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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
471

Essais sur la taille et le caractère redistributif des systèmes de retraite par répartition

Hachon, Christophe 04 December 2008 (has links) (PDF)
L'objectif de cette thèse est d'étudier les propriétés redistributives des systèmes de retraite par répartition. Nous montrons tout d'abord que la redistribution intergénérationnelle et la redistribution verticale jouent un rôle important pour la détermination de la taille des systèmes de transferts organisés par l'Etat. Puis, nous étudions l'impact sur l'accumulation du capital et le bien-être de la redistributivité instantanée des systèmes de retraite. Enn, nous montrons qu'un système de retraite par répartition peut être régressif si les inégalités face à la mort sont signicatives.
472

Accumulation du capital et inégalités : Une approche comparée Chine / Brésil

Gaulard, Mylène 12 November 2008 (has links) (PDF)
Cette thèse conduit à nous interroger sur le caractère soutenable de l'accumulation chinoise, et à insister sur les éléments que ce pays comporte en commun avec le Brésil. La dynamique du processus d'accumulation de la Chine et du Brésil est envisagée à partir du comportement des entreprises nationales et étrangères, ainsi que de la structure socioéconomique de ces deux pays. Dans un premier temps, nous présentons les caractéristiques de l'évolution historique de la Chine afin de mieux comprendre la situation actuelle. Sont alors mises en évidence les raisons pour lesquelles le développement économique s'est réalisé de manière distincte en Chine et au Brésil, ainsi que son articulation historiquement différenciée avec le système capitaliste mondial. Ensuite, nous insistons sur le phénomène qui semble rapprocher le plus aujourd'hui la situation économique de la Chine de celle du Brésil : l'importance des inégalités. Alors que les inégalités semblent aujourd'hui peser sur l'accumulation brésilienne, la Chine maintient un taux de formation brute de capital fixe supérieur à 40%. Après une étude de l'évolution historique des appareils productifs chinois et brésiliens, l'accent est mis essentiellement sur les impasses vers lesquelles leur mode d'accumulation risque de les mener. Pour résumer, il s'agit de comprendre, à l'aune de l'économie brésilienne, les blocages vers lesquels la Chine se dirige, et de remettre en cause la thèse selon laquelle les pays de la Périphérie peuvent constituer une menace pour les économies du Centre. Bien au contraire, les blocages auxquels risque de se confronter le processus d'accumulation, aussi bien dans les pays du Centre que dans ceux de la Périphérie, sont dus aux caractéristiques propres du mode de production capitaliste, et sont inhérents au fonctionnement de celui-ci.
473

Transformations économiques et formes d'Etat au Venezuela : un siècle de " capitalisme pétrolier " (1908-2008)

Croes Gonzalez, Hemmi 25 October 2011 (has links) (PDF)
Les transformations de l'infrastructure économique et ses rapports avec l'État au Venezuela entre 1908 et 2008 constituent l'objet général de cette thèse. Il s'agit de proposer un cadre d'interprétation général de l'histoire économique nationale considérée dans ses liens avec le capitalisme mondial et dans sa spécificité propre. Les forces qui structurent le mode de reproduction de l'économie vénézuélienne ne diffèrent guère de celles valables pour les économies périphériques en générale. La constitution et la hiérarchisation de l'économie mondiale capitaliste apparait comme la détermination la plus générale : les transformations des processus de production des pays du Centre et, leur corrélat, la division internationale du travail imposée à l'ensemble du monde balisent le processus d'accumulation à l'échelle mondiale. Toutefois, bien que l'évolution de l'économie mondiale capitaliste soit la même pour tous, les réponses économiques, politiques et sociales que la division internationale du travail suscitent sont spécifiques à chaque formation. La dichotomie centre/périphérie se traduit par des formes d'articulation différenciées des pays périphériques avec les centres capitalistes. Aussi, c'est ce dernier trait qui permet d'expliquer les différentes trajectoires de développement. En ce sens, les pays mono exportateurs de pétrole constituent des cas extrêmes qui les différencient radicalement des autres pays de la périphérie. Le Venezuela constitue, à cet égard, un exemple classique. Cette caractéristique fonde la différence de structure productive, de rapports de classes et de formes d'Etat entre le Venezuela et les autres pays latino-américains.
474

Piégeage de positons dans un piège de Penning Malmberg, en vue de leur accumulation avec un faisceau pulsé

