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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
181

Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling with Autonomous Learning Effects

Ticktin, Jordan M 01 December 2019 (has links) (PDF)
It's commonly assumed that experience leads to efficiency, yet this is largely unaccounted for in resource-constrained project scheduling. This thesis considers the idea that learning effects could allow selected activities to be completed within reduced time, if they're scheduled after activities where workers learn relevant skills. This paper computationally explores the effect of this autonomous, intra-project learning on optimal makespan and problem difficulty. A learning extension is proposed to the standard RCPSP scheduling problem. Multiple parameters are considered, including project size, learning frequency, and learning intensity. A test instance generator is developed to adapt the popular PSPLIB library of scheduling problems to this model. Four different Constraint Programming model formulations are developed to efficiently solve the model. Bounding techniques are proposed for tightening optimality gaps, including four lower bounding model relaxations, an upper bounding model relaxation, and a Destructive Lower Bounding method. Hundreds of thousands of scenarios are tested to empirically determine the most efficient solution approaches and the impact of learning on project schedules. Potential makespan reduction as high as 50% is discovered, with the learning effects resembling a learning curve with a point of diminishing returns. A combination of bounding techniques is proven to produce significantly tighter optimality gaps.
182

Preference Driven University Course Scheduling System

Bellardo, Heather A 01 June 2010 (has links) (PDF)
University course planning and scheduling is the process of determining what courses to offer, how many sections are needed, determining the best term to offer each section, assigning a faculty member to instruct each section, and scheduling each section to a timeslot to avoid conflicts. The result of this task has an impact on every student and faculty member in the department. The process is typically broken down into three major phases: course offering planning, faculty assignment to planned course sections, and course scheduling into timeslots. This thesis looks at each of these phases for the Industrial and Manufacturing department and brings them together into a decision support and scheduling system. A decision support tool is created to facilitate planning of course offerings. Operations research is applied to assign sections to faculty members using a faculty preference driven integer linear programming model in order to minimize dissatisfaction in the department. Next, the faculty-section pairs are scheduled into university timeslots using a complex integer linear programming model. This scheduling model takes into consideration the faculty member time availability and preferences and general student time slot preferences as it minimizes dissatisfaction while avoiding conflicts among labs, faculty members and courses offered for each class level.
183

A Modelling approach for evaluating the ranking capability of Situational Awareness System in real time operation. Modelling, evaluating and quantifying different situational assessment in real time operation, using an analytical approach for measuring the ranking capability of SWA system

Shurrab, Orabi M.F. January 2016 (has links)
In a dynamically monitored environment the analyst team need timely and accurate information to conduct proactive action over complex situations. Typically, there are thousands of reported activities in a real time operation, therefore steps are taken to direct the analyst’s attention to the most important activity. The data fusion community have introduced the information fusion model, with multiple situational assessments. Each process lends itself to ranking the most important activities into a predetermined order. Unfortunately, the capability of a real time system can be hindered by the knowledge limitation problem, particularly when the underlying system is processing multiple sensor information. Consequently, the situational awareness domains may not rank the identified situation as perfect, as desired by the decision-making resources. This thesis presents advanced research carried out to evaluate the ranking capability of information from the situational awareness domains: perception, comprehension and projection. The Ranking Capability Score (RCS) has been designed for evaluating the prioritisation process. The enhanced (RCS) has been designed for addressing the knowledge representation problem in the user system relation under a situational assessment where the proposed number of tracking activities are dynamically shifted. Finally, the Scheduling Capability Score was designed for evaluating the scheduling capability of the situational awareness system. The proposed performance metrics have been successful in fulfilling their objectives. Furthermore, they have been validated and evaluated using an analytical approach, through conducting a rigorous analysis of the prioritisation and scheduling processes, despite any constraints related to a domain-specific configuration.
184

Deep multi-modal U-net fusion methodology of infrared and ultrasonic images for porosity detection in additive manufacturing

