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Basel II房屋貸款信用風險內部評等模型之實證分析吳孟玲 Unknown Date (has links)
台灣的銀行業目前呈現過度競爭的情況,加上政府極力推動金融改革,銀行為了拓展版圖,不惜降低徵、授信標準,擴張信用貸款,使得很多銀行的逾期放款增加。加上國內銀行多以消費性金融業務為主,造成雙卡風暴嚴重影響金融市場的秩序,導致銀行緊縮無擔保貸款並增加房屋貸款現象,加上96年初美國爆發次級房貸風暴,為降低銀行因過度擴張房貸業務對銀行經營造成負面影響,本研究以國內某商業銀行為主要研究對象,並以巴塞爾協定為基礎,針對消費者房屋貸款的授信評量做一研究與分析,試圖利用統計方法建構一信用風險內部評等模型,客觀評估房屋抵押貸款之違約風險因子。
本研究所得結論如下:
1.本研究所使用的模型為Logistic Regression,利用銀行實際之進件資料和交易行為資料進行分析,透過此模型找出和違約有關的風險因子,並計算每個客戶之違約率。
2.交叉分析顯示變數「3個月平均繳款率」、「觀察期帳戶逾期情形」、「地區」、「學歷」、「貸款成數指標」、「3個月貸款餘額比率」、「是否超過法定貸款額度」和違約間有顯著的差異,且在Logistic Regression模型中顯示這些因子對於違約有一定影響
3.經由本研究所建構的內部模型,可以及早發現高風險群組的客戶,並做適當處理,提升銀行房貸業務的授信品質,降低銀行整體的逾放比。
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Basel II effekter på kreditutlåning : en kvalitativ studie om vilka effekter kapitalkrav i Basel II har för bankutlåning hos svenska storbanker. / Basel II effects on credit lending : A qualitative study on the effects of capital requirements in Basel II have for bank lending of Swedish big banks.Tahiri, Besnik January 2015 (has links)
Banker fyller viktiga funktioner i samhället och fungerar som finansiella mellanhänder som tillhandahåller betalningstjänster. Bankers krediter är viktiga för den svenska ekonomins utveckling och progression. Krediter fyller många funktioner och behov i samhället och organisationer och stater är beroende av välfungerande kreditsystem. Banker är speciella aktörer eftersom de regleras starkare än andra företag och förändringar i banksystemen kan tas emot med motstånd. Förändring i detta hänseende är då Baselkommitten skruvar på parametrarna och ökar kapitalkraven för bankerna. Företagskrediter blir av högre omfattning eftersom de oftast har längre löptid än bankernas inlåning vilket kan generera likviditetsbrist. Banker är väldigt känsliga eftersom det rör stora belopp och systemförändringar kan innebära förluster av stora belopp. Störningar i bankers system kan få en spridningseffekt till andra banker vilket hotar hela ekonomin (Lind, 2005). Studiens syfte är därför att bidra med ökad förståelse för vilka effekter kapitalkraven i Basel II medför för svenska storbankers krediter. Studiens teoretiska förhållningssätt utgår från nyinstitutionella teorin genom ett legalt perspektiv som undersöker legala förändringars påverkan på bankers krediter. Teorin omfattar koncept som anknyts till problematiseringen för att kunna möjliggöra en analys. Tidigare forskare som undersökt Basel II regelverket har beaktats till exempel Hakenes och Schnabel, (2011), Wahlström (2009), Repullo och Suarez (2004), Ruthenberg och landskroner (2008) och Rime (2005). Studien beaktar kvalitativ undersökning, bestående av nio semistrukturerade intervjuer i fyra storbanker. Studien har tillämpat deduktiv ansats och forskningsfilosofin interpretivism för öka förståelsen för hur ökade kapitalkrav påverkat storbankerna. Studiens resultat visar i likhet med tidigare forskare att storbanker kommer att implementera IRK metoden eftersom denna omfattar differentierad prissättning med större beaktande till riskaspekter. Studien visar att Basel II har möjliggjort för storbankerna att fokusera på lågriskkunder eftersom det innebär att mindre kapital behöver hållas. Studien visar även att i kontrast mot tidigare forskning så minskar kapitalkraven riskincitamenten för bankerna eftersom kapitalkraven medför en rättvisare bild av riskerna. Studiens resultat är att kapitalkraven har ökat bankernas kapitaltäckningsgrad och utlåningsräntan, men inte kreditvolymerna. / Banks fulfill important functions in society and work as financial intermediaries that provide payment services. Banks loans are important for the Swedish economy's development and progression. Credits fill many functions and the needs of society and organizations and the Member States is dependent on effective credit system. Banks are special operators since they are governed stronger than other companies and changes in banking systems can be received with resistance. Change in this respect is then Basel committee bolts on the parameters and increase capital requirements for banks. Credit will be of greater extent because they usually have a longer duration than bank deposits which can generate liquidity. Banks are very sensitive because the large amount and system changes can mean losses of large amounts. Interference in banks' systems can have a knock-on effect to other banks, which threatens the entire economy (Lind, 2005). The study theoretical approach deleted from new institutionalism theory through a legal perspective which examines legal changes impact on banks' credits .Theory has focused on concepts that reconnects with problem to be able to provide an analysis. Previous