Dupré, Pierre 27 September 2011 (has links) (PDF)
Le principe d'équivalence faible, pilier de la relativité générale d'Einstein, stipule que la masse gravitationnelle est égale à la masse inertielle quelque soit le corps. Ce principe d'équivalence n'a jamais été directement testé avec l'antimatière. L'expérience GBAR se propose de le tester en mesurant l'accélération d'atomes d'anti-hydrogène ultra froids en chute libre. La production de tels anti-atomes nécessite une impulsion de l'ordre de 1e10 positons en quelques dizaines de nanosecondes. Cette thèse porte sur le développement d'une nouvelle technique d'accumulation de positons dans un piège de Penning-Malmberg pour créer une telle impulsion. Cette nouvelle méthode est une amélioration de la technique d'accumulation d'Oshima et al. . Cette technique nécessite un plasma non neutre d'électrons pour refroidir les positons dans le piège afin de les confiner. Les positons sont délivrés par une source continue et l'efficacité de piégeage est de l'ordre de 0.4%. La nouvelle méthode proposée a besoin d'un faisceau pulsé de positons et son efficacité est estimée à 80%. Une partie de cette thèse a été effectuée à RIKEN (Tokyo) sur le piège d'Oshima et al. afin d'étudier le comportement de plasmas non neutres dans ce type de piège et cette méthode d'accumulation de positons. Un modèle théorique a été développé pour simuler son efficacité de confinement des positons. La description et l'étude systématique de la nouvelle méthode d'accumulation avec un faisceau pulsé de positons sont présentées, notamment l'optimisation par simulation numérique de la configuration électromagnétique du piège et des paramètres des plasmas non neutres utilisés.
475

Metal fate and sensitivity in the aquatic tropical vegetable <i>Ipomoea aquatica</i>

Göthberg, Agneta January 2008 (has links)
<p>The aquatic plant <i>Ipomoea aquatica</i> is a popular vegetable in Southeast Asia, often cultivated in nutrient rich and polluted waters. The overall aim of this thesis was to estimate potential risks for human health and reduced plant growth due to accumulation and toxicity of total-Hg, methyl-Hg, Cd and Pb.</p><p>In plants from cultivations in Thailand, the concentrations of Cd and Pb in the shoots were well beneath recommended maximum values for human consumption, but at some sites the Hg concentrations were high. It was demonstrated that <i>I. aquatica</i> has the capacity to accumulate much higher Cd and Pb concentrations in the shoots than found in field-cultivations, before exhibiting toxic symptoms. The Hg concentrations, however, occasionally reached levels that are toxic for the plant. Up to11% of total-Hg was methyl-Hg, the most toxic Hg species, though at one site it was 50-100%. To study if methyl-Hg is formed in <i>I.</i> <i>aquatica</i>, plants were exposed to inorganic Hg through the roots. Of the Hg that reached the young, metabolically active parts of the shoots, a part was transformed to methyl-Hg. A major proportion of absorbed metals was retained in the roots, which had a high tolerance for high internal metal concentrations. </p><p>The nutrient level did influence accumulation and effects of Hg, Cd and Pb in<i> I. aquatica</i>. Low external nutrient levels resulted in increased metal accumulation in the shoots and in metal-induced toxic effects in the plant at low external metal levels. A generous supply of sulphur or nitrogen induced formation of thiol-rich peptides in <i>I. aquatica</i>, compounds that have a metal detoxifying effect in plants. </p><p>To conclude, the levels of Cd and Pb in field cultivated <i>I. aquatica</i> do not pose any apparent threat to human health or risk for reduced plant growth. The levels of Hg however, were high at some sites and could be a health threat, for children and foetuses in particular, and especially considering the presence of methyl-Hg. The use of fertilizers is favourable as it reduces the risk for increased metal concentrations in <i>I.</i> <i>aquatica</i> and for reduced crop yields. </p>
476

