias para a conservação.

Models of climate change predict that temperature will increase during the 21th century and the largest warming will take place at high northern latitudes. In addition to warming, predictions for northern Europe include increased annual precipitation and a higher proportion of the precipitation during winter falling as rain instead of snow. These changes will substantially alter the hydrology of rivers and streams and change the conditions for riverine communities. The warming is also expected to result in species adjusting their geographic ranges to stay within their climatic tolerances. Riparian zones and wetlands are areas where excess water determines the community composition. It is therefore likely that these systems will be highly responsive to alterations in precipitation and temperature patterns. In this thesis we have tested the predicted responses of riparian vegetation to climate-driven hydrologic change with a six year long transplant experiment (I). Turfs of vegetation were moved to a new elevation with shorter or longer flood durations. The results demonstrate that riparian species will respond to hydrologic changes, and that without rare events such as unusually large floods or droughts, full adjustment to the new hydrological regime may take at least 10 years. Moreover, we quantified potential effects of a changed hydrology on riparian plant species richness (II) and individual species responses (III) under different climate scenarios along the Vindel River in northern Sweden. Despite relatively small changes in hydrology, the results imply that many species will become less frequent than today, with stochastic extinctions along some reaches. Climate change may threaten riparian vegetation along some of the last pristine or near-natural river ecosystems in Europe. More extensive loss of species than predicted for the Vindel River is expected along rivers in the southern boreal zone, where snow-melt fed hydrographs are expected to be largely replaced by rain-fed ones. With a seed sowing experiment, we tested the differences in invasibility between open wetlands, forested wetlands and riparian zones (IV). All six species introduced were able to germinate and survive in all habitats and disturbance levels, indicating that the tested wetlands are generally invisible. Germination was highest in open wetlands and riparian zones. Increasing seed sowing density increased invasion success, but the disturbance treatments had little effect. The fact that seeds germinated and survived for 2 to 3 years in all wetland habitats indicates that wetland species with sufficiently high dispersal capacity and propagule pressure would be able to germinate and establish here in their respective wetland type. Our results clearly demonstrate that a changed climate will result in substantial changes to functioning, structure and diversity of boreal wetland and riparian ecosystems. To preserve species rich habitats still unaffected by dams and other human stressors, additional protection and management actions may have to be considered.

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No Brasil, foram introduzidas diversas espécies de Pinus e a espécie P. elliottii Engelm apresenta o comportamento invasor em unidades de conservação de Cerrado, no estado de São Paulo. O objetivo deste estudo foi comparar P. elliottii com outras duas espécies do mesmo gênero, P. caribaea Moret e P. oocarpa Shiede ex Schltdl, através de: viabilidade e germinabilidade das sementes, em laboratório; sobrevivência das plântulas logo após a germinação e acompanhamento de seu crescimento em estufa; germinabilidade em fisionomias campestres; e chuva de sementes dentro de talhões. Para P. elliottii, também foi verificada a distância de dispersão das sementes. As sementes utilizadas nos testes em laboratório foram coletadas em Águas de Santa Bárbara (Estação Ecológica de Santa Bárbara - EEcSB; Floresta de Águas de Santa Bárbara - FASB) e Itirapina (Estação Experimental de Itirapina - EExI). Primeiramente, as sementes foram colocadas em água para separação das sementes cheias das vazias (flutuabilidade). Em seguida, as sementes cheias foram testadas quanto à viabilidade por meio de sal de tetrazólio e quanto à germinabilidade. As sementes germinadas foram acompanhadas até os cotilédones ficarem visíveis e uma parte destas teve o crescimento acompanhado até a 24ª semana. A germinabilidade em