Zamiela, Christian E 10 December 2021 (has links)
We developed a deep fusion methodology of non-destructive (NDT) in-situ infrared and ex- situ ultrasonic images for localization of porosity detection without compromising the integrity of printed components that aims to improve the Laser-based additive manufacturing (LBAM) process. A core challenge with LBAM is that lack of fusion between successive layers of printed metal can lead to porosity and abnormalities in the printed component. We developed a sensor fusion U-Net methodology that fills the gap in fusing in-situ thermal images with ex-situ ultrasonic images by employing a U-Net Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for feature extraction and two-dimensional object localization. We modify the U-Net framework with the inception and LSTM block layers. We validate the models by comparing our single modality models and fusion models with ground truth X-ray computed tomography images. The inception U-Net fusion model localized porosity with the highest mean intersection over union score of 0.557.
185

Optimization models and methods for real-time transportation planning in forestry

Amrouss, Amine 04 1900 (has links)
Lors du transport du bois de la forêt vers les usines, de nombreux événements imprévus peuvent se produire, événements qui perturbent les trajets prévus (par exemple, en raison des conditions météo, des feux de forêt, de la présence de nouveaux chargements, etc.). Lorsque de tels événements ne sont connus que durant un trajet, le camion qui accomplit ce trajet doit être détourné vers un chemin alternatif. En l’absence d’informations sur un tel chemin, le chauffeur du camion est susceptible de choisir un chemin alternatif inutilement long ou pire, qui est lui-même "fermé" suite à un événement imprévu. Il est donc essentiel de fournir aux chauffeurs des informations en temps réel, en particulier des suggestions de chemins alternatifs lorsqu’une route prévue s’avère impraticable. Les possibilités de recours en cas d’imprévus dépendent des caractéristiques de la chaîne logistique étudiée comme la présence de camions auto-chargeurs et la politique de gestion du transport. Nous présentons trois articles traitant de contextes d’application différents ainsi que des modèles et des méthodes de résolution adaptés à chacun des contextes. Dans le premier article, les chauffeurs de camion disposent de l’ensemble du plan hebdomadaire de la semaine en cours. Dans ce contexte, tous les efforts doivent être faits pour minimiser les changements apportés au plan initial. Bien que la flotte de camions soit homogène, il y a un ordre de priorité des chauffeurs. Les plus prioritaires obtiennent les volumes de travail les plus importants. Minimiser les changements dans leurs plans est également une priorité. Étant donné que les conséquences des événements imprévus sur le plan de transport sont essentiellement des annulations et/ou des retards de certains voyages, l’approche proposée traite d’abord l’annulation et le retard d’un seul voyage, puis elle est généralisée pour traiter des événements plus complexes. Dans cette ap- proche, nous essayons de re-planifier les voyages impactés durant la même semaine de telle sorte qu’une chargeuse soit libre au moment de l’arrivée du camion à la fois au site forestier et à l’usine. De cette façon, les voyages des autres camions ne seront pas mo- difiés. Cette approche fournit aux répartiteurs des plans alternatifs en quelques secondes. De meilleures solutions pourraient être obtenues si le répartiteur était autorisé à apporter plus de modifications au plan initial. Dans le second article, nous considérons un contexte où un seul voyage à la fois est communiqué aux chauffeurs. Le répartiteur attend jusqu’à ce que le chauffeur termine son voyage avant de lui révéler le prochain voyage. Ce contexte est plus souple et offre plus de possibilités de recours en cas d’imprévus. En plus, le problème hebdomadaire peut être divisé en des problèmes quotidiens, puisque la demande est quotidienne et les usines sont ouvertes pendant des périodes limitées durant la journée. Nous utilisons un modèle de programmation mathématique basé sur un réseau espace-temps pour réagir aux perturbations. Bien que ces dernières puissent avoir des effets différents sur le plan de transport initial, une caractéristique clé du modèle proposé est qu’il reste valable pour traiter tous les imprévus, quelle que soit leur nature. En effet, l’impact de ces événements est capturé dans le réseau espace-temps et dans les paramètres d’entrée plutôt que dans le modèle lui-même. Le modèle est résolu pour la journée en cours chaque fois qu’un événement imprévu est révélé. Dans le dernier article, la flotte de camions est hétérogène, comprenant des camions avec des chargeuses à bord. La configuration des routes de ces camions est différente de celle des camions réguliers, car ils ne doivent pas être synchronisés avec les chargeuses. Nous utilisons un modèle mathématique où les colonnes peuvent être facilement et naturellement