researchers who have examined Basel II regulatory framework has been taken into account for example, Hakenes and Schnabel (2011), Wahlström (2009), Repullo and Suarez (2004), Ruthenberg and Landskroner (2008) and Rime (2005). The study takes into account qualitative study, consisting of nine semi-structured interviews in four major banks. The study has applied deductive approach and the research philosophy hermeneutics to increase the understanding of how increased capital adequacy affected banks. The study results show in the same way as with previous researchers that banks will implement IRK method because this includes differentiated pricing with greater regard to risk aspects. The study shows that, Basel II has made it possible for banks to focus on low risk customers because it means that less capital need to be kept. The study also shows that, in contrast to previous research, the capital requirements reduce banks risk incentives because capital requirements will result in a fairer picture of the risks. Results of the study are that capital requirements have increased the banks’ capital adequacy ratio and the lending rate, but does not affect the credit volumes.
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The management of operational risk in South African banks / by Ja'nel EsterhuysenEsterhuysen, Ja'nel Tobias January 2003 (has links)
One of the biggest problems South African banks are experiencing when managing
operational risk is the lack of a single definition for operational risk. Operational risk
can take many forms; for example computer system failure, the malfunction of an
ATM or in same instances the long queues at a bank can be an operational risk It is
clear that banks lack sufficient information to distinguish between different
operational risk events as well as other risk events like credit risk, market risk, etc. In
other words, banks are experiencing great difficulties with the identification of
operational risk in South Africa
The study therefore aims to determine and construct a single definition of operational
risk that will be sufficient for the assessment of operational risk management in South
Africa. The study also aims to examine the existing as well as the possible methods to
identify, quantify and measure operational risk The main goal of this study is
therefore to investigate the feasibility of capital provisions as a way of managing
operational risk in South African banks, in other words the viability of the New Basel
Capital Accord on South African banks. The methodology used includes a literature
review, in-depth interviews and a case study on South African Retail Bank to
determine and evaluate some of the most renowned indicators of operational risk in
South Africa.
The first objective was to determine a single definition of operational risk in South
Africa. As mentioned, South African banks are having great difficulties to find a
single definition of operational risk and this is causing problems in identifying
operational risks in South Africa. It is the view of this study that the Basel
Committee's definition is not sufficient enough for operational risk management in
South Africa; therefore there is a great need to find a single definition of operational
risk in South African banks.
The second objective is to provide an overview of the Base1 Committee and its
Capital Accord, by focusing on one of the outstanding changes to the existing accord,
which is the proposed explicit capital requirement for operational risk. It has been
established that the Base1 Capital Accord is widely adopted around the world.
Consequently, from the viewpoint of being competitive, it is to the advantage of a
bank to adhere to the prescriptions of the Base1 Capital Accord. However, to stay
relevant, the Basel Capital Accord was due for a review. The Basel Committee
released a proposal to replace the existing Basel Capital Accord with a more. risk sensitive
framework. The new framework intends to improve safety and soundness in
the financial system by placing more emphasis on banks' own internal control and
management, the supervisory review process, and market discipline.
The third objective of this research was to present the theory of asset and liability
management (ALM) within the unifying theme of operational risk management. It
was indicated that capital is used to absorb an operational risk loss. The Asset and
Liability Committee (ALCO) is responsible for the strategic management of a bank's
balance sheet, therefore also ALM, and as capital forms part of the banks balance
sheet, it is also the responsibility of the ALCO to manage the capital that is used as
provision for an operational risk.
