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Estimating residual life of equipment using subjective covariatesSchoeman, Jaco 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2015. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Most industries are being forced to operate at lower costs while delivering more
outputs and ensuring a safe working environment. An opportunity to achieve
this for asset intensive industries lies within the complex and integrated field
of Physical Asset Management (PAM). This study is specifically concerned
with the maintenance subset of PAM, more specifically, the proactive maintenance
strategy. A field known as prognostics emerges when combining two
maintenance tactics, namely predictive and preventative maintenance.
Prognostics uses historical failure data from preventative maintenance and
variable readings used in predictive maintenance to estimate asset reliability.
Reliability is estimated using statistical models commonly known as reliability
models or survival models. Variable readings used must describe or portray
the health of the assets considered and are called covariates.
A problem that exists in the maintenance subset of PAM is concerned with
the data needed for the survival models. The historical failure data is difficult
to come by or non-existent in industry and the covariate data is often
noisy and inaccurate. This poses a problem when wanting to make important
maintenance decisions because the prognostics survival models require both
the historical failure data and the covariate data. The covariate data is generally
acquired by applying Condition Monitoring (CM) to assets, monitoring
characteristics reflecting the asset’s health. Prognostics can aid with maintenance decisions because once the equipment reliability has been estimated, it
is possible to predict the time that an asset can still operate at its prescribed
level of performance. This time of operation, which the asset can still operate,
is more commonly known as its residual life (RL).
To overcome this problem, six of the most popular survival models found
in literature, namely the Accelerated Failure Time Model (AFTM), Additive
Hazards Model (AHM), Proportional Covariate Model (PCM), Proportional
Hazards Model (PHM), Proportional Odds Model (POM) and the Prentice,
Williams and Peterson (PWP), are considered and populated with historical
failure data and the covariate data elicited from people. The people whom
the data is obtained from are considered as experts in the field this study is
conducted in. Also, the data is subjective because each expert has their own
opinions and judgement concerning the assets in this study. The purpose of this
study is, thus, to investigate whether subjective data can be used to populate
survival models, therefore, allowing RL predictions of the assets considered.
A guideline consisting of five steps that aid with what system variables to
consider as covariates, which people can be selected as experts and selecting
the most appropriate survival model, is created and presented. Following the
guideline, a case study is conducted on power transformers at an organization
in South Africa.
Results from the case study reveal that the PCM is the most appropriate
survival model reviewed. Using the PCM, RL predictions are made after the
models are populated with subjective data and objective industry standard
data. The results indicate that the subjective data yielded the same general
trends but less conservative estimates when compared to industry standard
data. Subjective data can, therefore, be used to populate survival models but
this is inherently risky because of the less conservative results noted from this
study. This study is based on a single case study, it does prove that it is
possible to use the subjective data as an alternative to objective data. It is
possible, however, that this characteristic does not apply for other asset types. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die meerderheid nywerhede word onder geweldige druk geplaas om laer bedryfskostes
te handhaaf en ter selfde tyd word dit van hulle verwag om hul
uitsette te vermeerder en ´n veilige werksomgewing te bied. Bate intensiewenywerhede
het ´n geleentheid om hierdie druk te verlig deur gebruik te maak
van ´n komplekse en geïntegreerde veld bekend as Fisiese Batebestuur (FB).
Hierdie studie is gefokus op die instandhouding onderafdeling van FB, spesifiek
die proaktiewe instandhoudingsstrategie. Twee proaktiewe instandhoudingstaktieke,
naamlik voorspellende en voorkomende instandhoudingtaktieke, word
saamgesmelt en vorm ´n veld bekend as prognostiek.
Prognostiek gebruik historiese falingdata van voorkomende instandhouding en
veranderlike aflesings vanaf toestandmoniteering toeristing gebruik in voorspellende
instandhouding om bate batroubarheid te bereken. Hierdie betroubaarheid
word bereken deur gebruik te maak van statistiese modelle bekend
as oorlewingsmodelle.
Een van die probleme wat voorkom in die instandhouding onderafdeling van
FB het te doen met die beskikbaarheid van die data wat benodig word vir
die oorlewingsmodelle. Historiese falingdata is selde beskikbaar of bestaan
glad nie en die toestandsmoniteering data is dikwels onakuraat. Prognostiek
word gebruik om belangrikke instandhoudingsbesluite te motiveer, dus is die beskikbaarheid en betroubaarheid van die nodige data van belange. Om hierdie
struikelblok te oorkom bestudeer hierdie studie die gebruik van subjektiewe
data bekom vanaf deskundiges in prognostieke oorlewingsmodelle. Die doel
van hierdie studie is dus om vas te stel of subjektiewe data gebruik kan word
in prognostieke oorlewingsmodelle.
Ses oorlewingsmodelle wat gereeld voorkom in literatuur word nagesien in hierdie
studie, die modelle sluit in die “Accelerated Failure Time Model” (AFTM),
“ Additive Hazards Model” (AHM), “Proportional Covariate Model” (PCM)
, “Proportional Hazards Model” (PHM), “Proportional Odds Model” (POM)
en die “Prentice Williams and Peterson” (PWP) model. Hierdie modelle word
aangevul deur die subjektiewe data wat onttrek is van deskundiges in ´n sekere
gebied, vir hierdie studie is die gebied krag transformators.
Met gebruik van hierdie modelle kan die betroubaarheid van die betrokke toerusting
bereken word. Sodra die betroubaarheid bereken is kan die oorblywende
lewe van die toerusting voorspel word. Die oorblywendelewe is die tyd
wat ´n stuk toerusting nog moontlik kan werk sonder om te faal. Dit is belangrik
omdat nodige instandhoudingsbesluite geneem moet word.
Hierdie studie stel ´n metode voor vir die uitvoer van die navorsing en soortgelyke
studies. Die metode dui vyf stappe aan wat voorstel watter veranderlikes
om te gebruik as kovariate in die oorlewingsmodelle, watter mense as deskundiges
gekies kan word, en hoe om die mees toepasslikke oorlewingsmodelle te
kies. Nadat hierdie metode voorgestel is word dit toegepas op krag transformators
in ´n gevallestudie wat plaasgevind het in Suid Afrika.