Effects of DNA mismatch repair inhibition in Arabidopsis thaliana

Wilcox, Buck W. L. 13 March 2012 (has links)
Genomic instability underlies diseases of unregulated cell growth that result in cancers and developmental abnormalities in humans. Similar genome destabilizing mechanisms are used to create genetic variety in crops for use in breeding and trait development. Errors that occur during DNA replication may cause mutations if they are not corrected before further cell divisions. DNA mismatch repair (MMR) corrects misinsertions and insertion/deletion DNA loop-outs that arise during DNA replication in plants, animals, prokaryotes, and some archaea, all of which incur mutations at rates 100 to 1,000-fold greater when subjected to inherited or somatic-mismatch repair deficiencies. An understanding of the effects of mismatch repair on somatic and germ-line cells in Arabidopsis thaliana is critical to the development of this plant as a model system for the study of genomic instability. Insertions and deletions of multiples of two base pairs in dinucleotide repeat sequences (microsatellites) occur more frequently in the absence of mismatch repair, and the mismatch-repair status of an individual, tissue, or cell may be inferred on the basis of microsatellite mutation frequency. Single-template PCR analysis measured microsatellite mutation frequencies in leaves and shoot-apical-meristem stem cells, and allowed me to address for the first time an important question: Do plants relax mismatch repair in vegetative tissues relative to meristematic germ-line and floral tissue? Analyses of four microsatellite loci in mismatch repair-deficient and wild type plants surprisingly suggest that there is little difference in mismatch repair activity between leaves and seeds. Mismatch-repair-deficient leaves displayed only two-fold higher microsatellite mutation frequency compared to wild type, and wild-type leaves also displayed a two-fold higher microsatellite mutation frequency compared to shoot-apical- meristems. The high frequency of microsatellite mutation in these wildtype tissues is unexpected, and it suggests that plants relax mismatch repair in differentiated tissues while maintaining genetic fidelity in a small set of stem cells in the shoot apical meristem (SAM). Genome sequencing of msh2⁻/⁻ mutation accumulation A. thaliana lines provides an estimated germ-line mutation rate of 3.9 × 10⁻⁷ in the absence of mismatch repair. Comparison of the rates of base substitution mutation per chromosome in mismatch repair-deficient plants with rates reported for wild-type plants suggests mismatch repair is more efficient on chromosome 5 than on chromosomes 1-4. Bias towards G:C → A:T mutations among transitions is maintained but increased nearly 100-fold in the absence of mismatch repair. / Graduation date: 2012
477

The Earthquake Cycle of Strike-Slip Faults

Schmalzle, Gina Marie 14 December 2008 (has links)
An earthquake is a mechanism of stress release along plate boundaries due to relative motion between the Earth's lithospheric blocks. The period in which stresses are accruing across the plate boundary is known as the interseismic portion of the earthquake cycle. This dissertation focuses on interseismic portion of the earthquake cycle to extract characteristics of fault, shear zone and rock properties. Global Positioning System (GPS) data are used to observe the pattern of deformation across two primarily strike-slip fault systems: the Carrizo Segment of the San Andreas Fault (SAF) and the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ). Two sets of GPS data are processed, analyzed and applied to analytic and numerical models describing the interseismic behavior of the earthquake cycle. The Carrizo segment is mature (i.e., had many earthquakes) and has juxtaposed terrains with varying rock properties laterally across the fault system. Lateral variations in rock properties affect the pattern of deformation around strike-slip faults and affect how surrounding rock deforms and if not considered may bias the interpretation of the faulted system. The Carrizo segment separates Franciscan terrain northeast of the fault from Salinian block to the southwest. GPS data are well fit to a model with a 15-25 km weak zone northeast of the Carrizo segment. The long-term slip rate estimated on the SAF is 34-38 mm/yr, with 2-4 mm/yr accommodated on faults to the west. The viscosity for the combined lower crust/upper mantle is estimated at 2-5x10^19 Pa s. This model is consistent with the distribution of rock type and corresponding laboratory data on their material properties, paleoseismic, seismic and magnetotelluric data. The ECSZ is a young (<10 >Myr) system of strike-slip faults including the Owens Valley - Airport Lake, Panamint Valley - Ash Hill - Hunter Mountain and Death Valley - Furnace Creek fault systems. The ECSZ study concentrates on fault evolution by finding the current position of maximum shear across the shear zone and estimating fault rates. Geologic studies suggest that the Death Valley - Furnace Creek fault system on eastern end of the ECSZ was the primary accommodator of slip early in the ECSZ history. This study suggests that the current locus of shear has shifted westward, and resides in the center of the ECSZ under the Panamint Valley - Ash Hill -Hunter Mountain fault system. The model dependent estimated geodetic rate of the Ash Hill - Panamint Valley -Hunter Mountain fault system (4.91-6.11 mm/yr) is faster than geologic estimates (1.6 - 4 mm/yr). The result is interpreted as a simplification of the ECSZ with time, combined with progressive westward migration of deformation. The best estimate for a combined rate across the shear zone is 10 mm/yr (20% of total Pacific-North America motion). The summation of rates obtained by this study is 49 mm/yr, well within estimates obtained by previous studies using independent techniques.
478

