<p>Biodiversity in forests depends on long canopy continuity and existence of different elements which function as substrates for varying organisms. Bryophytes often occupy specific substrates with a patchy distribution. The aim of this thesis was to increase the ecological knowledge about two threatened moss species; <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i>, inhabiting decaying wood, and <i>Neckera pennata</i>, inhabiting bark of base-rich deciduous trees. </p><p>Establishment from spores was investigated in <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> and <i>Neckera pennata</i> and models were created to predict germination of spores as a function of pH and water potential. The effects of pH, phosphorus and nitrogen concentration were studied in <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i>, both on spore germination and on sporophyte occurrences in the field. Colony growth in relation to precipitation and microhabitat variables was studied in <i>Neckera pennata</i>, and a model was used to predict growth of colonies over time. Metapopulation dynamics of <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> were analyzed as an effect of precipitation, habitat quality and patch quantity. A spatial explicit patch occupancy model was constructed to simulate metapopulation sizes and extinction risk over 100 years.</p><p>The quality of the substrate was very important for spore establishment. Germination success increased with increasing pH in both species. <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> was less sensitive to low pH than <i>Neckera pennata</i> when water was freely available. However, there was a strong interaction between pH and water potential in prediction of the final cumulative germination: the spores reacted positively to one factor only when the other factor was in a favourable range.</p><p>Precipitation, moisture holding capacity and interference competition were the main factors affecting colony growth of <i>Neckera pennata</i>. <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> showed large fluctuations in number of occupied patches among years. Both colonizations and extinctions were highly related to precipitation. Spore germination and sporophyte occurrences in the field were positively related to phosphorus concentration and pH of the substrate.</p>

This dissertation examines aspects of the relationship between connectivity and the development of genetic structure in subdivided coral reef populations using both simulation and algebraic methods. The first chapter develops an object-oriented, individual based method of simulating the dynamics of genes in subdivided populations. The model is then used to investigate how changes to different components of population structure (e.g., connectivity, birth rate, population size) influence genetic structure through the use of autocorrelation analysis. The autocorrelograms also demonstrate how relationships between populations change at different spatial and temporal scales. The second chapter uses discrete multivariate distributions to model the relationship between connectivity, selection and resource use in subdivided populations. The equations provide a stochastic basis for multiple-niche polymorphism through differential resource use, and the role of scale in changing selective weightings is also considered. The third chapter uses matrix equations to study the expected development of genetic structure among Caribbean coral reefs. The results show an expected break between eastern and western portions of the Caribbean, as well as additional nested structure within the Bahamas, the central Caribbean (Jamaica and the reefs of the Nicaraguan Rise) and the Mesoamerican Barrier Reef. The matrix equations provide an efficient means of modeling the development of genetic structure in subdivided populations through time. The fourth chapter uses matrix equations to examine the expected development of genetic structure among Southeast Asian coral reefs. Projecting genetic structure reveals an expected unidirectional connection from the South China Sea into the Coral Triangle region via the Sulu Sea. Larvae appear to be restricted from moving back into the South China Sea by a cyclonic gyre in the Sulu Sea. Additional structure is also evident, including distinct clusters within the Philippines, in the vicinity of the Makassar Strait, in the Flores Sea, and near Halmahera and the Banda Sea. The ability to evaluate the expected development of genetic structure over time in subdivided populations offers a number of potential benefits, including the ability to ascertain the expected direction of gene flow, to delineate natural regions of exchange through clustering, or to identify critical areas for conservation or for managing the spread of invasive material via elasticity analysis.

Listed as federally-endangered in 1990, the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (LKMR, Sylvilagus palustris hefneri) exists as a metapopulation in patches of wetland habitat in Florida’s Lower Keys. This study sought to address 2 priority actions identified by the LKMR Recovery Team: (1) monitoring of populations and (2) reintroduction. Monitoring the distribution and status of LKMR populations is critical for targeting future management actions. Informal transects for rabbit fecal pellets were used to survey habitat patches documented in1988–1995 surveys and to identify additional patches of occupied and potential habitat. Next, a buffer was created around patches to help managers account for uncertainty in rabbit movements and to identify groups of patches that might function as local populations. Surveys included 228 patches of occupied and potential habitat, 102 of which were occupied by rabbits. Patches were arranged in 56 occupied and 88 potential populations. Surveys revealed new patches of both occupied and potential habitat. Considering only areas included in 1988–1995 surveys, however, revealed a net decrease in the number of occupied patches. Many of the recently extirpated populations, which tended to occupy the periphery of larger islands or small neighboring islands, were unlikely to be recolonized without human intervention. Reintroduction provides a means of artificially recolonizing potential habitat. Two pilot reintroductions were conducted to evaluate this conservation strategy for the species. The second reintroduction was postponed, but the first effort met all criteria for short-term success, including survival comparable to a control group, fidelity to release sites, and evidence of reproduction. There are a limited number of potential source populations for translocations. Future efforts should consider using in-situ captive breeding to prevent potential long-term impacts to these populations. Few potential release sites exhibited suitable habitat quality and landscape context. Thus, for reintroduction to be more widely-applied for this species, it must be part of a comprehensive management plan involving land acquisition, control of secondary impacts from development, and habitat restoration and enhancement.