The fourth objective was to determine and evaluate the key risk indicators of
operational risk in South Africa theoretically and then also by means of a case study
on a South African Retail Bank and then to made some recommendations regarding
the effective identification of the key indicators of operational risk in South Africa. It
was indicated the challenge in identifying key operational risk indicators is to find
indicators that is not only business-specific but are also fm wide indicators of
operational risk. Recommendations on the effective identification of key operational
risk indicators were made. / Thesis (M.Com. (Economics))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2004.
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The management of operational risk in South African banks / by Ja'nel EsterhuysenEsterhuysen, Ja'nel Tobias January 2003 (has links)
One of the biggest problems South African banks are experiencing when managing
operational risk is the lack of a single definition for operational risk. Operational risk
can take many forms; for example computer system failure, the malfunction of an
ATM or in same instances the long queues at a bank can be an operational risk It is
clear that banks lack sufficient information to distinguish between different
operational risk events as well as other risk events like credit risk, market risk, etc. In
other words, banks are experiencing great difficulties with the identification of
operational risk in South Africa
The study therefore aims to determine and construct a single definition of operational
risk that will be sufficient for the assessment of operational risk management in South
Africa. The study also aims to examine the existing as well as the possible methods to
identify, quantify and measure operational risk The main goal of this study is
therefore to investigate the feasibility of capital provisions as a way of managing
operational risk in South African banks, in other words the viability of the New Basel
Capital Accord on South African banks. The methodology used includes a literature
review, in-depth interviews and a case study on South African Retail Bank to
determine and evaluate some of the most renowned indicators of operational risk in
South Africa.
The first objective was to determine a single definition of operational risk in South
Africa. As mentioned, South African banks are having great difficulties to find a
single definition of operational risk and this is causing problems in identifying
operational risks in South Africa. It is the view of this study that the Basel
Committee's definition is not sufficient enough for operational risk management in
South Africa; therefore there is a great need to find a single definition of operational
risk in South African banks.
The second objective is to provide an overview of the Base1 Committee and its
Capital Accord, by focusing on one of the outstanding changes to the existing accord,
which is the proposed explicit capital requirement for operational risk. It has been
established that the Base1 Capital Accord is widely adopted around the world.
Consequently, from the viewpoint of being competitive, it is to the advantage of a
bank to adhere to the prescriptions of the Base1 Capital Accord. However, to stay
relevant, the Basel Capital Accord was due for a review. The Basel Committee
released a proposal to replace the existing Basel Capital Accord with a more. risk sensitive
framework. The new framework intends to improve safety and soundness in
the financial system by placing more emphasis on banks' own internal control and
management, the supervisory review process, and market discipline.
The third objective of this research was to present the theory of asset and liability
management (ALM) within the unifying theme of operational risk management. It
was indicated that capital is used to absorb an operational risk loss. The Asset and
Liability Committee (ALCO) is responsible for the strategic management of a bank's
balance sheet, therefore also ALM, and as capital forms part of the banks balance
sheet, it is also the responsibility of the ALCO to manage the capital that is used as
provision for an operational risk.
The fourth objective was to determine and evaluate the key risk indicators of
operational risk in South Africa theoretically and then also by means of a case study
on a South African Retail Bank and then to made some recommendations regarding
the effective identification of the key indicators of operational risk in South Africa. It
was indicated the challenge in identifying key operational risk indicators is to find
indicators that is not only business-specific but are also fm wide indicators of
operational risk. Recommendations on the effective identification of key operational
risk indicators were made. / Thesis (M.Com. (Economics))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2004.
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The management of operational value at risk in banks / Ja'nel Tobias EsterhuysenEsterhuysen, Ja'nel Tobias January 2006 (has links)
The measurement of operational risk has surely been one of the biggest challenges for
banks worldwide. Most banks worldwide have opted for a value-at-risk (VaR) approach,
based on the success achieved with market risk, to measure and quantify operational risk.
The problem banks have is that they do not always find it difficult to calculate this VaR
figure, as there are numerous mathematical and statistical methods and models that can
calculate VaR, but they struggle to understand and interpret the values that are produced
by VaR models and methods. Senior management and normal staff do not always
understand how these VaR values will impact their decision-making and they do not
always know how to incorporate these values in their day-to-day management of the
bank.
This study therefore aims to explain and discuss the calculation of VaR for operational
risk as well as the factors that influence this figure, and then also to discuss how this
figure is managed and the impact that it has on the management of a bank. The main
goal of this study is then to explain the management of VaR for operational risk in order
to understand how it can be incorporated in the overall management of a bank. The
methodology used includes a literature review, in-depth interviews and a case study on a
South African Retail Bank to determine and evaluate some of the most renowned
methods for calculating VaR for operational risk.