interprétées comme des itinéraires de camions. Nous résolvons ce modèle en utilisant la génération de colonnes. Dans un premier temps, nous relaxons l’intégralité des variables de décision et nous considérons seulement un sous-ensemble des itinéraires réalisables. Les itinéraires avec un potentiel d’amélioration de la solution courante sont ajoutés au modèle de manière itérative. Un réseau espace-temps est utilisé à la fois pour représenter les impacts des événements imprévus et pour générer ces itinéraires. La solution obtenue est généralement fractionnaire et un algorithme de branch-and-price est utilisé pour trouver des solutions entières. Plusieurs scénarios de perturbation ont été développés pour tester l’approche proposée sur des études de cas provenant de l’industrie forestière canadienne et les résultats numériques sont présentés pour les trois contextes. / When wood is transported from forest sites to mills, several unforeseen events may occur, events which perturb planned trips (e.g., because of weather conditions, forest fires, or the occurrence of new loads). When such events take place while the trip is under way, the truck involved must be rerouted to an alternative itinerary. Without relevant information on such alternative itineraries, the truck driver may choose a needlessly long one or, even worse, an itinerary that may itself be "closed" by an unforeseen event (the same event as for the original itinerary or another one). It is thus critical to provide drivers with real-time information, in particular, suggestions of alternative itineraries, when the planned one cannot be performed. Recourse strategies to deal with unforeseen events depend on the characteristics of the studied supply chain, such as the presence of auto-loaders and the management policy of forestry transportation companies. We present three papers dealing with three differ- ent application contexts, as well as models and solution methods adapted to each context. In the first paper, we assume a context where truck drivers are provided a priori with the whole weekly plan. In this context, every effort must be made to minimize the changes in the initial plan. Although the fleet of trucks is homogeneous, there is a priority ranking of the truck drivers. The priority drivers are ensured the highest work- loads. Minimizing the changes in their plans is also a priority. Since the consequences of unforeseen events on transportation are cancellations and/or delaying of some trips, the proposed approach deals first with single cancellations and single delayed trips and builds on these simple events to deal with more complex ones. In this approach, we try to reschedule the impacted trips within the same week in such a way that a loader is free at the truck arrival time both at the forest site and at the mill. In this way, none of the other trips will be impacted or changed. This approach provides the dispatchers with alternative plans in a few seconds. Better solutions could be found if the dispatcher is allowed to make more changes to the original plan. In the second paper, we assume a context where only one trip at a time is communicated to the drivers. The dispatcher waits until the truck finishes its trip before revealing the next trip. This context is more flexible and provides more recourse possibilities. Also, the weekly problem can be divided into daily problems since the demand is daily and the mills are open only for limited periods in the day. We use a mathematical programming model based on a time-space network representation to react to disruptions. Although the latter can have different impacts on the initial transportation plan, one key characteristic of the proposed model is that it remains valid for dealing with all the unforeseen events, regardless of their nature. Indeed, the impacts of such events are reflected in the time-space network and in the input parameters rather than in the model itself. The model is solved for the current day each time an unforeseen event is revealed. In the last paper, the fleet of trucks is heterogeneous, including trucks with onboard loaders. The route configuration of the latter is different than the regular truck routes, since they do not have to be synchronized with the loaders. We use a mathematical model where the columns can be easily and naturally interpreted as truck routes. We solve this model using column generation. As a first step, we relax the integrality of the decision variables and consider only a subset of feasible routes. The feasible routes with a potential to improve the solution are added iteratively to the model. A time-space network is used both to represent the impacts of unforeseen events and to generate these routes. The solution obtained is generally fractional and a heuristic branch-and-price algorithm is used to find integer solutions. Several disruption scenarios were developed to test the proposed approach on case studies from the Canadian forest industry and numerical results are presented for the three contexts.
186

