台灣逐漸步入高齡化社會，由於各種經濟社會因素，一般個人利用早年的儲蓄準備退休後的生活，已是不可避免的趨勢。衡諸個人自己獨力負擔退休生活所需的準備，不外乎是加入保險，藉助集體互助的力量達成，或是自力儲蓄，藉由金融工具的使用，累積財富。在政府宣示的亞太營運中心計劃勢必將帶動國內金融發展。屆時，行之歐美諸國已久的遞延年金商品可望引進台灣的保險業界，使自力儲蓄的個人能透過金融商品的多元化，選擇最有效用的金融商品，以謀取退休後的生活準備。鑑於美國業者經營遞延年金商品的教訓，在文獻的閱讀之中，筆者發現利率風險在精算界所受到的重視與發展成果值得國人借鏡，因此發奮研究利率風險在遞延年金商品中所扮演的角色，份量及其因應之道。希冀能在未來國內業者推行遞延年金之際，對經營此商品所面臨的風險能有清楚的認識，也希望監理機關能了解業者的需求而給予適度的協助。相信在健康的經營環境下，遞延年金商品會替消費者帶來莫大的福祉。本論文的研究方法為文獻探討，研究方向與目的有三：一、了解遞延年金商品的內容及其使用價值。二、辨識遞延年金商品的利率風險。三、探討如何衡量遞延年金商品利率風險與其管理的方法。 / When Taiwan stepped into old-aged society, as driven by variety of economic and social forces, an individual has to prepare for his(her) retirement during the ealier working years. By doing so, he(she) can enter into the insurance plans or mutual help-each-other societies, or by individual self-saving plans and use of new financial instruments. Now, the Taiwan Government initiate an Asian Operation Center Project that may have the domestic financial market boomed up. By that time, it's possible that Deffered annuity products sold in foreign countries like USA or those in Europe over many years will appear at Taiwan market and bring the Taiwan consumer more efficient ways of preparation for retirement. After the inspection of lessons learned by United States life insurance companies while these company were selling the Defferd Annuities, the author find that the interest rate risk are emphasized extensively in actuarial literatures and it's development is worth while the domestic companies to take lessons. Thus, the author study the problem with interest rate risk and the proper measures to manage the risk. It's hoped that in the coming future, at the time of Deffered Annuities, the domestic companies will already have clear understandings about the risks they face. And it's hoped that the government understand the insurance companies' needs and give them help. It's believed that in a sound environment, the consumer will benefit from the advent of Deffered Annuities. The research method used is literature research, and the direction and goal of the study is as follows: 1.Understand what's Deffered Annuity and it's uses. 2.Indentify the interest rate risks inherent in Deffered Annuities. 3.Examine the various measures to manage the interest rate risk.

High interest rate currencies tend to appreciate despite what is be implied by the uncovered interest parity. It is thought that the uncovered interest parity does not hold due to various risks, costs, liquidity issues, and monetary policies. There have been extensive studies into the cause of this phenomenon yet none have examined the period before the formation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. This study examines whether or not the uncovered interest parity holds between the UK, the US, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, Spain, and Portugal during this time period to determine if the absence of capital controls and monetary policies allow for the uncovered interest parity to hold. In the end, none of the 213 regressions testing all the country pairs across varying horizons came close to providing support for the uncovered interest parity.

No description available.

Starting from basic financial mathematics, we cover the mathematics of pricing swaptions, options on interest rate swaps. We then continue to the topic of obtaining an approximately pure volatility exposure. This exposure to volatility, which in practice enables us to trade volatility according to our perceptions of the market, is obtained by buying or selling swaptions and appropriate amounts of the underlying interest rate swap contract. Taking offsetting positions in the underlying contract is called hedging and is covered in depth. We note that hedging can primarily be done in two ways, and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each of them. After deriving the value formulas for such a swaption strategy aimed at isolating volatility exposure we end with a discussion on the transition from theory to practice.We find that this way of trading volatility is conceptually simple, but that pre-trade profitability analysis is difficult due to the sometimes poor availability of the sophisticated data needed to simulate such a swaption strategy. Despite the possible limitations in the data necessary to translate this theory into an experimental setup, this thesis serves as a good basis for further research on the profitability of a volatility trading strategy using interest rate swaptions.

none

This article will verify whether the central banks create political business cycles or not. To refer to the Opportunistic Model operated by Leetouwer and Maier (2002), this research will expand the acquisition time of data till the fourth season of 2008, and added Korea¡BMalaysia and Taiwan into the model. In this article, the independent variables will be the rates announced by central banks of these ten countries. The dependent variables will be the date of president/parliamentary elections and the independence of central bank to verify before the elections whether will the central banks create political business cycles through setting lower rate in monetary policy are pressured by rules or not. The empirical results show that: 1.The assumption of Central banks will use interest rates to create a political business cycle does not hold. This complements with Leetouwer and Maier¡¦s results studied in 2002, the interest rate cannot be used as a tool to create political business cycle. 2. The higher independence of central bank, the interest rate introduced by central bank will be lower, and as well as the inflation rate.