Biodiversity in forests depends on long canopy continuity and existence of different elements which function as substrates for varying organisms. Bryophytes often occupy specific substrates with a patchy distribution. The aim of this thesis was to increase the ecological knowledge about two threatened moss species; Buxbaumia viridis, inhabiting decaying wood, and Neckera pennata, inhabiting bark of base-rich deciduous trees. Establishment from spores was investigated in Buxbaumia viridis and Neckera pennata and models were created to predict germination of spores as a function of pH and water potential. The effects of pH, phosphorus and nitrogen concentration were studied in Buxbaumia viridis, both on spore germination and on sporophyte occurrences in the field. Colony growth in relation to precipitation and microhabitat variables was studied in Neckera pennata, and a model was used to predict growth of colonies over time. Metapopulation dynamics of Buxbaumia viridis were analyzed as an effect of precipitation, habitat quality and patch quantity. A spatial explicit patch occupancy model was constructed to simulate metapopulation sizes and extinction risk over 100 years. The quality of the substrate was very important for spore establishment. Germination success increased with increasing pH in both species. Buxbaumia viridis was less sensitive to low pH than Neckera pennata when water was freely available. However, there was a strong interaction between pH and water potential in prediction of the final cumulative germination: the spores reacted positively to one factor only when the other factor was in a favourable range. Precipitation, moisture holding capacity and interference competition were the main factors affecting colony growth of Neckera pennata. Buxbaumia viridis showed large fluctuations in number of occupied patches among years. Both colonizations and extinctions were highly related to precipitation. Spore germination and sporophyte occurrences in the field were positively related to phosphorus concentration and pH of the substrate.

The oak district of Östergötland is one of the largest oak forests left in Europe and it harbours many threatened species dependent on old hollow trees. In this study, the saproxylic beetle Osmoderma eremita living in hollow oaks was used as a model species and parameterised for a metapopulation model (the incidence function model) at the level of individual trees. The aim was to set up a number of conservation management scenarios, where new oaks were added to increase the quality of the matrix and then simulate the resulting metapopulation occupancy, using three levels of dispersal. A real data set of hollow oaks was used as the base for modeling. Oaks were added to cells in a lattice covering the study landscape, where cell size, cell position and numbers of oaks per hectare were varied. The results show that a larger area of added oaks and a greater number of oaks per hectare will give a higher increase in total occupancy, no matter the dispersal, but the second smallest cell size used (3.4 km2 ) will give the highest response per effort for medium and high dispersal abilities, and smaller cells with greater number of oaks per area can be more effective. The spatial position of the increase in occupancy differs depending on dispersal ability of the focal species and should be considered in conservation management work. For unoccupied cells, the effort required to get the cell occupied will be smaller for cells having a greater number of oaks.

Listed as federally-endangered in 1990, the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (LKMR, Sylvilagus palustris hefneri) exists as a metapopulation in patches of wetland habitat in Florida’s Lower Keys. This study sought to address 2 priority actions identified by the LKMR Recovery Team: (1) monitoring of populations and (2) reintroduction. Monitoring the distribution and status of LKMR populations is critical for targeting future management actions. Informal transects for rabbit fecal pellets were used to survey habitat patches documented in1988–1995 surveys and to identify additional patches of occupied and potential habitat. Next, a buffer was created around patches to help managers account for uncertainty in rabbit movements and to identify groups of patches that might function as local populations. Surveys included 228 patches of occupied and potential habitat, 102 of which were occupied by rabbits. Patches were arranged in 56 occupied and 88 potential populations. Surveys revealed new patches of both occupied and potential habitat. Considering only areas included in 1988–1995 surveys, however, revealed a net decrease in the number of occupied patches. Many of the recently extirpated populations, which tended to occupy the periphery of larger islands or small neighboring islands, were unlikely to be recolonized without human intervention. Reintroduction provides a means of artificially recolonizing potential habitat. Two pilot reintroductions were conducted to evaluate this conservation strategy for the species. The second reintroduction was postponed, but the first effort met all criteria for short-term success, including survival comparable to a control group, fidelity to release sites, and evidence of reproduction. There are a limited number of potential source populations for translocations. Future efforts should consider using in-situ captive breeding to prevent potential long-term impacts to these populations. Few potential release sites exhibited suitable habitat quality and landscape context. Thus, for reintroduction to be more widely-applied for this species, it must be part of a comprehensive management plan involving land acquisition, control of secondary impacts from development, and habitat restoration and enhancement.