Conception des structures de soins à domicile / Design of healthcare at home structures

Rodriguez Verjan, Carlos 26 February 2013 (has links)
La question de l'accès au soin est cruciale dans notre société moderne. Un effet évident de la demande accrue de services de santé est l'augmentation du taux d'occupation dans les hôpitaux. La principale différence entre la dispensation de soins à l'hôpital et au domicile est la suivante: le patient doit se déplacer et toutes les ressources nécessaires à son traitement se trouvent dans le même endroit, tandis que dans les soins délivrés au domicile, les ressources doivent être déplacées au chevet du patient. Il existe plusieurs défis afin de pouvoir réaliser ce changement. Dans cette thèse nous traitons trois problèmes importants dans la conception des structures de soins à domicile. D’abord, la localisation des structures en minimisant les coûts logistiques, où nous développons trois modèles incluant différentes caractéristiques comme du système de santé comme les coûts liés aux déplacements des ressources, la variation de la demande dans le temps et l’existence et évolution des ressource libérales. Ces modèles nous permettent de proposer des localisations robustes dans le temps tout en assurant une couverture maximale et en minimisant les coûts. La deuxième problématique consiste au choix des activités et couverture épidémiologique et spatiale en tenant compte différentes activités et types de ressources, les autorisations pour réaliser les pathologies et la couverture. Deux modèles développés nous ont permis montrer les effets sur l’affectation de la demande et le dimensionnement de ressources induits par changements dans les coûts des libéraux, salaires et d’autorisation de servir la demande. Le troisième problème et celui du dimensionnement de ressources avec incertitudes de demande (volume, épidémiologique et géographique) et le modèle proposé tient compte du problème sous-jacent de déplacement des ressources à l’aide d’une estimation de la tournée réalisée. / The issue of access to heamthcare is crucial in our modern society. One obvious effect of the augmentation of healthcare services demand is the increasing occupancy rates in hospitals. The main difference between the provision of care at the hospital and at home is as follows: the patient is at hospital and all the resources necessary for its treatment are in the same place, while in the care delivered at home, resources must be moved to the bedside. There are several challenges in order to achieve this change. In this thesis we address three important issues in the design of structures of home care. First, the location of structures minimizing logistics costs, where we develop three models with different features such as traveling costs of resources, changes in demand over time and evolution of freelance resources. These models allow us to provide robust location over time while ensuring maximum coverage and minimizing costs. The second issue is the choice of activities, epidemiological and spatial coverage, taking into account different types of activities and resources, permissions to serve some pathologies and coverage. Two models developed allow us to show the effects on the demand allocation and resources planning induced by changes in the costs of freelance professionals and authorization to serve some pathologies. The third problem is the dimensioning of resources with demand uncertainty (volume, epidemiological and geographical) and the proposed model takes into account the underlying problem of moving resources using an estimate of the routes performed.
187

Optimisation de la conception du design du harnais de commande des véhicules spatiaux / Optimization of the design of the space vehicle control harness design