Vir die gevallestudie is die PCM die meestoepaslikke oorlewingsmodel. Die
oorblywende lewe voorspellings wat die metode opgelewer het is met die voorspellings
gebaseer op die industriestandaard data vergelyk. Die resultate dui
aan dat deskundiges minder konserwatiewe beramings lewer. Dus kan die
subjektiewe data gebruik word in oorlewingsmodelle maar die beramings is
minder konserwatief en daarom van natuur meer riskant. Hierdie studie se
gevolgtrekkings is gebaseer op ´n enkele gevallestudie. Dit is dus moontlik dat
die subjektiewe data dalk nie as ´n alternatief gebruik kan word met ander
tipes toerusting nie.
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Identifying and quantifying maintenance improvement opportunities in physcial asset managementVon Petersdorff, Hagen Alexander 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MEng)-- Stellenbosch University, 2013. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Asset Management initiatives suffer many barriers in implementation which
hinder their influence and sustainability. One of these barriers is the lack of
buy-in from all levels in the organisation, due to a lack of understanding
of the perceived benefits of Asset Management. The relationship between
throughput and the maturity of Asset Management implementation is usually
felt throughout the organisation, but is difficult to prove or quantify. Furthermore, it is di cult to isolate the effects of maintenance using traditional
methods.
Organisational alignment in an Asset Management project is achieved by
aligning employees' views on what the deficient areas in the organisation
are, and managing their expectations in what the perceived benefit of a
good application of Asset Management would bring forth. However, the lack
of a transparent method to convey the significance of critical areas in the
system, and a clear way to communicate these problems creates a barrier in
implementation. Without empirical evidence people rely on argumentative
opinions to uncover problems, which tends to create friction as opinions
from various factions may differ.
Typically, these initiatives are constrained by available resources, and the
allocation of resources to the correct areas is thus vital. In order for Asset
Management initiatives to be successful there first needs to be alignment in
execution through a clear understanding of which assets are critical, so that
resources can be allocated effectively.
In this study, this problem is thoroughly examined and solutions are sought
in literature. A method is sought which seeks to isolate the effects of the
maintenance function in an operation and uncover critical areas. A study is performed on methods which are typically used to create such understanding,
which are shown to have shortcomings that limit their applicability. Thus a
new methodology utilising simulation is created in order to overcome these
problems.
The methodology is validated through a case study, where it is shown that
the simulation, in the context of the methodology, is highly beneficial to
uncovering critical areas and achieving organisational alignment through
communication of results. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Fisiese bate bestuursinitiatiewe het verskeie tekortkominge in hulle implementering wat hulle invloed en volhoubaarheid verhinder. Een van hierdie
hindernisse is die tekort aan ondersteuning van alle vlakke in die organisasie,
wat as gevolg van 'n gebrek aan begrip van die voordele van bate bestuur
voorkom. Die verhouding tussen die volwassenheid van batebestuur en
produksie deurset word gewoonlik reg deur die organisasie gevoel, maar
hierdie verhouding is moeilik om te bewys of te kwantifiseer. Verder is dit
moeilik om met huidige methodes die gevolge van instandhouding te isoleer,
en dus deeglik te begryp.
Organisatoriese aanpassing by `n bate bestuursprojek word bereik deur
werknemers se siening te belyn oor wat die gebrekkige areas is, en om hulle
verwagtinge te bestuur oor die voordele wat `n goeie bate bestuursprojek
kan voortbring. Daar is `n gebrek aan metodes om in `n deursigtige wyse
die kritieke areas aan te dui en te komunikeer aan werknemers. Dit skep `n
hindernis in die uitvoer van projekte en, in die afwesigheid van empiriese
bewyse van probleme, is werknemers afhanklik van argumentatiewe menings
om probleme te ontbloot, en die menings van verskeie rolspelers kan verskil.
Enige inisiatiewe is tipies beperk deur die beskikbaarheid van hulpbronne
daarvoor, en `n effektiewe toedeling van beskikbare hulpbronne is dus noodsaaklik. Om `n suksesvolle batebestuursprojek uit te voer, moet daar eers `n
duidelike begrip en ooreenstemming wees oor wat die verskeie kritieke areas
is wat die meeste aandag verlang, sodat hulpbronne doeltreffend toegeken
kan word.
In die studie word hierdie probleem deeglik ondersoek deur oplossings na
te vors in die literatuur. `n Metode is gesoek wat daarop gemik is om die gevolge van instandhouding te isoleer in `n produksiestelsel en kritiese areas
te ontbloot. `n Studie is uitgevoer op metodes wat gewoonlik gebruik word
om sodanige analises uit te voer, en dit word gewys dat huidige metodes
terkortkominge het wat hulle toepaslikheid beperk. Dus is `n nuwe metode
geskep wat gebruik maak van simulasie om hierdie probleme te oorkom.
Die metode is gevalideer deur om `n gevallestudie uit te voer, waar dit bevestig
is dat die metode voordelig is om op `n deursigtige wyse kritiese areas te
ontbloot en om organisatoriese belyning te bewerkstellig deur effektiewe
kommunikasie van die resultate.
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The evolution from plant maintenance to physical asset management : an analysis of the Sasol Synfuels roadmap for changeBotes, Hein 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2006. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The change management approach followed during the installation of a new
maintenance work management process (termed SAMI Stage1) in Sasol Synfuels is
assessed. A framework and a set of change management principles are derived
from literature relevant to the topic and are used as a basis to assess the
implemented change. The concept of physical asset management is also reviewed
and incorporated into the overall framework.
The assessment reveals the following positive aspects of the change management
process followed:
• Excellent executive sponsorship throughout the implementation of SAMI Stage
1.
• The use of one team of Sasol Synfuels personnel to develop the strategic plan
and another team to perform the design of the new maintenance work
management process has resulted in a core group of change advocates within
Sasol Synfuels.
• Sasol Synfuels business units were declared SAM I Stage 1 competent, which
included the achievement of outcome indicators as well as behavioural
changes.