Bacterioplankton is characterized by high diversity, short generation times and rapid turnover. Despite their small size, these numerous microorganisms are a fundamental piece of aquatic ecosystems by channeling carbon to higher trophic levels through dissolved organic matter utilization. Yet, several gaps remain in our knowledge and understanding of bacterioplankton populations regarding detailed temporal dynamics, and mechanisms determining biogeographical patterns and potential responses to climate change. The aim of this thesis was to examine responses in bacterioplankton community composition and function when challenged by natural and anthropogenically-induced change in environmental conditions. High temporal resolution analysis of bacterioplankton population dynamics in the Baltic Sea indicated detailed seasonal responses. It also showed a similar but wide spectrum of niche differentiation patterns within several major bacterial groups. Analysis of geographic distributions of marine bacterial populations revealed bimodal occupancy-frequency patterns in bacterial communities, indicating that the presence of many locally rare taxa along with a few locally abundant taxa were explained by stochastic variation in colonization and extinction rates. Experimental manipulations with natural marine bacterioplankton assemblages revealed both specialist and generalist strategies in utilizing specific dissolved organic carbon compounds. When subjected to experimentally increased sea surface temperatures, lowered pH and additions of terrigenous carbon, some populations decreased in relative abundance while others were stable; concomitantly, many populations increased in relative abundance. Shifts in bacterial community composition were shown to correlate with changes in community functioning, but detection of such correlations depended largely on the detail of phylogenetic analysis and successional stage of the communities. The results in this thesis suggest that both natural and anthropogenically-induced changes in environmental conditions promote simultaneous adjustment and replacement of bacterial populations tightly linked with metabolic plasticity. These trade-offs play a significant role for understanding the relationship between bacterioplankton population dynamics and potential shifts in carbon cycling properties. We also show the importance of regional effects in shaping bacterial community composition, crucial for interpreting bacterioplankton distribution patterns. In conclusion, this thesis emphasizes the critical importance of connecting analysis of bacterioplankton population dynamics with examination of ecological mechanisms to improve our understanding of factors that regulate the distribution and activity of distinct bacterioplankton populations. / Hälften av all fotosyntes på vår planet utförs av växtplankton. De producerar organiskt material som utgör grunden för näringskedjan i havet. Ungefär hälften av det organiska material som produceras av växtplankton utnyttjas inte direkt, utan omsätts istället av bakterieplankton som lever och växer fritt i vattenmassan eller på olika partiklar. Bakterieplankton spelar därmed en nyckelroll i ekosystemet genom sin konsumtion av organiskt kol som för energi högre upp i näringskedjan. Trots deras nyckelroll i akvatiska miljöer vet vi fortfarande mycket lite om bakteriernas detaljerade säsongsmönster, mekanismer bakom rumsliga mönster och hur olika populationer kan komma att svara på klimatförändringar. Målet med denna avhandling var att undersöka hur specifika populationers dynamik och ekosystemfunktion påverkas av naturliga eller klimatorsakade förändringar i havsmiljön. Våra resultat av högupplöst säsongsbunden dynamik i Östersjöns bakteriesamhälle avslöjar en liknande bred uppdelning av ekologiska strategier inom varje större grupp av bakterier, både i relativ abundans och temporal fördelning. Utbredning i rum och tid av många lokalt ovanliga populationer jämfört med få lokalt vanliga populationer förklarades genom stokastisk variation i kolonisations- och utdöendehastigheter. Vidare tyder experimentella studier med tillsatser av olika kolkällor på att marina bakterier har olika ekologiska strategier, där populationer är specialister eller generalister i utnyttjandet av enskilda kolkällor. Med hjälp av experiment med naturliga bakteriesamhällen bekräftade vi tydliga temperatureffekter på bakteriesamhällets sammansättning, och en mindre effekt av lägre pH - som dock tillsammans med förhöjd temperatur bidrog till en tydlig synergistisk effekt på artsammansättningen. Ökad temperatur tillsammans med tillsats av terrestert kol gav också en stor effekt på bakteriesamhällets struktur och ekosystemfunktion och pekar på en potentiellt viktig påverkan av ökad framtida nederbörd och avrinning från vattendrag till havet. Samtliga tre experiment med fokus på klimatpåverkan bekräftade förekomsten av populationer som försvann eller minskade i relativ abundans vid klimatpåverkan (känslighet), medan andra var stabila (resistens). Samtidigt svarade många populationer positivt på klimatorsakade förändringar i havsmiljön och ökade i relativ abundans (respons) samtidigt som bakteriernas ekosystemfunktion påverkades positivt. Sammanfattningsvis visar denna avhandling att vissa nya bakteriepopulationer kan etablera sig och ersätta andra samtidigt som vissa befintliga populationer anpassar sin livsstrategi och ekologi till förändringar i havsmiljön. Vi visar också vikten av regionala effekter, d.v.s. kolonisation och utdöende, för bakteriesamhällets struktur, viktigt för tolkningen av biogeografiska mönster och den genomiska potentialen hos specifika populationer. Denna avhandling poängterar därmed betydelsen av att koppla studier av ekologiska mekanismer till både rumsliga och temporala spridningsmönster hos bakterier och till populationers kapacitet att svara på och anpassa sig till förändringar i havsmiljön.