Roynette, Eliott 02 July 2018 (has links)
Il y a soixante ans, le 4 octobre 1957, Spoutnik, le premier satellite artificiel conçu par l’homme, est envoyé dans l’espace. Sa seule fonction est d’émettre un bip radio à des fréquences de 20 et 40 MHz pour démontrer la puissance spatiale de l’URSS. Depuis cette époque les satellites se sont multipliés et leurs missions se sont diversifiées. Aujourd’hui, les missions des satellites sont si variées que certains quittent l’orbite terrestre. On parle dans ce cas de sondes, même si, dans le reste de cette thèse, ils seront inclus dans le terme "satellite". La mission des satellites la plus connue du grand public est la découverte de l’univers et l’exploration interplanétaire avec de célèbres satellites comme le télescope spatial international Hubble ou des sondes comme Rosetta, Voyager 1 et 2, ... Cependant de nos jours, même si l’exploration spatiale reste un enjeu majeur de l’humanité, la plupart des satellites ont des missions plus modestes qui ont pourtant un impact important sur la vie économique et politique. Les satellites en question ont aujourd’hui deux buts : la défense et le commercial. Dans les deux cas on peut diviser les satellites en deux groupes distincts : les satellites d’observation et les satellites de télécommunication. Pour fonctionner tous ces satellites utilisent un harnais électrique. Le harnais électrique regroupe tous les câbles présents dans le satellite et qui ne transportent pas de données client. Dans le cadre de cette thèse nous nous intéressons à l’optimisation de la conception du harnais électrique des satellites. / Sixty years ago, on October 4, 1957, Sputnik, the first man-made artificial satellite, was sent into space. Its only function is to emit a radio beep at frequencies of 20 and 40 MHz to demonstrate the space power of the USSR. Since then, satellites have been multiple and their missions have diversified. Today, the missions of the satellites are so varied that some leave Earth's orbit. We speak in the case of probes, even if, in the rest of this thesis, they will be included in the term "satellite". The best-known satellite mission of the general public is the discovery of the universe and interplanetary exploration with satellite satellites such as the Hubble International Space Telescope or probes such as Rosetta, Voyager 1 and 2, ... nevertheless nowadays Although space exploration remains a major issue for humanity, most satellites have smaller missions that have a significant impact on economic and political life. The satellites in question today have two goals: defense and commercial. In both cases the satellites can be divided into two distinct groups: observation satellites and telecommunication satellites. To operate all these satellites, use an electrical harness. The electrical harness includes all the cables present in the satellite and which does not carry any customer data. As part of this we are interested in optimizing the design of the electrical harness of satellites.
188

Impactos da reforma tributária: avaliando a influência do novo Imposto de Circulação de Mercadorias e Serviços (ICMS) na reconfiguração da malha logística brasileira. / The impact of tax reform: assessing the new tax over the circulation of goods and services in the reconfiguration of the Brazilian network.

Andrade, Luiz Eduardo Wilbert Albernaz 17 December 2012 (has links)
A estrutura tributária brasileira proporciona uma dificuldade a mais no planejamento de redes logísticas, principalmente no caso do Imposto sobre Circulação de Mercadorias e Serviços (ICMS). A omissão do fator tributário na modelagem de redes logísticas no cenário brasileiro atual poderá resultar em cenários não ótimos, devido à marcante influência da mesma na localização das instalações e na definição dos fluxos de origem e destino. Devido aos impactos da legislação brasileira na perda de competitividade das empresas brasileiras atualmente, a Reforma Tributária se faz necessária por estas e outras razões não logísticas, alterando a forma como este imposto é cobrado. Alguns estudos foram realizados para avaliar o impacto da reforma tributária no planejamento de redes logísticas, porém o presente estudo atualizou a demanda e os custos logísticos para os valores atuais de mercado, buscando aprofundar a compreensão sobre as principais modificações da rede. Além disso, procurou-se avaliar o impacto da modificação da alíquota interna e externa na configuração de redes logísticas. Para estudar o impacto do ICMS na rede logística de uma empresa, recorreu-se ao modelo de Programação Linear Inteira Mista (PLIM). Os resultados do estudo evidenciam que a reforma tributária irá trazer melhorias significativas no aspecto de fluxo origem e destino e na localização das instalações. Porém, a estruturação da rede logística ainda irá sofrer interferência do ICMS, contribuindo assim para o aumento do Custo Brasil pela permanência do turismo fiscal. / The Brazilian tax structure provides a further difficulty in the planning of logistics networks, especially in the case of the Tax on Circulation of Goods and Services. The omission of the tax factor in modeling logistics networks in the current Brazilian scenario could result in non-optimal, due to the strong influence in the same location of facilities and on defining the flows of origin and destination. Due to the impacts of the Brazilian legislation in the loss of competitiveness of Brazilian companies currently the Tax Reform is needed for these and other logistical reasons not changing the way this tax is levied. Some studies were conducted to evaluate the impact of tax reform in the planning of logistics networks, but the present study updated the demand and logistics costs for the current market values, seeking to deepen the understanding of the main changes to the network. In addition, we sought to evaluate the impact of changes of the internal rate in the configuration of logistics networks. To study the impact of the ICMS in the logistics network of a company, we used the model of Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP). The study results show that tax reform will bring significant improvements in the appearance of flow origin and destination and the location of facilities. However, the structuring of the logistics network will still suffer interference from the ICMS, thus contributing to the increase in Brazil cost the tax residence of tourism.
189