Tectonic and climatic forcing in orogenic processes : the foreland basin point of view, Alborz mountains, N Iran

Ballato, Paolo January 2009 (has links)
Systeme von Vorlandbecken repräsentieren bedeutende geologische Archive und dienen dem Verständnis von Rückkopplungen zwischen oberflächennahen und tektonischen Prozessen. Außerdem dokumentieren sie die Entwicklung unmittelbar angrenzender Bergketten. Die sedimentären Abfolgen in Vorlandbecken reflektieren das Gleichgewicht zwischen tektonischer Subsidenz, der Bildung langzeitlichen Akkommodationsraumes und des Sedimenteintrages, welcher wiederum die Wirksamkeit von Erosions- und Massenneuverteilungsprozessen wiederspiegelt. Um die Effekte von Klima und Tektonik in einem solchen System zu erforschen, untersuchte ich die Oligo-Miozänen Sedimente in den Vorlandbecken der südlichen Elburs Bergkette, einem intrakontinentalen Gebirge in Nord-Iran, das im Zuge der Arabisch-Eurasischen Kontinent-Kollision herausgehoben wurde. In dieser Studie der Vorlandbeckensedimente wurden Datierungstechniken angewandt (40Ar/39Ar, (U-Th)/He Thermochronologie und Magnetostratigraphie), die Sedimente und deren Herkunft analysiert und die Tonmineralogie, sowie Sauerstoff- und Kohlenstoffisotope untersucht. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass auf einer Zeitskala von 105 bis 106 Jahren eine systematische Korrelation zwischen „coarsening upward“ Zyklen und den sedimentären Akkumulationsraten besteht. Während sukzessiver Überschiebungsphasen werden die durch Hebung der Bergkette bereitgestellten groben Kornfraktionen in proximale Bereiche des Beckens geliefert und feinkörnige Fazies in distalen Beckenregionen abgelagert. Variationen in der Sedimentherkunft in Phasen größerer tektonischer Aktivität zeugen von erosionaler Abdeckung und/oder der Umorganisation natürlicher Entwässerungsstrukturen. Außerdem zeigen die Untersuchungen an stabilen Isotopen, dass die verstärkte tektonische Aktivität das Anwachsen der Topographie förderte und damit die Wirksamkeit einer topographischen Barriere erhöhte. Wenn aufgrund nachlassender Beckenabsenkung die grobe Kornfraktion nicht vollständig im Nahbereich des Beckens aufgenommen werden kann breitet sie sich in ferne Beckenregionen aus. Im Elburs wird die verringerte Subsidenz durch eine interne Hebung des Vorlandes hervorgerufen und ist mit einer lateralen Stapelung von Flussbetten assoziiert. Dokumentiert wird dies anhand konsequenten Schichtwachstums, tektonischer Schrägstellung und sedimentärer Umlagerung. Gleichzeitig nehmen die Sedimentationsraten zu. Die Sauerstoff-Isotope der Paläoböden zeigen, dass dieser Anstieg mit einer Phase feuchteren Klimas einhergeht, wodurch Oberflächenprozesse effizienter werden und Heraushebungssraten steigen, was eine positive Rückkopplung erzeugt. Des Weiteren zeigen die isotopischen und sedimentären Daten, dass seit 10-9 Millionen Jahren (Ma) das Klima durch saisonalen Anstieg der Niederschläge zunehmend feuchter wurde. Da bedeutende klimatische Veränderungen zu dieser Zeit auch im Mittelmeerraum und Asien beobachtet wurden, ist anzunehmen, dass die klimatische Veränderung, die im Elburs Gebirge beobachtet wird, höchstwahrscheinlich Änderungen der atmosphärischen Zirkulationen der nördlichen Hemisphäre reflektiert. Aus den Ergebnissen dieser Studie lassen sich zusätzliche Implikationen für die Entwicklung des Elburs Gebirges und die Arabisch-Eurasische kontinentale Kollisionszone ableiten. Die orogen-weite Hauptdeformation propagierte nicht gleichmäßig nach Süden, sondern seit dem Oligozän schrittweise vorwärts und rückwärts. Insbesondere von ~17,5 bis 6,2 Ma wurde das Gebirge durch eine Kombination aus frontaler Akkretion und interner Keildeformation in Schritten von 0,7 bis 2 Millionen Jahren herausgehoben. Darüber hinaus deuten die Sedimentherkunftsdaten darauf hin, dass sich noch vor 10-9 Ma die Haupteinengungsrichtung von NW-SE nach NNE-SSW veränderte. Regional erlaubt die Geschichte der untersuchten Becken und angrenzenden Gebirgszüge Rückschlüsse auf ein neues geodynamisches Model zur Entwicklung der Arabisch-Eurasischen kontinentalen Kollisionszone. Zahlreiche Sedimentbecken des Elburs Gebirges und anderer Lokalitäten der Arabisch-Eurasischen Deformationszone belegen einen Wechsel von einem tensionalen zu einem kompressionalen tektonischen Regime vor ~36 Ma . Dieser Wechsel könnte den Beginn der Subduktion von gedehnter arabischer kontinentaler Lithosphäre unter Zentral-Iran bedeuten, was zu einer moderaten Plattenkopplung und Deformation von Unter- sowie Oberplatte geführt hat. Der Anstieg der Deformationsraten im südlichen Elburs Gebirge seit ~17,5 Ma lässt vermuten, dass die Oberplatte, wahrscheinlich aufgrund steigender Plattenkopplung, seit dem frühen Miozän signifikant deformiert wurde. Diese Veränderung könnte der Subduktion mächtigerer arabischer kontinentaler Lithosphäre zugeschrieben werden und den Anfang echter kontinentaler Kollision bedeuten. Dieses Model erklärt daher die Zeitverzögerung