No description available.

The monitoring and assessment of prawn populations in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, has been identified as a continuing research priority by both the fishing industry and the fisheries managers. This dissertation presents a series of dynamic population models developed to evaluate the status of the eastern king prawn (Melicertus plebejus) and eastern school prawn (Metapenaeus macleayi) populations within NSW and to analyse the relative performance of a number of alternative management strategies involving the three fisheries that target these species. Monthly commercial prawn catch and effort data from 1984 to 2006 were used to calibrate the stock assessment models. Where possible, the results of previous research were used to develop the structure of the model and to provide estimates of biological parameters. A process of increasing model complexity, including the addition of physical processes, such as river discharge events and economic considerations, was undertaken in an attempt to develop the most appropriate model for the analysis of management strategies. The first model presented was used to undertake a single-species assessment of the eastern king prawn stock and was based on a delay-difference population model with four different representations of recruitment. This model was calibrated to observations using the Bayesian sampling/importance re-sampling method and used to test the effect of significant changes in the future catch on the stock. The second model presented is a size-based metapopulation model which incorporated the dynamics of school prawns over three habitats, being harvested by three different fishing methods. This model was used to test the effect of alternative climate variability scenarios on the stock. The third model presented is a multi-species, multi-fishery bio-economic model. This model was used to examine the impact of nine alternative economic scenarios, incorporating various combinations of input costs and product prices. The results from the use of these models indicated that neither of the prawn population appeared to be over-exploited. The analyses also indicated that none of the alternative management strategies were found to stand-out enough to justify a move away from the current management strategy of input controls and spatio-temporal closures, even under a range of future scenarios including climate change and large movements in input costs and product prices.

Uma metapopulação pode ser definida como uma população regional de populações locais geograficamente distintas, interconectadas por migração. Dentro deste contexto, modelos de dinâmica metapopulacional espacialmente implícitos descrevem a taxa de variação da proporção de manchas ocupadas por uma ou mais espécies por meio de um balanço entre os processos de colonização de manchas vazias e extinção de manchas ocupadas. O modelo metapopulacional de Levins prevê que mesmo na presença de habitat adequado, uma espécie pode se extinguir regionalmente, de forma determinística, se a intensidade de extinção for maior do que a intensidade de colonização. Além disso, este modelo sugere a existência de uma quantidade limiar de habitat remanescente, abaixo do qual a extinção regional determinística da espécie ocorre. Características importantes da dinâmica espacial, tais quais, efeito Allee, efeito resgate, colonização externa, qualidade da matriz, efeito anti-resgate e heterogeneidade de manchas podem ser incluídas em variantes do modelo de Levins. Uma outra extensão natural desses modelos é o agrupamento das manchas com relação ao seu estado de ocupação em modelos de metapopulações de espécies interativas, dando origem aos modelos de metacomunidades. Estudos de dinâmica de metacomunidades permitem a análise das relações entre a diversidade de espécies e a heterogeneidade ambiental no nível da paisagem, bem como as implicações de interações diretas e indiretas para a estrutura de comunidades.