• The SAMI Stage 1 change is reinforced through further changes such as
SAMI Stage 2, SAM PI (production initiative), as well as the creation of a new
department, OPEX, to facilitate operational excellence within Sasol Synfuels.
• The overall SAMI roadmap, commencing with maintenance work
management, is found to be an effective vehicle to achieve the future
integrated state of asset management.
However, the following negative aspects of the implemented change are also
highlighted:
• The concept of physical asset management as the ultimate objective of the
SAMI process was inadequately explained and coached to the organisation.
Although maintenance work management efficiency has improved, the
organisation has not made the mental transition from a cost centre mentality to
a profit centre mentality.
• Production personnel were initially excluded to a large extent, since SAM I
Stage 1 was installed as a predominantly maintenance-focussed initiative.
However, production personnel are required to play a large role in the
maintenance work management process and their initial exclusion required
significant stakeholder management during the advanced stages of the
change.
• There have not been significant changes to the recognition and reward
systems in Sasol Synfuels in order to enhance the integration of specifically
the maintenance and production functions. The organisation is thus still very
much focused on functional excellence as opposed to the integrated concept
of asset management.
The effectiveness of installing a maintenance work management process first and
then addressing equipment failures is also reviewed. It is concluded that this
approach of firstly establishing discipline in the execution of maintenance work is
indeed a viable approach. However, the overall objective of asset management must
be considered from the onset and the organisation must be continuously aligned to
that objective.
Based on the above observations, recommendations are made on futu re Sasol
implementations of maintenance work management processes. In essence there
should be more focus on the concept of physical asset management before and
during such an implementation.
It is also recommended that a post SAM I Stage 1 project analysis should be
performed (using appropriate questionnaires andlor interviews) to assess the positive
and negative aspects as encountered by the organisation. These learning pOints
should be documented and used for future, similar interventions. It should also be
established whether the changes in behaviour and outcome are due to predominantly
compliance to the work management process, or whether there is significant
commitment to the process. Commitment to the process by the majority of the
organisation is required to ensure sustainability there of. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die benadering soos gevolg ten opsigte van veranderingsbestuur gedurende die
implementering van 'n nuwe instandhoudingswerk bestuursproses in Sasol Synfuels
(genaamd SAM I Fase 1), word ondersoek. 'n Raamwerk en 'n stel beginsels met
betrekking tot veranderingsbestuur word uit die relevante nagevorste literatuur
ontwikkel en word gebruik as 'n basis waarteen die geimplementeerde verandering
geevalueer word. Die beginsel van fisiese batebestuur word ook ondersoek en in die
oorhoofse raamwerk geinkorporeer.
Die volgende positiewe aspekte van die veranderingsbestuur proses wat gevolg was,
word deur die ondersoek openbaar:
• Uitstekende borgskap deur uitvoerende bestuur tydens die verloop van die
implementering van SAMI Fase 1.
• Die gebruik van een span Sasol Synfuels personeel om die strategiese plan te
ontwikkel en 'n ander span om die ontwerp van die nuwe
instandhoudingswerk bestuursproses te behartig, het gelei tot die ontstaan
van 'n kern groep in die organisasie wat die verandering ondersteun.
• Besigheidseenhede in Sasol Synfuels is SAM I Fase 1 bedrewe verklaar, wat
die behaling van uitkomsindikators, sowel as gedragsveranderinge insluit.
• Die SAMI Fase 1 verandering word versterk deur verdere veranderings soos
SAMI Fase 2, SAMPI (produksie inisiatief), sowel as die daarstelling van 'n
nuwe afdeling, OPEX, om operasionele uitnemendheid in Sasol Synfuels te
fasiliteer.
• Die algehele SAMI proses, beginnende met die bestuur van
instandhoudingswerk, is effektief bevind om die toekomstige, geintegreerde
toestand van batebestuur te verwesenlik.
Die volgende negatiewe aspekte van die geimplementeerde verandering word egter
ook uitgelig:
• Die beginsel dat fisiese batebestuur die uiteindelike doelwit van die SAMI
proses is, was nie voldoende verduidelik en oorgedra aan die organisasie nie,
Alhoewel die effektiwiteit van instandhoudingswerk bestuur verbeter het, het
die organisasie nie die paradigma skuif gemaak van 'n kostegesentreerde
denkwyse na 'n winsgesentreerde denkwyse nie.
• Aanvanklik was produksiepersoneel grootliks uitgesluit uit die proses,
aangesien SAMI Fase 1 hoofsaaklik as 'n instandhoudingsinisiatief aangepak
is. Produksiepersoneel het egter 'n groot rol om te speel in die
instandhoudingswerk bestuursproses en hulle aanvanklike uitsluiting het gelei
tot aansienlike bestuur van belanghebbendes gedurende die gevorderde
stadiums van die verandering.
• Daar is nog nie betekenisvolle veranderinge gemaak aan die vergoedings -en
erkenningssisteme in Sasol Synfuels om sodoende die integrasie van
spesifiek die instandhouding en produksiefunksies te bevorder nie. Daar is
dus nog steeds 'n sterk fokus in die organisasie op funksionele uitnemendheid
in teenstelling met die geintegreerde beginsel van batebestuur.
Daar word ook gekyk na hoe effektief dit is om eers 'n instandhoudingswerk
bestuursproses te installeer voordat toerustingfalings ondersoek word. Die
gevolgtrekking word gemaak dat hierdie benadering om eers dissipline in die
uitvoering van instandhoudingswerk daar te stel, inderdaad 'n haalbare benadering
is. Die oorhoofse doelwit van batebestuur moet egter vanaf die begin oorweeg word
en die organisasie moet gedurig op koers gehou word rakende daardie oogmerk.
Voorstelle, gegrond op bogenoemde waarnemings, word gemaak vir die toekomstige
implementering van instandhoudingswerk bestuursprosesse in Sasol. In wese moet
daar meer gefokus word op die beginsel van batebestuur voor en gedurende so 'n
implementering.