zwischen der Initiation der Arabisch-Eurasischen kontinentalen Kollision (Eozän-Oligozän) and dem Beginn ausgedehnter Deformation in der Kollisionszone (Miozän). / Foreland-basin systems are excellent archives to decipher the feedbacks between surface and tectonic processes in orogens. The sedimentary architecture of a foreland-basin system reflects the balance between tectonic subsidence causing long-term accommodation space and sediment influx corresponding to efficiency of erosion and mass-redistribution processes. In order to explore the effects of climatic and tectonic forcing in such a system, I investigated the Oligo-Miocene foreland-basin sediments of the southern Alborz mountains, an intracontinental orogen in northern Iran, related to the Arabia-Eurasia continental collision. This work includes absolute dating methods such as 40Ar/39Ar and zircon (U-Th)/He thermochronology, magnetostratigraphy, sedimentological analysis, sandstone and conglomerate provenance study, carbon and oxygen isotope analysis, and clay mineralogy study. Results show a systematic correlation between coarsening-upward cycles and sediment accumulation rates in the basin on 105 to 106yr time scales. During thrust loading phases, the coarse-grained fraction supplied by the uplifting range is stored in the proximal part of the basin (sedimentary facies retrogradation), while fine-grained sediments are deposited in distal sectors. Variations in sediment provenance during these phases of enhanced tectonic activity give evidence for erosional unroofing phases and/or drainage-reorganization events. In addition, enhanced tectonic activity promoted the growth of topography and associated orographic barrier effects, as demonstrated by sedimentologic indicators and the analysis of stable C and O isotopes from calcareous paleosols and lacustrine/palustrine samples. Extensive progradation of coarse-grained deposits occurs during phases of decreased subsidence, when the coarse-grained fraction supplied by the uplifting range cannot be completely stored in the proximal part of the basin. In this environment, a reduction in basin subsidence is associated with laterally stacked fluvial channel deposits, and is related to intra-foreland uplift, as documented by growth strata, tectonic tilting, and sediment reworking. Increase in sediment accumulation rate associated with progradation of vertically-stacked coarse-grained fluvial channels also occurs. Paleosol O-isotope data shows that this increase is related to wetter climatic phases, suggesting that surface processes are more efficient and exhumation rates increase, giving rise to a positive feedback. Furthermore, isotopic and sedimentologic data show that starting from 10-9 Ma, climate became less arid with an increase in seasonality of precipitation. Because important changes were also recorded in the Mediterranean Sea and Asia at that time, the evidence for climatic variability observed in the Alborz mountains most likely reflects changes in Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation patterns. This study has additional implications for the evolution of the Alborz mountains and the Arabia-Eurasia continental collision zone. At the orogenic scale, the locus of deformation did not move steadily southward, but stepped forward and backward since Oligocene time. In particular, from ~ 17.5 to 6.2 Ma the orogen grew by a combination of frontal accretion and wedge-internal deformation on time scales of ca. 0.7 to 2 m.y. Moreover, the provenance data suggest that prior to 10-9 Ma the shortening direction changed from NW-SE to NNE-SSW, in agreement with structural data. On the scale of the entire collision zone, the evolution of the studied basins and adjacent mountain ranges suggests a new geodynamic model for the evolution of the Arabia-Eurasia continental collision zone. Numerous sedimentary basins in the Alborz mountains and in other locations of the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone record a change from a tensional (transtensional) to a compressional (transpressional) tectonic setting by ~ 36 Ma. I interpret this to reflect the onset of subduction of the stretched Arabian continental lithosphere beneath central Iran, leading to moderate plate coupling and lower- and upper-plate deformation (soft continental collision). The increase in deformation rates in the southern Alborz mountains from ~ 17.5 Ma suggests that significant upper-plate deformation must have started by the early Miocene most likely in response to an increase in degree of plate coupling. I suggest that this was related to the subduction of thicker Arabian continental lithosphere and the consequent onset of hard continental collision. This model reconciles the apparent lag time of 15-20 m.y between the late Eocene to early Oligocene age for the initial Arabia-Eurasia continental collision and the onset of widespread deformation across the collision zone to the north in early to late Miocene time.
479

