The fast expansion of the shadow banking industry and its unregulated risks pose great challenges to the People's Bank of China. This paper uses the classic money multiplier and velocity models to investigate the impact of shadow banks on the effectiveness of monetary policies from 2006 to 2016.The time-series regression results show that shadow banks have a positive relationship with the velocity and a negative one with the multiplier. As the non-banks disrupt the traditional credit creation process and the central bank loses control of two important monetary indicators, the paper then discusses possible new intermediate targets and reforms that can alleviate the shadow banking problems.

Yes / Recent years have seen the increasing concern for the flourish of shadow banking in China and India. In this paper, we aim to get a better understanding of the differences in trends and investigate the factors leading to the rise of shadow banking in these two major emerging economies. We find that financial exclusion is a common factor leading to the rise of shadow banking in China and India. While financial reform has taken place in India, financial repressive policies still prevail in China. Although several regulatory measures have been adopted in India and China, the size of the shadow banking in these two countries remains underestimated. Thus, streamlining and enhancing data collection is a key priority for both India and China. We also argue that the regulation in both countries should be more activity focused rather than sector or entity based, and it should be at par with banks. As shadow banks provide last mile connectivity and enhance financial inclusion, a balanced approach is required keeping in view both benefits and costs of the shadow banking system.

L'ampleur sans précédent de la crise financière de 2007-2008 a donné naissance à une vaste littérature dévolue à l'analyse du phénomène du Shadow Banking, considéré comme le principal responsable de la débâcle bancaire et financière de la Grande Récession, sans pour autant apporter une compréhension globale. L’objectif de cette thèse est, à l’aide d’une approche positive, d’étudier les racines et effectuer une dissection du Shadow Banking, indispensable pour cerner sa complexité, en établir une compréhension globale et comprendre son rôle central dans le financement de l’économie et la création monétaire. Avant d’être normative, cette étude nécessite surtout une démarche positive qui doit présenter des faits et des mécanismes d’un point de vue analytique. Pour cela, ce travail contribue à la littérature existante en proposant une démarche progressive exposant les outils de la migration supposée des risques bancaires en dehors du bilan des banques et démêlant le vrai du fantasme dans une lecture approfondie des enjeux du Shadow Banking. Dans cette logique, le premier chapitre de ce travail de thèse s’est porté sur ce qui semblait être à l’origine de la crise de 2007-2008, à savoir la circulation des actifs et des risques des banques au travers de la vente de crédits bancaires. Il y est établi que le transfert d’actifs bancaires dans sa forme moderne est une réalité depuis plus de quarante ans, fragilisant l’hypothèse d’un phénomène récent coupable du péché originel menant à la crise, ce fardeau semblant dévolu à la titrisation. Le second chapitre de ce travail de thèse est ainsi consacré à l’étude de la titrisation et plus particulièrement de ses origines et de ses mécanismes. A l’image de la vente de crédit, l’hypothèse d’un phénomène récent est vite écartée par la riche et longue histoire du processus de titrisation qui s’étend sur plus de quatre siècles. A l’opposé d’un phénomène balbutiant et uniquement américain, la titrisation révèle des racines européennes et anciennes loin d’être dénuées d’une certaine instabilité. En revanche, il est avéré que la forme moderne de la titrisation doit son schéma au secteur public américain qui a, par son choix de privilégier les engagements sur la détention des actifs, entretenu le mirage d’une bénédiction de Midas sensé permettre de créer de la qualité ex-nihilo. Si cette fable est loin d’être soutenable, il n’en reste pas moins que la titrisation peut être un processus vertueux de répartition de qualité et de rendement rendu possible par la diminution des asymétries d’information, accompagné d’une amélioration sensible de la liquidité du financement. Cependant, elle n’en reste pas moins le support préférentiel des arbitrages réglementaires bancaires permis par l’attentisme des régulateurs. Enfin, à la lumière de ces éclairages nécessaires sur les outils de la finance moderne, le troisième chapitre de ce travail de thèse se consacre à l’étude du Shadow Banking. Après en avoir exposé et dénoncé les poncifs, il offre une lecture du phénomène qui dépasse le simple fantasme d’un système bancaire parallèle caché dans les ombres en proposant une lecture qui mène progressivement à s’interroger sur le basculement du système financier vers une dynamique de collatéralisation intensive. Cette multiplication des assurances trouve alors son paroxysme dans l’émergence d’une nouvelle hiérarchie