Definição do modal de transporte ótimo para componentes comprados numa empresa aeronáutica brasileira. / Definition of the optimum modal transportation for purchased components in a brazilian aeronautical company.

Carvalho, Jeferson Dutra de 13 July 2006 (has links)
O presente trabalho tem por objetivo definir o modal de transporte ótimo para componentes comprados que abastecem a linha de produção de uma empresa aeronáutica, ao menor custo logístico. Devido a característica do material e das exigências de órgãos e entidades responsáveis pelo ambiente industrial aeronáutico, os fornecedores são especializados e de origem internacional, pois as indústrias nacionais ainda não têm a certificação exigida para produzir tais materiais, salvo algumas poucas exceções, o que onera e torna a cadeia de suprimentos muito mais complexa. Portanto, para atingir o objetivo proposto utilizou-se um modelo heurístico, que decide o modal de transporte ótimo para transportar estes materiais de sua origem, EUA ou Europa, até seu destino que é o Brasil. / The present paper aims to define an optimum modal of transportation for acquired components used to supply the production line in a Aeronautical Company, based on the lowest logistic cost. Due to the caracteristics of such material and the special requirements of the Governamental agencies as well as the specific agencies that rule the aeronautical industrial environment, the suppliers which are in its vast majority of this net are from abroad. It happens due to the fact that the local Industry do not hold the required certification to manufacture or assemble such materials which throws the costs and its complexity much more present. Some few isolated companies constitute a exception of this general frame. Based on the exposed, to achieve the proposed goal a heuristic model was used, which defines that the best modal of transportation to transport those specific materials from its origin, USA or Europe, to your final destination in Brazil.
190

Desenvolvimento de modelo computacional híbrido - baseado em agentes e em simulação de eventos discretos - para avaliação e planejamento da produção animal: uma aplicação na ovinocultura de corte / Development of hybrid computational model - agent based and discrete event simulation - for evaluation and planning of animal production: an application in the sheep meat industry