Daar word ook aanbeveel dat 'n nabetragting gehou word rondom die
implementering van SAMI Fase 1 (met behulp van gepaste vraelyste en/of
onderhoude) om die positiewe en negatiewe aspekte, soos ondervind is deur die
organisasie, te evalueer. Hierdie inligting moet dan gedokumenteer word en gebruik
word vir toekomstige, soortgelyke intervensies. Daar moet ook bepaal word of die
verandering in gedrag en resultate die gevolg is van oorwegend die navolging van
die proses of toewyding aan die proses. Die meerderheid van die organisasie moet
toegewyd wees aan die proses om volhoubaarheid te verseker.
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A critical success factor model for asset management servicesJooste, Johannes Lodewyk 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (PhD)--Stellenbosch University, 2014. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Business-to-business services relating to physical asset management are playing
an increasingly important role in industry. This is in the midst of the current
pressures which asset owning organisations are experiencing in realising optimal
value from their assets. The pursuit of understanding and complying with asset
management standards such as ISO 55000 as well as the potential value to be
gained from successful and sustainable business relationships contributes towards
the importance of these services.
The problem is that there is little or no evidence regarding the critical success
factors for collaborating successfully in asset management services. The study
identi es these critical success factors and demonstrates how the factors can di er
between role players, industries, global regions and service types. A decision support
model is developed providing the asset management community with access
to the critical success factors for decision-making purposes. Based on the synthesis from internationally conducted Delphi- and survey studies
it is found that the continued and sustained commitment from the asset owning
organisation's senior management in support of the asset management service is the
most critical factor for a successful asset management service partnership. Open
and e ective communication is also highlighted as being critical, while it is important
to have a process in place to improve the service continuously. Laboratory
and eld testing con rm the validity of the decision support model for facilitating
the decision-making process to improve asset management services, and in addition
it also formalises the commercial and contracting processes relating to these
services. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Besigheid-tot-besigheidsdienste met betrekking tot siese batebestuur speel 'n toenemende
belangrike rol in die industrie. Dit is te midde van die druk wat batebesittende
organisasies tans ondervind om optimale waarde uit hul siese bates te
verkry. Die strewe na beter begrip en om te voldoen aan batebestuurstandaarde
soos ISO 55000, asook die potensiële waarde wat verkry kan word uit suksesvolle en
volhoubare besigheidheidsvennootskappe, dra by tot die belangrikheid van hierdie
dienste.
Die probleem is daar bestaan min of geen bewyse rakende die kritiese suksesfaktore
vir suksesvolle samewerking in batebestuurdienste. Die studie identi seer
die kritiese suksesfaktore en toon aan hoe hierdie faktore kan verskil tussen rolspelers,
industrieë, wêreldstreke en dienstipes. 'n Besluitnemingsmodel is ontwikkel
wat die batebestuurgemeenskap toegang gee tot die kritiese suksesfaktore vir besluitnemingsdoeleindes. Gebaseeer op die sintese van internasionale Delphi- en opnamestudies is daar
bevind dat die mees kritieke faktor vir 'n suksesvolle vennootskap in batebestuurdienste
die voortgesette en volgehoue toewyding deur die bate-besittende organisasie
se senior bestuur, ter ondersteuning van die batebestuurdiens, is. Doeltre ende
en openhartige kommunikasie is ook uitgewys as krities, terwyl dit belangrik is om
'n proses te volg om die diens voortdurend te verbeter. Laboratorium- en praktyk
toetsing het bevestig dat die besluitnemingsmodel geldig is vir die fasilitering van
die besluitnemingsproses om batebestuursdienste te verbeter asook vir die formalisering
van die kommersiële en kontraktuele prosesse wat verband hou met hierdie
dienste.
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Aplicação de tecnologias de informação e automação em minas subterrâneas: desafios e perspectivas. / Information and automation technologies application in a underground mines: challenges and perspectives.Paiva, Guilherme 21 October 2015 (has links)
Este trabalho tem o objetivo de discutir conceitos, desafios e perspectivas relacionados à aplicação de tecnologias de automação e informação em minas subterrâneas. Exemplos de aplicação contextualizam técnicas e tecnologias atuais de lavra, suas tendências de evolução para o futuro e a interação com aspectos humanos, operacionais e gerenciais. Dados coletados, referentes a indicadores de produtividade e confiabilidade, são utilizados para um estudo sobre a utilização de um jumbo de perfuração computadorizado nas operações de desenvolvimento e produção de uma mina subterrânea no Brasil. Uma série de desafios devem ser considerados para que sistemas computadorizados embarcados em conjunto com infraestrutura de tecnologia da informação se tornem parte da estratégia operacional. Gestores devem efetivamente adaptar as organizações a novos padrões de segurança, eficiência operacional e gestão integrada da informação. A padronização de interfaces deve ser aceita como premissa básica para a integração de processos. / This study aims to discuss the concepts, challenges and perspectives related to automation and information technologies application in underground mines. Application examples contextualize current mining techniques and technology, future evolution and the interaction with human, operational and management aspects. Productivity and reliability data collected are used to study the utilization of a computerized drilling jumbo for development and production operations in an underground mine in Brazil. A series of challenges must be considered for onboard electronic systems combined with information technology infrastructure become part of the operational strategy. Leaders must effectively manage to adapt organizations to new standards. It is evident the value-added operation with all the benefits related to safety, operational efficiency and integrated information management. Interface standardization must be accepted as a basic premise for process integration.
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The recommendation and validation of an appropriate physical asset management policy for Prasa’s Metrorail divisionRommelspacher, Karl Otto 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MScEng)--Stellenbosch University / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The
decline
of
the
passenger
rail
transport
system
of
South
Africa
over
the
past
two
decades
has
left
the
passenger
rail
industry
in
a
difficult
position.
The
most
significant
impact
has
been
the
deterioration
of
the
physical
assets.
Due
to
the
renewed
focus
by
government
on
passenger
rail
transport,
the
need
for
improving
the
physical
asset
management
has
been
recognised.
Physical
asset
management
manifests
itself
through
the
application
of
strategies.