Metal fate and sensitivity in the aquatic tropical vegetable Ipomoea aquatica

Göthberg, Agneta January 2008 (has links)
The aquatic plant Ipomoea aquatica is a popular vegetable in Southeast Asia, often cultivated in nutrient rich and polluted waters. The overall aim of this thesis was to estimate potential risks for human health and reduced plant growth due to accumulation and toxicity of total-Hg, methyl-Hg, Cd and Pb. In plants from cultivations in Thailand, the concentrations of Cd and Pb in the shoots were well beneath recommended maximum values for human consumption, but at some sites the Hg concentrations were high. It was demonstrated that I. aquatica has the capacity to accumulate much higher Cd and Pb concentrations in the shoots than found in field-cultivations, before exhibiting toxic symptoms. The Hg concentrations, however, occasionally reached levels that are toxic for the plant. Up to11% of total-Hg was methyl-Hg, the most toxic Hg species, though at one site it was 50-100%. To study if methyl-Hg is formed in I. aquatica, plants were exposed to inorganic Hg through the roots. Of the Hg that reached the young, metabolically active parts of the shoots, a part was transformed to methyl-Hg. A major proportion of absorbed metals was retained in the roots, which had a high tolerance for high internal metal concentrations. The nutrient level did influence accumulation and effects of Hg, Cd and Pb in I. aquatica. Low external nutrient levels resulted in increased metal accumulation in the shoots and in metal-induced toxic effects in the plant at low external metal levels. A generous supply of sulphur or nitrogen induced formation of thiol-rich peptides in I. aquatica, compounds that have a metal detoxifying effect in plants. To conclude, the levels of Cd and Pb in field cultivated I. aquatica do not pose any apparent threat to human health or risk for reduced plant growth. The levels of Hg however, were high at some sites and could be a health threat, for children and foetuses in particular, and especially considering the presence of methyl-Hg. The use of fertilizers is favourable as it reduces the risk for increased metal concentrations in I. aquatica and for reduced crop yields.
480

Mixed effects regression for snow distribution modelling in the central Yukon

Kasurak, Andrew January 2009 (has links)
To date, remote sensing estimates of snow water equivalent (SWE) in mountainous areas are very uncertain. To test passive microwave algorithm estimations of SWE, a validation data set must exist for a broad geographic area. This study aims to build a data set through field measurements and statistical techniques, as part of the Canadian IPY observations theme to help develop an improved algorithm. Field measurements are performed at, GIS based, pre-selected sites in the Central Yukon. At each location a transect was taken, with sites measuring snow depth (SD), density, and structure. A mixed effects multiple regression was chosen to analyze and then predict these field measurements over the study area. This modelling strategy is best capable of handling the hierarchical structure of the field campaign. A regression model was developed to predict SD from elevation derived variables, and transformed Landsat data. The final model is: SD = horizontal curvature + cos( aspect) + log10(elevation range, 270m) + tassel cap: greenness, brightness (from Landsat imagery) + interaction of elevation and landcover.This model is used to predict over the study area. A second, simpler regression links SD with density giving the desired SWE measurements. The Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of this SD estimation is 25 cm over a domain of 200 x 200 km. This instantaneous end of season, peak accumulation, snow map will enable the vali- dation of satellite remote sensing observations, such as passive microwave (AMSR-E), in a generally inaccessible area.

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