fisionomias campestres foi realizada apenas na EEcSB, onde as sementes das três espécies foram semeadas em diferentes graus de umidade do solo. Coletores de sementes foram instalados dentro dos talhões de Pinus spp., tanto na EEcSB-FASB como na EExI, para quantificar a chuva de sementes. A distância de dispersão das sementes de P. elliottii foi avaliada apenas na EEcSB, durante o período de maior dispersão de sementes (março a maio), e teve como classes de distâncias em relação ao talhão: 10, 30, 60, 100, 150 e 250 m. Os resultados dos testes em laboratório mostraram que P. caribaea e P. elliottii apresentam as maiores proporções de sementes cheias (>70%) e P. oocarpa e P. elliottii, as maiores taxas de viabilidade (>90%) e germinabilidade (>90%). Dentre as sementes germinadas das três espécies, mais de 90% desenvolveram-se até o aparecimento dos cotilédones. Quanto ao crescimento, P. caribaea e P. oocarpa apresentaram maior vigor em relação a P. elliottii. Em campo, as três espécies apresentaram, de maneira similar, baixíssima porcentagem de germinação (<1,5% do total semeado), preferencialmente em solos mais úmidos. A chuva de sementes de P. elliottii dentro de talhões foi muito maior (pelo menos o dobro) em comparação com as outras duas espécies. A distância de dispersão das sementes de P. elliottii foi maior nos primeiros 30 m, mas chegou até os 150 m. Portanto, P. caribaea e P. oocarpa apresentaram condições de se tornarem invasores pela viabilidade de suas sementes, vigor de crescimento e germinação em campo, mas o fator determinante para o sucesso na invasão P. elliottii é, provavelmente, a pressão de propágulos, maior do que as outras duas espécies, causada pela sua alta produção de sementes e intenso plantio. / Several pine species of the genus Pinus have been introduced in Brazil, and P. elliottii Engelm is presently considered an invasive species in the Brazilian savanna (Cerrado) in São Paulo State. The aim of this study was to compare P. elliottii with two other Pinus species, P. caribaea Moret and P. oocarpa Shiede ex Schltdl according to: seed viability and germinability, in laboratory; survival of seedlings soon after germination and their growth, in greenhouse; germination at field conditions; and seed rain inside the plantation. The distance of seed distance dispersal was also verified for P. elliottii. The seeds for the laboratory tests were collected in Águas de Santa Bárbara (Santa Barbara Ecological Station - EEcSB; Águas de Santa Bárbara Forest - FASB) and Itirapina (Itirapina Experimental Station - EExI). First, the seeds were placed in water to separate the full from the empty seeds (flutuability). Then full seeds were tested by viability (tetrazolium) and germinability. Germinated seeds were monitored until the cotyledons were visible and some of those were monitored up the 24th week to verify their growth rate. In the EEcSB, seeds of the three species were sown at different levels of soil moisture to observe the germination in the field. In order to quantify the species seed rain seed collectors were installed inside the Pinus spp. stands, in both EEcSB-FASB and EExI. The distance of P. elliottii seed spread was evaluated only at the EEcSB, during the greater period of seed dispersion (March to May), at the distances of 10, 30, 60, 100, 150 and 250 m from the planted areas. The results of laboratory tests showed that P. caribaea and P. elliottii have the highest proportions of full seeds (> 70%) and P. oocarpa and P. elliottii, the highest viability (> 90%) and germination rates (> 90%). Among the germinated seeds of the three species more than 90% developed to seedling stage. Concerning seedling growth, P. caribaea and P. oocarpa showed greater vigor than P. elliottii. In the field, the three species showed similar and very low germination rates (<1.5% of the total sown), preferably in more humid soils. The seed rain of P. elliottii inside the plantation stand was much higher (at least twice) compared to the other two species. The dispersal distance of P. elliottii seeds was higher in the first 30 m, but reached 150 m. The results show that P. caribaea and P. oocarpa are able to become invaders due to their high values of seed viability and germination, and vigor growth, however, the determining factor for the invasive success of P. elliottii is probably its higher propagule pressure, caused by several human mediated introductions, and high production of seeds.