The
need
for
new
and/or
updated
strategies
was
identified
and
summarily
examined.
Through
the
initial
literature
study,
it
was
found
that
strategies
are
founded
on
the
specific
maintenance
policy
of
an
organisation.
The
application
of
the
new/updated
strategies
was
intended
to
take
place
at
Metrorail.
An
investigation
at
Metrorail
revealed
the
lack
of
any
significant
policy
that
is
required
to
develop
any
new
strategies.
This
discovery
led
to
a
shift
in
focus
from
the
development
of
new
strategies
to
the
development
of
a
physical
asset
management
policy.
A
generic
policy
statement
called
Requirement-‐based
Asset
Management
(RAM)
was
developed,
with
its
primary
focus
being
the
conducting
of
maintenance
activities
based
on
the
requirements
of
the
organisation,
the
employees,
the
asset
and
the
customer.
In
order
to
evaluate
the
suitability
of
RAM,
a
strategic
roadmap
was
developed
based
on
the
policy
statement
and
validated
in
three
areas
of
Metrorail.
These
three
areas
were
the
wheel
set
maintenance
system,
the
Top
7
fault
evaluation
procedure
and
the
scheduled
maintenance
cycle
of
the
train
sets.
The
application
procedure
concluded
that
the
roadmap
and
thus
by
deduction
RAM
are
suitable
for
the
Metrorail
environment.
RAM
can
be
used
to
develop/improve
an
organisation’s
physical
asset
management
policy. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die
agteruitgang
van
die
vervoerspoorwegstelsel
vir
passasiers
gedurende
die
afgelope
twee
dekades
in
Suid-‐Afrika
het
hierdie
bedryf
in
‘n
moeilike
posisie
geplaas.
Die
mees
beduidende
impak
van
hierdie
verwaarlosing
is
die
agteruitgang
van
die
instandhouding
van
fisiese
bates.
Die
regering
se
hernuwe
fokus
op
die
vervoer
van
passasiers
per
spoor
het
gelei
tot
die
herkenning
van
die
behoefte
aan
verbeterde
bestuur
van
fisiese
bates.
Die
bestuur
van
fisiese
bates
word
gemanifesteer
deur
die
toepassing
van
strategieë.
‘n
Behoefte
aan
nuwe
en/of
opgedateerde
strategieë
is
geïdentifiseer
en
nagevors.
Die
aanvanklike
literatuurstudie
het
bevind
dat
strategieë
op
‘n
organisasie
se
spesifieke
instandhoudingsbeleid
gebaseer
is
en
die
toepassing
van
hierdie
nuwe
en/of
opgedateerde
strategieë
is
beplan
by
Metrorail.
‘n
Gebrek
aan
‘n
noemenswaardige
beleid
wat
vereis
word
vir
die
ontwikkeling
van
nuwe
strategieë
is
by
Metrorail
gevind.
Hierdie
bevinding
het
‘n
fokusverskuiwing
tot
gevolg
gehad
–
van
die
ontwikkeling
van
nuwe
strategieë
na
die
ontwikkeling
van
‘n
bestuursbeleid
vir
fisiese
bates.
‘n
Generiese
beleidsverklaring
genaamd
“Requirement-‐based
Asset
Management”
(RAM),
met
die
primêre
fokus
op
instandhoudingsaktiwiteite,
is
ontwikkel
en
is
gebaseer
op
die
behoeftes
van
die
organisasie,
die
werknemers,
bates
en
kliënte.
‘n
Strategiese
metodologie
wat
op
die
beleidsverklaring
gebaseer
is,
is
ontwikkel
om
die
geskiktheid
van
die
RAM
te
evalueer
en
is
dit
in
drie
areas
van
Metrorail
gevalideer.
Hierdie
drie
areas
sluit
in
die
instandhoudingstelsel
vir
wielstelle,
die
prosedures
betrokke
by
die
evaluasie
van
die
sewe
mees
beduidende
foute,
en
die
geskeduleerde
instandhoudingsiklus
van
die
treinstelle.
Deur
die
toepassingsprosedure
is
die
gevolgtrekking
gemaak
dat
die
metodologie,
en
gevolglik
die
RAM,
geskik
is
vir
die
Metrorail-‐omgewing.
Die
RAM
kan
dus
gebruik
word
vir
die
ontwikkeling
en/of
verbetering
van
‘n
organisasie
se
bestuursbeleid
vir
fisiese
bates.
|
7 |
A performance measurement model for a service partnershipLategan, Jacobus Petrus 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MScEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The problem with which many organisations struggle in the current economical environment is that of
focus. They are trapped in a situation where limited resources or lack of inherent knowledge withhold
them from increasing shareholder value.
This research focuses on the strategy which an organisation pursues when outsourcing those business
functions which are outside their core competencies. The outcome of this decision involves them
entering into a partnership with a service organisation (or consultancy).
The duration of the relationship between these parties is dependent on the value (actual plus perceived)
which the service organisation contributes to its customer. Pragma (a service organisation in the
physical asset management (PAM) environment) is, due to the current economic turmoil, in a situation
where they need to indicate the value created through the acquirement of their service. This leads to a
search for a model which would provide them with the required justification.
A study was conducted on current available frameworks but none of those identified suited this type of
measurement. This led to the development of a unique model (based on the principles of the Balanced
Scorecard) called the performance measurement value index (PMVI) which identifies the generic
elements required to measure the value of a service partnership. These elements are:
1. financial perspective;
2. customer engagement;
3. risk management; and
4. internal business processes.
These elements are weighted (using the analytical hierarchical process) to represent the change in
value, as contributed by the elements, and is then represented as a single value (ten is used as this
arbitrary value in this research).
The PMVI is introduced into the PAM environment which then produces the asset management value
index (AMVI). The four elements of the PMVI are broken down into five elements required for the AMVI.
These elements are:
1. cost reduction;
2. asset performance improvement; 3. customer satisfaction;
4. risk reduction; and
5. asset management maturity.