monétaire, les banques centrales abandonnant un peu plus leurs prérogatives au secteur privé : les banques disposent depuis près d’un siècle de la capacité de création monétaire qui a été, peu à peu, cédée de concert au Shadow Banking. Ce troisième chapitre appelle une réflexion ultérieure sur la place de la banque dans le système financier et sur l’avenir de la création monétaire qui échappe de plus en plus aux banquiers centraux. / The unprecedented scale of the 2007-2008 financial crisis has spawned a vast literature devoted to analyzing the phenomenon of Shadow Banking, considered as the main cause of the banking and financial debacle of the Great Recession, without noticeably providing a global understanding of the phenomena. The main objective of this thesis is, using a positive approach, to study the roots and perform a dissection of the Shadow Banking in order to understand its complexity, establishing a comprehensive understanding of its central role in financing economy and money creation. Before being prescriptive, this study requires above all a positive step that should present facts and mechanisms of an analytical point of view. In this way, this work contributes to the existing literature with a progressive and didactic approach exposing the migration tools of banking risks outside of balance sheets of banks and disentangling fact from fantasy in a thorough reading of the challenges of the Shadow Banking. In this logic, the first chapter of this thesis is devoted to what appeared to be the cause of the crisis of 2007-2008, namely the migration of banks’ assets and risks through credits sales. There is evidences of loan sales for more than forty years, weakening the hypothesis of a recent phenomenon guilty of the original sin leading to the crisis, this burden pretends vested in the securitization. The second chapter of this thesis is thus devoted to the study of securitization and especially of both its origins and its mechanisms. Just like the sale of credit, the assumption of a new phenomenon was quickly ruled out by the long and rich history of the securitization process that spans over four centuries. In contrast to the fledgling and uniquely American phenomenon, securitization reveals its ancient European roots and appears far from being devoid of a certain instability. However, it turned out that the modern form of securitization owes its pattern to the American public sector that, by its choice of using commitments instead of detention of assets, maintaining the mirage of a Midas’ blessing allowing to create ex nihilo quality. If this tale is far from being sustainable, the fact remains that securitization can be a virtuous process offering both quality and yield distribution, reducing information asymmetries, and significantly improving liquidity. However, it remains the preferred medium for banks’ regulatory arbitrages, the later allowed by wait-and-see regulators. Finally, in light of these necessary insights into the tools of modern finance, the third chapter of this thesis is devoted to the study of the Shadow Banking. After exposing its clichés, it offers a lecture of the phenomenon that goes beyond the fantasy of a shadow banking system hidden in the shadows, by providing an approach that gradually leads to the changeover of the financial system to a dynamic and intensive collateral form. This multiplication of insurances then finds its climax in the emergence of a new monetary hierarchy, central banks abandoning their prerogatives to the private sector. Since a century, banks have monetary creation capacities that were, gradually, transferred to the Shadow Banking. This third chapter conclude on the need of further research on the new role of the banking system in the financial system and the future of money creation increasingly eluding central bankers.

Shadow banking in the view of legal regulation Abstract This diploma thesis deals with shadow banking in the view of legal regulation focusing on the Czech territory. Although the shadow banking sector amounts almost to the same extent as the traditional banking, its legal regulation is barely discussed in the Czech Republic. So this work aims at stimulation of that kind of debate. Shadow banking contributes to more effective redistribution of the financial means between investors and debtors. Nevertheless, due to its nature it involves significant systemic risks, which played a crucial role during the spread of the mortgage crisis in 2007-08. Therefore this area has to be regulated. In the first part the thesis explains the term shadow banking including the entities and activities, which are able to be classified within this sector, and the risks, which it carries. In the second part the work deals with the current legal regulation of this area and points to the advantages and the deficiencies. Finally, in the third part it provides with the proposals regarding the deficiencies. Particularly the thesis proceeds from study and research of the documents published by the supervision bodies of the financial stability area and from the applicable provisions relevant to the shadow banking. Concerning this I am...