Reijers, Thayla Sara Soares Stivari 03 October 2016 (has links)
Realizar a análise econômica de uma produção agropecuária não é algo trivial, seja pela enorme heterogeneidade entre cada unidade produtiva, seja porque utiliza muitos recursos naturais, alguns de difícil mensuração. Há diversos métodos disponíveis para o cálculo do custo de produção, que é o indicador chave para a análise da viabilidade de um empreendimento. O desafio é permitir que a projeção da atividade no horizonte produtivo seja a mais real e dinâmica possível. A simulação computacional é atualmente uma das mais poderosas ferramentas de análise disponível para o planejamento, projeto e controle de sistemas complexos, e vem sendo cada vez mais utilizada e difundida. Simular compreende a elaboração de um método de experimentação que, através da construção de modelos de um sistema real, procura descrever comportamentos, construir teorias ou hipóteses por meio do observado e predizer comportamentos futuros. O uso de modelos de simulação, que incorporem o risco e a probabilidade dentro produção animal, pode ser uma alternativa tanto técnica - auxiliando na tomada de decisão, gestão e planejamento pecuário, quanto científica - permitindo a avaliação de efeitos de resultados da pesquisa e identificação de limitantes que podem incentivar o desenvolvimento de pesquisas futuras. O modelo de simulação híbrido - baseado em simulação de eventos discretos e baseado em agentes, aqui proposto - visou identificar coeficientes zootécnicos e os critérios de manejo que mais impactam a produção de ovinos de corte. Esse modelo de simulação computacional híbrido possui caráter dinâmico e probabilístico, com eventos marcados no tempo (estação de monta, gestação, parição, desmame, engorda, abate, entre outras) e complexos o suficiente para que seus agentes sofram alterações tanto no tempo quanto em resposta a ocorrência ou não das variáveis ligadas a eles. Os resultados dos experimentos e dos cenários estudados revelaram que dentre os índices zootécnicos das matrizes, a ocorrência de aborto gera maior impacto na taxa de abate e financeiramente na margem líquida operacional. Contudo, analisando as variáveis tanto para matrizes como para cordeiros, a mortalidade neonatal, até os cinco dias de vida dos cordeiros, demonstrou ser o ponto fundamental para a lucratividade da atividade. A estabilização do rebanho foi mais afetada pela presença de matrizes adultas no plantel, que culminaram no aumento no número de cordeiros por matriz. Os resultados da análise dos fluxos de caixa de 30 anos, a uma taxa mínima de atratividade de 6,17% aa, permitiram constatar que iniciar a atividade com número muito reduzido de matrizes é o cenário menos interessantes, com taxa interna de retorno negativa para o período de análise. O estudo do fluxo de caixa permitiu atribuir a 200 matrizes como o tamanho de rebanho inicial mais interessante (TIR = 3,30% aa). Assim, o uso de simuladores híbridos baseados em simulação de eventos discretos e baseados em agentes, para estudos na pecuária nacional, apresentou-se como ferramenta com grande potencial de contribuição, no sentido de permitir conhecer os resultados possíveis das diferentes combinações tecnológicas disponíveis. O modelo ainda permite ser utilizado como ferramenta de estudo e análise para a cadeia produtiva, contribuindo na orientação aos cientistas, auxiliando no direcionamento de seus esforços no desenvolvimento de futuras pesquisas / Conduct an economic analysis of agricultural production is not trivial, either by its enormous heterogeneity between each production unit, or because it uses many natural resources, some of which are difficult to measure. There are several methods available for calculating the cost of production, which is the key indicator for assessing the feasibility of a project. The challenge is to allow the projection of activity in the productive horizon in the most real and dynamic form as possible. The computer simulation is currently one of the most powerful analysis tools available for planning, design and control of complex systems and is being increasingly used and disseminated. Simulate includes the development of a method of testing by building models of a real system, that seeks to describe behaviors, build theories or hypotheses through noted and predicted future behaviors. The use of simulation models that incorporate uncertainty and probability in animal production can be both an alternative technique - assisting in decision-making, management and livestock planning; as scientific - allowing the evaluation of the research results of effects and identification of limiting that may encourage the development of future research. The model of hybrid simulation - based on discrete event simulation and on agent-based, proposed here - aimed to identify factors husbandry and management criteria that most affect the production of meat sheep. The model of hybrid computer simulation have dynamic and probabilistic characteristics, with events scheduled in time (breeding season, pregnancy, parturition, weaning, fattening, slaughter, etc.) and enough complexity that its agents be adversely affected both in time and in response to the occurrence or not of variables linked to them. The results of the experiments and the scenarios studied showed that among the zootechnical indexes of the sheep, the occurrence of abortion generates a greater impact on the slaughter rate and financially in the net operating margin. However, analyzing the variables for both sheep and lambs, neonatal mortality, up to the lambs\' five days of life, proved to be the fundamental point for the profitability of the activity. The stabilization of the herd was more affected by the presence of adult sheep in the herd, which culminated increasing the number of lambs per sheep. The results of the analysis of the 30-year cash flows, at a minimum attractiveness rate of 6.17% per year, showed that starting the activity with a very small number of sheep was the least interesting scenario, with a negative internal rate of return for the analysis period. The study of the cash flow allowed to assign to 200 sheep as the most interesting initial herd size (IRR = 3.30% per year). Thus, the use of hybrid simulators, based on discrete event simulation and agent-based for studies in national livestock, is presented as a tool with great potential to contribute, to allow knowing the possible outcomes of different combinations of available technology. The model also allows to be used as a study tool and assessment of different technological combinations for the production chain, contributing to the guidance of scientists, assisting their efforts in the development of future research

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