The model was applied to three of Pragma’s customers. The type of application (within this
environment) is dependent on the nature of both the customer and service. The first two customers are
both from a manufacturing environment but they differ in the type of service (ACC@Pragma vs
ACC@Client) rendered. The third customer operates within the utilities and facilities environment and
receives an ACC@Client service. The period over which the model was applied varies due to the use and
availability of historical data of these customers.
An increase in value was noted for the two ACC@Client customers (from 7.68 to 8.51 and 4.54 to 7.73
respectively), where the service partnership is still in its early stages (one to three years old). However,
the ACC@Pragma customer reflected a stagnating value (6.62 to 6.59) where the service partnership is
older than ten years.
These results reflect the expectations which Pragma had at the beginning of the study and consequently
proves that they do add value to their customers. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die huidige ekonomiese omgewing veroorsaak dat baie ondernemings sukkel om te fokus. Hulle word
vasgevang in ‘n situasie waar ‘n beperking in hulpbronne of ‘n tekort aan nodige kennis hulle verhoed
om waarde te verskaf aan hulle aandeelhouers.
Hierdie navorsing ondersoek daardie strategie van ‘n onderneming wat daartoe lei dat hulle sekere
besigheids funksies, wat hulle nie beskou as hul eie sterktepunte nie, uitkontrakteer en gevolglik kan
fokus op hul sterktepunte. Die gevolg van hierdie besluit verg dat die onderneming ‘n ooreenkoms
aangaan met ‘n dienste onderneming.
Die tydperk van hierdie verhouding word bepaal deur die waarde (beide werklik en aangevoelde) wat
die dienste onderneming toevoeg tot hul klient. Pragma (‘n dienste onderneming in die fisiese bates
bestuur bedryf) word huidiglik gekonfronteer met die situasie waar hulle die waarde wat, weens die
lewering van hul diens, toegevoeg word tot die klient. Dit lei tot die soeke na ‘n model om die lewering
van hulle diens te valideer.
‘n Studie was uitgevoer op die huidige beskikbare modele wat doeltreffendheid in ‘n onderneming
meet, maar geen van die geїdentifiseerdes was toepaslik op hiersie situasie nie. Dit het gelei tot die
ontwikkeling van ‘n unieke model (gebaseer op die beginsels van die Balanced Scorecard) genaamd die
Performance Measurement Value Index (PMVI) wat die nodige elemente vir die meting van hierdie tipe
doeltreffenheid identifiseer. Hierdie elemente sluit in die:
• finansiële perspektief;
• kliënte interaksie;
• risiko bestuur; en
• interne besigheids prosesse.
Die geweegde uikomste van hierdie elemente (soos bepaal deur die Analytical Hierarchical Process)
word gebruik om ‘n verandering in waarde aan te dui as ‘n enkele waarde (tien in die geval van hierdie
studie).Die PMVI word aangepas vir gebruik in die fisiese bate bestuur omgewing en die gevolge hiervan is die
skepping van die Asset Management Value Index (AMVI). Die vier elemente, soos gebruik in die PMVI,
word aangepas na vyf elemente in die AMVI. Hierdie elemente sluit in die:
• verlaging van uitgawes;
• bate doeltreffenheid verhoging;
• kliënt tevredenheid;
• risiko verlaging; en
• bate bestuur verbetering (verbetering in die interne besigheids funksies van bate bestuur).
Die model was toegepas op drie van Pragma se kliente. Die tipe van toepassing (binne hierdie
omgewing) is afhanklik van beide die kliënt en dienste gelewer. Die eerste twee kliënte is beide
afkomstig van ‘n hoofsaaklik vervaardigings-omgewing, maar die dienste gelewer aan die kliënte verskil
(ACC@Pragma vs ACC@Client). Die ander klient is afkomstig vanuit ‘n dienste en geboue omgewing en
ontvang die dienste van ‘n ACC@Client. Die tydperk waaroor die AMVI toegepas is verskil weens die
toepaslikheid en beskikbaarheid van historiese inligting.
‘n Toename in waarde is bevind by beide van die ACC@Client kliënte (vanaf 7.68 na 8.51 en 4.54 na 7.73
onderskeidelik). Dit kan toeskryf word aan die vroeë fase waarin hierdie diens ooreenkoms funksioneer
(vanaf een tot drie jaar). Die uitkomste van die ACC@Pragma, aan die anderkant, dui op stagnerende
waarde (6.62 na 6.59) vir die kliënt waar die diens ooreenkoms alreeds ouer as tien jaar is.
Die uitkomste van hierdie studie bewys die verwagtinge wat Pragma aan die begin van hierdie studie
gehad het en bewys gevolglik dat hulle wel waarde toevoeg tot hul kliënte.
|
8 |
Improving asset care plans in mining : applying developments from aviation maintenanceAl Shaalane, Amir 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MScEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2012. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The aim of this thesis is to compare the aviation derived reliability metric
known as the Maintenance Free Operating Period (MFOP), with the traditionally
used, and commonly found, reliability metric Mean Time Between
Failure (MTBF), which has over the years shown some innate disadvantages
in the field of maintenance. It will be shown that this is mainly due to MTBF’s
inherent acceptance of failure and the unscheduled maintenance therewith directly
connected. Moreover, MFOP is successfully applied to a mining specific
case study, as to date, no other application of the MFOP concept to the mining
sector is known.
An extensive literature study is presented, which covers concepts relevant
to the overall study and which helps to contextualise the problem, revealing the
major shortcomings of the commonly accepted MTBF metric. A methodology
to analyse systems MFOP performance, making use of failure statistics to
analyse both repairable and non-repairable systems, is presented. Validation
makes use of a case study which applies the MFOP methodology to a system,
specifically in the mining sector.
It was shown that MFOP could be applied to the data obtained from the
mining sector, producing estimates which were accurate representations of reality.
These findings provide an exciting basis on which to begin to facilitate a paradigm shift in the mind set of maintenance personnel, setting reliability
targets and dealing with unscheduled maintenance stops.