ABSTRACT The problem of interest rate risk exposure has become increasingly important for financial institutions. There is a direct relation between the duration of life insurance products and its present value sensitivity to changes in market interest rates. This article describes the historical development of duration and its application in the study of life insurance products. This study examines the interest rate risk exposure of life insurance products.

This research would like to study the influence that US has on the global market by proving the global stock and commodity markets are correlated to the Fed's interest rate policy. Meanwhile, hope this research can help investors to evaluate the market trend and make appropriate investment decision. we look into detail by examining the correlation between the US stock market and different periods of rate hike, rate cut and neutral, respectively. The results are : (1) In rate hike period, normally, the US stock market performed well. It's the time with economy booming at high growth rate and strong domestic demand that the Fed needs to take action, hiking rate, to cool down the market. (2) In the rate cut period, the US stock market was not good. That is because the rate cut decision is normally adopted due to slowing down economy, weak domestic demand, and stock market underperformance. Thus, the accumulated performance won't be too exciting during the rate cut period. (3) In the neutral period, the stock market performed excellently. Especially at the time after Fed's rate cut period, the stock market is booming due to the high liquidity and low interest rate environment, stimulating consumers spending and enterprises investment. (4) In the rate hike period, the oil price and commodity index (comprised by Reuters by averaging19 different commodity future index) were at the best performance. Besides, it also benefited the energy related share price. However, in the rate cut or neutral period, they were up and down without clear trend. (5) At the last, we further study the unexpected rate cut will surprise the market in upside. Given the results of these examinations, it is a good timing to buy when it's approaching the end of rate cut period. If the rate cut is unexpected or the extent is over expectation, investors shouldn't be too pessimistic. Instead, they should believe the government will continuously introduce favorable policy to boost the economy and it is good timing to invest in stock market.

none

Syfte: Syftet är att undersöka svenska storföretags användande av derivatet ränteswap (svensk benämning för interest rate swap) för år 2012 och 2013 samt att undersöka skillnader utifrån tidigare funna bakomliggande faktorer mellan företag som använder olika typer av ränteswaps och företag som inte använder ränteswap. Metod: Studien tillämpade en empirisk totalundersökning gällande de icke-finansiella företagen noterade på Nasdaq OMX Stockholm Large Cap för slutet på år 2012 respektive år 2013. Utifrån företagens årsredovisningar kategoriserades företagen i fyra grupper baserat på företagets användande av ränteswap. Fem tidigare funna bakomliggande faktorer för användandet av ränteswap sammanställdes genomsnittligt per kategori och jämfördes därefter kategorierna emellan. Resultat: Av de största noterade börsföretagen använde 29 av 40 stycken företag ränteswap år 2012 och 29 av 42 företag år 2013. Företag som använde rörlig ränteswap var signifikant större än de företag som inte använde ränteswap för år 2012 och 2013. År 2013 hade de företag som använde fast och båda typer av ränteswaps högre andel kortfristiga lån i jämförelse med de företag som inte använde ränteswap. Uppmätta skillnader kategorierna emellan för de resterande tre undersökta faktorerna; andel långfristiga lån, löptiden på företagens lån liksom företagens förväntade obeståndskostnader var inte signifikanta vilket innebar att de uppmätta skillnaderna inte kunde hänföras till svenska storföretag. Slutsatser: Över två tredjedelar av de undersökta företagen använde ränteswap. Storleken för företag som använde ränteswap var en urskiljande faktor i jämförelse med företag som inte använde ränteswap. För svenska storföretags andel kortfristiga lån för ett av de undersökta åren talar det mesta för att företag som använde ränteswap hade högre andel kortfristiga lån än företag som inte använde ränteswap. Skillnader i andel långfristiga lån, löptid på lån liksom förväntade obeståndskostnader kategorierna emellan kunde inte hänföras till svenska storföretag och därmed inte ses som urskiljande faktorer för användande av ränteswap. / Purpose: The purpose is to investigate the largest Swedish companies utilization of interest rate swap (afterwards referred to as IRS), as well as variations in the underlying factors between companies who use IRS and companies who do not. Methodology: The study applied an empirical investigation about the non-financial companies noted on Nasdaq OMX Stockholm Large Cap for the end of year 2012 and year 2013. By their annual reports, companies where divided into four categories based on their usage of IRS. Five earlier factors for the use of IRS were compiled per category and were then compared between the categories. Findings: 29 out of the 40 largest listed companies used IRS 2012, and 29 out of 42 companies 2013. The companies who used variable IRS were significantly larger than the ones who didn't use IRS. Companies who used fixed, and both types of IRS year 2013, had a higher proportion of short-term loans compared to the companies which didn't use IRS. Measured differences between the categories for the remaining three factors; proportion of long-term loans, duration on the companies loans as well as their expected distress costs was not significant which implicates that the measured differences could not be assigned to Swedish corporations. Conclusions: Over two thirds of the investigated companies used IRS. The size of the companies that used IRS was a factor which differed between companies who used IRS and the companies that didn't. The proportion of short-term loans showed a significant disparity for one of the investigated years indicated that the companies who used IRS have a larger proportion of short-term loans than the ones who don't. Differences in the proportion of long-term loans, duration on loans and expected distress costs between the categories could not be assigned to Swedish corporations.