The first objective of this study is to define operational risk and all its elements in order
to distinguish it from all the other risks the banking industry faces and to better
understand the management thereof. It is the view of this study that it will be impossible
to manage and measure operational risk if it is not clearly defined, and it is therefore
important to have a clear and understandable definition of operational risk.
The second objective is to establish an operational risk management process that will
ensure a structured approach to the management of operational risk, by focusing on the
different phases of operational risk. The process discussed by this study is a combination
of some of the most frequent used processes by international banks, and is intended to
guide the reader in terms of the steps required for managing operational risk.
The third objective of this study is to discuss and explain the qualitative factors that play
a role in the management of operational risk, and to determine where these factors fit
into the operational risk process and the role they play in calculating the VaR for
operational risk. These qualitative factors include, amongst others, key risk indicators
(KRIs), risk and control self-assessments and the tracking of operational losses.
The fourth objective is to identify and evaluate the quantitative factors that play a role in
the management of operational risk, to distinguish these factors from the qualitative
factors, and also to determine where these factors fit into the operational risk
management process and the role they play in calculating VaR for operational risk. Most
of these quantitative factors are prescribed by the Base1 Committee by means of its New
Capital Accord, whereby this new framework aims to measure operational risk in order to
determine the amount of capital needed to safeguard a bank against operational risk.
The fifth objective is to discuss and explain the calculation of VaR for operational risk by
means of discussing all the elements of this calculation. This study mainly bases its
discussion on the loss distribution approach (LDA), where the frequency and severity of
operational loss events are convoluted by means of Monte Carlo simulations. This study
uses real data obtained from a South African Retail Bank to illustrate this calculation on a
practical level.
The sixth and final objective of this study is to explain how VaR for operational risk is
interpreted in order for management to deal with it and make proper management
decisions based on it. The above-mentioned discussion is predominantly based on the
two types of capital that are influenced by VaR for operational risk. / Thesis (Ph.D. (Risk Management))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2007.
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The management of operational value at risk in banks / Ja'nel Tobias EsterhuysenEsterhuysen, Ja'nel Tobias January 2006 (has links)
The measurement of operational risk has surely been one of the biggest challenges for
banks worldwide. Most banks worldwide have opted for a value-at-risk (VaR) approach,
based on the success achieved with market risk, to measure and quantify operational risk.
The problem banks have is that they do not always find it difficult to calculate this VaR
figure, as there are numerous mathematical and statistical methods and models that can
calculate VaR, but they struggle to understand and interpret the values that are produced
by VaR models and methods. Senior management and normal staff do not always
understand how these VaR values will impact their decision-making and they do not
always know how to incorporate these values in their day-to-day management of the
bank.
This study therefore aims to explain and discuss the calculation of VaR for operational
risk as well as the factors that influence this figure, and then also to discuss how this
figure is managed and the impact that it has on the management of a bank. The main
goal of this study is then to explain the management of VaR for operational risk in order
to understand how it can be incorporated in the overall management of a bank. The
methodology used includes a literature review, in-depth interviews and a case study on a
South African Retail Bank to determine and evaluate some of the most renowned
methods for calculating VaR for operational risk.
The first objective of this study is to define operational risk and all its elements in order
to distinguish it from all the other risks the banking industry faces and to better
understand the management thereof. It is the view of this study that it will be impossible
to manage and measure operational risk if it is not clearly defined, and it is therefore
important to have a clear and understandable definition of operational risk.
The second objective is to establish an operational risk management process that will
ensure a structured approach to the management of operational risk, by focusing on the
different phases of operational risk. The process discussed by this study is a combination
of some of the most frequent used processes by international banks, and is intended to
guide the reader in terms of the steps required for managing operational risk.
The third objective of this study is to discuss and explain the qualitative factors that play
a role in the management of operational risk, and to determine where these factors fit
into the operational risk process and the role they play in calculating the VaR for
operational risk. These qualitative factors include, amongst others, key risk indicators
(KRIs), risk and control self-assessments and the tracking of operational losses.
The fourth objective is to identify and evaluate the quantitative factors that play a role in
the management of operational risk, to distinguish these factors from the qualitative
factors, and also to determine where these factors fit into the operational risk
management process and the role they play in calculating VaR for operational risk. Most
of these quantitative factors are prescribed by the Base1 Committee by means of its New
Capital Accord, whereby this new framework aims to measure operational risk in order to
determine the amount of capital needed to safeguard a bank against operational risk.