The thesis is dedicated to clarifying the origins and main causes of the economic crisis. In the first part I ilustrate the connection between the monetary policies of central banks and the changes in structure of the production and investments with the help of Austrian Business Cycle Theory. These theoretical assumptions are confronted with the empirical findings from USA throughout the 20th century. The second part discusses other factors leading to the crises, mainly focusing on the 2009 economic crises and various free market and state controlled factors. The thesis discusses these factors from the point of view of theoretical and empirical knowledge of economic science.

i Abstract Recent financial crisis resulting in global financial instability pointed at the importance of growing shadow banking. Shadow banking activities are gen- erally defined as banking-like activities outside of regulated banking. In this thesis, we study theoretical background of shadow banking, its regulation and supervision. Despite the data availability problem, a qualitative analysis is performed to estimate the volume of the European and the U.S. shadow bank- ing sectors from 2006 until 2013 Q2. European shadow banking system hit its bottom of EUR 8.3 trillion (19% of total European bank assets) in 2008 Q4. Nowadays, it equals to EUR 9.3 trillion (21% of total European bank assets). U.S. shadow banking sector attained its maximum of USD 20.7 trillion (163% of total U.S. bank assets) in 2008 Q1. Nowadays, it equals to USD 15.6 tril- lion which also equals to total U.S. bank assets. Moreover, we concentrate on Chinese money market funds and French and UK repo markets, since these represent an important part of shadow banking. Quantitative analysis studies relationships among traditional banking, shadow banking and economy itself in France and UK. Results show that if repo transactions, GDP and government debt increase, total bank assets increase. Furthermore, if money market fund assets decrease and...

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Since the start of the financial crisis in 2008, the Federal Reserve has been engaging in quantitative easing. Quantitative easing is a form of open market operation in which the Federal Reserve buys long-term U.S. government and other securities, versus traditional open market operations that occur through the short-term Treasury bill market. At the same time, the shadow bank system, which is a system of financial intermediaries that perform unregulated credit intermediation outside of traditional banks, has contracted significantly. Some argue that this contraction is due to a collateral crunch induced by quantitative easing in the shadow bank system—a crunch that occurred when the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program took high-quality collateral off the market. I will focus specifically on repurchase agreements, an instrument within the shadow banking that uses the same types of securities that the Federal Reserve has been buying during quantitative easing as collateral, to determine whether quantitative easing has led to a contraction of the repurchase agreement market. I find that increases in Federal Reserve asset holdings from 2005-2013, and specifically during QE1, are associated with decreases in primary dealer repurchase agreements. This shows that under certain circumstances, Federal Reserve asset purchases lead to contractions in the shadow bank system. This paper aims to increase understanding of how monetary policy affects shadow banking and understanding of the unintended consequences of monetary policy, such as decreased shadow bank lending caused by quantitative easing.

This study provides an empirical analysis of Shadow banking as a factor influencing cross- border financial flows. It builds upon emerging literature on Shadow banking and empirical literature on global imbalances and global financial flows. The aim of the thesis is to test three hypotheses, which relate global financial flows to lending, change in cross-border bank liabilities, and shadow banking, respectively. The second and third hypotheses are tested on gross capital flows, which, in contrast to net flows, better reflect financing activities. The results suggest that Shadow banking activities are related to higher gross capital flows in periods, when this sector is growing. These flows, however, tend to dry up when Shadow banking activities level off or decline. Among other important factors is the output growth differential and global risk aversion. JEL Classification E44, G20, G23, F32, F34, F21, F65 Keywords Shadow Banking, Global Imbalances, Capital Flows, Financial Stability Author's e-mail tomas.vaclavicek@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail petr.teply@fsv.cuni.cz

The thesis deals with the development of China's financial system, with a particular focus on the banking sector. At the beginning of the work is briefly summarized the current development of China's economy, since the behaviors and positions of banks in the PRC are closely linked with the state of the economy and the state as such. Presents the basic elements of the Chinese banking system, constitutes the basic legislation and some banking institutions. It also discusses the banking system as a whole and finally discusses its greatest specifics, non performing loans and shadow banking.