KEYWORDS: Maintenance Free Operating Period, Mean Time Between Failure,
Maintenance, Mining / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die doel van hierdie tesis is om die Onderhoudvrye Bedryf Tydperk (OBT),
’n betroubaarheidsmaatstaf afkomstig van die lugvaart industrie, te vergelyk
met die Gemiddelde Tyd Tussen Falings (GTTF) maatstaf wat tradisioneel in
algemene gebruik is, maar wat oor die jare inherente nadele met betrekking tot
instandhouding geopenbaar het. Dit sal bewys word dat hierdie nadele hoofsaaklik
ontstaan as gevolg van die GTTF se inherente aanvaarding van failure
en die ongeskeduleerde instandhouding wat daarmee gepaard gaan. OBT word
ook suksesvol aangewend in ’n mynwese-spesifieke gevallestudie, wat aaangegaan
is aangesien geen ander sooortgelyke aanwending in die mynwese sektor
tot datum bekend is nie. ’n Breedvoerige literatuurstudie word voorgelê wat
relevante konsepte dek en die probleem binne konteks plaas, en daardeur die
hoof tekortkominge van die algemeen aanvaarde GTTF metriek ontbloot.
’n Metodologie waardeur analise van die stelsel werkverrigting van die OBT
uitgevoer kan word met gebruik van onderbrekings statistiek om herstelbaar
sowel as onherstelbare stelsels te analiseer, word voorgestel. Geldigheid word
getoets deur ’n gevallestudie wat die OBT metodologie aangewend word spesifiek
vir ’n stelsel in die mynwese Dit is bewys dat OBT toegepas kan word op data afkomstig van die mynwese
sector, en skattings lewer wat akkurate voorstellings is van die werklikheid.
Hierdie bevindinge is opwindend, en dit dien as die basis vir ’n die
aanwending van ’n paradigmaskuif in die benadering van instandhoudingspersoneel
tot die daarstelling van teikens vir betroubaarheid en ook in hul
hantering van ongeskeduleerde instandhoudingsophoud.
SLEUTELWOORDE: Onderhoudvrye Bedryf Tydperk, Gemiddelde Tyd Tussen
Falings, Onderhoud, Mynbou
|
9 |
Investigating social network analysis as a method to map primary constraints in physical asset management strategy executionBaum, Jan-Hendrik 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MScEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2012. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The successful execution of the Physical Asset Management Strategy (PAMS)
is an important value driver for organisations, whose core business is highly dependent
on the service delivery of physical assets. However, contemporary research
demonstrates that scheduled targets are often not met and the means to
detect the constraints that can undermine the strategy execution efforts are deficient.
The purpose of this thesis is to investigate Social Network Analysis (SNA)
as a method to map primary constraints in Physical Asset Management Strategy
Execution (PAMSE). A comprehensive literature review addresses the domains of
Physical Asset Management (PAM) and SNA. The review of the literature is supported
by interviews with practitioners in the field of PAM. Consequently, the challenges
experienced in PAM are contextualised along with the capabilities of SNA and the
most important constraints in PAMSE are identified. As an interim result, the study
found that dysfunctional information flow and poor decision making are the primary
constraints that could hinder the execution of a PAMS. As a consequence thereof, a
SNA application methodology was developed in order to scrutinise these areas of concern.
The methodology was applied at two research sites in the South African mining
industry. Network data for the study was collected by surveys conducted in June and
July 2012. The case studies demonstrate that a SNA application in PAM requires
a number of prerequisites that are crucial to its success. Nevertheless, a successful
SNA application may yield valuable results identifying the problems encountered
in PAMSE. Most importantly, the SNA highlights overloaded key employees, collaborative
breakdowns and excessive intradepartmental collaboration that have the potential to hinder the PAMSE process. The results were validated by means of
dialogue with the individuals involved in the study. This study found that SNA can
be used as a method to map the primary constraints experienced by PAMSE. It
also emphasises that there are important prerequisites that have to be established
for SNA to be successful. Future research could be carried out based on the results
of this thesis, in order to design improvement plans for the studied research site and
possibly conduct a second SNA to investigate whether the constraints, identified in
the study, had been resolved. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die suksesvolle uitvoering van die Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie is ’n belangrike
genereerder van waarde vir organisasies waar die kernbesigheid tot ’n groot mate
afhanklik is van die dienslewering van fisiese bates. Hedendaagse navorsing wys egter
dat geskeduleerde mylpale meestal nie bereik word nie en dat die metodes wat
gebruik word om vas te stel watter beperkings die strategie-uitvoering ondermyn,
ontoereikend is. Die doel van hierdie tesis is om die aanwending van Sosiale Netwerkanalise
as ’n metode te ondersoek, om die primêre beperkings ten opsigte van die
uitvoering van Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie te identifiseer. ’n Omvattende literatuuroorsig
is uitgevoer wat die gebied van Fisiese Batebestuur en Sosiale Netwerkanalise
aanspreek. Die literatuuroorsig is aangevul deur onderhoude met kundiges op die
gebied van Fisiese Batebestuur. Sodoende kon die uitdagings van Fisiese Batebestuur
bestudeer word in die konteks en vermoëns van Sosiale Netwerkanalise, en
gevolglik is die belangrikste beperkings in Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie-Uitvoering
geïdentifiseer. Die voorlopige resultate van die studie het bevind dat gebrekkige inligtingsvloei
en swak besluitneming die hoofbeperkings is wat die uitvoering van ’n
Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie kan verhinder. Gevolglik is ’n Sosiale Netwerkanalise
toepassingsmetodiek ontwikkel om dié probleemareas onder die mikroskoop te plaas.
Dié metodiek is dan op twee teiken-aanlegte in die Suid-Afrikaanse Mynbou Industrie
toegepas. Netwerkdata vir die studie is deur middel van meningsopnames in
Junie en Julie 2012 ingesamel. Die gevallestudies demonstreer dat ’n Sosiale Netwerkanalisetoepassing
in Fisiese Batebestuur waardevolle resultate kan lewer met betrekking tot die probleme wat ondervind word in die uitvoer van Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie.