The fifth objective is to discuss and explain the calculation of VaR for operational risk by
means of discussing all the elements of this calculation. This study mainly bases its
discussion on the loss distribution approach (LDA), where the frequency and severity of
operational loss events are convoluted by means of Monte Carlo simulations. This study
uses real data obtained from a South African Retail Bank to illustrate this calculation on a
practical level.
The sixth and final objective of this study is to explain how VaR for operational risk is
interpreted in order for management to deal with it and make proper management
decisions based on it. The above-mentioned discussion is predominantly based on the
two types of capital that are influenced by VaR for operational risk. / Thesis (Ph.D. (Risk Management))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2007.
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En förändring : Nordeas anpassning och påverkan av Basel II / Basel II at Nordea : Nordea´s adaptation and influence of Basel IIMorell, Elin, Gibson, Marie January 2008 (has links)
<p>Problem: How has Nordea been adapted and influenced by the change of Basel II and how have the employees reacted on the new change?</p><p>Purpose: This essay has a purpose to study how Basel II has influenced the credit rating at Nordea. We also want to study how the employees have reacted to the new change.</p><p>Method: To receive the information that was necessary for this study interviews were performed with the employees at Nordea. The interviews were an effective way to start a discussion and by that we received important information.</p><p>Basel II is new capital cover rules that the Swedish banks have introduced. These new rules mean that it will become more important with safety when it comes to risk management and credit giving. Nordea is one of the largest banks in Sweden and they introduced Basel II in the beginning of 2007. This change means hard work for the management when they produce statistics and mathematics models. These models have a purpose to help the customer relation managers at Nordea with their daily work. The change can be seen as an imposed strategy because Basel II is an EU-directive which all banks have to comply to. The change can also be seen as a planned strategy. Nordea has been aware of the coming change and from this Nordea has been able to plan their strategy. An important factor with strategic change is the competence in the organization. It is important that the employees get the right education and information that is necessary to commit to the changes. The changes in Nordea are difficult to get an overview of because they are in the beginning of the implementation of Basel II.</p>
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Operační riziko a analýza scénářů jako jedna z metod jeho řízení / Operational Risk and Scenario Analysis as One Method of Its ManagementOndřich, Libor January 2008 (has links)
Práce se zabývá problematikou spojenou s rozšířením konceptu kapitálové přiměřenosti o prvek operačního rizika. Rámcově popisuje novou basilejskou dohodu Basel II a způsob, jakým je do ní operační riziko zasazeno. Detailněji pak popisuje nejpokročilejší přístup pro výpočet kapitálového požadavku k operačnímu riziku, tzv. AMA přístup. Na závěr je podrobně charakterizována jedna ze složek nejpokročilejšího přístupu, analýza scénářů, pomocí které je také vypočítán kapitálový požadavek a identifikovány některé kvalitativní dopady na modelovou banku.
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Operačné riziko v bankáchHolá, Miroslava January 2007 (has links)
Nové regulatórne pravidlá BASEL II, ktorých hlavným cieľom je zvýšiť bezpečnosť a stabilitu finančných systémov, posilniť konkurenciu medzi bankami a umožniť väčšiu rizikovú citlivosť definujú nový typ rizika, ktoré je potrebné pokryť dodatočným kapitálom - riziko operačné. BASEL II vymedzuje 3 prístupy (základný, štandardizovaný a pokročilý), ktoré je možné použiť k výpočtu regulatórneho kapitálu, potrebného na pokrytie strát vzniknutých v dôsledku realizácie operačného rizika. V prvej časti diplomovej práce je popísaný nový koncept bankovej regulácie, v časti druhej je vymedzený pojem operačné riziko a základné prístupy k jeho kvantifikácii. Tretia kapitola obsahuje návrh zjednodušeného teoretického modelu, ktorý umožní kapitálovú požiadavku na pokrytie operačného rizika kvantifikovať.
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Kritéria poskytování bankovních úvěrů v České republice / Criterias of Bank Loan Approval Process in the Czech RepublicNogová, Kateřina January 2008 (has links)
Diplomová práce pojednává o souvislostech mezi bankovním systémem a financováním podniku. Zaměřuje se na faktory, které ovlivňují získání bankovního úvěru, jeho cenu a profitabilitu z těchto bankovních obchodů z pohledu banky a to vše při respektování zásad dohody BASEL II.
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