Onder die belangrikste bevindings van die Sosiale Netwerkanalise
tel die oorbelasting van sleutelposwerknemers, mislukte samewerking, asook eksessiewe
interdepartementele samewerking met die potensiaal om die uitvoering van die
Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie te verhinder. Die bevindings is deur dialoog met die
individuele deelnemers in die ondersoek gestaaf. Die studie het bevind dat Sosiale
Netwerkanalise geskik is as ’n metode om die primêre beperkings, wat ondervind
word in die uitvoering van Fisiese Batebestuurstrategie, te identifiseer. Dit moet
egter ook beklemtoon word dat daar belangrike voorvereistes bestaan, wat vir die
suksesvolle toepassing van Sosiale Netwerkanalise in plek moet wees. Toekomstige
navorsing kan gebaseer word op die uitkoms van dié tesis met die doel om ontwerpverbeteringsplanne
vir die teiken-aanlegte op te stel. Daarbenewens kan ’n moontlike
opvolg Sosiale Netwerkanalise uitgevoer word om te meet of die beperkings wat deur
die ondersoek geidentifiseer is, oorkom is.
|
10 |
A simplified numerical decision making toolbox for physical asset management decisionsBurnett, Sulene 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2013. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The management of physical assets has become a popular eld of
study over recent years and is being acknowledged in multiple disciplines
world wide. In this project, research on Physical Asset Management
(PAM), maintenance and decision making are presented. PAM
is a complex subject and requires the participation of multiple disciplines
in order to successfully manage physical assets. Moreover, the
management of maintenance makes a big contribution in achieving
successful PAM. Decision making is a core element to manage maintenance
e ciently, both on strategic and operational level. Various
methods and techniques can be used to aid the decision making process
such as, using past experience, xed decision making techniques
and techniques involving numerical calculations, to mention only a
few. However, using numerical calculations to make decisions are not
very popular. This is due to various reasons, for example the inherent
complexity of the mathematics and the time required to execute such
calculations are disliked. People tend to avoid complex numerical
calculations and rather rely on past experience and discussion of circulating
opinions to make decisions. This is not ideal and can lead to
inconsistent and inaccurate decisions. In this project, the importance
of numerical decision making is researched, especially in maintenance
related decisions. The focus is placed on the simpli cation of numerical
decision making techniques with the aim to make it easy and quick
to use to support operational PAM decisions. Di erent decisions regarding PAM, especially decisions with regards
to managing maintenance in order to achieve PAM, are discussed by means of a literature study. This is done to clarify the applicability
of using numerical decision making techniques to support this
type of decisions. A few di erent available numerical techniques are
highlighted that can be used to support the decision making process.
The decisions together with numerical decision making techniques are
evaluated in order to combine the most appropriate techniques in a
simpli ed manner. The purpose of this is that it can be used by anyone
with the necessary knowledge of a speci c system or operation.
As a result a simpli ed numerical decision making toolbox is developed
that can support maintenance related decision. This toolbox is
applied to a real life situation by means of a case study, made possible
by Anglo American Platinum Limited (Amplats). An evaluation and
validation of the toolbox is done through the case study to conclude
wether it has value in practice or not. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die bestuur van siese bates het die afgelope paar jaar 'n gewilde
studieveld geword en word erken in verskeie dissiplines reg oor die
w^ereld. In hierdie projek word navorsing gedoen oor Fisiese Bate
Bestuur (FBB), instandhouding en besluitneming. FBB is 'n komplekse
onderwerp en vereis die deelname van verskeie dissiplines om
sukses te behaal. Die bestuur van instandhouding maak 'n groot bydrae
tot suksesvolle FBB. 'n Kern element van doeltre ende instandhouding
is besluitneming, beide op strategiese en operasionele vlak.
Verskillende metodes en tegnieke kan gebruik word om die besluitnemingsproses
te ondersteun soos byvoorbeeld om gebruik te maak van
ondervinding en vorige gebeurtenisse, vaste besluitnemingstegnieke,
tegnieke wat numeriese berekeninge gebruik en nog meer. Die gebruik
van numeriese metodes om besluite te neem is nie baie gewild
nie. Dit is as gevolg van verskeie redes soos byvoorbeeld die inherente
kompleksiteit en ingewikkeldheid van die wiskunde en ook die tyd
wat benodig word om sulke berekeninge uit te voer. Mense is geneig
om ingewikkelde numeriese berekeninge te vermy en eerder staat te
maak op vorige ervaring en die bespreking van menings om besluite
te neem. Dit is nie ideaal nie en kan lei tot onkonsekwente besluite,
of selfs verkeerde besluite. In hierdie projek is die belangrikheid van
numeriese besluitneming nagevors, veral in die onderhoudsverwante
besluite. Die fokus word geplaas op die vereenvoudiging van die numeriese
besluitnemings tegnieke. Die doel is om dit op so 'n manier
te vereenvoudig dat dit maklik en vinnig is om te gebruik vir operasionele
FBB besluite. Verskillende besluite oor FBB, veral besluite met betrekking tot instandhouding
om suksesvolle FBB te bereik, word bespreek deur middel
van 'n literatuurstudie. Die literatuurstudie ondersoek die toepaslikheid
van die gebruik van numeriese besluitnemingstegnieke vir hierdie
soort besluite. 'n Paar verskillende beskikbare numeriese tegnieke wat
gebruik kan word om die besluitnemingsproses te ondersteun word uitgelig.
Die besluite, saam met numeriese besluitnemingtegnieke, word
ge evalueer om die mees gepaste tegnieke te kombineer in 'n vereenvoudigde
manier. Uiteindelik moet dit deur enige iemand met die
nodige kennis van 'n spesi eke stelsel of proses gebruik kan word.
As resultaat is 'n vereenvoudigde numeriese besluitnemingstegniekkombinasie
ontwikkel wat besluite verwant aan instandhouding kan
ondersteun. Hierdie tegniek-kombinasie word toegepas in 'n werklike
situasie deur middel van 'n gevallestudie, wat moontlik gemaak is deur
Anglo American Platinum Limited. 'n Evaluering en validering van
die tegniek-kombinasie word gedoen in die gevallestudie om te bepaal
of dit wel waarde het in die praktyk of nie.
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